CAR @ MTL 6–4 · 2026-10-06

CarolinaCARHurricanes6

FinalOct 62026-10-06

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	2	2	2	33
MTL	3	0	1	20

Centre Bell

MontréalMTLCanadiens4

CallNo lean · 45% MTL

Star 1T. Hall2G 0A
Star 2Z. Bolduc2G 0A
Star 3S. Aho1G 2A

Closing linesDraftKings

-130Moneyline+110-1.5 +190Puck line+1.5 -230O +110Total 6.5U -130+130RegulationTie +300 +150-1301st period+100+1681st · 3-wayTie +180 +188

Season odds

92%95%+3.1Playoffs57%41%−16.013%14%+1.0Cup1.6%0.9%−0.7

Story

– / 25

Result CAR 6–4Call No lean · CAR 55%Market CAR 54%xG 4.53–1.94 · deserved CAR 88%Swing Jankowski +22 2nd 13:24Method

Goals and penalties with MTL win probability
Time	Event	MTL win before	MTL win after
1st 2:25	Goal CAR · T. Hall	45%	29%
1st 3:23	Goal MTL · Z. Bolduc	29%	45%
1st 4:27	Goal MTL · N. Suzuki	45%	62%
1st 9:22	Goal CAR · E. Robinson	62%	45%
1st 11:41	CAR penalty · T. Hall · hooking · 2 min
1st 12:54	Goal MTL · Z. Bolduc (PP)	45%	63%
1st 14:50	MTL penalty · C. Caufield · roughing · 2 min
1st 14:50	MTL penalty · J. Slafkovský · roughing · 2 min
1st 14:50	CAR penalty · S. Walker · roughing · 2 min
1st 18:55	CAR penalty · S. Aho · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:42	CAR penalty · L. Stankoven · tripping · 2 min
2nd 3:14	MTL penalty · A. Carrier · interference · 2 min
2nd 3:56	Goal CAR · S. Aho (PP)	66%	46%
2nd 4:41	MTL penalty · A. Xhekaj · holding · 2 min
2nd 5:16	CAR penalty · J. Blake · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
2nd 6:51	CAR penalty · T. Hall · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 13:24	Goal CAR · M. Jankowski	46%	24%
2nd 14:59	MTL penalty · N. Dobson · hooking · 2 min
2nd 14:59	CAR penalty · T. Hall · holding · 2 min
2nd 19:17	MTL penalty · M. Matheson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 6:24	CAR penalty · J. Martinook · roughing · 2 min
3rd 7:18	MTL penalty · N. Suzuki · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
3rd 12:21	Goal CAR · T. Hall	12%	2%
3rd 16:57	Goal MTL · J. Slafkovský	1%	6%
3rd 18:45	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (EN)	3%	1%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11J. StaalC	0:48	16:49	26	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0	14-11
48J. MartinookL	0:29	16:55	23	0	0	0	3	4	2	4	0	1-0
50E. RobinsonL	1:15	8:03	10	1	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	–
19K. MillerD	0:30	22:08	27	0	0	0	3	7	0	1	1	–
26S. WalkerD	0:32	20:20	26	0	0	0	1	6	2	1	2	–
32B. BussiG		60:00	SA20GA4SV%.800xGA1.94GSAx−2.06

MTL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14N. SuzukiC	0:11	21:49	23	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	0	9-11
24P. DanaultC	0:11	13:50	18	0	1	1	3	3	0	0	0	5-3
20J. SlafkovskýL	0:11	19:43	22	1	0	1	2	3	2	1	1	–
22C. KreiderL	0:11	14:30	17	0	2	2	1	2	0	0	1	–
13C. CaufieldR	0:11	21:45	22	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	1	–
48L. HutsonD	0:11	29:21	25	0	1	1	2	5	0	0	1	–

Goals

1st
Taylor Hall(1)
J. Blake (1)
xG 0.52deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 02:25+15.671%
Zachary Bolduc(1)
P. Danault (1), A. Texier (1)
xG 0.24backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 03:23+15.745%
Nick Suzuki(1)
C. Kreider (1), L. Hutson (1)
xG 0.06snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 MTL1st 04:27+16.762%
Eric Robinson(1)
J. Chatfield (1), M. Jankowski (1)
xG 0.08deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 09:22+17.555%
Zachary Bolduc(2)PP
A. Newhook (1), A. Texier (2)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 MTL1st 12:54+18.163%
2nd
Sebastian Aho(1)PP
N. Ehlers (1), S. Gostisbehere (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 03:56+20.554%
Mark Jankowski(1)
E. Robinson (1)
xG 0.13backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 CAR2nd 13:24+22.376%
3rd
Taylor Hall(2)
J. Slavin (1), S. Aho (1)
xG 0.11backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 CAR3rd 12:21+10.498%
Juraj Slafkovský(1)6v5
C. Kreider (2), N. Suzuki (1)
xG 0.24snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 CAR3rd 16:57+5.56%
Andrei Svechnikov(1)EN
S. Aho (2), J. Slavin (2)
xG 0.76snapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–4 CAR3rd 18:45+2.299%

