NSH @ SEA 4–2 · 2026-03-10

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	0	3	1	27
SEA	2	0	0	45

Story

– / 10

Result NSH 4–2Call SEA 51% Market NSH 51%xG 3.82–4.23 · deserved SEA 56%Swing Ufko +25 2nd 14:25Method

Goals and penalties with SEA win probability
Time	Event	SEA win before	SEA win after
1st 2:14	Goal SEA · K. Kakko	51%	67%
1st 9:46	Goal SEA · M. Beniers	69%	83%
2nd 4:14	Goal NSH · T. Jost	87%	71%
2nd 10:19	Goal NSH · R. Schaefer	73%	50%
2nd 14:25	Goal NSH · R. Ufko	50%	26%
3rd 1:38	NSH penalty · J. Barron · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 1:38	NSH penalty · J. Barron · fighting · 5 min
3rd 1:38	SEA penalty · M. Beniers · fighting · 5 min
3rd 7:05	SEA penalty · K. Kakko · slashing · 2 min
3rd 19:55	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (EN)	0%	0%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17T. JostC	0:05	9:52	14	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	1	–
40F. SvechkovC	0:05	11:32	15	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	1	4-8
77L. EvangelistaR	0:05	18:25	20	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	–
41N. HagueD	0:56	24:31	25	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	–
48N. PerbixD	0:55	22:06	26	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
74J. SarosG		59:44	SA45GA2SV%.956xGA4.23GSAx+2.23

SEA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
27B. CattonC	0:05	14:27	19	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	2-2
51S. WrightC	0:05	14:26	19	0	1	1	2	6	0	0	1	3-5
84K. KakkoR	0:05	14:30	22	1	0	1	3	4	2	0	0	–
24J. OleksiakD	0:05	14:49	16	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	–
41R. EvansD	0:05	17:28	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	–
35J. DaccordG		58:11	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA2.32GSAx−0.68

Goals

1st
Kaapo Kakko(1)
S. Wright (1)
xG 0.27wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 SEA1st 02:14+16.867%
Matty Beniers(1)
J. McCann (1), V. Dunn (1)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 SEA1st 09:46+14.283%
2nd
Tyson Jost(1)
F. Svechkov (1), J. Marchessault (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 SEA2nd 04:14+15.129%
Reid Schaefer(1)
M. Wood (1), B. Skjei (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 10:19+22.850%
Ryan Ufko(1)
J. Marchessault (2), R. O'Reilly (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NSH2nd 14:25+24.574%
3rd
Steven Stamkos(1)EN
N. Hague (1)
xG 0.49wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 NSH3rd 19:55+0.0100%

Shots

NSH3.82 xG43 unblocked · 19 blocked43 unblocked · 19 blocked

SEA4.23 xG60 unblocked · 10 blocked60 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHSEA4Goals23.82xG4.2327Shots4543Unblocked6062Attempts706High danger60/1Power play0/135Faceoffs3413Hits2310Blocks195Takeaways713Giveaways147PIM7

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	24:42	0	0	0	4	8	0.11	−0.11	0	2	0	0	—	0	-1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	24:31	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	2	—	0	+2
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	23:24	0	1	1	1	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	22:06	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	0	—	0	+2
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	19:39	0	1	1	2	5	0.74	−0.74	1	2	1	1	53%	0	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	19:34	0	0	0	2	7	0.30	−0.30	1	0	0	3	—	0	-2
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	19:20	1	0	1	3	6	0.77	+0.23	1	0	0	0	57%	0	+2
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	18:25	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	2	—	0	-2
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	18:03	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	45%	0	0
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	17:56	0	2	2	1	6	0.82	−0.82	1	0	1	0	—	0	+2
68Z. L'HeureuxZachary L'HeureuxL	14:51	0	0	0	1	4	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	0	100%	0	+1
85R. UfkoRyan UfkoD	13:05	1	0	1	1	3	0.11	+0.89	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	12:11	0	1	1	3	4	0.24	−0.24	0	0	1	0	67%	0	0
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	11:32	0	1	1	2	4	0.07	−0.07	0	0	1	2	33%	0	+1
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	11:09	1	0	1	1	2	0.18	+0.82	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	10:45	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	—	7	0
17T. JostTyson JostC	9:52	1	0	1	2	3	0.18	+0.82	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
25J. KemellJoakim KemellR	7:11	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
NSH total		4	7	11	27	62	3.82	+0.18	13	8	5	13	51%	7

