FLA @ STL 4–5 · 2026-01-29

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	2	2	0	20
STL	3	1	1	31

Story

– / 27

Result STL 5–4Call STL 51% xG 3.12–2.61 · deserved FLA 59%Swing Snuggerud +49 3rd 19:51Method

Goals and penalties with STL win probability
Time	Event	STL win before	STL win after
1st 3:12	Goal FLA · A. Greer	50%	33%
1st 4:46	Goal STL · J. Neighbours	33%	50%
1st 7:51	Goal STL · J. Kyrou	50%	68%
1st 9:03	STL penalty · N. Walker · tripping · 2 min
1st 9:22	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart (PP)	68%	50%
1st 9:44	FLA penalty · N. Mikkola · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 9:44	STL penalty · N. Bjugstad · roughing · 2 min
1st 11:51	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · tripping · 2 min
1st 12:53	FLA penalty · J. Petry · tripping · 2 min
1st 13:35	STL penalty · D. Dvorsky · holding the stick · 2 min
1st 14:27	Goal STL · J. Berggren	50%	69%
2nd 0:41	Goal STL · O. Sundqvist	71%	86%
2nd 3:34	STL penalty · P. Broberg · hooking · 2 min
2nd 6:20	FLA penalty · M. Samoskevich · slashing · 2 min
2nd 7:09	STL penalty · D. Dvorsky · tripping · 2 min
2nd 7:25	STL penalty · B. Schenn · holding · 2 min
2nd 7:57	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · interference · 2 min
2nd 11:12	FLA penalty · A. Greer · fighting · 5 min
2nd 11:12	STL penalty · T. Tucker · fighting · 5 min
2nd 16:52	Goal FLA · M. Tkachuk	91%	76%
2nd 17:15	STL penalty · O. Sundqvist · tripping · 2 min
2nd 18:39	Goal FLA · M. Tkachuk (PP)	77%	50%
3rd 11:01	STL penalty · N. Bjugstad · high sticking double minor · 4 min
3rd 16:46	STL penalty · J. Hofer · roughing · 2 min
3rd 16:46	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
3rd 18:06	FLA penalty · N. Mikkola · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
3rd 19:51	Goal STL · J. Snuggerud (PP)	50%	99%

On ice · final horn

FLA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9S. BennettC	0:09	22:09	27	0	1	1	0	3	2	1	1	11-6
13S. ReinhartC	1:54	22:52	22	1	1	2	3	5	0	4	3	3-3
17E. RodriguesC	0:09	18:41	22	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	8-6
23C. VerhaegheC	0:09	16:42	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	–
19M. TkachukL	0:09	23:41	25	2	1	3	5	9	2	0	0	1-0
26U. BalinskisD	0:09	20:43	26	0	1	1	3	6	0	3	1	–

STL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
10B. SchennC	0:09	16:48	22	0	0	0	2	2	2	3	0	6-5
70O. SundqvistC	0:09	12:55	22	1	0	1	1	1	2	1	1	3-7
13A. ToropchenkoR	0:09	11:52	20	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
6P. BrobergD	0:09	23:52	28	0	1	1	2	4	2	0	2	–
55C. ParaykoD	0:09	21:41	29	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	3	–
30J. HoferG		60:00	SA20GA4SV%.800xGA3.12GSAx−0.88

Goals

1st
A.J. Greer(1)
L. Kunin (1), S. Vilmanis (1)
xG 0.37wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 FLA1st 03:12+17.267%
Jake Neighbours(1)
P. Buchnevich (1), J. Kyrou (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 04:46+17.450%
Jordan Kyrou(1)
P. Broberg (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 STL1st 07:51+17.868%
Sam Reinhart(1)PP
M. Tkachuk (1), U. Balinskis (1)
xG 0.25wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 09:22+18.050%
Jonatan Berggren(1)
J. Faulk (1)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 STL1st 14:27+18.969%
2nd
Oskar Sundqvist(1)
J. Faulk (2)
xG 0.06slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 STL2nd 00:41+15.086%
Matthew Tkachuk(1)
E. Luostarinen (1), S. Bennett (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 STL2nd 16:52+15.424%
Matthew Tkachuk(2)PP
S. Reinhart (1), G. Forsling (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied2nd 18:39+26.450%
3rd
Jimmy Snuggerud(1)PP
P. Buchnevich (2), J. Kyrou (2)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–5 STL3rd 19:51+49.399%

Shots

FLA3.12 xG38 unblocked · 20 blocked38 unblocked · 20 blocked

STL2.61 xG41 unblocked · 8 blocked41 unblocked · 8 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLASTL4Goals53.12xG2.6120Shots3138Unblocked4158Attempts494High danger12/8Power play1/529Faceoffs2517Hits268Blocks204Takeaways513Giveaways1119PIM25

