FLA @ CAR 5–2 · 2025-12-23

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	0	0	5	22
CAR	1	1	0	19

Story

– / 15

Result FLA 5–2Call No lean · CAR 59%xG 2.86–2.41 · deserved FLA 58%Swing Lundell +33 3rd 7:00Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 4:11	Goal CAR · E. Robinson	58%	74%
1st 13:19	FLA penalty · G. Forsling · interference · 2 min
1st 14:02	CAR penalty · J. Kotkaniemi · tripping · 2 min
1st 19:48	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · tripping · 2 min
2nd 1:58	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov	76%	89%
2nd 12:52	FLA penalty · J. Boqvist · interference · 2 min
2nd 19:36	FLA penalty · B. Marchand · holding the stick · 2 min
2nd 19:36	CAR penalty · K. Miller · roughing · 2 min
3rd 3:53	Goal FLA · N. Mikkola	95%	83%
3rd 6:17	Goal FLA · L. Kunin	84%	55%
3rd 7:00	Goal FLA · A. Lundell	55%	22%
3rd 9:57	Goal FLA · S. Bennett	19%	4%
3rd 14:44	CAR penalty · K. Miller · tripping · 2 min
3rd 15:21	Goal FLA · S. Jones (PP)	1%	0%
3rd 19:56	CAR penalty · M. Jankowski · high sticking double minor · 4 min

On ice · final horn

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71L. KuninC	0:04	8:39	14	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	1	1-2
18N. GregorL	0:04	8:21	13	0	1	1	1	4	0	1	0	–
2J. PetryD	0:04	16:23	23	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1	–
26U. BalinskisD	0:04	14:29	21	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1	–
77N. MikkolaD	0:30	20:30	28	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	1	–
72S. BobrovskyG		59:32	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.41GSAx+0.41

CAR4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82J. KotkaniemiC	0:04	12:28	17	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	0	3-0
29B. NadeauL	0:32	12:41	18	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	–
6M. ReillyD	0:38	7:41	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
64J. NystromD	0:04	14:33	22	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	–
31F. AndersenG		60:00	SA22GA5SV%.773xGA2.86GSAx−2.14

Goals

1st
Eric Robinson(1)
S. Aho (1), J. Nystrom (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CAR1st 04:11+15.974%
2nd
Andrei Svechnikov(1)
J. Staal (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 CAR2nd 01:58+13.089%
3rd
Niko Mikkola(1)
E. Luostarinen (1), S. Reinhart (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 CAR3rd 03:53+12.617%
Luke Kunin(1)
N. Gregor (1), A. Ekblad (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 06:17+29.345%
Anton Lundell(1)
S. Reinhart (2), E. Luostarinen (2)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 FLA3rd 07:00+33.178%
Sam Bennett(1)
A. Greer (1), A. Ekblad (2)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 FLA3rd 09:57+14.596%
Seth Jones(1)PP
S. Reinhart (3), B. Marchand (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 FLA3rd 15:21+0.7100%

Shots

FLA2.86 xG42 unblocked · 12 blocked42 unblocked · 12 blocked

CAR2.41 xG43 unblocked · 13 blocked43 unblocked · 13 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLACAR5Goals22.86xG2.4122Shots1942Unblocked4354Attempts563High danger21/4Power play0/222Faceoffs2932Hits3513Blocks125Takeaways517Giveaways116PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
3S. JonesSeth JonesD	23:01	1	0	1	4	4	0.20	+0.80	4	1	0	2	—	0	+2
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	22:32	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	0	2	1	0	—	2	+1
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	21:11	0	2	2	0	6	0.04	−0.04	1	0	1	0	—	0	0
9S. BennettSam BennettC	21:09	1	0	1	2	5	0.40	+0.60	3	0	0	1	44%	0	+1
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	20:30	1	0	1	1	2	0.06	+0.94	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
63B. MarchandBrad MarchandL	18:54	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	−0.17	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	18:43	0	0	0	1	3	0.37	−0.37	5	0	0	2	—	0	0
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	18:24	0	3	3	1	2	0.15	−0.15	2	2	0	1	33%	0	+1
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	17:24	1	0	1	4	5	0.58	+0.42	1	0	0	3	38%	0	0
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	16:30	0	2	2	0	1	0.09	−0.09	4	0	1	0	—	0	0
2J. PetryJeff PetryD	16:23	0	0	0	1	4	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	2	—	0	-1
17E. RodriguesEvan RodriguesC	15:12	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	−0.11	0	1	1	1	50%	0	-1
26U. BalinskisUvis BalinskisD	14:29	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
70J. BoqvistJesper BoqvistC	12:51	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	1	1	50%	2	0
10A. GreerA.J. GreerL	11:31	0	1	1	2	2	0.21	−0.21	1	0	0	2	—	0	+1
53J. StudnickaJack StudnickaC	8:44	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	+1
71L. KuninLuke KuninC	8:39	1	0	1	3	3	0.20	+0.80	3	1	0	0	33%	0	+1
18N. GregorNoah GregorL	8:21	0	1	1	1	4	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
FLA total		5	10	15	22	54	2.86	+2.14	32	11	5	17	43%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Reinhart+1.01

