UTA @ CAR 4–5 · 2026-01-29

Team	1	2	3	SOG
UTA	0	3	1	25
CAR	1	1	3	33

Story

– / 15

Result CAR 5–4Call No lean · CAR 67%xG 2.77–3.53 · deserved CAR 62%Swing Gostisbehere +52 3rd 18:33Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 3:04	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov	66%	80%
2nd 0:11	UTA penalty · N. Schmaltz · tripping · 2 min
2nd 4:10	Goal UTA · K. Yamamoto	81%	64%
2nd 8:24	Goal UTA · K. Yamamoto	63%	41%
2nd 14:36	UTA penalty · M. Sergachev · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 16:24	UTA penalty · K. Stenlund · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 17:36	Goal CAR · S. Gostisbehere (PP)	35%	61%
2nd 17:55	Goal UTA · J. Peterka	61%	35%
2nd 19:45	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 7:11	Goal UTA · M. Carcone	26%	8%
3rd 7:45	CAR penalty · S. Walker · holding · 2 min
3rd 14:42	UTA penalty · B. Hayton · high sticking double minor · 4 min
3rd 18:01	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (PP)	0%	6%
3rd 18:33	Goal CAR · S. Gostisbehere	5%	57%
3rd 19:30	Goal CAR · J. Staal	57%	99%

On ice · final horn

UTA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
8N. SchmaltzC	0:30	19:14	26	0	0	0	2	3	2	1	0	4-9
67L. CrouseL	0:30	19:50	28	0	0	0	2	2	0	7	1	0-1
9C. KellerR	0:30	18:11	24	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0-1
77J. PeterkaR	0:30	15:43	19	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	1-0
98M. SergachevD	1:27	24:29	27	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	0	–
70K. VejmelkaG		60:00	SA33GA5SV%.848xGA3.53GSAx−1.47

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	0:30	21:15	26	0	0	0	3	6	0	3	0	14-5
24S. JarvisC	0:30	19:50	25	0	1	1	2	4	0	4	0	1-0
37A. SvechnikovR	0:30	19:59	24	2	1	3	4	5	2	2	0	–
5J. ChatfieldD	1:27	19:56	24	0	1	1	5	10	0	1	1	–
74J. SlavinD	1:59	19:28	24	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	–
32B. BussiG		59:01	SA25GA4SV%.840xGA2.77GSAx−1.23

Goals

1st
Andrei Svechnikov(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CAR1st 03:04+13.780%
2nd
Kailer Yamamoto(1)
J. McBain (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 04:10+17.536%
Kailer Yamamoto(2)
N. DeSimone (1), M. Carcone (1)
xG 0.28wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 UTA2nd 08:24+22.259%
Shayne Gostisbehere(1)PP
A. Svechnikov (1), S. Jarvis (1)
xG 0.04slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 17:36+26.261%
JJ Peterka(1)
B. Hayton (1)
xG 0.05snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 UTA2nd 17:55+26.465%
3rd
Michael Carcone(1)
J. McBain (2), K. Yamamoto (1)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 UTA3rd 07:11+18.392%
Andrei Svechnikov(2)PP6v4
S. Gostisbehere (1), N. Ehlers (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 UTA3rd 18:01+5.66%
Shayne Gostisbehere(2)6v5
J. Blake (1), J. Slavin (1)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 18:33+52.357%
Jordan Staal(1)
J. Martinook (1), J. Chatfield (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
4–5 CAR3rd 19:30+42.499%

Shots

UTA2.77 xG35 unblocked · 8 blocked35 unblocked · 8 blocked

CAR3.53 xG51 unblocked · 19 blocked51 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

