CAR @ WSH 3–4 · 2026-01-31

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CAR	2	1	0	0	22
WSH	0	2	1	1	42

Story

– / 13

Result WSH 4–3 OTCall No lean · CAR 72%xG 2.86–4.36 · deserved WSH 72%Swing Sourdif +59 OT 1:42Method

Goals and penalties with WSH win probability
Time	Event	WSH win before	WSH win after
1st 2:21	CAR penalty · T. Hall · hooking · 2 min
1st 13:27	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski	30%	16%
1st 17:51	Goal CAR · S. Aho	16%	6%
2nd 4:16	Goal CAR · S. Gostisbehere	6%	2%
2nd 7:52	Goal WSH · H. Lapierre	2%	5%
2nd 9:49	CAR penalty · T. Hall · interference · 2 min
2nd 10:53	WSH penalty · R. Leonard · interference · 2 min
2nd 11:21	WSH penalty · J. Chychrun · interference · 2 min
2nd 14:58	Goal WSH · D. Strome	4%	14%
2nd 18:27	CAR penalty · T. Hall · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 1:59	CAR penalty · S. Walker · hooking · 2 min
3rd 13:18	Goal WSH · J. Chychrun	7%	39%
OT 1:42	Goal WSH · J. Sourdif	41%	100%

On ice · final horn

CAR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71T. HallL	0:11	13:41	20	0	0	0	0	2	6	0	2	–
53J. BlakeR	0:14	13:54	18	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	–
19K. MillerD	0:15	22:43	27	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	2	–
31F. AndersenG		61:42	SA41GA3SV%.927xGA4.09GSAx+1.09

WSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
53E. FrankC	0:20	15:47	23	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	–
34J. SourdifR	1:06	18:40	24	0	0	0	4	7	0	3	1	3-9
74J. CarlsonD	0:15	27:57	27	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	–
33C. StevensonG		61:42	SA22GA3SV%.864xGA2.86GSAx−0.14

Goals

1st
Mark Jankowski(1)
W. Carrier (1), J. Kotkaniemi (1)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 13:27+14.384%
Sebastian Aho(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR1st 17:51+9.194%
2nd
Shayne Gostisbehere(1)
J. Martinook (1), J. Staal (1)
xG 0.02snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 CAR2nd 04:16+4.098%
Hendrix Lapierre(1)
S. Milano (1)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 CAR2nd 07:52+3.95%
Dylan Strome(1)
A. Protas (1), J. Chychrun (1)
xG 0.14tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR2nd 14:58+9.814%
3rd
Jakob Chychrun(1)
A. Protas (2), T. Wilson (1)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 13:18+31.739%
OT
Justin Sourdif(1)
J. Carlson (1), E. Frank (1)
xG 0.28snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 WSHOT 01:42+58.8100%

Shots

CAR2.86 xG44 unblocked · 11 blocked44 unblocked · 11 blocked

WSH4.36 xG63 unblocked · 18 blocked63 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARWSH3Goals42.86xG4.3622Shots4244Unblocked6355Attempts815High danger40/2Power play0/429Faceoffs2929Hits2418Blocks116Takeaways216Giveaways188PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	23:09	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	−0.07	0	1	1	4	—	0	+1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	22:43	0	0	0	3	3	0.05	−0.05	1	2	0	0	—	0	-1
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	22:41	0	0	0	2	4	0.11	−0.11	0	3	1	1	—	0	0
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	22:10	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	−0.12	3	3	0	2	—	2	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	19:25	1	0	1	2	3	0.24	+0.76	0	0	0	1	60%	0	+1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	18:48	0	0	0	4	5	0.37	−0.37	0	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	16:00	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	15:59	1	0	1	3	7	0.27	+0.73	1	2	1	0	—	0	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	15:19	0	1	1	1	1	0.00	−0.00	7	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	15:16	0	0	0	1	6	0.38	−0.38	1	0	1	1	—	0	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	14:58	0	0	0	1	5	0.16	−0.16	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	13:54	0	0	0	0	5	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
71T. HallTaylor HallL	13:41	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	−0.24	0	2	0	0	—	6	-2
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	13:37	0	0	0	2	3	0.17	−0.17	3	0	0	0	22%	0	-1
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	13:14	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	3	1	0	0	—	0	-1
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	12:42	1	0	1	1	2	0.50	+0.50	3	1	1	3	62%	0	+1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	12:26	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	2	1	1	0	—	0	+1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	11:04	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	−0.02	4	0	0	0	—	0	+1
CAR total		3	4	7	22	55	2.86	+0.14	29	18	6	14	50%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jankowski+0.70

Aho+0.41

Carrier+0.38

Martinook+0.06

Kotkaniemi−0.02

Stankoven−0.19

Svechnikov−0.30

Blake−0.36

Jarvis−0.41

Staal−0.45

Ehlers−0.49

Hall−0.79

Defence

Gostisbehere+0.61

Miller−0.04

Walker−0.13

Slavin−0.14

Nikishin−0.15

Chatfield−0.35

Goalie

Andersen+0.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	11:33	16	13	17	43.3%	2	7	0	1	0.57	0.69	45.2%	−0.12	1	2	33%
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	11:09	16	13	17	43.3%	9	10	1	0	0.82	1.14	41.9%	−0.32	4	2	67%
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	10:30	16	10	16	38.5%	4	9	1	2	0.23	1.07	17.9%	−0.83	1	6	14%
Carrier·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	9:27	15	6	9	40.0%	4	4	1	0	0.57	0.28	66.9%	+0.29	0	4	0%
Occasional · 6 groups
Carrier·Jankowski·Jarvis	0:39	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	0:39	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Kotkaniemi	0:39	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Jankowski·Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov	0:38	4	3	1	75.0%	0	1	0	0	0.34	0.03	90.6%	+0.30	0	0	—
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Aho·Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov	0:30	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	50:28		48	65	42.5%	20	33	3	3	2.61	3.38	43.5%	−0.77

Goalies

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 61:42

Saves: 38/42
SV%: .905
xGA: 4.36
GSAx: +0.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	32/36	.889	3.91	−0.09
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.46	+0.46
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	0.80	−0.20

Clay Stevenson

WSH · 61:42

Saves: 19/22
SV%: .864
xGA: 2.86
GSAx: −0.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/21	.857	2.64	−0.36
Power play	0/0	—	0.19	+0.19
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	0/2	.000	1.01	−0.99

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

23:09Chatfield
22:43Miller
22:41Slavin
22:10Walker
15:59Gostisbehere
13:14Nikishin

19:25Aho
18:48Jarvis
16:00Martinook
15:19Staal
15:16Svechnikov
14:58Ehlers
13:54Blake
13:41Hall
13:37Stankoven
12:42Jankowski
12:26Kotkaniemi
11:04Carrier

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARWSH

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD3 O1
MillerD4 O2
NikishinD3 O1
WalkerD5 O2
ChatfieldD8 O0
SlavinD9 O0
AhoD2 O3
SvechnikovD2 O3
JarvisD3 O3
StankovenD2 O2
BlakeD2 O2
HallD2 O1
CarrierD4 O0
EhlersD5 O1
KotkaniemiD4 O0
JankowskiD5 O0
StaalD9 O1
MartinookD10 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period