TOR @ SEA 4–5 · 2026-10-28

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	1	1	2	22
SEA	1	3	1	17

Story

– / 19

Result SEA 5–4Call No lean · SEA 52%Market TOR 54%xG 1.97–2.42 · deserved SEA 59%Swing Montour +48 3rd 19:27Method

Goals and penalties with SEA win probability
Time	Event	SEA win before	SEA win after
1st 1:59	Goal SEA · B. Catton	51%	67%
1st 17:36	SEA penalty · B. Catton · holding the stick · 2 min
1st 19:14	Goal TOR · G. McKenna (PP)	70%	51%
2nd 0:16	Goal SEA · J. Mahura	51%	70%
2nd 1:19	SEA penalty · R. Evans · hooking · 2 min
2nd 1:46	Goal TOR · G. McKenna (PP)	70%	51%
2nd 2:18	TOR penalty · V. Lettieri · tripping · 2 min
2nd 3:33	Goal SEA · C. Stephenson (PP)	51%	70%
2nd 4:49	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · slashing · 2 min
2nd 7:43	TOR penalty · G. McKenna · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 10:58	Goal SEA · R. Evans	72%	87%
2nd 12:37	SEA penalty · C. Fleury · fighting · 5 min
2nd 12:37	TOR penalty · V. Lettieri · fighting · 5 min
2nd 15:45	TOR penalty · Z. MacEwen · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 6:03	TOR penalty · D. Mermis · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 6:24	SEA penalty · J. Eberle · holding · 2 min
3rd 8:02	Goal TOR · J. Roslovic	95%	81%
3rd 18:30	Goal TOR · A. Matthews	96%	51%
3rd 19:27	Goal SEA · B. Montour	51%	99%

On ice · final horn

TOR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
34A. MatthewsC	0:33	20:08	25	1	2	3	4	6	0	1	0	13-10
96J. RoslovicC	0:38	17:28	22	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	–
92G. McKennaL	0:29	15:33	19	2	1	3	3	4	2	0	0	–
53E. CowanR	0:33	19:08	24	0	1	1	3	5	2	0	0	–
88W. NylanderR	0:33	22:13	25	0	0	0	3	5	0	3	1	–
43D. RaddyshD	0:50	24:49	28	0	2	2	1	5	0	1	0	–

SEA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9C. StephensonC	0:33	19:08	23	1	1	2	1	2	0	0	1	10-7
59B. MeyersC	0:33	11:38	18	0	1	1	2	3	0	2	0	2-1
89F. GaudreauC	0:33	14:49	24	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	3-7
6A. LarssonD	0:33	19:21	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
29V. DunnD	0:38	23:49	28	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	2	–
31P. GrubauerG		59:58	SA22GA4SV%.818xGA1.97GSAx−2.03

Goals

1st
Berkly Catton(4)
M. Samoskevich (2)
xG 0.10backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 SEA1st 01:59+15.467%
Gavin McKenna(4)PP
A. Matthews (12), D. Raddysh (7)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 19:14+18.249%
2nd
Josh Mahura(1)
B. Meyers (5), F. Gaudreau (3)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 SEA2nd 00:16+18.570%
Gavin McKenna(5)PP
A. Matthews (13), J. Roslovic (9)
xG 0.14slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 01:46+18.849%
Chandler Stephenson(2)PP
V. Dunn (7), M. Beniers (3)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 SEA2nd 03:33+19.270%
Ryker Evans(3)
M. Samoskevich (3), C. Stephenson (9)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 SEA2nd 10:58+15.087%
3rd
Jack Roslovic(6)
E. Cowan (8), T. Stecher (3)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 SEA3rd 08:02+13.819%
Auston Matthews(10)6v5
D. Raddysh (8), G. McKenna (6)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 18:30+45.749%
Brandon Montour(3)
J. Eberle (6), M. Beniers (4)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–5 SEA3rd 19:27+48.099%