UTACAR4Goals52.77xG3.5325Shots3335Unblocked5143Attempts705High danger70/2Power play2/527Faceoffs3328Hits2319Blocks85Takeaways624Giveaways1710PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
98M. SergachevMikhail SergachevD	24:29	0	0	0	2	5	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	2	—	2	+1
6J. MarinoJohn MarinoD	21:42	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	2	1	1	—	0	-1
88N. SchmidtNate SchmidtD	20:44	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	4	3	0	1	—	0	-1
67L. CrouseLawson CrouseL	19:50	0	0	0	2	2	0.27	−0.27	7	1	0	1	0%	0	-2
50S. DurziSean DurziD	19:32	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	4	0	3	—	0	+1
8N. SchmaltzNick SchmaltzC	19:14	0	0	0	2	3	0.24	−0.24	1	0	0	0	31%	2	-1
9C. KellerClayton KellerR	18:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	0	0	2	1	0%	0	-2
28I. ColeIan ColeD	17:57	0	0	0	2	2	0.15	−0.15	0	3	0	4	—	0	+1
22J. McBainJack McBainC	17:21	0	2	2	1	1	0.07	−0.07	3	1	0	3	73%	0	+2
82K. StenlundKevin StenlundC	16:10	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	1	1	1	27%	2	-1
77J. PeterkaJJ PeterkaR	15:43	1	0	1	1	3	0.15	+0.85	0	0	0	1	100%	0	+1
27B. HaytonBarrett HaytonC	14:01	0	1	1	3	5	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	0	60%	4	+1
53M. CarconeMichael CarconeL	12:52	1	1	2	2	2	0.28	+0.72	4	0	0	1	33%	0	+2
19D. ButDaniil ButL	12:44	0	0	0	2	4	0.15	−0.15	1	1	0	4	0%	0	+1
56K. YamamotoKailer YamamotoR	11:25	2	1	3	5	6	0.61	+1.39	0	0	1	1	100%	0	+2
57N. DeSimoneNick DeSimoneD	11:19	0	1	1	1	1	0.16	−0.16	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
38L. O'BrienLiam O'BrienC	10:50	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	4	0	0	0	0%	0	0
13B. TanevBrandon TanevL	7:25	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	2	2	0	0	—	0	0
UTA total		4	6	10	25	43	2.77	+1.23	28	19	5	24	45%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Yamamoto+1.46

McBain+0.89

Carcone+0.60

Peterka+0.54

Hayton+0.07

Tanev−0.05

But−0.18

O'Brien−0.24

Crouse−0.34

Keller−0.40

Stenlund−0.54

Schmaltz−0.60

Defence

DeSimone+0.51

Cole+0.31

Durzi+0.13

Schmidt+0.08

Marino−0.15

Sergachev−0.40

Goalie

Vejmelka−1.45

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Crouse·Schmaltz·Keller	10:17	17	7	12	36.8%	6	5	0	1	0.55	0.84	39.6%	−0.29	2	4	33%
Carcone·McBain·Yamamoto	9:19	16	12	7	63.2%	9	2	3	1	1.00	0.59	62.7%	+0.40	1	3	25%
But·Hayton·Peterka	9:03	14	10	10	50.0%	7	6	1	0	0.48	0.21	69.7%	+0.27	1	3	25%
Tanev·O'Brien·Stenlund	7:04	10	3	7	30.0%	1	2	0	0	0.15	0.18	44.9%	−0.03	1	1	50%
Occasional · 5 groups
O'Brien·Stenlund·Keller	1:11	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McBain·Yamamoto·Peterka	1:00	4	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
O'Brien·Stenlund·Peterka	0:54	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Schmaltz·O'Brien·Keller	0:45	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
But·Carcone·Hayton	0:35	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
UTA 5v5	47:21		38	55	40.9%	25	24	4	2	2.58	2.54	50.4%	+0.04

Goalies

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 60:00

Saves: 28/33
SV%: .848
xGA: 3.53
GSAx: −1.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/25	.880	2.58	−0.42
Power play	5/7	.714	0.79	−1.21
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.16	+0.16
High danger	2/4	.500	1.20	−0.80

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 59:01

Saves: 21/25
SV%: .840
xGA: 2.77
GSAx: −1.23

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	2.58	−1.42
Power play	0/0	—	0.17	+0.17
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.03	+0.03
High danger	2/4	.500	1.04	−0.96

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Utah Mammoth

Minutes

24:29Sergachev
21:42Marino
20:44Schmidt
19:32Durzi
17:57Cole
11:19DeSimone

19:50Crouse
19:14Schmaltz
18:11Keller
17:21McBain
16:10Stenlund
15:43Peterka
14:01Hayton
12:52Carcone
12:44But
11:25Yamamoto
10:50O'Brien
7:25Tanev

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareUTACAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MarinoD2 O1
DeSimoneD2 O1
SchmidtD4 O1
ColeD5 O1
DurziD7 O2
SergachevD10 O2
O'BrienD1 O1
TanevD1 O1
PeterkaD3 O2
KellerD4 O2
YamamotoD3 O1
HaytonD4 O2
CarconeD4 O1
McBainD4 O1
ButD4 O1
SchmaltzD6 O2
CrouseD6 O2
StenlundD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period