BUF @ OTT 3–2 · 2025-12-23

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
BUF	1	1	0	1	25
OTT	1	1	0	0	26

Story

– / 11

Result BUF 3–2 OTCall No lean · OTT 63%xG 1.53–3.01 · deserved OTT 76%Swing Byram +55 OT 0:31Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 15:22	Goal BUF · B. Byram	62%	42%
1st 17:13	Goal OTT · R. Greig	41%	62%
1st 18:12	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · high sticking · 2 min
1st 18:12	OTT penalty · B. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
2nd 2:36	OTT penalty · N. Matinpalo · interference · 2 min
2nd 6:11	Goal BUF · N. Ostlund	61%	37%
2nd 9:13	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · tripping · 2 min
2nd 9:27	Goal OTT · T. Stützle (PP)	36%	60%
2nd 13:51	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 18:09	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · hooking · 2 min
OT 0:31	Goal BUF · B. Byram	55%	0%

On ice · final horn

BUF4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. McLeodC	0:31	16:36	23	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	4-8
89A. TuchR	0:22	18:01	29	0	1	1	3	3	2	1	2	0-2
4B. ByramD	0:31	24:18	31	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	1	–
23M. SamuelssonD	0:31	26:39	32	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	1	–
34A. LyonG		60:31	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA3.01GSAx+1.01

OTT4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18T. StützleC	0:24	21:41	28	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	1	7-4
7B. TkachukL	0:24	18:42	28	0	0	0	6	7	2	2	0	5-5
2A. ZubD	0:31	19:04	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	–
85J. SandersonD	0:31	22:25	29	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	1	–
35L. UllmarkG		60:31	SA24GA2SV%.917xGA1.44GSAx−0.56

Goals

1st
Bowen Byram(1)
J. Greenway (1), J. Dunne (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 15:22+20.258%
Ridly Greig(1)
C. Giroux (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 17:13+20.762%
2nd
Noah Ostlund(1)
B. Byram (1), A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF2nd 06:11+23.263%
Tim Stützle(1)PP
D. Batherson (1), D. Cozens (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 09:27+24.360%
OT
Bowen Byram(2)
R. McLeod (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 BUFOT 00:31+55.3100%

Shots

BUF1.53 xG32 unblocked · 9 blocked32 unblocked · 9 blocked

OTT3.01 xG45 unblocked · 18 blocked45 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFOTT3Goals21.53xG3.0125Shots2632Unblocked4541Attempts630High danger50/1Power play1/328Faceoffs3615Hits1918Blocks94Takeaways510Giveaways118PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	26:39	0	1	1	2	3	0.15	−0.15	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	25:10	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:18	2	1	3	2	2	0.17	+1.83	0	1	0	1	—	0	+3
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	22:48	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	18:01	0	1	1	3	3	0.18	−0.18	1	2	0	0	0%	2	+2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	16:47	0	0	0	2	4	0.07	−0.07	0	2	0	0	50%	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	16:36	0	1	1	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	1	0	33%	0	+1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	16:11	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	−0.11	3	2	0	1	—	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	15:01	1	0	1	2	2	0.14	+0.86	0	0	0	2	33%	0	+1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	14:00	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	0	53%	0	+1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:00	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	50%	0	-1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	13:36	0	1	1	4	4	0.12	−0.12	1	0	2	1	0%	0	+1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	13:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	2	0	0	—	0	-1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	13:13	0	1	1	1	2	0.04	−0.04	2	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	12:39	0	0	0	2	4	0.03	−0.03	0	2	0	1	—	4	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	12:24	0	0	0	2	2	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	12:21	0	0	0	1	3	0.15	−0.15	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	8:38	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	0	1	3	—	0	+2
BUF total		3	6	9	25	41	1.53	+1.48	15	16	4	10	44%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Greenway+0.35

Ostlund+0.29

Dunne+0.13

McLeod+0.04

Malenstyn−0.14

Thompson−0.29

Quinn−0.33

Tuch−0.35

Norris−0.35

Doan−0.35

Krebs−0.40

Benson−0.56

Defence

Byram+1.27

Metsa−0.07

Samuelsson−0.21

Kesselring−0.23

Dahlin−0.24

Power−0.26

Goalie

Lyon+1.03

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	11:55	21	5	15	25.0%	1	6	0	1	0.06	0.69	8.6%	−0.62	6	2	75%
Norris·Ostlund·Tuch	11:17	22	5	12	29.4%	3	4	1	0	0.17	0.51	25.1%	−0.34	4	7	36%
Greenway·Malenstyn·Dunne	10:30	19	11	5	68.8%	8	2	1	0	0.38	0.08	82.8%	+0.30	0	5	0%
Benson·McLeod·Quinn	8:59	17	5	12	29.4%	3	6	0	0	0.23	0.78	22.4%	−0.55	0	0	—
Occasional · 7 groups
McLeod·Ostlund·Tuch	1:08	4	1	4	20.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Dunne·Ostlund	0:56	7	1	2	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.13	0.02	86.6%	+0.11	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Quinn	0:42	3	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Greenway·Malenstyn·Thompson	0:39	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Benson·Thompson·Quinn	0:37	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Dunne	0:31	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Thompson·Ostlund·Tuch	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	51:55		32	54	37.2%	20	21	2	1	1.05	2.43	30.2%	−1.38

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 60:31

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
xGA: 3.01
GSAx: +1.01

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	2.54	+1.54
Power play	3/4	.750	0.47	−0.53
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/5	1.000	0.84	+0.84

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 60:31

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
xGA: 1.53
GSAx: −1.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/23	.870	1.30	−1.70
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.23	+0.23
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

26:39Samuelsson
25:10Power
24:18Byram
22:48Dahlin
12:39Kesselring
8:38Metsa

18:01Tuch
16:47Thompson
16:36McLeod
16:11Malenstyn
15:01Ostlund
14:00Norris
14:00Krebs
13:36Greenway
13:28Doan
13:13Dunne
12:24Benson
12:21Quinn

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFOTT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MetsaD1 O3
KesselringD0 O1
DahlinD7 O6
PowerD5 O4
ByramD6 O4
SamuelssonD11 O2
ThompsonD2 O9
DoanD2 O8
KrebsD2 O6
BensonD0 O1
QuinnD1 O1
NorrisD7 O5
McLeodD3 O1
OstlundD6 O4
TuchD9 O5
GreenwayD5 O0
DunneD5 O0
MalenstynD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period