WSH @ NSH 4–3 · 2026-10-29

WashingtonWSHCapitals4

FinalOct 292026-10-29

Team	1	2	3	SOG
WSH	1	2	1	29
NSH	1	1	1	27

Bridgestone Arena

NashvilleNSHPredators3

CallNSH50%mkt 51%-112Miss

Star 1C. Hutson2G 0A
Star 2F. Forsberg2G 0A
Star 3A. Tuch1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

-108Moneyline-112+1.5 -265Puck line-1.5 +215O -105Total 6.5U -115+135RegulationTie +320 +140-1151st period-115+1761st · 3-wayTie +180 +176

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

80%…Playoffs24%…3.0%…Cup0.1%…

Story

– / 12

Result WSH 4–3Call NSH 50% Market NSH 51%xG 2.79–2.82 · deserved NSH 51%Swing Tuch +34 3rd 10:09Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 10:57	WSH penalty · T. Liljegren · hooking · 2 min
1st 11:01	WSH penalty · M. Fehérváry · high sticking · 2 min
1st 12:48	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg (PP)	50%	68%
1st 16:13	Goal WSH · C. Hutson	68%	50%
2nd 2:11	NSH penalty · N. Hoglander · slashing · 2 min
2nd 4:15	Goal WSH · B. Jenner	50%	30%
2nd 9:09	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg	29%	50%
2nd 13:46	Goal WSH · C. Hutson	50%	27%
2nd 13:52	NSH penalty · N. Hague · tripping · 2 min
3rd 0:39	WSH penalty · J. Chychrun · interference · 2 min
3rd 6:34	Goal NSH · R. Colton	20%	50%
3rd 10:09	Goal WSH · A. Tuch	50%	17%

On ice · final horn

WSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22B. JennerC	1:45	16:09	22	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	0	3-11
43T. WilsonR	0:59	19:43	22	0	0	0	3	4	0	3	0	–
89A. TuchR	1:45	17:18	21	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	2	0-1
3M. RoyD	1:45	23:07	25	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	1	–
42M. FehérváryD	1:45	19:49	23	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	0	–
79C. LindgrenG		60:00	SA27GA3SV%.889xGA2.82GSAx−0.18

NSH6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
84A. EdstromC	1:31	17:15	22	0	1	1	2	6	3	0	–
90R. O'ReillyC	2:08	21:42	22	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	11-4
91S. StamkosC	2:08	20:26	19	0	0	0	3	8	0	0	7-2
9F. ForsbergL	2:07	21:39	24	2	0	2	3	5	1	1	1-0
81J. MarchessaultR	2:07	17:10	17	0	0	0	5	5	1	0	0-1
59R. JosiD	2:08	22:56	24	0	3	3	6	10	0	1	–

Goals

1st
Filip Forsberg(4)PP
R. O'Reilly (7), R. Josi (12)
xG 0.19slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NSH1st 12:48+17.668%
Cole Hutson(3)
J. St. Ivany (3), P. Dubois (6)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:13+18.250%
2nd
Boone Jenner(5)
A. Protas (3), M. Fehérváry (3)
xG 0.24wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 WSH2nd 04:15+20.070%
Filip Forsberg(5)
R. Josi (13)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 09:09+21.450%
Cole Hutson(4)
A. Protas (4), J. St. Ivany (4)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 WSH2nd 13:46+23.073%
3rd
Ross Colton(2)
A. Edstrom (1), R. Josi (14)
xG 0.42wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 06:34+30.250%
Alex Tuch(10)
J. Kyrou (7), J. Chychrun (8)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 WSH3rd 10:09+33.583%

Shots

Shooters

WSH2.79 xG47 unblocked · 10 blocked47 unblocked · 10 blocked

NSH2.82 xG42 unblocked · 10 blocked42 unblocked · 10 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

WSHNSH4Goals32.79xG2.8229Shots2747Unblocked4257Attempts523High danger50/2Power play1/322Faceoffs3423Hits1710Blocks103Takeaways317Giveaways176PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
3M. RoyMatt RoyD	23:07	0	0	0	2	6	0.07	−0.07	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
6J. ChychrunJakob ChychrunD	22:30	0	1	1	5	8	0.26	−0.26	2	2	0	0	—	2	-1
42M. FehérváryMartin FehérváryD	19:49	0	1	1	1	2	0.01	−0.01	2	0	1	0	—	2	+1
43T. WilsonTom WilsonR	19:43	0	0	0	3	4	0.32	−0.32	3	0	0	0	—	0	+2
21A. ProtasAliaksei ProtasL	19:33	0	2	2	0	2	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	1	100%	0	+2
44C. HutsonCole HutsonD	18:26	2	0	2	2	5	0.22	+1.78	1	0	1	0	—	0	+2
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	17:18	1	0	1	1	2	0.06	+0.94	2	2	1	0	0%	0	0
80P. DuboisPierre-Luc DuboisC	17:07	0	1	1	2	2	0.12	−0.12	1	1	0	0	31%	0	+2
22B. JennerBoone JennerC	16:09	1	0	1	1	2	0.24	+0.76	2	0	0	2	21%	0	+1
17D. StromeDylan StromeC	15:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	43%	0	-1
27T. LiljegrenTimothy LiljegrenD	15:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	2	—	2	0
29J. St. IvanyJack St. IvanyD	15:12	0	2	2	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	+1
25J. KyrouJordan KyrouR	14:31	0	1	1	4	4	0.11	−0.11	1	1	0	6	—	0	+1
9R. LeonardRyan LeonardR	13:53	0	0	0	3	5	0.38	−0.38	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
34J. SourdifJustin SourdifC	12:50	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	−0.22	1	1	0	3	60%	0	+1
62I. ProtasIlya ProtasL	11:37	0	0	0	1	1	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	57%	0	0
8A. OvechkinAlex OvechkinL	10:56	0	0	0	3	7	0.29	−0.29	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
72A. BeauvillierAnthony BeauvillierR	9:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.19	−0.19	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
WSH total		4	8	12	29	57	2.79	+1.21	23	9	3	17	39%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Protas+0.85

