WPG @ DET 3–2 · 2026-10-04

WinnipegWPGJets3

FinalOct 42026-10-04

Team	1	2	3	SOG
WPG	2	1	0	27
DET	0	1	1	36

Little Caesars Arena

DetroitDETRed Wings2

CallWPG51%mkt 51%-112Hit

Star 1K. Connor2G 1A
Star 2C. Perfetti1G 2A
Star 3V. Arvidsson1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-112Moneyline-108-1.5 +225Puck line+1.5 -278O -122Total 5.5U +102+140RegulationTie +310 +135-1151st period-115+1801st · 3-wayTie +172 +180

Season odds

26%32%+5.8Playoffs7.5%8.0%+0.50.2%0.3%+0.1Cup0.1%0.0%−0.1

Story

– / 16

Result WPG 3–2Call WPG 51% Market WPG 51%xG 2.96–3.95 · deserved DET 66%Swing Perfetti +18 1st 13:04Method

Goals and penalties with DET win probability
Time	Event	DET win before	DET win after
1st 9:26	WPG penalty · G. Vilardi · tripping · 2 min
1st 12:10	DET penalty · K. Kolesar · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 12:10	WPG penalty · T. Bauer · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:10	DET penalty · K. Kolesar · fighting · 5 min
1st 13:04	Goal WPG · C. Perfetti (PP)	50%	32%
1st 13:04	DET penalty · J. Compher · abuse of officials · 2 min
1st 14:36	Goal WPG · K. Connor (PP)	31%	17%
1st 19:25	WPG penalty · V. Namestnikov · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 5:02	DET penalty · L. Raymond · holding the stick · 2 min
2nd 5:41	Goal WPG · K. Connor (PP)	14%	6%
2nd 15:48	WPG penalty · D. DeMelo · tripping · 2 min
2nd 16:52	Goal DET · V. Arvidsson (PP)	3%	10%
2nd 17:56	WPG penalty · V. Namestnikov · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:18	DET penalty · V. Arvidsson · interference · 2 min
3rd 4:56	Goal DET · E. Finnie	6%	21%
3rd 15:53	WPG penalty · D. DeMelo · hooking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

WPG5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17A. LowryC	0:17	15:17	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7-12
9A. IafalloL	0:17	11:44	18	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	3	–
81K. ConnorL	0:17	20:05	24	2	1	3	5	11	0	0	0	–
2D. DeMeloD	0:17	20:53	27	0	0	0	0	1	4	1	1	–
54D. SambergD	0:17	19:50	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	–
74S. SkinnerG		60:00	SA36GA2SV%.944xGA3.95GSAx+1.95

DET6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18A. CoppC	1:59	23:44	24	0	1	1	1	6	0	2	1	16-5
58E. FinnieC	0:17	16:56	20	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	0	8-5
23L. RaymondL	1:55	23:55	24	0	0	0	2	6	2	0	0	–
33V. ArvidssonL	1:54	21:24	23	1	0	1	4	7	2	1	2	2-0
93A. DeBrincatR	1:47	23:16	24	0	1	1	4	9	0	0	2	–
53M. SeiderD	0:17	25:41	28	0	1	1	3	6	0	1	5	–

Goals

1st
Cole Perfetti(1)PP
K. Connor (1), J. Morrissey (1)
xG 0.08deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 WPG1st 13:04+17.868%
Kyle Connor(1)PP
G. Vilardi (1), C. Perfetti (1)
xG 0.08backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 WPG1st 14:36+14.383%
2nd
Kyle Connor(2)PP
J. Morrissey (2), C. Perfetti (2)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 WPG2nd 05:41+8.494%
Viktor Arvidsson(1)PP
A. Copp (1), M. Seider (1)
xG 0.40deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 WPG2nd 16:52+6.810%
3rd
Emmitt Finnie(1)
M. Brandsegg-Nygård (1), A. DeBrincat (1)
xG 0.57wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 WPG3rd 04:56+14.621%

Shots

WPG2.96 xG41 unblocked · 12 blocked41 unblocked · 12 blocked

DET3.95 xG59 unblocked · 19 blocked59 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

