NYI @ NYR 2–5 · 2026-10-06

New YorkNYIIslanders2

FinalOct 62026-10-06

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NYI	0	2	0	19
NYR	1	2	2	24

Madison Square Garden

New YorkNYRRangers5

CallNo lean · 61% NYR

Star 1O. Bjorkstrand2G 0A
Star 2A. Lafrenière3G 1A
Star 3M. Zibanejad0G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

+136Moneyline-162+1.5 -198Puck line-1.5 +164O -120Total 5.5U +100+180RegulationTie +320 +105+1101st period-145+2151st · 3-wayTie +172 +157

Season odds

19%13%−5.6Playoffs44%56%+12.10.2%0.1%−0.1Cup1.0%1.1%+0.1

Story

– / 20

Result NYR 5–2Call No lean · NYR 61%Market NYR 60%xG 2.40–4.86 · deserved NYR 85%Swing Bjorkstrand +23 2nd 17:07Method

Goals and penalties with NYR win probability
Time	Event	NYR win before	NYR win after
1st 6:40	Goal NYR · O. Bjorkstrand	60%	76%
1st 7:21	NYR penalty · C. Beaudoin · interference · 2 min
1st 12:13	NYI penalty · B. Schenn · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:13	NYR penalty · J. Miller · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:41	NYI penalty · V. Eklund · holding · 2 min
1st 16:57	NYR penalty · A. Lafrenière · slashing · 2 min
2nd 0:25	Goal NYR · A. Lafrenière	77%	89%
2nd 2:02	NYR penalty · E. Tolvanen · hooking · 2 min
2nd 2:56	Goal NYI · B. Horvat (PP)	90%	78%
2nd 4:52	Goal NYI · C. Ritchie	78%	59%
2nd 12:11	NYI penalty · C. Cizikas · roughing · 2 min
2nd 12:11	NYR penalty · A. Smits · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:28	NYI penalty · B. Schenn · holding · 2 min
2nd 17:07	Goal NYR · O. Bjorkstrand (PP)	57%	81%
3rd 4:25	NYR penalty · T. Kartye · holding · 2 min
3rd 18:22	Goal NYR · A. Lafrenière (EN)	97%	99%
3rd 18:54	Goal NYR · A. Lafrenière (EN)	99%	99%
3rd 19:47	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:47	NYR penalty · O. Bjorkstrand · fighting · 5 min
3rd 19:47	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · fighting · 5 min

On ice · final horn

NYI4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
44J. PageauC	0:23	14:50	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	7-11
92S. HolmstromR	0:29	15:11	20	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	–
6R. PulockD	0:13	16:32	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	–
8L. StanleyD	0:13	19:21	28	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	2	–
40S. VarlamovG		59:26	SA22GA3SV%.864xGA3.36GSAx+0.36

NYR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
53C. BeaudoinC	0:13	9:57	17	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	1	6-5
17E. TolvanenR	0:23	13:57	21	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	4	–
49J. ChmelarR	0:13	8:28	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	–
4B. SchneiderD	1:06	17:39	21	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	–
12A. SmitsD	1:06	15:27	21	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	1	–
31I. ShesterkinG		60:00	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.40GSAx+0.40

Goals

1st
Oliver Bjorkstrand(1)
A. Lafrenière (1), S. Durzi (1)
xG 0.09slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 NYR1st 06:40+15.676%
2nd
Alexis Lafrenière(1)
M. Zibanejad (1), V. Gavrikov (1)
xG 0.02snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 NYR2nd 00:25+12.289%
Bo Horvat(1)PP
M. Maccelli (1), B. Schenn (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 NYR2nd 02:56+12.422%
Calum Ritchie(1)
B. Schenn (2)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 04:52+19.141%
Oliver Bjorkstrand(2)PP
G. Perreault (1), W. Cuylle (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 NYR2nd 17:07+23.281%
3rd
Alexis Lafrenière(2)EN
J. Miller (1), M. Zibanejad (2)
xG 0.86wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 NYR3rd 18:22+2.599%
Alexis Lafrenière(3)EN
A. Fox (1), V. Gavrikov (2)
xG 0.64wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 NYR3rd 18:54+0.099%

Shots

NYI2.40 xG31 unblocked · 16 blocked31 unblocked · 16 blocked

NYR4.86 xG40 unblocked · 16 blocked40 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYINYR2Goals52.40xG4.8619Shots2431Unblocked4047Attempts565High danger81/4Power play1/333Faceoffs3318Hits2716Blocks162Takeaways612Giveaways1318PIM20

