DET @ EDM 4–3 · 2026-10-26

DetroitDETRed Wings4

Final/SOOct 262026-10-26

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
DET	0	1	2	0	28
EDM	1	0	2	0	27

Rogers Place

EdmontonEDMOilers3

CallNo lean · 63% EDM

Star 1C. Dach1G 1A
Star 2V. Arvidsson1G 1A
Star 3R. Shea0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

+150Moneyline-180+1.5 -162Puck line-1.5 +136O -125Total 6.5U +105+205RegulationTie +350 -110

Season odds

13%12%−1.2Playoffs97%97%−0.20.2%0.2%±0.0Cup6.2%6.4%+0.2

Story

– / 13

Result DET 4–3 SOCall No lean · EDM 63%Market EDM 62%xG 3.00–2.52 · deserved DET 59%Swing Larkin +42 3rd 18:43Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 6:10	Goal EDM · V. Podkolzin	62%	77%
1st 12:53	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · interference · 2 min
1st 17:39	EDM penalty · R. Shea · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 1:15	DET penalty · J. Faulk · holding · 2 min
2nd 7:44	EDM penalty · C. Murphy · holding · 2 min
2nd 8:35	Goal DET · V. Arvidsson (PP)	79%	60%
3rd 0:03	DET penalty · V. Arvidsson · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 2:23	DET penalty · M. Brandsegg-Nygård · tripping · 2 min
3rd 4:18	Goal EDM · I. Howard (PP)	57%	83%
3rd 4:48	Goal DET · E. Finnie	84%	57%
3rd 9:25	EDM penalty · V. Podkolzin · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 16:32	Goal EDM · C. Dach	55%	94%
3rd 18:43	Goal DET · D. Larkin	97%	55%

On ice · final horn

DET3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71D. LarkinC	0:52	23:07	27	1	0	1	4	6	0	0	0	14-11
33V. ArvidssonL	0:50	18:02	24	1	1	2	4	7	2	0	0	–
8B. ChiarotD	0:50	22:24	30	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	2	–
35M. PostavaG		63:07	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA2.36GSAx−0.64

EDM3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29L. DraisaitlC	0:02	25:01	30	0	1	1	3	11	0	0	0	6-8
97C. McDavidC	0:32	26:18	29	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	4-8
2E. BouchardD	0:12	31:32	33	0	0	0	1	7	0	3	3	–
35T. JarryG		64:51	SA28GA3SV%.893xGA3.00GSAx+0.00

Goals

1st
Vasily Podkolzin(8)
L. Draisaitl (12), C. McDavid (26)
xG 0.12deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 EDM1st 06:10+14.777%
2nd
Viktor Arvidsson(5)PP
L. Raymond (7), A. DeBrincat (7)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 08:35+19.240%
3rd
Isaac Howard(1)PP
K. Kapanen (2), C. Dach (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 EDM3rd 04:18+25.983%
Emmitt Finnie(5)
V. Arvidsson (5)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 04:48+26.243%
Colton Dach(1)
R. Shea (3), R. Nugent-Hopkins (2)
xG 0.05tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 EDM3rd 16:32+38.494%
Dylan Larkin(2)6v5
L. Raymond (8), M. Seider (6)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 18:43+42.345%

Shootout

DETWins

1–0

EDM

3 rounds · EDM first

DET shootersJarry 1/2 SV

L. RaymondWinnerwristGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)
Rd 11–0
C. McDavidSavewristSave
A. DeBrincatSavebackhandSave
Rd 21–0
L. DraisaitlSavebackhandSave
Not neededRd 31–0
R. Nugent-HopkinsSavewristSave

EDM shootersPostava 3/3 SV

Shots

Shooters

DET3.00 xG41 unblocked · 15 blocked41 unblocked · 15 blocked

EDM2.52 xG45 unblocked · 13 blocked45 unblocked · 13 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