WPGDET3Goals22.96xG3.9527Shots3641Unblocked5953Attempts783High danger33/4Power play1/521Faceoffs3320Hits2519Blocks122Takeaways219Giveaways1015PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
4N. PionkNeal PionkD	23:53	0	0	0	3	4	0.07	−0.07	2	4	0	4	—	0	-1
44J. MorrisseyJosh MorrisseyD	21:33	0	2	2	7	8	0.24	−0.24	1	2	0	2	—	0	0
2D. DeMeloDylan DeMeloD	20:53	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	2	—	4	-1
38M. FerraroMario FerraroD	20:17	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	5	—	0	0
81K. ConnorKyle ConnorL	20:05	2	1	3	5	11	0.77	+1.23	0	0	1	1	—	0	-1
54D. SambergDylan SambergD	19:50	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
55M. ScheifeleMark ScheifeleC	18:06	0	0	0	2	4	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	1	42%	0	-1
36M. BarronMorgan BarronC	17:46	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	6	0	0	0	0%	0	0
91C. PerfettiCole PerfettiC	17:10	1	2	3	2	9	0.88	+0.12	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
17A. LowryAdam LowryC	15:17	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	37%	0	0
13G. VilardiGabriel VilardiC	14:41	0	1	1	2	3	0.28	−0.28	0	0	0	0	33%	2	0
61V. BjörckViggo BjörckC	13:21	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	1	30%	0	0
7V. NamestnikovVladislav NamestnikovC	13:09	0	0	0	1	2	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	0	63%	4	0
27I. RosenIsak RosenR	12:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
9A. IafalloAlex IafalloL	11:44	0	0	0	1	3	0.09	−0.09	1	3	0	0	—	0	0
62N. NiederreiterNino NiederreiterR	11:15	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
93B. LambertBrad LambertC	10:27	0	0	0	2	3	0.12	−0.12	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
77T. BauerTyrel BauerD	8:35	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	−0.00	2	2	0	0	—	5	0
WPG total		3	6	9	27	53	2.96	+0.04	20	15	2	19	39%	15

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Connor+1.71

Perfetti+0.64

Vilardi+0.12

Iafallo−0.04

Lambert−0.05

Niederreiter−0.28

Rosen−0.37

Scheifele−0.40

Björck−0.47

Lowry−0.50

Namestnikov−0.60

Barron−0.63

Defence

Morrissey+0.67

Bauer+0.20

Pionk+0.09

Samberg−0.10

Ferraro−0.34

DeMelo−0.69

Goalie

Skinner+1.98

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Connor·Scheifele·Perfetti	11:07	15	16	15	51.6%	8	4	0	1	0.83	1.16	41.5%	−0.34	2	2	50%
Lowry·Barron·Lambert	8:45	16	6	9	40.0%	3	5	0	0	0.20	0.17	54.5%	+0.03	2	2	50%
Vilardi·Björck·Rosen	8:30	12	5	10	33.3%	2	5	0	0	0.13	0.41	24.7%	−0.28	4	1	80%
Iafallo·Namestnikov·Niederreiter	6:59	12	3	9	25.0%	2	2	0	0	0.03	0.14	19.8%	−0.10	1	1	50%
Occasional · 4 groups
Lowry·Lambert·Niederreiter	0:38	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Iafallo·Lowry·Barron	0:36	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Scheifele·Perfetti·Rosen	0:33	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Vilardi·Björck·Niederreiter	0:32	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
WPG 5v5	43:02		33	53	38.4%	18	23	0	1	1.47	2.29	39.1%	−0.82

Goalies

Stuart Skinner

WPG · 60:00

Saves: 34/36
SV%: .944
xGA: 3.95
GSAx: +1.95

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	2.63	+1.63
Power play	8/9	.889	1.32	+0.32
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	0/2	.000	1.16	−0.84

John Gibson

DET · 57:11

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.53
GSAx: −0.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/18	1.000	1.47	+1.47
Power play	5/8	.625	0.92	−2.08
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.14	+0.14
High danger	1/2	.500	0.52	−0.48

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Winnipeg Jets

Minutes

23:53Pionk
21:33Morrissey
20:53DeMelo
20:17Ferraro
19:50Samberg
8:35Bauer

20:05Connor
18:06Scheifele
17:46Barron
17:10Perfetti
15:17Lowry
14:41Vilardi
13:21Björck
13:09Namestnikov
12:54Rosen
11:44Iafallo
11:15Niederreiter
10:27Lambert

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareWPGDET

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MorrisseyD3 O5
BauerD0 O2
FerraroD3 O2
DeMeloD6 O4
SambergD6 O0
PionkD7 O1
VilardiD1 O7
RosenD1 O4
BjörckD1 O4
PerfettiD2 O4
NiederreiterD1 O1
ScheifeleD4 O4
NamestnikovD1 O1
ConnorD4 O4
IafalloD1 O1
LambertD2 O2
LowryD7 O1
BarronD9 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period