PIT @ CAR 4–5 · 2026-03-10

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
PIT	1	1	2	0	28
CAR	1	0	3	0	44

Story

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Result CAR 5–4 SOCall No lean · CAR 58%Market CAR 65%xG 4.26–5.15 · deserved CAR 62%Swing Rust +45 3rd 19:24Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 1:16	PIT penalty · C. Clifton · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 7:46	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven	58%	73%
1st 13:53	CAR penalty · J. Blake · tripping · 2 min
1st 19:04	Goal PIT · A. Mantha	74%	57%
2nd 3:29	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 7:33	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 10:23	CAR penalty · W. Carrier · closing hand on puck · 2 min
2nd 11:44	Goal PIT · B. Rust (PP)	56%	34%
2nd 11:57	PIT penalty · N. Acciari · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:57	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · roughing · 2 min
2nd 13:17	PIT penalty · P. Wotherspoon · holding · 2 min
3rd 2:49	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski	27%	55%
3rd 3:48	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	55%	81%
3rd 9:21	PIT penalty · R. Shea · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 10:53	PIT penalty · P. Wotherspoon · tripping · 2 min
3rd 11:21	Goal CAR · A. Nikishin (PP)	87%	98%
3rd 11:42	PIT penalty · K. Letang · tripping · 2 min
3rd 17:52	Goal PIT · N. Acciari	99%	96%
3rd 19:24	Goal PIT · B. Rust	99%	53%
OT 2:31	CAR penalty · J. Slavin · slashing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

PIT4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
39A. ManthaR	0:54	13:54	20	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	2	2-0
59E. ChinakhovR	2:00	21:57	24	0	2	2	4	7	0	1	1	–
67R. RakellR	1:14	20:22	25	0	1	1	0	5	0	1	0	4-8
65E. KarlssonD	2:00	27:32	20	0	2	2	2	8	0	1	2	–
74S. SkinnerG		62:37	SA44GA4SV%.909xGA5.15GSAx+1.15

CAR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48J. MartinookL	1:17	17:40	22	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	2-3
5J. ChatfieldD	1:43	20:44	25	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	1	–
19K. MillerD	2:00	23:39	28	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	4	–
31F. AndersenG		64:31	SA28GA4SV%.857xGA4.26GSAx+0.26

Goals

1st
Logan Stankoven(1)
M. Reilly (1), J. Blake (1)
xG 0.23snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CAR1st 07:46+15.473%
Anthony Mantha(1)
V. Koivunen (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 19:04+17.443%
2nd
Bryan Rust(1)PP
E. Chinakhov (1), E. Karlsson (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 PIT2nd 11:44+22.466%
3rd
Mark Jankowski(1)
W. Carrier (1), A. Nikishin (1)
xG 0.13backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 02:49+27.955%
Seth Jarvis(1)
A. Svechnikov (1)
xG 0.26snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 CAR3rd 03:48+26.281%
Alexander Nikishin(1)PP
S. Aho (1), N. Ehlers (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 CAR3rd 11:21+10.998%
Noel Acciari(1)6v5
B. Rust (1), E. Chinakhov (2)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 CAR3rd 17:52+3.94%
Bryan Rust(2)6v5
R. Rakell (1), E. Karlsson (2)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 19:24+45.347%

ShootoutCAR S. Jarvis –PIT B. Kindel GCAR A. Svechnikov GPIT E. Chinakhov –CAR J. Blake GPIT A. Mantha –

