VGK @ VAN 3–2 · 2026-10-04

VegasVGKGolden Knights3

FinalOct 42026-10-04

Team	1	2	3	SOG
VGK	0	3	0	28
VAN	1	1	0	20

Rogers Arena

VancouverVANCanucks2

CallNo lean · 22% VAN

Star 1M. Marner1G 0A
Star 2V. Olofsson1G 0A
Star 3E. Pettersson0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-290Moneyline+235-1.5 -110Puck line+1.5 -110O +105Total 6.5U -125-160RegulationTie +370 +295-2101st period+155+1221st · 3-wayTie +185 +270

Season odds

95%97%+2.3Playoffs0.2%0.3%+0.110%11%+1.1Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 13

Result VGK 3–2Call No lean · VGK 78%Market VGK 73%xG 3.97–1.48 · deserved VGK 88%Swing Marner +21 2nd 9:01Method

Goals and penalties with VAN win probability
Time	Event	VAN win before	VAN win after
1st 1:53	VGK penalty · M. Stone · slashing · 2 min
1st 6:35	VAN penalty · J. Oleksiak · cross checking · 2 min
1st 9:17	VAN penalty · A. Räty · interference · 2 min
1st 18:17	VGK penalty · T. Hertl · hooking · 2 min
1st 18:52	Goal VAN · P. Cotter (PP)	26%	43%
2nd 3:40	VAN penalty · B. Gallagher · slashing · 2 min
2nd 9:01	Goal VGK · M. Marner	49%	28%
2nd 14:00	VAN penalty · T. Willander · tripping · 2 min
2nd 14:30	Goal VGK · V. Olofsson (PP)	29%	12%
2nd 17:54	Goal VAN · J. Lekkerimäki	12%	31%
2nd 18:28	Goal VGK · M. Gatcomb	31%	12%
3rd 3:50	VAN penalty · L. Schenn · interference · 2 min
3rd 5:13	VGK penalty · J. Eichel · hooking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

VGK5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21B. HowdenC	1:10	17:16	18	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	1-0
71W. KarlssonC	1:11	18:20	20	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	9-6
93M. MarnerR	1:37	21:56	21	1	0	1	3	7	0	1	0	–
3B. McNabbD	0:18	19:00	23	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	2	–
27S. TheodoreD	0:18	22:11	26	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	2	–
33A. HillG		60:00	SA20GA2SV%.900xGA1.48GSAx−0.52

VAN6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
23M. RossiC	0:08	18:30	20	0	0	1	2	0	4	1	3-2
40E. PetterssonC	2:33	20:29	21	1	1	3	3	0	3	3	5-3
54A. RätyC	0:18	9:56	17	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	6-6
6B. BoeserR	2:32	17:18	18	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	–
8Z. BuiumD	0:18	20:07	25	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	–
17F. HronekD	0:18	26:25	29	1	1	1	1	0	2	3	–

Goals

1st
Paul Cotter(1)PP
F. Hronek (1), E. Pettersson (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 VAN1st 18:52+17.743%
2nd
Mitch Marner(1)
B. McNabb (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 09:01+21.272%
Victor Olofsson(1)PP
M. Stone (1), J. Eichel (1)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 VGK2nd 14:30+17.388%
Jonathan Lekkerimäki(1)
L. Karlsson (1), L. Schenn (1)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 17:54+18.631%
Marc Gatcomb(1)
B. Bowman (1), N. Dowd (1)
xG 0.34snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 VGK2nd 18:28+18.888%

Shots

VGK3.97 xG40 unblocked · 20 blocked40 unblocked · 20 blocked

VAN1.48 xG28 unblocked · 8 blocked28 unblocked · 8 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

