VGK @ BUF 2–3 · 2026-03-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
VGK	0	2	0	29
BUF	1	2	0	28

Story

– / 7

Result BUF 3–2Call No lean · BUF 53%xG 3.55–3.85 · deserved BUF 55%Swing Zucker +16 1st 4:02Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 4:02	Goal BUF · J. Zucker	52%	68%
1st 7:39	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · tripping · 2 min
2nd 0:46	Goal BUF · O. Power	71%	85%
2nd 5:44	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	86%	95%
2nd 6:50	Goal VGK · I. Barbashev	95%	87%
2nd 8:27	Goal VGK · P. Dorofeyev	87%	73%
3rd 12:50	VGK penalty · R. Andersson · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min

On ice · final horn

VGK6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
9J. EichelC	2:21	21:19	24	0	1	1	2	5	0	0	8-11
48T. HertlC	2:22	11:47	16	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	3-8
16P. DorofeyevR	2:16	20:48	23	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	–
42B. BowmanR	1:31	18:15	22	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	–
93M. MarnerR	2:17	22:11	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6-9
27S. TheodoreD	2:21	24:29	33	0	1	1	1	6	0	1	–

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9J. NorrisC	0:06	15:35	24	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	7-5
19P. KrebsC	1:49	20:04	25	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	5-1
91J. DoanR	0:07	16:32	24	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2	–
23M. SamuelssonD	1:11	25:15	32	0	0	0	4	9	0	1	1	–
26R. DahlinD	0:07	25:50	29	0	2	2	1	1	0	3	2	–
34A. LyonG		60:00	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA3.55GSAx+1.55

Goals

1st
Jason Zucker(1)
R. McLeod (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 04:02+15.968%
2nd
Owen Power(1)
N. Ostlund (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BUF2nd 00:46+14.285%
Tage Thompson(1)
A. Tuch (1), R. Dahlin (2)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 BUF2nd 05:44+8.195%
Ivan Barbashev(1)
S. Theodore (1), J. Eichel (1)
xG 0.25wrap-aroundClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BUF2nd 06:50+8.013%
Pavel Dorofeyev(1)
R. Smith (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 BUF2nd 08:27+14.727%

Shots

VGK3.55 xG48 unblocked · 11 blocked48 unblocked · 11 blocked

BUF3.85 xG46 unblocked · 12 blocked46 unblocked · 12 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

VGKBUF2Goals33.55xG3.8529Shots2848Unblocked4659Attempts589High danger50/1Power play0/127Faceoffs3428Hits1512Blocks115Takeaways914Giveaways152PIM2

Skaters

Player

Player
27S. TheodoreShea TheodoreD	24:29	0	1	1	1	6	0.15	−0.15	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
93M. MarnerMitch MarnerR	22:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	40%	0	+1
9J. EichelJack EichelC	21:19	0	1	1	2	5	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	42%	0	0
16P. DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevR	20:48	1	0	1	4	5	0.42	+0.58	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
3B. McNabbBrayden McNabbD	20:36	0	0	0	2	4	0.13	−0.13	3	1	1	0	—	0	+1
15N. HanifinNoah HanifinD	19:10	0	0	0	3	4	0.05	−0.05	0	3	1	1	—	0	-1
19R. SmithReilly SmithR	19:04	0	1	1	2	4	0.20	−0.20	2	0	0	1	—	0	+1
4R. AnderssonRasmus AnderssonD	18:16	0	0	0	1	2	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	1	—	2	-1
42B. BowmanBraeden BowmanR	18:15	0	0	0	1	5	0.90	−0.90	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
49I. BarbashevIvan BarbashevL	17:41	1	0	1	3	3	0.29	+0.71	0	0	0	2	33%	0	0
6K. KorczakKaedan KorczakD	17:26	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	1	0	1	1	—	0	0
5J. LauzonJeremy LauzonD	15:59	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	4	1	0	1	—	0	-1
10C. SissonsColton SissonsC	13:01	0	0	0	2	2	0.10	−0.10	3	1	2	2	75%	0	0
48T. HertlTomas HertlC	11:47	0	0	0	2	5	0.22	−0.22	2	0	0	0	27%	0	-2
55K. KolesarKeegan KolesarR	11:40	0	0	0	1	5	0.56	−0.56	7	1	0	1	—	0	-2
23C. ReinhardtCole ReinhardtL	11:01	0	0	0	1	2	0.15	−0.15	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
36R. LavoieRaphael LavoieC	8:34	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	1	0%	0	0
20B. SaadBrandon SaadL	8:14	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	0	—	0	-2
VGK total		2	3	5	29	59	3.55	−1.55	28	10	5	13	44%	2