Shots

Shooters

13

TOR1.97 xG38 unblocked · 12 blocked38 unblocked · 12 blocked

SEA2.42 xG32 unblocked · 12 blocked32 unblocked · 12 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORSEA4Goals51.97xG2.4222Shots1738Unblocked3250Attempts441High danger22/3Power play1/531Faceoffs2832Hits2312Blocks123Takeaways115Giveaways1615PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	24:49	0	2	2	1	5	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	23:12	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	0	2	0	1	—	0	-1
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	22:13	0	0	0	3	5	0.40	−0.40	3	1	0	0	—	0	-1
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	21:48	0	1	1	4	8	0.07	−0.07	2	3	0	1	—	0	0
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	20:08	1	2	3	4	6	0.40	+0.60	1	0	0	0	57%	0	0
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	19:52	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	−0.06	0	2	0	0	—	0	-2
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	19:08	0	1	1	3	5	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	2	—	2	+1
96J. RoslovicJack RoslovicC	17:28	1	1	2	1	1	0.16	+0.84	0	0	1	1	—	0	+1
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	16:45	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
20N. PaulNick PaulL	16:19	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	1	64%	0	-2
92G. McKennaGavin McKennaL	15:33	2	1	3	3	4	0.34	+1.66	0	0	0	4	—	2	0
15C. SissonsColton SissonsC	13:49	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	0	38%	0	-1
24B. DuhaimeBrandon DuhaimeL	13:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6	2	2	1	—	0	-1
73T. BluegerTeddy BluegerC	12:59	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	2	56%	0	-1
36D. MermisDakota MermisD	9:52	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	—	2	-1
71V. LettieriVinni LettieriC	9:15	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	−0.02	3	0	0	0	—	7	0
19Z. MacEwenZack MacEwenR	8:21	0	0	0	1	3	0.09	−0.09	1	1	0	1	—	2	-1
29B. GroulxBo GroulxC	6:23	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
TOR total		4	8	12	22	50	1.97	+2.03	32	11	3	15	53%	15

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Matthews9.0

McKenna8.3

Roslovic7.3

Cowan6.2

Groulx5.0

Duhaime4.7

Paul4.6

Blueger3.9

MacEwen3.4

Sissons3.3

Nylander3.1

Lettieri3.1

Defence

Stecher7.2

Raddysh6.8

Rielly4.2

McCabe3.7

Mermis3.1

Ekman-Larsson2.9

Goalie

Bobrovsky2.5

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Paul·Cowan·Nylander	10:27	14	9	10	47.4%	4	5	0	1	0.38	0.75	33.6%	−0.37	2	2	50%
McKenna·Matthews·Roslovic	9:17	13	10	5	66.7%	5	2	0	0	0.26	0.18	59.2%	+0.08	3	1	75%
Duhaime·Blueger·MacEwen	5:54	10	1	6	14.3%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.32	0.0%	−0.32	0	2	0%
Sissons·Groulx·Lettieri	4:58	8	3	1	75.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	1	1	50%
Matthews·Cowan·Nylander	2:56	5	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.08	0.00	96.3%	+0.08	2	0	100%
Occasional · 11 groups
Paul·McKenna·Roslovic	1:05	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Paul·Duhaime·Lettieri	1:03	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Duhaime·Sissons·Lettieri	0:58	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Sissons·Matthews·Roslovic	0:53	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.02	0.14	10.8%	−0.13	1	0	100%
Duhaime·Sissons·Blueger	0:46	1	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Sissons·Groulx·MacEwen	0:44	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
McKenna·Matthews·Nylander	0:37	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Paul·Lettieri·Roslovic	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Blueger·MacEwen·Nylander	0:33	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McKenna·Sissons·Roslovic	0:30	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Paul·Sissons·Roslovic	0:05	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	1	0%
Other 37 brief groups	6:06		8	2	80.0%	3	0	0	0	0.14	0.06	69.0%	+0.08
TOR 5v5	47:26		40	30	57.1%	14	13	0	4	0.94	1.56	37.7%	−0.61

Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 59:26

Saves: 12/17
SV%: .706
GAA: 5.05
xGA: 2.42
GSAx: −2.58

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/13	.692	1.79	−2.21
Power play	3/4	.750	0.63	−0.37
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.37	+0.37

Philipp Grubauer

SEA · 59:58

Saves: 18/22
SV%: .818
GAA: 4.00
xGA: 1.97
GSAx: −2.03

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	1.54	−0.46
Power play	2/4	.500	0.43	−1.57
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.16	−0.84

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

24:49Raddysh
23:12McCabe
21:48Stecher
19:52Rielly
16:45Ekman-Larsson
9:52Mermis

22:13Nylander
20:08Matthews
19:08Cowan
17:28Roslovic
16:19Paul
15:33McKenna
13:49Sissons
13:35Duhaime
12:59Blueger
9:15Lettieri
8:21MacEwen
6:23Groulx

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORSEAGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

31–2853%

D 50%9–9N 63%12–7O 45%10–12 5 won into a shot

SEA attacks99TOR DZ 50% SEA OZ

Neutral127TOR NZ 63% SEA NZ

TOR attacks1012TOR OZ 45% SEA DZ

28–3147%

D 55%12–10N 37%7–12O 50%9–9 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RiellyD0 O4
RaddyshD3 O7
Ekman-LarssonD2 O4
MermisD0 O0
StecherD4 O1
McCabeD6 O1
MatthewsD0 O8
RoslovicD2 O6
McKennaD1 O5
NylanderD2 O5
CowanD2 O4
LettieriD1 O1
GroulxD1 O1
PaulD3 O2
MacEwenD2 O0
SissonsD5 O2
DuhaimeD3 O0
BluegerD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period