UTA @ NYR 2–4 · 2026-10-04

UtahUTAMammoth2

FinalOct 42026-10-04

Team	1	2	3	SOG
UTA	0	1	1	30
NYR	1	0	3	22

Madison Square Garden

New YorkNYRRangers4

CallNo lean · 54% NYR

Star 1V. Gavrikov1G 1A
Star 2J. Miller1G 0A
Star 3I. Shesterkin.933 SV%

Closing linesDraftKings

+100Moneyline-120+1.5 -245Puck line-1.5 +200O -120Total 5.5U +100+155RegulationTie +300 +125-1051st period-125+1881st · 3-wayTie +173 +173

Season odds

78%74%−3.5Playoffs40%44%+4.72.4%2.0%−0.4Cup1.0%1.0%±0.0

Story

– / 18

Result NYR 4–2Call No lean · NYR 54%Market NYR 52%xG 3.39–3.58 · deserved NYR 53%Swing Perreault +27 3rd 3:15Method

Goals and penalties with NYR win probability
Time	Event	NYR win before	NYR win after
1st 3:31	NYR penalty · M. Pettersson · interference · 2 min
1st 10:39	UTA penalty · M. Weegar · tripping · 2 min
1st 17:18	Goal NYR · V. Gavrikov	54%	72%
1st 17:18	UTA penalty · B. Hayton · roughing · 2 min
1st 17:18	NYR penalty · W. Cuylle · roughing · 2 min
1st 18:03	UTA penalty · N. Schmaltz · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 4:28	UTA penalty · M. Weegar · interference · 2 min
2nd 14:01	NYR penalty · W. Cuylle · roughing · 2 min
2nd 14:01	NYR penalty · W. Cuylle · boarding · 2 min
2nd 14:01	UTA penalty · M. Sergachev · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 14:29	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz (PP)	76%	53%
3rd 1:03	NYR penalty · W. Cuylle · fighting · 5 min
3rd 1:03	UTA penalty · J. McBain · fighting · 5 min
3rd 3:15	Goal NYR · G. Perreault	52%	80%
3rd 12:47	Goal NYR · J. Miller	88%	98%
3rd 14:57	Goal UTA · A. Peeke	99%	91%
3rd 18:45	Goal NYR · E. Tolvanen (EN)	97%	100%
3rd 19:48	UTA penalty · M. Sergachev · interference · 2 min

On ice · final horn

UTA4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82K. StenlundC	0:12	13:10	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6-5
67L. CrouseL	0:12	15:20	20	0	0	0	5	7	0	4	0	–
20A. PeekeD	0:12	14:04	22	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	0	–
26D. SimashevD	0:12	12:45	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	–
70K. VejmelkaG		58:40	SA21GA3SV%.857xGA3.11GSAx+0.11

NYR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
42N. LabaC	0:12	17:37	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	6-4
50W. CuylleL	0:12	14:06	19	0	1	1	2	4	11	1	2	2-3
17E. TolvanenR	0:12	14:15	18	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	2	–
12A. SmitsD	0:12	16:12	18	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	–
23A. FoxD	0:12	21:35	25	0	1	1	1	4	0	2	2	–
31I. ShesterkinG		59:58	SA30GA2SV%.933xGA3.39GSAx+1.39

Goals

1st
Vladislav Gavrikov(1)
A. Fox (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NYR1st 17:18+18.172%
2nd
Nick Schmaltz(1)PP
C. Keller (1)
xG 0.18backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 14:29+22.947%
3rd
Gabe Perreault(1)
A. Lafrenière (1), M. Zibanejad (1)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 NYR3rd 03:15+27.380%
J.T. Miller(1)
V. Gavrikov (1), T. Kartye (1)
xG 0.17deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 NYR3rd 12:47+10.498%
Andrew Peeke(1)
A. Lee (1)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 NYR3rd 14:57+8.39%
Eeli Tolvanen(1)EN
W. Cuylle (1), I. Shesterkin (1)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 NYR3rd 18:45+2.3100%

Shots

UTA3.39 xG43 unblocked · 26 blocked43 unblocked · 26 blocked

NYR3.58 xG35 unblocked · 20 blocked35 unblocked · 20 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

