FLA @ ANA 2–3 · 2026-10-04

FloridaFLAPanthers2

Final/OTOct 42026-10-04

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
FLA	1	0	1	0	31
ANA	1	1	0	1	20

Honda Center

AnaheimANADucks3

CallNo lean · 48% ANA

Star 1C. Gauthier2G 1A
Star 2M. Granlund1G 0A
Star 3N. Warren0G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-135Moneyline+114-1.5 +185Puck line+1.5 -225O -118Total 6.5U -102+120RegulationTie +330 +155-1351st period+105+1601st · 3-wayTie +188 +190

Season odds

49%57%+8.5Playoffs51%54%+2.61.3%2.0%+0.7Cup0.8%0.6%−0.2

Story

– / 13

Result ANA 3–2 OTCall No lean · FLA 52%Market FLA 55%xG 3.50–2.43 · deserved FLA 68%Swing Granlund +51 OT 4:14Method

Goals and penalties with ANA win probability
Time	Event	ANA win before	ANA win after
1st 0:17	FLA penalty · C. Verhaeghe · holding · 2 min
1st 9:12	ANA penalty · T. Mitchell · cross checking · 2 min
1st 15:39	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 16:18	Goal ANA · C. Gauthier (PP)	49%	67%
1st 17:09	Goal FLA · C. Verhaeghe	67%	49%
2nd 0:00	FLA penalty · L. Eller · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 0:47	Goal ANA · C. Gauthier (PP)	49%	68%
2nd 8:31	ANA penalty · A. Greer · roughing · 2 min
3rd 5:54	ANA penalty · N. Warren · holding · 2 min
3rd 15:51	ANA penalty · A. Greer · tripping · 2 min
3rd 18:10	Goal FLA · B. Marchand	96%	49%
OT 2:34	FLA penalty · G. Forsling · tripping · 2 min
OT 4:14	Goal ANA · M. Granlund (PP)	49%	100%

On ice · final horn

FLA3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
15A. LundellC	0:14	17:33	24	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	11-6
6R. GudasD	0:14	15:47	21	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	3	–
7D. KulikovD	0:14	17:49	23	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	–
25J. MarkstromG		63:43	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.30GSAx+0.30

ANA4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
64M. GranlundC	2:53	22:31	28	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	7-9
91L. CarlssonC	1:40	20:26	25	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	5-6
61C. GauthierL	2:11	20:50	26	2	0	2	4	7	0	1	1	0-1
45B. SenneckeR	3:04	21:44	25	0	1	1	3	6	0	0	3	0-1
1L. DostalG		63:43	SA31GA2SV%.935xGA3.50GSAx+1.50

Goals

1st
Cutter Gauthier(1)PP
J. LaCombe (1), L. Carlsson (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 ANA1st 16:18+18.367%
Carter Verhaeghe(1)
S. Bennett (1), M. Tkachuk (1)
xG 0.21tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 17:09+18.451%
2nd
Cutter Gauthier(2)PP
B. Sennecke (1), L. Carlsson (2)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 ANA2nd 00:47+19.268%
3rd
Brad Marchand(1)6v5
L. Eller (1)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 18:10+46.251%
OT
Mikael Granlund(1)PP
L. Carlsson (3), C. Gauthier (1)
xG 0.14tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 ANAOT 04:14+50.6100%