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Schaefer+0.52

Jost+0.48

Wood+0.36

Marchessault+0.28

Svechkov+0.23

Kemell−0.13

O'Reilly−0.25

L'Heureux−0.31

Stamkos−0.45

Forsberg−0.49

Evangelista−0.58

Haula−0.61

Defence

Ufko+0.43

Josi+0.03

Hague+0.02

Skjei−0.31

Barron−0.38

Perbix−0.45

Goalie

Saros+2.26

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Marchessault	13:03	18	13	15	46.4%	8	8	1	0	0.73	1.03	41.6%	−0.30	2	2	50%
Forsberg·Haula·Evangelista	7:50	11	9	7	56.3%	4	4	0	0	0.16	0.27	36.9%	−0.11	2	3	40%
Schaefer·L'Heureux·Wood	5:16	9	9	0	100.0%	4	0	1	0	0.46	0.00	100.0%	+0.46	1	0	100%
Forsberg·Wood·Evangelista	4:33	8	3	6	33.3%	1	4	0	1	0.16	0.61	20.6%	−0.45	0	0	—
Haula·L'Heureux·Kemell	3:52	5	0	8	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.26	0.0%	−0.26	0	1	0%
Schaefer·Jost·Svechkov	3:31	5	2	6	25.0%	0	4	0	0	0.04	0.38	9.2%	−0.34	0	1	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Jost·Svechkov·Kemell	2:04	5	3	3	50.0%	2	2	1	0	0.10	0.19	35.2%	−0.09	0	1	0%
Forsberg·Jost·Svechkov	1:50	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.07	0.03	67.7%	+0.04	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	1:17	4	1	3	25.0%	0	2	0	1	0.07	0.08	47.7%	−0.01	1	0	100%
Schaefer·L'Heureux·Svechkov	1:13	2	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	2	0	100%
Haula·L'Heureux·Evangelista	1:09	2	1	4	20.0%	1	4	0	0	0.02	0.15	11.8%	−0.13	0	0	—
Haula·Stamkos·Evangelista	0:56	4	1	3	25.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.29	0.0%	−0.29	0	0	—
Svechkov·Stamkos·Marchessault	0:44	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·Haula·L'Heureux	0:42	2	1	3	25.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.21	0.0%	−0.21	1	0	100%
Jost·Svechkov·Wood	0:34	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	2	0%
NSH 5v5	53:55		54	62	46.6%	24	39	3	2	1.97	3.61	35.2%	−1.65

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 59:44

Saves: 43/45
SV%: .956
xGA: 4.23
GSAx: +2.23

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	38/40	.950	3.64	+1.64
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.58	+0.58
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/6	.833	1.21	+0.21

Joey Daccord

SEA · 58:11

Saves: 23/26
SV%: .885
xGA: 2.32
GSAx: −0.68

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/25	.880	2.01	−0.99
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.31	+0.31
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.57	−0.43

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

24:42Josi
24:31Hague
23:24Skjei
22:06Perbix
13:05Ufko
10:45Barron

19:39O'Reilly
19:34Forsberg
19:20Stamkos
18:25Evangelista
18:03Haula
17:56Marchessault
14:51L'Heureux
12:11Wood
11:32Svechkov
11:09Schaefer
9:52Jost
7:11Kemell

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHSEA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

UfkoD1 O3
JosiD3 O4
HagueD3 O2
SkjeiD4 O2
BarronD2 O0
PerbixD5 O2
L'HeureuxD1 O3
StamkosD1 O2
MarchessaultD2 O3
EvangelistaD1 O2
O'ReillyD4 O4
ForsbergD3 O3
SvechkovD2 O2
SchaeferD1 O1
HaulaD3 O2
WoodD2 O1
KemellD2 O0
JostD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period