NSH @ CBJ 2–3 · 2026-03-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	1	1	0	25
CBJ	1	0	2	27

Story

– / 11

Result CBJ 3–2Call No lean · CBJ 62%xG 2.80–3.21 · deserved CBJ 57%Swing Monahan +29 3rd 1:52Method

Goals and penalties with CBJ win probability
Time	Event	CBJ win before	CBJ win after
1st 14:23	Goal CBJ · A. Fantilli	60%	77%
1st 16:26	NSH penalty · S. Stamkos · holding · 2 min
1st 17:43	CBJ penalty · M. Marchment · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:32	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg (PP)	78%	60%
2nd 5:07	NSH penalty · L. Evangelista · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 14:39	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	58%	33%
3rd 1:33	CBJ penalty · K. Marchenko · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 1:52	Goal CBJ · S. Monahan (SH)	28%	57%
3rd 6:07	Goal CBJ · C. Coyle	57%	85%
3rd 6:07	NSH penalty · L. Evangelista · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
3rd 10:03	NSH penalty · M. Bunting · slashing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

NSH6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
91S. StamkosC	0:20	17:34	21	0	1	1	2	5	2	0	1	4-5
9F. ForsbergL	0:20	22:38	23	1	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	–
56E. HaulaL	0:20	20:43	24	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	13-6
77L. EvangelistaR	0:57	20:23	21	0	1	1	2	4	4	0	1	–
81J. MarchessaultR	0:20	18:28	20	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	–
59R. JosiD	0:20	26:52	26	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	–

CBJ5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
3C. CoyleC	0:20	22:11	23	1	0	1	6	6	0	2	2	8-11
4C. SillingerC	0:21	15:48	21	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	–
24M. OlivierR	0:20	15:33	18	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	2	–
9I. ProvorovD	0:20	26:49	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	–
44E. GudbransonD	0:20	21:04	23	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	–
73J. GreavesG		51:44	SA23GA2SV%.913xGA2.48GSAx+0.48

Goals

1st
Adam Fantilli(1)
K. Marchenko (1), M. Marchment (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CBJ1st 14:23+16.777%
Filip Forsberg(1)PP
S. Stamkos (1), L. Evangelista (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 19:32+17.740%
2nd
Ryan O'Reilly(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.14deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH2nd 14:39+25.167%
3rd
Sean Monahan(1)SH
Unassisted
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 01:52+29.057%
Charlie Coyle(1)
D. Severson (1), D. Mateychuk (1)
xG 0.14deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 CBJ3rd 06:07+28.185%

Shots

NSH2.80 xG37 unblocked · 20 blocked37 unblocked · 20 blocked

CBJ3.21 xG52 unblocked · 17 blocked52 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHCBJ2Goals32.80xG3.2125Shots2737Unblocked5257Attempts694High danger21/2Power play0/432Faceoffs3212Hits1417Blocks206Takeaways415Giveaways128PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	26:52	0	0	0	1	4	0.14	−0.14	0	2	0	1	—	0	-3
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	22:46	0	0	0	2	5	0.08	−0.08	1	0	1	2	—	0	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	22:38	1	0	1	3	9	0.32	+0.68	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	21:44	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	1	1	1	—	0	0
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	20:43	0	0	0	1	1	0.23	−0.23	0	3	0	0	68%	0	-1
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	20:23	0	1	1	2	4	0.38	−0.38	0	0	0	0	—	2	-1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	19:15	0	0	0	3	4	0.09	−0.09	0	1	1	1	—	0	0
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	18:36	1	0	1	4	6	0.63	+0.37	1	1	1	1	56%	0	-1
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	18:28	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	−0.12	1	0	0	1	—	0	-2
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	17:53	0	0	0	2	4	0.07	−0.07	0	2	0	1	—	0	-1
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	17:34	0	1	1	2	5	0.27	−0.27	0	1	0	2	44%	2	-2
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	15:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	2	100%	2	0
17T. JostTyson JostC	13:20	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	1	2	1	0	17%	0	0
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	11:58	0	0	0	2	4	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	0	27%	0	0
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	10:10	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
68Z. L'HeureuxZachary L'HeureuxL	8:34	0	0	0	1	1	0.11	−0.11	1	1	1	0	—	0	0
89O. WiesblattOzzy WiesblattC	7:38	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
36C. SmithCole SmithR	0:03	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
NSH total		2	2	4	25	57	2.80	−0.80	12	16	6	14	50%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