Shots

CAR4.53 xG49 unblocked · 19 blocked49 unblocked · 19 blocked

MTL1.94 xG29 unblocked · 9 blocked29 unblocked · 9 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARMTL6Goals44.53xG1.9433Shots2049Unblocked2968Attempts388High danger31/5Power play1/631Faceoffs2630Hits209Blocks192Takeaways515Giveaways1916PIM14

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	22:08	0	0	0	3	7	0.17	−0.17	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	22:02	0	1	1	3	7	0.20	−0.20	1	1	0	1	—	0	+2
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	21:17	0	2	2	1	3	0.12	−0.12	1	3	0	0	—	0	+2
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:20	0	0	0	1	6	0.07	−0.07	1	2	0	1	—	2	-1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	19:56	1	2	3	3	5	0.22	+0.78	2	0	0	1	67%	2	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	17:42	0	0	0	1	5	0.43	−0.43	0	2	1	1	50%	2	+1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	17:39	0	1	1	1	5	0.31	−0.31	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	17:09	1	0	1	3	5	0.81	+0.19	4	0	0	2	—	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	16:55	0	0	0	3	4	0.17	−0.17	4	0	1	1	100%	2	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	16:49	0	0	0	1	2	0.63	−0.63	4	0	0	1	56%	0	0
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	15:53	0	1	1	2	4	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	3	—	0	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	15:45	0	1	1	2	4	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	13:07	2	0	2	4	4	0.73	+1.27	3	0	0	0	—	4	+2
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	12:37	1	1	2	2	3	0.15	+0.85	0	0	0	2	33%	0	+2
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	12:10	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	4	0	0	0	—	0	-1
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	10:22	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	8:03	1	1	2	1	1	0.08	+0.92	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	6:53	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
CAR total		6	10	16	33	68	4.53	+1.47	30	9	2	15	54%	14

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Aho+1.28

Robinson+1.08

Hall+0.91

Jankowski+0.55

Ehlers+0.39

Blake+0.17

Kotkaniemi−0.04

Svechnikov−0.11

Carrier−0.17

Stankoven−0.19

Staal−0.30

Martinook−0.37

Defence

Slavin+0.62

Chatfield+0.34

Miller+0.15

Gostisbehere+0.10

Reilly−0.03

Walker−0.22

Goalie

Bussi−2.05

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Aho·Svechnikov	7:50	12	8	2	80.0%	3	1	0	1	0.31	0.08	80.0%	+0.23	0	0	—
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	7:45	12	8	5	61.5%	6	1	0	0	0.16	0.10	62.4%	+0.06	1	3	25%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	7:15	11	12	6	66.7%	2	5	1	0	0.63	0.14	81.8%	+0.49	2	0	100%
Robinson·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	4:57	8	2	2	50.0%	2	2	1	1	0.10	0.35	22.9%	−0.24	2	0	100%
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	2:10	4	3	1	75.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.10	45.6%	−0.02	0	0	—
Occasional · 6 groups
Hall·Jankowski·Stankoven	0:55	3	1	2	33.3%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.05	40.8%	−0.02	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Svechnikov	0:52	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Hall·Aho·Svechnikov	0:42	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Svechnikov	0:37	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Stankoven	0:33	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Robinson·Stankoven·Kotkaniemi	0:32	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	39:27		53	21	71.6%	23	10	4	2	2.34	0.88	72.8%	+1.47

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 16/20
SV%: .800
xGA: 1.94
GSAx: −2.06

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/14	.786	1.44	−1.56
Power play	4/5	.800	0.32	−0.68
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
High danger	1/3	.333	0.65	−1.35

Jakub Dobes

MTL · 57:13

Saves: 27/32
SV%: .844
xGA: 3.19
GSAx: −1.81

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/25	.840	2.52	−1.48
Power play	2/3	.667	0.43	−0.57
Shorthanded	4/4	1.000	0.23	+0.23
High danger	3/4	.750	1.51	+0.51

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

22:08Miller
22:02Chatfield
21:17Slavin
20:20Walker
17:39Gostisbehere
10:22Reilly

19:56Aho
17:42Stankoven
17:09Svechnikov
16:55Martinook
16:49Staal
15:53Ehlers
15:45Blake
13:07Hall
12:37Jankowski
12:10W. Carrier
8:03Robinson
6:53Kotkaniemi

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARMTL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O5
ReillyD1 O1
WalkerD4 O2
MillerD3 O1
ChatfieldD3 O0
SlavinD4 O0
BlakeD0 O5
AhoD0 O3
SvechnikovD0 O3
HallD0 O2
KotkaniemiD0 O2
JankowskiD2 O3
RobinsonD0 O1
StankovenD2 O3
W. CarrierD0 O0
EhlersD3 O1
StaalD8 O5
MartinookD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period