NSH @ NYI 4–3 · 2026-01-31

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	2	1	1	42
NYI	2	1	0	30

Story

– / 16

Result NSH 4–3Call No lean · NSH 54%xG 4.49–2.93 · deserved NSH 73%Swing Josi +46 3rd 18:46Method

Goals and penalties with NYI win probability
Time	Event	NYI win before	NYI win after
1st 1:29	Goal NYI · M. Barzal	46%	64%
1st 5:57	Goal NYI · M. Schaefer	65%	80%
1st 9:53	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · tripping · 2 min
1st 9:59	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg (PP)	81%	66%
1st 12:53	Goal NSH · M. Wood	66%	46%
1st 16:11	NSH penalty · J. Marchessault · hooking · 2 min
1st 16:11	NSH penalty · J. Marchessault · misconduct · 10 min
2nd 7:21	Goal NYI · J. Pageau	47%	70%
2nd 14:11	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg	73%	47%
3rd 1:10	NYI penalty · K. MacLean · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
3rd 8:10	NSH penalty · M. McCarron · roughing · 2 min
3rd 8:10	NYI penalty · S. Mayfield · roughing · 2 min
3rd 12:19	NSH penalty · A. Wilsby · tripping · 2 min
3rd 17:49	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · interference · 2 min
3rd 17:49	NSH penalty · C. Smith · roughing · 2 min
3rd 18:46	Goal NSH · R. Josi	48%	2%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
90R. O'ReillyC	0:50	19:05	24	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	7-7
56E. HaulaL	0:39	17:14	22	0	1	1	3	6	0	0	1	7-5
36C. SmithR	0:11	15:24	19	0	0	0	0	2	2	5	1	–
59R. JosiD	2:46	29:15	28	1	1	2	5	9	0	2	1	–
76B. SkjeiD	1:14	27:39	32	0	0	0	4	6	0	2	0	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA30GA3SV%.900xGA2.93GSAx−0.07

NYI6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13M. BarzalC	1:30	19:04	18	1	1	2	3	3	0	1	1	6-4
14B. HorvatC	1:14	20:18	24	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	6-12
51E. HeinemanL	2:11	19:13	21	0	0	0	3	3	0	3	0	–
81O. PalatL	1:10	17:31	21	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	–
3A. PelechD	0:11	19:18	25	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	3	–
48M. SchaeferD	1:14	23:25	25	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	–

Goals

1st
Mathew Barzal(1)
A. Duclair (1), T. DeAngelo (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NYI1st 01:29+18.064%
Matthew Schaefer(1)
R. Pulock (1), M. Barzal (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 NYI1st 05:57+15.480%
Filip Forsberg(1)PP
R. Josi (1), S. Stamkos (1)
xG 0.02wrist
1–2 NYI1st 09:59+15.734%
Matthew Wood(1)
J. Marchessault (1), T. Jost (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 12:53+19.954%
2nd
Jean-Gabriel Pageau(1)
A. Lee (1), S. Holmstrom (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 NYI2nd 07:21+23.570%
Filip Forsberg(2)
M. Wood (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 14:11+26.153%
3rd
Roman Josi(1)
A. Wilsby (1), E. Haula (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 NSH3rd 18:46+46.198%

Shots

NSH4.49 xG56 unblocked · 15 blocked56 unblocked · 15 blocked

NYI2.93 xG39 unblocked · 6 blocked39 unblocked · 6 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHNYI4Goals34.49xG2.9342Shots3056Unblocked3971Attempts458High danger51/2Power play0/223Faceoffs3125Hits236Blocks158Takeaways411Giveaways1818PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	29:15	1	1	2	5	9	0.26	+0.74	2	1	0	1	—	0	+1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	27:39	0	0	0	4	6	0.12	−0.12	2	0	0	2	—	0	0
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	19:05	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	1	1	0	50%	0	0
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	18:35	0	1	1	3	3	0.27	−0.27	1	0	1	0	—	2	0
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	17:49	0	0	0	2	3	0.40	−0.40	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	17:15	0	0	0	2	5	0.25	−0.25	0	0	1	0	—	0	-2
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	17:14	0	1	1	3	6	0.46	−0.46	0	1	0	1	58%	0	0
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	16:58	2	0	2	4	6	0.46	+1.54	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	15:59	0	0	0	2	3	0.30	−0.30	4	0	1	0	17%	2	0
36C. SmithCole SmithR	15:24	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	5	1	2	1	—	2	0
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	15:20	0	0	0	5	9	0.85	−0.85	0	1	0	0	0%	0	-1
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	15:15	0	1	1	1	3	0.24	−0.24	2	0	1	0	57%	0	+1
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	12:43	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
8A. EnglundAndreas EnglundD	12:31	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	12:17	0	1	1	5	5	0.36	−0.36	2	0	0	2	—	12	0
89O. WiesblattOzzy WiesblattC	11:08	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
17T. JostTyson JostC	9:31	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	1	25%	0	0
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	8:02	1	1	2	2	2	0.20	+0.80	0	1	0	1	50%	0	0
NSH total		4	7	11	42	71	4.49	−0.49	25	6	8	11	43%	18