Kunin+0.66

Luostarinen+0.61

Lundell+0.44

Gregor+0.43

Greer+0.41

Bennett+0.35

Boqvist−0.03

Studnicka−0.14

Marchand−0.25

Rodrigues−0.29

Verhaeghe−0.35

Defence

Jones+0.58

Mikkola+0.52

Ekblad+0.28

Forsling+0.06

Balinskis0.00

Petry−0.02

Goalie

Bobrovsky+0.43

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Reinhart·Lundell·Luostarinen	10:13	17	11	10	52.4%	6	2	2	1	0.90	0.38	70.3%	+0.52	1	3	25%
Rodrigues·Verhaeghe·Boqvist	7:48	14	4	8	33.3%	3	2	0	0	0.27	0.36	42.6%	−0.09	1	1	50%
Greer·Marchand·Bennett	7:31	13	7	5	58.3%	4	1	1	0	0.46	0.16	74.4%	+0.30	1	0	100%
Gregor·Studnicka·Kunin	5:59	11	7	1	87.5%	3	1	1	0	0.21	0.03	86.2%	+0.18	1	0	100%
Marchand·Bennett·Verhaeghe	4:50	9	8	9	47.1%	3	4	0	0	0.41	0.27	60.4%	+0.14	1	0	100%
Greer·Rodrigues·Boqvist	2:49	6	4	2	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.03	67.0%	+0.03	1	0	100%
Occasional · 6 groups
Lundell·Luostarinen·Kunin	1:22	3	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
Gregor·Bennett·Studnicka	0:43	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Marchand·Lundell·Verhaeghe	0:35	2	0	5	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Reinhart·Lundell·Verhaeghe	0:33	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lundell·Luostarinen·Boqvist	0:33	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gregor·Marchand·Bennett	0:32	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
FLA 5v5	50:08		47	48	49.5%	20	17	4	2	2.64	1.73	60.4%	+0.90

Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 59:32

Saves: 17/19
SV%: .895
xGA: 2.41
GSAx: +0.41

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.88	−0.12
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.53	+0.53
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.40	−0.60

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 17/22
SV%: .773
xGA: 2.86
GSAx: −2.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/21	.810	2.72	−1.28
Power play	0/1	.000	0.13	−0.87
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.67	+0.67

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

23:01Jones
22:32Forsling
21:11Ekblad
20:30Mikkola
16:23Petry
14:29Balinskis

21:09Bennett
18:54Marchand
18:43Verhaeghe
18:24Reinhart
17:24Lundell
16:30Luostarinen
15:12Rodrigues
12:51Boqvist
11:31Greer
8:44Studnicka
8:39Kunin
8:21Gregor

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLACAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

PetryD0 O3
EkbladD1 O3
BalinskisD0 O2
ForslingD2 O2
JonesD4 O3
MikkolaD3 O2
MarchandD0 O2
KuninD0 O2
GregorD0 O2
VerhaegheD2 O3
BennettD2 O3
GreerD0 O1
BoqvistD1 O2
RodriguesD3 O3
StudnickaD0 O0
ReinhartD4 O3
LuostarinenD3 O1
LundellD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period