SJS @ BUF 3–6 · 2026-03-10

Team	1	2	3	SOG
SJS	1	1	1	20
BUF	2	2	2	26

Story

– / 20

Result BUF 6–3Call No lean · BUF 64%Market BUF 66%xG 2.51–3.72 · deserved BUF 70%Swing Quinn +14 1st 4:12Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 4:12	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	63%	78%
1st 5:39	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	78%	88%
1st 12:54	Goal SJS · M. Celebrini	89%	78%
1st 15:34	SJS penalty · Z. Ostapchuk · fighting · 5 min
1st 15:34	BUF penalty · L. Stanley · fighting · 5 min
1st 15:56	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · instigator · 2 min
1st 15:56	BUF penalty · B. Malenstyn · fighting · 5 min
1st 15:56	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · fighting · 5 min
1st 15:56	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · instigator misconduct · 10 min
2nd 4:59	Goal BUF · B. Malenstyn	79%	91%
2nd 8:51	Goal BUF · J. Zucker	92%	97%
2nd 13:55	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · roughing · 2 min
2nd 13:55	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · roughing · 2 min
2nd 13:55	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · roughing · 2 min
2nd 19:29	Goal SJS · K. Sherwood	99%	94%
3rd 0:42	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	95%	99%
3rd 6:50	BUF penalty · J. Zucker · interference · 2 min
3rd 6:56	Goal SJS · A. Wennberg (PP)	99%	97%
3rd 10:35	BUF penalty · L. Stanley · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 17:14	Goal BUF · J. Quinn (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21A. WennbergC	0:49	17:12	21	1	1	2	4	5	0	0	0	10-5
96P. KurashevC	0:50	12:29	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2-2
44K. SherwoodL	0:50	16:29	21	1	0	1	1	1	0	5	0	–
5V. DesharnaisD	0:23	17:26	23	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2	–
6S. DickinsonD	0:57	19:31	24	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	–
30Y. AskarovG		58:56	SA25GA5SV%.800xGA3.25GSAx−1.75

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10S. CarrickC	0:49	13:33	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	6-6
29B. MalenstynL	0:41	11:31	15	1	0	1	2	3	5	5	0	0-1
22J. QuinnR	0:47	15:09	21	3	1	4	4	7	0	1	0	–
8M. KesselringD	1:05	15:09	19	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	–
64L. StanleyD	1:04	15:51	18	0	0	0	0	2	7	1	1	–
34A. LyonG		60:00	SA20GA3SV%.850xGA2.51GSAx−0.49

Goals

1st
Jack Quinn(1)
J. Zucker (1), R. McLeod (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 04:12+14.378%
Alex Tuch(1)
R. Dahlin (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.10tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BUF1st 05:39+10.588%
Macklin Celebrini(1)
W. Smith (1)
xG 0.22wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BUF1st 12:54+11.022%
2nd
Beck Malenstyn(1)
P. Krebs (1), R. Dahlin (2)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BUF2nd 04:59+11.791%
Jason Zucker(1)
J. Quinn (1), O. Power (1)
xG 0.19backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 BUF2nd 08:51+5.697%
Kiefer Sherwood(1)
M. Ferraro (1), A. Wennberg (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 BUF2nd 19:29+4.36%
3rd
Jack Quinn(2)
R. McLeod (2), R. Dahlin (3)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 BUF3rd 00:42+4.199%
Alexander Wennberg(1)PP
T. Toffoli (1)
xG 0.16backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 BUF3rd 06:56+2.83%
Jack Quinn(3)EN
R. McLeod (3)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–6 BUF3rd 17:14+0.099%

Shots

SJS2.51 xG37 unblocked · 16 blocked37 unblocked · 16 blocked

BUF3.72 xG39 unblocked · 16 blocked39 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