DETEDM3Goals33.00xG2.5228Shots2741Unblocked4556Attempts584High danger31/4Power play1/334Faceoffs2733Hits2513Blocks156Takeaways613Giveaways116PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
53M. SeiderMoritz SeiderD	30:07	0	1	1	3	3	0.02	−0.02	1	2	1	1	—	0	0
71D. LarkinDylan LarkinC	23:16	1	0	1	4	6	0.54	+0.46	0	0	0	1	56%	0	+1
8B. ChiarotBen ChiarotD	22:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	4	2	0	1	—	0	-1
72J. FaulkJustin FaulkD	22:18	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	1	2	0	0	—	2	0
23L. RaymondLucas RaymondL	21:12	0	2	2	2	9	0.31	−0.31	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
58E. FinnieEmmitt FinnieC	20:34	1	0	1	1	4	0.08	+0.92	3	0	0	0	62%	0	+2
93A. DeBrincatAlex DeBrincatR	19:28	0	1	1	2	8	0.19	−0.19	3	0	0	1	0%	0	+2
27M. RasmussenMichael RasmussenC	19:01	0	0	0	4	4	0.39	−0.39	1	0	1	3	—	0	0
33V. ArvidssonViktor ArvidssonL	18:11	1	1	2	4	7	1.15	−0.15	0	0	1	0	—	2	+1
54W. WallinderWilliam WallinderD	17:51	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
18A. CoppAndrew CoppC	17:48	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	0	1	1	75%	0	-1
37J. CompherJ.T. CompherL	17:13	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	42%	0	0
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdMichael Brandsegg-NygårdR	15:18	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	11	0	1	1	100%	2	-1
24A. EnglundAndreas EnglundD	13:26	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	0	+1
42A. JohanssonAnton JohanssonD	10:53	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
55K. KolesarKeegan KolesarR	8:19	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	−0.09	3	2	0	0	—	0	0
29N. DanielsonNate DanielsonC	8:11	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	60%	0	-1
34C. MazurCarter MazurL	5:10	0	0	0	2	2	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
DET total		3	5	8	28	56	3.00	−0.00	33	11	6	12	56%	6

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Arvidsson8.4

Raymond7.7

Finnie7.4

Larkin7.2

Kolesar5.4

DeBrincat5.2

Mazur5.1

Danielson4.8

Copp3.7

Compher3.6

Rasmussen3.3

Brandsegg-Nygård2.4

Defence

Wallinder6.0

Seider5.8

Faulk5.2

Englund4.5

Johansson4.3

Chiarot3.7

Goalie

Postava4.3

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Compher·Copp·Rasmussen	10:37	15	9	3	75.0%	6	1	0	0	0.32	0.01	96.4%	+0.31	1	3	25%
Raymond·Larkin·Brandsegg-Nygård	9:44	16	12	6	66.7%	6	4	0	0	0.29	0.06	83.4%	+0.24	2	4	33%
Arvidsson·Finnie·DeBrincat	9:15	19	10	7	58.8%	6	4	1	0	1.17	0.25	82.6%	+0.92	3	1	75%
Mazur·Danielson·Kolesar	3:57	8	2	3	40.0%	1	2	0	0	0.10	0.01	87.9%	+0.08	0	0	—
Occasional · 9 groups
Raymond·Copp·Brandsegg-Nygård	1:19	6	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Raymond·Finnie·DeBrincat	0:53	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.20	0.0%	−0.20	0	0	—
Compher·Danielson·Kolesar	0:53	2	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Compher·Rasmussen·Danielson	0:48	2	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Compher·Rasmussen·Finnie	0:45	3	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Arvidsson·Mazur·Danielson	0:43	2	2	3	40.0%	1	1	0	1	0.01	0.22	3.4%	−0.21	0	0	—
Finnie·Kolesar·DeBrincat	0:35	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Compher·Copp·DeBrincat	0:34	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Raymond·Rasmussen·Larkin	0:33	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 36 brief groups	4:54		1	5	16.7%	0	2	0	0	0.01	0.12	9.8%	−0.11
DET 5v5	45:30		38	37	50.7%	21	16	1	2	1.97	1.02	65.9%	+0.95

Goalies

Michal Postava

DET · 63:16

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
GAA: 2.85
xGA: 2.52
GSAx: −0.48

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/20	.900	1.41	−0.59
Power play	6/7	.857	1.10	+0.10
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.52	+0.52

Tristan Jarry

EDM · 65:00

Saves: 25/28
SV%: .893
GAA: 2.77
xGA: 3.00
GSAx: +0.00

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/24	.917	2.55	+0.55
Power play	2/3	.667	0.45	−0.55
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.00	+0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	1.30	+0.30

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Detroit Red Wings

Minutes

30:07Seider
22:33Chiarot
22:18Faulk
17:51Wallinder
13:26Englund
10:53Johansson

23:16Larkin
21:12Raymond
20:34Finnie
19:28DeBrincat
19:01Rasmussen
18:11Arvidsson
17:48Copp
17:13Compher
15:18Brandsegg-Nygård
8:19Kolesar
8:11Danielson
5:10Mazur

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareDETEDMGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

34–2756%

D 61%14–9N 55%11–9O 50%9–9 4 won into a shot

EDM attacks149DET DZ 61% EDM OZ

Neutral119DET NZ 55% EDM NZ

DET attacks99DET OZ 50% EDM DZ

27–3444%

D 50%9–9N 45%9–11O 39%9–14 4 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SeiderD3 O6
ChiarotD4 O4
EnglundD0 O0
JohanssonD1 O1
FaulkD4 O3
WallinderD6 O2
ArvidssonD2 O7
DeBrincatD1 O6
RaymondD4 O5
FinnieD3 O4
LarkinD6 O6
KolesarD0 O0
MazurD0 O0
DanielsonD0 O0
CoppD3 O0
RasmussenD4 O1
Brandsegg-NygårdD4 O1
CompherD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period