Jenner+0.42

Tuch+0.38

Kyrou+0.31

Leonard−0.03

Sourdif−0.09

Beauvillier−0.16

Dubois−0.18

Protas−0.21

Ovechkin−0.21

Wilson−0.35

Strome−0.57

Defence

Hutson+0.85

St. Ivany+0.27

Chychrun−0.10

Fehérváry−0.17

Liljegren−0.21

Roy−0.22

Goalie

Lindgren−0.16

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Protas·Dubois·Wilson	10:54	15	7	9	43.8%	5	2	2	0	0.38	0.16	70.7%	+0.22	2	0	100%
Strome·Kyrou·Tuch	9:10	15	11	15	42.3%	8	7	1	0	0.28	0.49	36.2%	−0.21	0	4	0%
Jenner·Sourdif·Leonard	7:26	13	11	4	73.3%	3	1	0	0	0.66	0.08	89.3%	+0.58	1	5	17%
Ovechkin·Protas·Beauvillier	6:36	10	8	2	80.0%	3	1	0	0	0.39	0.02	94.2%	+0.36	3	0	100%
Occasional · 12 groups
Protas·Jenner·Sourdif	1:39	2	2	2	50.0%	2	1	1	0	0.25	0.06	80.9%	+0.19	0	0	—
Dubois·Leonard·Kyrou	1:01	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Protas·Protas·Beauvillier	0:51	1	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.15	0.16	49.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Strome·Leonard·Kyrou	0:48	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Jenner·Sourdif·Wilson	0:47	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ovechkin·Protas·Strome	0:45	1	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	1	0.00	0.59	0.0%	−0.59	0	0	—
Strome·Jenner·Tuch	0:44	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Protas·Sourdif·Beauvillier	0:41	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.21	0.0%	−0.21	0	1	0%
Protas·Dubois·Leonard	0:37	3	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Ovechkin·Dubois·Wilson	0:35	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Protas·Sourdif·Wilson	0:30	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Strome·Leonard·Tuch	0:17	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Other 44 brief groups	6:32		6	1	85.7%	1	1	0	0	0.08	0.01	88.5%	+0.07
WSH 5v5	49:53		50	41	54.9%	25	19	4	2	2.31	2.06	52.8%	+0.25

Goalies

Charlie Lindgren

WSH · 60:00

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
GAA: 3.00
xGA: 2.82
GSAx: −0.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/21	.905	2.15	+0.15
Power play	5/6	.833	0.67	−0.33
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/4	.250	1.13	−1.87

Juuse Saros

NSH · 57:57

Saves: 25/29
SV%: .862
GAA: 4.14
xGA: 2.79
GSAx: −1.21

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	2.31	−1.69
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.48	+0.48
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.57	−0.43

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Washington Capitals

Minutes

23:07Roy
22:30Chychrun
19:49Fehérváry
18:26Hutson
15:54Liljegren
15:12St. Ivany

19:43Wilson
19:33A. Protas
17:18Tuch
17:07Dubois
16:09Jenner
15:54Strome
14:31Kyrou
13:53Leonard
12:50Sourdif
11:37I. Protas
10:56Ovechkin
9:40Beauvillier

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareWSHNSHGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

22–3439%

D 24%6–19N 47%8–9O 57%8–6 6 won into a shot

NSH attacks619WSH DZ 24% NSH OZ

Neutral89WSH NZ 47% NSH NZ

WSH attacks86WSH OZ 57% NSH DZ

34–2261%

D 43%6–8N 53%9–8O 76%19–6 10 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ChychrunD1 O3
HutsonD0 O2
St. IvanyD0 O1
RoyD4 O2
LiljegrenD3 O1
FehérváryD6 O2
OvechkinD0 O5
I. ProtasD0 O3
BeauvillierD0 O2
DuboisD1 O3
A. ProtasD0 O2
WilsonD3 O3
StromeD4 O2
KyrouD4 O2
LeonardD5 O2
SourdifD6 O2
TuchD6 O1
JennerD10 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period