SJSBUF3Goals62.51xG3.7220Shots2637Unblocked3953Attempts554High danger51/3Power play0/127Faceoffs2823Hits2116Blocks164Takeaways717Giveaways1424PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
71M. CelebriniMacklin CelebriniC	24:25	1	0	1	1	3	0.22	+0.78	0	3	1	1	24%	0	-1
9D. OrlovDmitry OrlovD	21:09	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	−0.23	0	1	0	2	—	2	-3
2W. SmithWill SmithC	20:49	0	1	1	2	3	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	3	50%	0	-1
38M. FerraroMario FerraroD	20:46	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	3	1	1	—	0	0
6S. DickinsonSam DickinsonD	19:31	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
85S. MukhamadullinShakir MukhamadullinD	17:59	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
3J. KlingbergJohn KlingbergD	17:56	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	−0.04	2	1	0	1	—	0	-2
51C. GrafCollin GrafR	17:41	0	0	0	2	4	0.29	−0.29	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
5V. DesharnaisVincent DesharnaisD	17:26	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	1	2	1	0	—	0	-1
21A. WennbergAlexander WennbergC	17:12	1	1	2	4	5	0.41	+0.59	0	0	0	1	67%	0	-4
44K. SherwoodKiefer SherwoodL	16:29	1	0	1	1	1	0.03	+0.97	5	0	0	2	—	0	-3
72W. EklundWilliam EklundL	16:29	0	0	0	2	5	0.20	−0.20	1	1	0	0	100%	0	-1
73T. ToffoliTyler ToffoliC	15:38	0	1	1	3	9	0.64	−0.64	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
77M. MisaMichael MisaC	14:06	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	1	0	1	1	43%	0	0
96P. KurashevPhilipp KurashevC	12:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	50%	0	-3
81A. GaudetteAdam GaudetteR	10:55	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	0	80%	0	0
23B. GoodrowBarclay GoodrowC	9:03	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	3	0	0	0	—	17	0
63Z. OstapchukZack OstapchukC	9:01	0	0	0	1	1	0.10	−0.10	2	1	0	1	50%	5	0
SJS total		3	4	7	20	53	2.51	+0.49	23	16	4	15	49%	24

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Sherwood+0.53

Celebrini+0.45

Wennberg+0.42

Toffoli+0.41

Smith+0.24

Gaudette−0.13

Ostapchuk−0.16

Eklund−0.24

Graf−0.26

Misa−0.34

Goodrow−0.39

Kurashev−0.46

Defence

Ferraro+0.26

Desharnais+0.05

Orlov+0.03

Klingberg−0.12

Dickinson−0.16

Mukhamadullin−0.23

Goalie

Askarov−1.73

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Smith·Celebrini·Graf	14:06	16	13	15	46.4%	4	8	1	1	0.82	0.99	45.5%	−0.16	2	0	100%
Sherwood·Wennberg·Kurashev	9:29	15	5	15	25.0%	2	5	1	4	0.11	1.14	9.1%	−1.03	2	4	33%
Eklund·Toffoli·Misa	8:52	14	15	5	75.0%	4	1	0	0	0.37	0.33	53.3%	+0.05	1	2	33%
Goodrow·Ostapchuk·Gaudette	7:22	11	4	8	33.3%	2	6	0	0	0.17	0.29	36.6%	−0.12	0	2	0%
Occasional · 10 groups
Sherwood·Eklund·Misa	1:06	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
Sherwood·Wennberg·Celebrini	0:57	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Eklund·Celebrini·Toffoli	0:55	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	1	0	100%
Smith·Misa·Graf	0:53	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Sherwood·Misa·Kurashev	0:49	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Sherwood·Eklund·Wennberg	0:45	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Goodrow·Celebrini·Gaudette	0:40	4	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Ostapchuk·Kurashev·Gaudette	0:38	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Ostapchuk·Celebrini·Gaudette	0:36	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Celebrini·Toffoli·Graf	0:32	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
SJS 5v5	52:50		44	52	45.8%	15	25	2	5	1.73	3.25	34.8%	−1.51

Goalies

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 58:56

Saves: 20/25
SV%: .800
xGA: 3.25
GSAx: −1.75

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/25	.800	3.25	−1.75
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/3	.333	0.80	−1.20

Alex Lyon

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 17/20
SV%: .850
xGA: 2.51
GSAx: −0.49

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	1.73	−0.27
Power play	4/5	.800	0.78	−0.22
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/2	.000	0.82	−1.18

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

San Jose Sharks

Minutes

21:09Orlov
20:46Ferraro
19:31Dickinson
17:59Mukhamadullin
17:56Klingberg
17:26Desharnais

24:25Celebrini
20:49Smith
17:41Graf
17:12Wennberg
16:29Sherwood
16:29Eklund
15:38Toffoli
14:06Misa
12:29Kurashev
10:55Gaudette
9:03Goodrow
9:01Ostapchuk

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareSJSBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

OrlovD1 O5
MukhamadullinD1 O3
KlingbergD1 O2
FerraroD2 O2
DickinsonD3 O2
DesharnaisD3 O1
ToffoliD2 O6
SmithD0 O4
CelebriniD1 O3
GrafD1 O2
WennbergD5 O5
SherwoodD3 O3
EklundD2 O2
MisaD2 O2
KurashevD4 O3
GoodrowD2 O0
GaudetteD2 O0
OstapchukD2 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period