O'Reilly+0.70

Forsberg+0.39

Stamkos+0.22

Smith0.00

Wiesblatt−0.09

L'Heureux−0.10

Haula−0.28

Jost−0.28

Wood−0.31

Marchessault−0.35

Bunting−0.53

Evangelista−0.62

Defence

Josi+0.19

Barron+0.12

Blankenburg+0.07

Perbix−0.15

Hague−0.22

Skjei−0.22

Goalie

Annunen+0.23

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Marchessault	10:33	14	6	12	33.3%	2	6	0	1	0.26	0.35	42.2%	−0.10	2	2	50%
Forsberg·Haula·Evangelista	6:44	11	7	8	46.7%	2	2	0	0	0.44	0.39	52.9%	+0.05	1	0	100%
Occasional · 18 groups
Forsberg·Wood·Evangelista	3:17	6	4	4	50.0%	2	2	0	0	0.18	0.16	52.7%	+0.02	0	2	0%
Bunting·L'Heureux·Jost	3:08	5	2	6	25.0%	1	2	0	0	0.08	0.15	34.3%	−0.07	0	0	—
Forsberg·Bunting·Wood	2:01	2	4	2	66.7%	2	0	0	0	0.15	0.08	63.4%	+0.06	0	0	—
Forsberg·Jost·Evangelista	1:38	3	0	7	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Forsberg·Wiesblatt·Wood	1:34	3	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	1	1	50%
L'Heureux·Jost·Wiesblatt	1:20	2	5	0	100.0%	4	0	0	0	0.21	0.00	100.0%	+0.21	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	1:19	6	1	2	33.3%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Bunting·Jost·Wiesblatt	1:12	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Haula·Stamkos·Marchessault	1:08	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	1	1	50%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	1:05	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·Marchessault	1:02	2	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	1	0%
O'Reilly·Wood·Marchessault	0:59	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Haula·Bunting·Wiesblatt	0:49	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·L'Heureux	0:45	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Wiesblatt·Wood·Evangelista	0:44	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	1	0%
Bunting·Wiesblatt·Wood	0:39	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·L'Heureux·Jost	0:37	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Bunting·O'Reilly·Marchessault	0:32	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	46:43		41	56	42.3%	17	20	1	2	1.68	2.03	45.2%	−0.35

Goalies

Justus Annunen

NSH · 57:49

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
xGA: 3.21
GSAx: +0.21

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/20	.900	2.03	+0.03
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.90	+0.90
Shorthanded	1/2	.500	0.27	−0.73
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.36	+0.36

Jet Greaves

CBJ · 51:44

Saves: 21/23
SV%: .913
xGA: 2.48
GSAx: +0.48

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/15	.933	1.36	+0.36
Power play	6/7	.857	1.10	+0.10
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	1/2	.500	0.61	−0.39

Elvis Merzlikins

CBJ · 8:16

Saves: 2/2
SV%: 1.000
xGA: 0.32
GSAx: +0.32

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	2/2	1.000	0.32	+0.32
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.18	+0.18

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

26:52Josi
22:46Skjei
21:44Hague
19:15Perbix
17:53Blankenburg
10:10Barron

22:38Forsberg
20:43Haula
20:23Evangelista
18:36O'Reilly
18:28Marchessault
17:34Stamkos
15:36Bunting
13:20Jost
11:58M. Wood
8:34L'Heureux
7:38Wiesblatt
0:03Smith

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHCBJ

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD2 O2
BlankenburgD2 O2
HagueD4 O3
PerbixD4 O2
BarronD3 O0
SkjeiD7 O0
ForsbergD2 O3
MarchessaultD4 O4
BuntingD1 O1
SmithD0 O0
EvangelistaD1 O1
StamkosD5 O4
HaulaD4 O3
WiesblattD2 O1
L'HeureuxD2 O0
O'ReillyD6 O3
JostD3 O0
M. WoodD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period