Skaters

Player

Player
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	26:58	0	1	1	1	5	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	1	—	0	-2
19M. TkachukMatthew TkachukL	23:41	2	1	3	5	9	0.45	+1.55	0	0	0	0	100%	2	0
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	23:10	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	−0.04	2	1	0	0	—	2	-2
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	22:52	1	1	2	3	5	0.56	+0.44	4	2	1	0	50%	0	-2
9S. BennettSam BennettC	22:09	0	1	1	0	3	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	3	65%	2	-1
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	20:43	0	1	1	3	6	0.11	−0.11	3	1	1	1	—	0	-2
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	18:57	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	−0.12	1	1	0	1	—	4	0
17E. RodriguesEvan RodriguesC	18:41	0	0	0	1	3	0.11	−0.11	1	0	1	0	57%	0	-1
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	16:42	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
11M. SamoskevichMackie SamoskevichR	15:30	0	0	0	1	6	0.34	−0.34	1	1	1	2	0%	2	0
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	13:23	0	1	1	1	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	0	100%	0	0
2J. PetryJeff PetryD	11:41	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
63B. MarchandBrad MarchandL	11:19	0	0	0	2	2	0.22	−0.22	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
22T. BjornfotTobias BjornfotD	9:28	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	+1
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	8:32	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
71L. KuninLuke KuninC	8:21	0	1	1	1	3	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	0	17%	0	+1
10A. GreerA.J. GreerL	7:27	1	0	1	1	4	0.72	+0.28	1	0	0	0	—	5	+1
79C. SchwindtCole SchwindtR	6:57	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	43%	0	-1
FLA total		4	8	12	20	58	3.12	+0.88	17	8	4	11	54%	19

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Tkachuk+1.72

Reinhart+1.03

Greer+0.72

Luostarinen+0.48

Kunin+0.43

Rodrigues+0.12

Schwindt+0.05

Marchand+0.03

Vilmanis−0.01

Verhaeghe−0.44

Samoskevich−0.50

Bennett−0.52

Defence

Balinskis+0.14

Mikkola+0.08

Forsling+0.01

Bjornfot−0.12

Petry−0.34

Ekblad−0.53

Goalie

Tarasov−2.37

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Tkachuk·Bennett·Samoskevich	9:39	14	7	8	46.7%	2	3	0	0	0.13	0.50	20.5%	−0.37	0	1	0%
Reinhart·Rodrigues·Verhaeghe	8:18	12	5	11	31.3%	1	8	0	1	0.12	0.46	20.2%	−0.34	2	2	50%
Greer·Vilmanis·Kunin	4:32	7	3	3	50.0%	1	2	1	0	0.58	0.22	72.6%	+0.36	0	1	0%
Marchand·Luostarinen·Schwindt	4:14	8	1	5	16.7%	1	4	0	1	0.11	0.29	28.3%	−0.17	1	2	33%
Occasional · 7 groups
Rodrigues·Verhaeghe·Samoskevich	2:11	3	5	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Greer·Luostarinen·Schwindt	1:47	3	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.14	0.01	92.5%	+0.12	1	0	100%
Vilmanis·Luostarinen·Kunin	1:13	2	3	1	75.0%	1	0	0	0	0.10	0.06	62.7%	+0.04	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Vilmanis·Kunin	1:01	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	1	0%
Vilmanis·Bennett·Luostarinen	0:50	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greer·Rodrigues·Luostarinen	0:36	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Kunin·Samoskevich	0:34	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
FLA 5v5	39:35		31	33	48.4%	8	19	2	3	1.42	1.64	46.5%	−0.21

Goalies

Daniil Tarasov

FLA · 59:44

Saves: 26/31
SV%: .839
xGA: 2.61
GSAx: −2.39

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	2.23	−1.77
Power play	3/4	.750	0.27	−0.73
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.10	+0.10
High danger	0/0	—	0.18	+0.18

Joel Hofer

STL · 60:00

Saves: 16/20
SV%: .800
xGA: 3.12
GSAx: −0.88

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	10/12	.833	1.74	−0.26
Power play	6/8	.750	1.29	−0.71
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.09	+0.09
High danger	1/3	.333	1.00	−1.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

26:58Forsling
23:10Ekblad
20:43Balinskis
18:57Mikkola
11:41Petry
9:28Bjornfot

23:41Tkachuk
22:52Reinhart
22:09Bennett
18:41Rodrigues
16:42Verhaeghe
15:30Samoskevich
13:23Luostarinen
11:19Marchand
8:32Vilmanis
8:21Kunin
7:27Greer
6:57Schwindt

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLASTL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

PetryD2 O2
BalinskisD3 O3
BjornfotD1 O0
EkbladD5 O2
ForslingD6 O3
MikkolaD4 O1
BennettD2 O7
TkachukD1 O4
MarchandD2 O4
VerhaegheD2 O3
ReinhartD4 O5
LuostarinenD2 O3
GreerD1 O1
SchwindtD2 O2
SamoskevichD1 O0
RodriguesD4 O2
KuninD2 O0
VilmanisD2 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period