Shots

FLA3.50 xG51 unblocked · 21 blocked51 unblocked · 21 blocked

ANA2.43 xG30 unblocked · 12 blocked30 unblocked · 12 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLAANA2Goals33.50xG2.4331Shots2051Unblocked3072Attempts429High danger50/4Power play3/432Faceoffs2627Hits2612Blocks215Takeaways323Giveaways148PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
3S. JonesSeth JonesD	28:35	0	0	0	4	8	0.26	−0.26	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
19M. TkachukMatthew TkachukL	23:28	0	1	1	1	4	0.24	−0.24	1	0	1	2	—	0	+1
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	22:19	0	0	0	3	6	0.28	−0.28	1	0	0	1	44%	0	0
9S. BennettSam BennettC	21:52	0	1	1	4	8	0.40	−0.40	2	0	1	2	50%	0	+1
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	20:25	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	−0.01	0	2	0	1	—	2	0
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	20:17	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	2	1	0	—	0	0
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	19:18	1	0	1	3	6	0.70	+0.30	0	0	1	2	—	2	+2
7D. KulikovDmitry KulikovD	17:49	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	17:33	0	0	0	1	4	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	3	65%	0	+1
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	16:12	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	100%	0	+1
8B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	16:02	0	0	0	4	8	0.47	−0.47	4	0	0	3	63%	0	0
6R. GudasRadko GudasD	15:47	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	−0.02	1	3	0	0	—	0	+1
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	14:40	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	13:38	0	0	0	4	5	0.38	−0.38	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
63B. MarchandBrad MarchandL	13:10	1	0	1	3	5	0.49	+0.51	1	0	1	1	—	0	+1
20L. EllerLars EllerC	11:32	0	1	1	2	2	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	50%	2	+1
21G. HathawayGarnet HathawayR	9:30	0	0	0	1	4	0.10	−0.10	6	0	0	1	—	0	0
14B. ImamaBokondji ImamaL	7:45	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	1	0	1	0%	0	0
FLA total		2	3	5	31	72	3.50	−1.50	27	11	5	22	55%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Marchand+0.54

Verhaeghe+0.29

Bennett+0.22

Hathaway+0.19

Eller+0.13

Lundell+0.06

Imama−0.12

Tkachuk−0.18

Vilmanis−0.19

Luostarinen−0.31

Reinhart−0.43

Tkachuk−0.44

Defence

Gudas+0.29

Balinskis−0.03

Mikkola−0.06

Kulikov−0.14

Jones−0.18

Forsling−0.24

Goalie

Markstrom−0.55

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Tkachuk·Bennett·Verhaeghe	11:45	18	15	12	55.6%	4	5	1	0	0.99	0.47	67.8%	+0.52	2	0	100%
Vilmanis·Lundell·Luostarinen	10:23	17	11	6	64.7%	5	3	0	0	0.34	0.07	82.8%	+0.27	1	4	20%
Tkachuk·Marchand·Reinhart	8:52	15	12	2	85.7%	4	0	0	0	0.49	0.00	100.0%	+0.49	4	2	67%
Imama·Eller·Hathaway	5:12	10	6	2	75.0%	3	1	0	0	0.13	0.00	96.5%	+0.12	2	0	100%
Occasional · 7 groups
Reinhart·Lundell·Luostarinen	0:55	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Eller·Hathaway	0:42	1	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Bennett	0:41	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Marchand·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	0:33	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	0:33	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Marchand·Reinhart·Luostarinen	0:33	1	0	4	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.24	0.0%	−0.24	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Lundell·Verhaeghe	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
FLA 5v5	48:07		50	31	61.7%	18	13	1	0	2.07	0.97	68.2%	+1.11

Goalies

Jacob Markstrom

FLA · 63:43

Saves: 17/20
SV%: .850
xGA: 2.43
GSAx: −0.57

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/13	1.000	1.38	+1.38
Power play	3/6	.500	1.05	−1.95
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	1.08	+0.08

Lukas Dostal

ANA · 63:43

Saves: 29/31
SV%: .935
xGA: 3.50
GSAx: +1.50

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.69	+0.69
Power play	7/7	1.000	0.79	+0.79
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	4/6	.667	1.68	−0.32

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

28:35Jones
20:25Forsling
20:17Mikkola
17:49Kulikov
15:47Gudas
14:40Balinskis

23:28M. Tkachuk
22:19Reinhart
21:52Bennett
19:18Verhaeghe
17:33Lundell
16:12Luostarinen
16:02B. Tkachuk
13:38Vilmanis
13:10Marchand
11:32Eller
9:30Hathaway
7:45Imama

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLAANA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JonesD5 O6
GudasD2 O2
BalinskisD1 O1
MikkolaD4 O3
ForslingD4 O2
KulikovD6 O2
ReinhartD2 O9
BennettD0 O6
M. TkachukD1 O5
B. TkachukD3 O7
MarchandD2 O4
VerhaegheD0 O2
ImamaD0 O2
EllerD2 O2
HathawayD2 O2
LuostarinenD3 O1
LundellD3 O1
VilmanisD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period