Shots

PIT4.26 xG51 unblocked · 15 blocked51 unblocked · 15 blocked

CAR5.15 xG65 unblocked · 21 blocked65 unblocked · 21 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PITCAR4Goals44.26xG5.1528Shots4451Unblocked6566Attempts8610High danger81/5Power play1/536Faceoffs3116Hits2821Blocks153Takeaways720Giveaways1612PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
65E. KarlssonErik KarlssonD	28:01	0	2	2	2	8	0.15	−0.15	1	2	0	2	—	0	+2
17B. RustBryan RustR	23:14	2	1	3	3	6	0.36	+1.64	0	0	1	3	0%	0	+2
59E. ChinakhovEgor ChinakhovR	22:26	0	2	2	4	7	0.47	−0.47	1	1	0	1	—	0	+2
58K. LetangKris LetangD	22:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	3	0	1	—	2	0
67R. RakellRickard RakellR	20:51	0	1	1	0	5	0.34	−0.34	1	0	1	2	33%	0	+2
5R. SheaRyan SheaD	20:43	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	0	3	0	0	—	2	0
18T. NovakTommy NovakC	18:35	0	0	0	5	7	0.57	−0.57	0	0	0	0	60%	0	0
28P. WotherspoonParker WotherspoonD	18:10	0	0	0	1	4	0.06	−0.06	2	2	0	2	—	4	0
75C. CliftonConnor CliftonD	16:00	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	1	2	0	1	—	2	-1
55N. AcciariNoel AcciariC	15:24	1	0	1	2	4	0.70	+0.30	1	0	0	1	69%	2	0
39A. ManthaAnthony ManthaR	14:23	1	0	1	3	3	0.24	+0.76	0	2	0	2	100%	0	+1
46B. LizotteBlake LizotteC	14:12	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	0	2	0	1	44%	0	-2
7I. SolovyovIlya SolovyovD	14:01	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
81B. KindelBen KindelC	13:47	0	0	0	1	3	0.05	−0.05	0	1	1	2	60%	0	-1
19C. DewarConnor DewarC	12:58	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	5	1	0	0	—	0	-1
25E. SoderblomElmer SoderblomL	12:23	0	0	0	4	7	0.61	−0.61	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
41V. KoivunenVille KoivunenR	10:37	0	1	1	1	2	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
85A. HayesAvery HayesR	9:24	0	0	0	0	1	0.30	−0.30	3	0	0	0	0%	0	0
PIT total		4	7	11	28	66	4.26	−0.26	16	20	3	20	54%	12

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Rust+1.50

Mantha+0.81

Koivunen+0.52

Acciari+0.44

Chinakhov+0.37

Rakell+0.25

Soderblom+0.05

Hayes−0.09

Kindel−0.17

Novak−0.22

Dewar−0.33

Lizotte−0.33

Defence

Karlsson+0.49

Wotherspoon−0.01

Solovyov−0.22

Letang−0.32

Clifton−0.34

Shea−0.38

Goalie

Skinner+1.18

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Rust·Chinakhov·Rakell	9:01	14	6	11	35.3%	2	4	0	0	0.31	0.38	45.4%	−0.06	1	1	50%
Dewar·Lizotte·Acciari	8:34	13	8	17	32.0%	1	11	0	1	0.42	0.98	30.3%	−0.55	1	4	20%
Soderblom·Kindel·Hayes	7:37	11	11	9	55.0%	5	5	0	0	0.84	0.48	63.9%	+0.37	1	0	100%
Novak·Mantha·Koivunen	6:44	12	7	6	53.8%	4	4	1	1	0.36	0.66	35.3%	−0.30	2	3	40%
Occasional · 4 groups
Novak·Rust·Chinakhov	1:16	1	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Novak·Rust·Rakell	1:03	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	3	0%
Rust·Mantha·Rakell	0:37	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dewar·Lizotte·Hayes	0:30	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
PIT 5v5	41:04		38	57	40.0%	15	28	1	3	2.41	3.24	42.7%	−0.83

Goalies

Stuart Skinner

PIT · 63:06

Saves: 40/44
SV%: .909
xGA: 5.15
GSAx: +1.15

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/32	.906	3.57	+0.57
Power play	8/9	.889	1.21	+0.21
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.37	+0.37
High danger	6/8	.750	1.63	−0.37

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 65:00

Saves: 24/28
SV%: .857
xGA: 4.26
GSAx: +0.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/20	.850	2.95	−0.05
Power play	5/6	.833	1.25	+0.25
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.07	+0.07
High danger	4/6	.667	1.99	−0.01

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Pittsburgh Penguins

Minutes

28:01Karlsson
22:14Letang
20:43Shea
18:10Wotherspoon
16:00Clifton
14:01Solovyov

23:14Rust
22:26Chinakhov
20:51Rakell
18:35Novak
15:24Acciari
14:23Mantha
14:12Lizotte
13:47Kindel
12:58Dewar
12:23Soderblom
10:37Koivunen
9:24Hayes

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePITCAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KarlssonD3 O4
WotherspoonD5 O2
SheaD4 O1
SolovyovD3 O0
LetangD6 O2
CliftonD5 O0
ChinakhovD1 O5
RustD3 O5
RakellD3 O5
HayesD0 O1
SoderblomD1 O1
KindelD1 O1
ManthaD3 O2
KoivunenD3 O1
NovakD6 O3
DewarD5 O0
AcciariD8 O2
LizotteD8 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period