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Dorofeyev+0.39

Barbashev+0.28

Smith+0.16

Reinhardt−0.12

Kolesar−0.13

Sissons−0.16

Hertl−0.17

Lavoie−0.17

Saad−0.20

Bowman−0.25

Marner−0.29

Eichel−0.29

Defence

Theodore+0.31

Hanifin+0.08

McNabb+0.06

Lauzon−0.06

Korczak−0.14

Andersson−0.40

Goalie

Schmid+0.35

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Barbashev·Eichel·Bowman	14:02	21	13	15	46.4%	7	6	1	1	0.81	0.95	46.0%	−0.14	6	3	67%
Dorofeyev·Smith·Marner	13:56	20	14	11	56.0%	10	6	1	0	0.78	0.72	52.3%	+0.07	1	2	33%
Occasional · 8 groups
Saad·Hertl·Kolesar	5:12	9	6	6	50.0%	4	4	0	2	0.28	0.37	43.0%	−0.09	0	3	0%
Reinhardt·Sissons·Lavoie	5:10	9	5	5	50.0%	2	3	0	0	0.17	0.22	43.6%	−0.05	0	1	0%
Reinhardt·Sissons·Kolesar	3:54	7	6	3	66.7%	5	1	0	0	0.47	0.12	79.2%	+0.34	2	0	100%
Saad·Lavoie·Hertl	1:55	5	4	1	80.0%	0	1	0	0	0.08	0.06	58.6%	+0.02	3	0	100%
Sissons·Smith·Kolesar	1:09	3	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.24	0.0%	−0.24	0	0	—
Barbashev·Eichel·Dorofeyev	0:53	8	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Barbashev·Dorofeyev·Marner	0:48	4	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Reinhardt·Lavoie·Marner	0:35	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
VGK 5v5	54:29		53	54	49.5%	28	26	2	3	2.90	3.15	48.0%	−0.25

Goalies

Akira Schmid

VGK · 58:29

Saves: 25/28
SV%: .893
xGA: 3.32
GSAx: +0.32

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	3.15	+0.15
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.13	+0.13
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.04	+0.04
High danger	1/2	.500	0.87	−0.13

Alex Lyon

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
xGA: 3.55
GSAx: +1.55

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	3.00	+1.00
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.55	+0.55
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/4	.750	1.79	+0.79

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Vegas Golden Knights

Minutes

24:29Theodore
20:36McNabb
19:10Hanifin
18:16Andersson
17:26Korczak
15:59Lauzon

22:11Marner
21:19Eichel
20:48Dorofeyev
19:04Smith
18:15Bowman
17:41Barbashev
13:01Sissons
11:47Hertl
11:40Kolesar
11:01Reinhardt
8:34Lavoie
8:14Saad

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareVGKBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

AnderssonD3 O5
LauzonD2 O4
KorczakD1 O0
HanifinD2 O0
McNabbD7 O4
TheodoreD8 O5
BarbashevD3 O6
BowmanD3 O6
LavoieD1 O3
HertlD3 O4
ReinhardtD1 O2
SaadD3 O3
EichelD5 O5
MarnerD2 O2
DorofeyevD2 O2
SmithD2 O1
KolesarD3 O1
SissonsD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period