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	25:03	0	0	0	2	12	0.09	−0.09	1	1	1	2	—	0	-2
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	20:56	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	7	-1
8L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	19:21	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	2	2	0	1	—	0	0
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	18:12	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	0	2	1	2	—	0	-1
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	17:49	1	0	1	2	5	0.69	+0.31	0	0	0	0	60%	0	-2
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	16:40	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	−0.11	4	0	0	0	0%	0	0
21K. PalmieriKyle PalmieriC	16:37	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	16:32	0	0	0	1	2	0.00	−0.00	1	1	0	2	—	0	-1
10B. SchennBrayden SchennC	16:16	0	2	2	2	4	0.09	−0.09	1	1	0	0	63%	7	0
92S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	15:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	1	—	0	-2
38V. EklundVictor EklundR	15:01	0	0	0	2	4	0.17	−0.17	2	1	0	0	—	2	+1
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	14:50	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	39%	0	-2
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	14:32	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	0%	0	-2
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	14:32	0	1	1	1	1	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
64C. RitchieCalum RitchieC	14:27	1	0	1	2	2	0.26	+0.74	0	0	0	1	33%	0	0
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	13:26	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	0	55%	2	0
28A. RomanovAlexander RomanovD	13:20	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	0	—	0	-1
81O. PalatOndrej PalatL	11:57	0	0	0	1	5	0.40	−0.40	2	2	0	0	100%	0	-1
NYI total		2	3	5	19	47	2.40	−0.40	18	14	2	11	50%	18

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Horvat+0.43

Ritchie+0.42

Maccelli+0.37

Schenn+0.32

Palat+0.05

Cizikas−0.12

Eklund−0.32

Palmieri−0.36

Duclair−0.37

Pageau−0.45

Holmstrom−0.46

Heineman−0.56

Defence

DeAngelo+0.43

Stanley+0.11

Romanov+0.02

Schaefer−0.20

Pulock−0.23

Pelech−0.38

Goalie

Varlamov+0.38

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Heineman·Horvat·Palmieri	9:43	13	3	10	23.1%	1	4	0	0	0.23	0.42	35.6%	−0.19	2	3	40%
Schenn·Ritchie·Eklund	9:01	16	12	5	70.6%	6	2	1	0	0.56	0.36	60.5%	+0.19	2	1	67%
Duclair·Pageau·Holmstrom	8:09	14	2	7	22.2%	1	4	0	0	0.02	0.42	5.2%	−0.40	2	3	40%
Maccelli·Palat·Cizikas	6:10	11	10	5	66.7%	3	1	0	0	0.26	0.04	86.2%	+0.21	2	0	100%
Occasional · 6 groups
Heineman·Palat·Cizikas	2:33	2	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.15	0.01	92.6%	+0.14	0	0	—
Schenn·Cizikas·Eklund	1:12	4	2	3	40.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.08	46.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Palat·Cizikas·Eklund	0:51	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Duclair·Palat·Pageau	0:48	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Maccelli·Palat·Pageau	0:46	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Heineman·Maccelli·Cizikas	0:39	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NYI 5v5	46:40		35	40	46.7%	16	15	1	2	1.64	1.68	49.4%	−0.04

Goalies

Semyon Varlamov

NYI · 59:26

Saves: 19/22
SV%: .864
xGA: 3.36
GSAx: +0.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.92	−0.08
Power play	4/5	.800	1.44	+0.44
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	1.40	+1.40

Igor Shesterkin

NYR · 60:00

Saves: 17/19
SV%: .895
xGA: 2.40
GSAx: +0.40

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	1.64	+0.64
Power play	2/3	.667	0.76	−0.24
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.81	−0.19

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

25:03Schaefer
20:56Pelech
19:21Stanley
18:12DeAngelo
16:32Pulock
13:20Romanov

17:49Horvat
16:40Heineman
16:37Palmieri
16:16Schenn
15:11Holmstrom
15:01Eklund
14:50Pageau
14:32Duclair
14:32Maccelli
14:27Ritchie
13:26Cizikas
11:57Palat

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYINYR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DeAngeloD1 O3
SchaeferD3 O5
RomanovD1 O2
PulockD3 O3
StanleyD4 O3
PelechD7 O2
MaccelliD0 O5
PalmieriD2 O5
SchennD1 O4
RitchieD1 O3
PalatD1 O2
EklundD1 O2
CizikasD2 O1
PageauD4 O3
DuclairD3 O2
HorvatD6 O5
HolmstromD3 O2
HeinemanD4 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period