TOR @ CGY 2–5 · 2026-10-26

TorontoTORMaple Leafs2

FinalOct 262026-10-26

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	0	1	1	28
CGY	2	1	2	34

Scotiabank Saddledome

CalgaryCGYFlames5

CallNo lean · 45% CGY

Star 1M. Gridin2G 1A
Star 2J. Farabee1G 1A
Star 3Z. Parekh0G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-135Moneyline+114-1.5 +164Puck line+1.5 -198O -120Total 6.5U +100+110RegulationTie +320 +170-1301st period+100+1531st · 3-wayTie +190 +193

Season odds

25%16%−9.0Playoffs1.1%2.7%+1.60.4%0.1%−0.3Cup0.0%0.0%±0.0

Story

– / 20

Result CGY 5–2Call No lean · TOR 55%Market TOR 55%xG 2.62–3.83 · deserved CGY 70%Swing Gridin +17 1st 10:05Method

Goals and penalties with CGY win probability
Time	Event	CGY win before	CGY win after
1st 4:56	TOR penalty · D. Mermis · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:05	Goal CGY · M. Gridin	45%	62%
1st 11:50	Goal CGY · M. Backlund	63%	78%
1st 12:09	CGY penalty · D. Cooley · delaying game illegal play by goalie · 2 min
1st 16:48	TOR penalty · Z. MacEwen · fighting · 5 min
1st 16:48	CGY penalty · J. Middleton · fighting · 5 min
1st 19:42	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · roughing · 2 min
1st 19:42	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · roughing · 2 min
1st 19:42	CGY penalty · M. Pospisil · roughing · 2 min
2nd 0:25	Goal CGY · M. Gridin (PP)	81%	91%
2nd 5:45	TOR penalty · S. Bobrovsky · tripping · 2 min
2nd 12:54	Goal TOR · E. Cowan	95%	86%
2nd 15:40	CGY penalty · M. Backlund · slashing · 2 min
3rd 3:15	TOR penalty · W. Nylander · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 6:06	Goal TOR · W. Nylander	93%	77%
3rd 7:04	CGY penalty · B. Othmann · holding · 2 min
3rd 7:04	TOR penalty · A. Matthews · delaying game face off violation · 2 min
3rd 12:21	TOR penalty · A. Matthews · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 18:35	Goal CGY · J. Farabee (EN)	96%	100%
3rd 19:21	Goal CGY · M. Pospisil (EN)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
73T. BluegerC	0:39	14:27	23	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	1	8-3
24B. DuhaimeL	0:39	11:11	18	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0	–
19Z. MacEwenR	0:52	10:12	14	0	0	0	2	3	5	3	1	1-0
28T. StecherD	0:39	22:04	22	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	1	–
36D. MermisD	0:39	13:33	19	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	–
72S. BobrovskyG		59:08	SA32GA3SV%.906xGA2.85GSAx−0.15

CGY5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
38J. CastagnaC	0:39	10:20	16	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	1-9
78B. OthmannL	0:39	9:22	16	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	0	–
43A. KlapkaR	0:39	11:48	17	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	1	0-2
19Z. ParekhD	0:39	20:11	19	0	1	1	3	4	0	0	0	–
37Y. KuznetsovD	0:39	13:57	17	0	1	1	0	3	0	1	1	–
1D. CooleyG		59:56	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA2.62GSAx+0.62

Goals

1st
Matvei Gridin(3)
M. Pospisil (2), S. Nemec (4)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CGY1st 10:05+17.362%
Mikael Backlund(2)
M. Coronato (7), J. Farabee (8)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 CGY1st 11:50+15.178%
2nd
Matvei Gridin(4)PP
Z. Parekh (3), D. Cooley (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 CGY2nd 00:25+10.391%
Easton Cowan(6)
T. Stecher (2), M. Rielly (10)
xG 0.06tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 CGY2nd 12:54+8.914%
3rd
William Nylander(9)
J. Roslovic (8), A. Matthews (11)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 CGY3rd 06:06+15.923%
Joel Farabee(3)EN
M. Coronato (8), Y. Kuznetsov (2)
xG 0.67wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 CGY3rd 18:35+3.3100%
Martin Pospisil(2)EN
M. Gridin (4), S. Nemec (5)
xG 0.31wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 CGY3rd 19:21+0.0100%