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Forsberg+1.19

Wood+1.07

Marchessault+0.33

Haula+0.10

Bunting+0.06

Jost−0.02

Stamkos−0.05

Evangelista−0.21

McCarron−0.22

Smith−0.24

Wiesblatt−0.28

O'Reilly−0.29

Defence

Josi+1.06

Englund+0.22

Barron+0.02

Wilsby−0.04

Skjei−0.10

Perbix−0.19

Goalie

Saros−0.05

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	9:24	14	18	5	78.3%	10	4	0	1	0.90	0.31	74.3%	+0.59	2	1	67%
McCarron·Wiesblatt·Smith	6:12	9	8	0	100.0%	5	0	0	0	0.32	0.00	100.0%	+0.32	1	2	33%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	4:22	8	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	1	0	100%
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Marchessault	4:19	6	4	4	50.0%	1	4	0	0	0.18	0.12	60.2%	+0.06	1	2	33%
Forsberg·Jost·Wood	3:29	6	4	3	57.1%	3	2	1	0	0.27	0.19	58.0%	+0.07	2	0	100%
McCarron·Smith·Marchessault	3:18	6	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.23	0.17	58.0%	+0.06	1	0	100%
Jost·Wiesblatt·Wood	2:37	3	0	5	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.26	0.0%	−0.26	0	0	—
Occasional · 13 groups
McCarron·Smith·Evangelista	1:15	6	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.20	0.0%	−0.20	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·Stamkos	1:13	3	4	1	80.0%	1	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	100.0%	+0.23	0	1	0%
Bunting·O'Reilly·Evangelista	1:00	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	1	0%
Forsberg·Wiesblatt·O'Reilly	0:55	3	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.34	0.0%	−0.34	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Marchessault	0:46	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:40	3	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.18	0.03	87.4%	+0.15	0	0	—
Forsberg·Haula·Evangelista	0:40	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Jost·Wood·Evangelista	0:40	1	2	1	66.7%	2	1	0	1	0.05	0.11	32.4%	−0.06	0	0	—
Forsberg·Jost·Evangelista	0:39	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Evangelista	0:34	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Haula·Wiesblatt·Smith	0:31	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Jost·Wood·Marchessault	0:30	2	1	2	33.3%	1	2	1	1	0.15	0.16	49.1%	−0.01	0	0	—
Bunting·McCarron·Evangelista	0:30	2	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	49:43		59	41	59.0%	32	27	2	3	3.69	2.67	58.0%	+1.02

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 27/30
SV%: .900
xGA: 2.93
GSAx: −0.07

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/29	.897	2.88	−0.12
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.05	+0.05
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.89	+0.89

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 58:50

Saves: 38/42
SV%: .905
xGA: 4.49
GSAx: +0.49

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	30/33	.909	3.72	+0.72
Power play	4/5	.800	0.52	−0.48
Shorthanded	4/4	1.000	0.25	+0.25
High danger	7/7	1.000	1.52	+1.52

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

29:15Josi
27:39Skjei
18:35Wilsby
17:49Perbix
12:43Barron
12:31Englund

19:05O'Reilly
17:15Evangelista
17:14Haula
16:58Forsberg
15:59McCarron
15:24Smith
15:20Bunting
15:15Stamkos
12:17Marchessault
11:08Wiesblatt
9:31Jost
8:02Wood

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHNYI

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD1 O5
SkjeiD4 O6
WilsbyD1 O2
BarronD2 O2
EnglundD2 O1
PerbixD2 O0
ForsbergD0 O7
O'ReillyD3 O6
HaulaD0 O2
EvangelistaD0 O2
WoodD0 O2
StamkosD3 O4
MarchessaultD2 O2
BuntingD2 O2
JostD0 O0
McCarronD2 O1
WiesblattD2 O1
SmithD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period