VGKVAN3Goals23.97xG1.4828Shots2040Unblocked2860Attempts366High danger31/5Power play1/325Faceoffs2519Hits258Blocks202Takeaways419Giveaways166PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
27S. TheodoreShea TheodoreD	22:11	0	0	0	2	7	0.09	−0.09	0	2	0	2	—	0	+2
93M. MarnerMitch MarnerR	21:56	1	0	1	3	7	0.48	+0.52	1	0	0	2	—	0	+1
9J. EichelJack EichelC	19:52	0	1	1	2	4	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	0	36%	2	0
61M. StoneMark StoneR	19:45	0	1	1	3	3	0.41	−0.41	1	1	0	0	—	2	0
15N. HanifinNoah HanifinD	19:37	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
3B. McNabbBrayden McNabbD	19:00	0	1	1	1	1	0.02	−0.02	1	2	0	2	—	0	+2
71W. KarlssonWilliam KarlssonC	18:20	0	0	0	2	6	0.71	−0.71	0	0	1	0	60%	0	+1
29P. WotherspoonParker WotherspoonD	17:25	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
21B. HowdenBrett HowdenC	17:16	0	0	0	1	4	0.28	−0.28	2	0	0	1	100%	0	+1
4R. AnderssonRasmus AnderssonD	17:12	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
48T. HertlTomas HertlC	16:29	0	0	0	2	6	0.66	−0.66	4	0	0	1	50%	2	0
5J. LauzonJeremy LauzonD	15:22	0	0	0	0	4	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	0	—	0	-1
95V. OlofssonVictor OlofssonL	14:35	1	0	1	4	5	0.41	+0.59	0	0	0	1	50%	0	0
49I. BarbashevIvan BarbashevL	13:03	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	2	0%	0	0
24T. ConnellyTrevor ConnellyL	12:23	0	0	0	2	4	0.27	−0.27	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
26N. DowdNic DowdC	11:11	0	1	1	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	1	50%	0	0
42B. BowmanBraeden BowmanR	10:41	0	1	1	1	2	0.03	−0.03	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
17M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	9:07	1	0	1	1	1	0.34	+0.66	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
VGK total		3	5	8	28	60	3.97	−0.97	19	7	2	17	50%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Olofsson+0.68

Marner+0.62

Gatcomb+0.58

Bowman+0.45

Dowd+0.30

Stone+0.14

Connelly−0.13

Barbashev−0.13

Karlsson−0.17

Hertl−0.28

Howden−0.29

Eichel−0.41

Defence

McNabb+0.21

Lauzon+0.12

Theodore0.00

Wotherspoon−0.03

Hanifin−0.06

Andersson−0.09

Goalie

Hill−0.51

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Howden·Karlsson·Marner	11:08	14	10	6	62.5%	4	1	1	0	0.68	0.27	71.5%	+0.41	1	1	50%
Barbashev·Eichel·Stone	10:50	14	10	8	55.6%	5	4	0	0	0.34	0.20	62.4%	+0.13	2	1	67%
Connelly·Olofsson·Hertl	8:19	12	14	5	73.7%	8	3	0	0	0.63	0.18	77.4%	+0.45	2	1	67%
Gatcomb·Dowd·Bowman	6:13	11	4	5	44.4%	2	4	1	1	0.37	0.11	76.7%	+0.26	0	1	0%
Occasional · 6 groups
Gatcomb·Howden·Dowd	1:21	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
Howden·Hertl·Marner	0:36	5	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Eichel·Stone·Marner	0:33	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Eichel·Gatcomb·Bowman	0:33	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Eichel·Howden·Stone	0:32	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Olofsson·Karlsson·Bowman	0:30	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.37	0.00	100.0%	+0.37	0	0	—
VGK 5v5	45:01		42	26	61.8%	20	14	2	1	2.54	0.85	74.9%	+1.69

Goalies

Adin Hill

VGK · 60:00

Saves: 18/20
SV%: .900
xGA: 1.48
GSAx: −0.52

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	0.94	−0.06
Power play	1/2	.500	0.17	−0.83
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.37	+0.37
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.59	+0.59

Kevin Lankinen

VAN · 57:29

Saves: 25/28
SV%: .893
xGA: 3.97
GSAx: +0.97

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/20	.900	2.54	+0.54
Power play	7/8	.875	1.43	+0.43
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/4	.250	1.48	−1.52

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Vegas Golden Knights

Minutes

22:11Theodore
19:37Hanifin
19:00McNabb
17:25Wotherspoon
17:12Andersson
15:22Lauzon

21:56Marner
19:52Eichel
19:45Stone
18:20W. Karlsson
17:16Howden
16:29Hertl
14:35Olofsson
13:03Barbashev
12:23Connelly
11:11Dowd
10:41Bowman
9:07Gatcomb

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareVGKVAN

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

TheodoreD3 O4
HanifinD2 O2
AnderssonD2 O1
LauzonD3 O2
McNabbD4 O1
WotherspoonD3 O0
StoneD1 O7
HertlD0 O5
EichelD1 O6
MarnerD1 O6
OlofssonD1 O3
BarbashevD1 O2
HowdenD1 O2
GatcombD0 O1
BowmanD0 O0
ConnellyD2 O2
DowdD3 O1
W. KarlssonD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period