Shots

Shooters

TOR2.62 xG41 unblocked · 5 blocked41 unblocked · 5 blocked

CGY3.83 xG50 unblocked · 18 blocked50 unblocked · 18 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORCGY2Goals52.62xG3.8328Shots3441Unblocked5046Attempts683High danger60/2Power play1/534Faceoffs2323Hits2418Blocks53Takeaways612Giveaways1319PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	23:49	0	0	0	3	5	0.10	−0.10	1	2	0	2	—	0	-2
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	22:04	0	1	1	1	2	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	19:27	0	1	1	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	2	0	0	—	0	+1
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	19:14	0	0	0	3	5	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	2	—	0	-2
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	19:14	1	0	1	4	5	0.33	+0.67	1	0	0	0	0%	2	0
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	19:00	0	1	1	1	4	0.58	−0.58	1	2	0	0	46%	4	-1
96J. RoslovicJack RoslovicC	18:43	0	1	1	1	2	0.22	−0.22	0	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	18:17	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	3	0	0	—	0	-1
20N. PaulNick PaulL	17:35	0	0	0	1	4	0.27	−0.27	1	0	1	1	59%	0	-1
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	15:30	1	0	1	1	3	0.24	+0.76	2	0	0	2	—	4	-1
92G. McKennaGavin McKennaL	14:50	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	0	0	1	3	—	0	0
73T. BluegerTeddy BluegerC	14:27	0	0	0	3	4	0.04	−0.04	1	1	1	0	73%	0	-1
15C. SissonsColton SissonsC	14:17	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	1	0	0	75%	0	0
36D. MermisDakota MermisD	13:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	2	0	0	—	2	0
71V. LettieriVinni LettieriC	11:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	3	1	0	0	—	0	-1
24B. DuhaimeBrandon DuhaimeL	11:11	0	0	0	2	2	0.05	−0.05	3	0	0	1	—	0	-1
19Z. MacEwenZack MacEwenR	10:12	0	0	0	2	3	0.27	−0.27	3	1	0	0	100%	5	-2
86K. MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoR	7:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
TOR total		2	4	6	28	46	2.62	−0.62	23	16	3	12	60%	17

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Roslovic6.7

Cowan6.6

Nylander5.9

MacEwen5.8

Marchenko5.1

Blueger5.0

Duhaime4.4

Matthews4.1

Lettieri4.1

McKenna3.4

Paul3.2

Sissons3.1

Defence

Rielly7.5

Stecher6.9

McCabe5.6

Raddysh4.4

Mermis3.9

Ekman-Larsson3.1

Goalie

Bobrovsky4.7

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Duhaime·Blueger·MacEwen	6:17	12	5	5	50.0%	4	3	0	1	0.33	0.07	82.2%	+0.26	0	1	0%
Matthews·Roslovic·Cowan	5:18	8	6	2	75.0%	2	1	0	1	0.83	0.07	92.2%	+0.76	3	0	100%
Paul·Marchenko·Nylander	4:29	7	1	5	16.7%	1	3	0	0	0.02	0.10	15.4%	−0.08	0	1	0%
Matthews·Roslovic·Nylander	3:40	6	5	2	71.4%	2	1	1	0	0.28	0.07	81.1%	+0.22	2	0	100%
McKenna·Matthews·Roslovic	2:32	6	1	3	25.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.03	43.6%	−0.01	0	0	—
McKenna·Sissons·Lettieri	1:59	5	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	1	0%
Paul·Sissons·Lettieri	1:59	2	0	4	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.26	0.0%	−0.26	0	0	—
Paul·McKenna·Nylander	1:33	3	1	4	20.0%	1	3	0	0	0.03	0.09	26.1%	−0.06	0	0	—
Sissons·Lettieri·MacEwen	1:23	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	1	0%
Matthews·Cowan·Nylander	1:17	2	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.34	0.0%	−0.34	0	0	—
Paul·McKenna·Roslovic	1:15	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Sissons·Lettieri·Cowan	0:54	2	2	5	28.6%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.15	23.9%	−0.10	0	0	—
Blueger·Roslovic·MacEwen	0:52	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Duhaime·Lettieri·Blueger	0:50	2	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Paul·Lettieri·Roslovic	0:44	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McKenna·Matthews·Lettieri	0:38	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Paul·McKenna·Cowan	0:38	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.00	68.5%	+0.01	0	0	—
McKenna·Sissons·Cowan	0:37	1	1	2	33.3%	1	1	1	0	0.06	0.15	30.2%	−0.08	0	0	—
Paul·Sissons·Cowan	0:33	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Other 39 brief groups	6:22		4	4	50.0%	3	1	0	0	0.15	0.34	30.0%	−0.19
TOR 5v5	43:50		28	49	36.4%	17	24	2	2	1.91	1.88	50.4%	+0.03

Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky

TOR · 59:08

Saves: 29/32
SV%: .906
GAA: 3.04
xGA: 2.85
GSAx: −0.15

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/25	.920	1.99	−0.01
Power play	6/7	.857	0.86	−0.14
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.69	+0.69

Devin Cooley

CGY · 59:56

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 2.62
GSAx: +0.62

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	2.05	+0.05
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.52	+0.52
Shorthanded	7/7	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	1/2	.500	0.84	−0.16

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

23:49Raddysh
22:04Stecher
19:27Rielly
19:14Ekman-Larsson
18:17McCabe
13:33Mermis

19:14Nylander
19:00Matthews
18:43Roslovic
17:35Paul
15:30Cowan
14:50McKenna
14:27Blueger
14:17Sissons
11:54Lettieri
11:11Duhaime
10:12MacEwen
7:05Marchenko

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORCGYGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

34–2360%

D 68%17–8N 56%10–8O 50%7–7 3 won into a shot

CGY attacks178TOR DZ 68% CGY OZ

Neutral108TOR NZ 56% CGY NZ

TOR attacks77TOR OZ 50% CGY DZ

23–3440%

D 50%7–7N 44%8–10O 32%8–17 2 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RaddyshD1 O4
Ekman-LarssonD2 O4
MermisD0 O0
RiellyD3 O2
StecherD5 O1
McCabeD7 O0
RoslovicD0 O5
MatthewsD0 O5
NylanderD2 O6
CowanD1 O4
McKennaD1 O3
MarchenkoD0 O1
PaulD2 O2
MacEwenD1 O0
DuhaimeD3 O1
LettieriD2 O0
SissonsD6 O1
BluegerD8 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period