UTANYR2Goals43.39xG3.5830Shots2243Unblocked3569Attempts5511High danger71/2Power play0/422Faceoffs2629Hits2320Blocks264Takeaways313Giveaways1817PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
98M. SergachevMikhail SergachevD	23:51	0	0	0	3	5	0.12	−0.12	0	3	0	1	—	4	0
88N. SchmidtNate SchmidtD	22:39	0	0	0	3	9	0.07	−0.07	3	1	0	0	—	0	-2
52M. WeegarMacKenzie WeegarD	22:00	0	0	0	0	8	0.03	−0.03	6	5	0	1	—	4	0
6J. MarinoJohn MarinoD	21:07	0	0	0	1	3	0.05	−0.05	0	2	1	1	—	0	-2
92L. CooleyLogan CooleyC	18:28	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	−0.17	3	0	0	0	50%	0	-1
9C. KellerClayton KellerR	18:03	0	1	1	2	4	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
16V. TrocheckVincent TrocheckC	17:58	0	0	0	2	3	0.09	−0.09	3	0	0	0	58%	0	-3
8N. SchmaltzNick SchmaltzC	17:18	1	0	1	3	3	0.45	+0.55	0	0	1	1	0%	2	-3
11D. GuentherDylan GuentherR	15:45	0	0	0	2	4	0.23	−0.23	0	0	1	2	—	0	-1
67L. CrouseLawson CrouseL	15:20	0	0	0	5	7	0.47	−0.47	4	0	1	0	—	0	0
20A. PeekeAndrew PeekeD	14:04	1	0	1	3	4	0.39	+0.61	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
27B. HaytonBarrett HaytonC	13:18	0	0	0	1	4	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	1	30%	2	0
82K. StenlundKevin StenlundC	13:10	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	0	55%	0	0
72A. LeeAnders LeeL	12:59	0	1	1	1	4	0.14	−0.14	0	3	0	1	—	0	0
26D. SimashevDmitri SimashevD	12:45	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	0	-1
53M. CarconeMichael CarconeL	12:43	0	0	0	2	3	0.22	−0.22	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
22J. McBainJack McBainC	11:14	0	0	0	2	3	0.33	−0.33	4	0	0	0	—	5	0
50D. ButDaniil ButL	10:26	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	−0.13	1	0	0	2	0%	0	0
UTA total		2	2	4	30	69	3.39	−1.39	29	17	4	13	46%	17

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Keller+0.39

Schmaltz+0.35

Lee+0.32

Guenther−0.08

McBain−0.14

Trocheck−0.17

Crouse−0.19

Hayton−0.20

Stenlund−0.27

Cooley−0.30

Carcone−0.34

But−0.35

Defence

Peeke+0.47

Weegar+0.06

Marino−0.03

Simashev−0.07

Schmidt−0.20

Sergachev−0.31

Goalie

Vejmelka+0.13

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Schmaltz·Trocheck·Keller	10:49	19	15	6	71.4%	8	5	0	1	0.94	0.59	61.4%	+0.35	4	1	80%
Lee·Cooley·Guenther	10:49	17	16	13	55.2%	5	5	1	1	0.32	0.49	39.6%	−0.17	4	1	80%
Crouse·McBain·Hayton	7:54	14	13	3	81.3%	7	2	0	0	0.63	0.20	75.8%	+0.43	2	2	50%
But·Carcone·Stenlund	6:27	11	5	10	33.3%	2	2	0	0	0.16	0.72	18.5%	−0.56	1	0	100%
Occasional · 9 groups
Carcone·Crouse·Hayton	1:39	3	4	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.22	0.00	100.0%	+0.22	0	1	0%
Carcone·Crouse·Stenlund	0:58	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
But·Carcone·Cooley	0:52	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
But·Schmaltz·Keller	0:49	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
But·McBain·Hayton	0:45	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Trocheck·Cooley·Keller	0:39	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Crouse·McBain·Stenlund	0:37	3	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	1	0%
Trocheck·Hayton·Keller	0:35	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Crouse·Lee·Cooley	0:32	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
UTA 5v5	49:13		59	40	59.6%	26	18	1	3	2.55	2.50	50.5%	+0.05

Goalies

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 58:40

Saves: 18/21
SV%: .857
xGA: 3.11
GSAx: +0.11

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/18	.833	2.50	−0.50
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.59	+0.59
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	4/6	.667	1.12	−0.88

Igor Shesterkin

NYR · 59:58

Saves: 28/30
SV%: .933
xGA: 3.39
GSAx: +1.39

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/28	.964	2.72	+1.72
Power play	1/2	.500	0.67	−0.33
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	7/8	.875	2.03	+1.03

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Utah Mammoth

Minutes

23:51Sergachev
22:39Schmidt
22:00Weegar
21:07Marino
14:04Peeke
12:45Simashev

18:28Cooley
18:03Keller
17:58Trocheck
17:18Schmaltz
15:45Guenther
15:20Crouse
13:18Hayton
13:10Stenlund
12:59Lee
12:43Carcone
11:14McBain
10:26But

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareUTANYR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MarinoD1 O7
SchmidtD4 O5
PeekeD2 O0
SergachevD5 O3
SimashevD2 O0
WeegarD5 O2
SchmaltzD1 O5
KellerD1 O5
GuentherD1 O5
CooleyD1 O5
LeeD1 O4
TrocheckD3 O4
ButD0 O1
CarconeD1 O1
HaytonD3 O2
McBainD3 O1
StenlundD6 O1
CrouseD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period