PIT @ BUF 5–2 · 2026-02-05

Team	1	2	3	SOG
PIT	2	1	2	32
BUF	1	0	1	27

Story

– / 17

Result PIT 5–2Call PIT 51% xG 4.54–3.16 · deserved PIT 71%Swing Hayes +20 1st 18:47Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 1:46	Goal BUF · J. Zucker	50%	66%
1st 9:18	Goal PIT · A. Hayes	67%	50%
1st 15:54	PIT penalty · E. Malkin · high sticking · 2 min
1st 18:47	Goal PIT · A. Hayes	50%	30%
1st 18:59	PIT penalty · R. Shea · holding · 2 min
2nd 7:44	Goal PIT · B. Kindel	28%	12%
2nd 10:03	PIT penalty · S. Crosby · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 17:54	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:14	PIT penalty · E. Malkin · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:55	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (PP)	7%	22%
3rd 4:13	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · hooking · 2 min
3rd 10:33	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
3rd 10:33	PIT penalty · C. Clifton · fighting · 5 min
3rd 10:33	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · fighting · 5 min
3rd 15:33	Goal PIT · T. Novak	9%	1%
3rd 18:31	PIT penalty · A. Mantha · hooking · 2 min
3rd 19:46	Goal PIT · B. Kindel (SH) (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

PIT4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
2R. McGroartyR	0:14	10:01	16	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	2-0
13K. HayesR	0:14	7:07	12	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	2-4
28P. WotherspoonD	1:29	23:37	24	0	1	1	1	1	0	5	2	–
75C. CliftonD	1:29	17:19	21	0	0	0	0	1	5	5	2	–
37A. SilovsG		59:38	SA27GA2SV%.926xGA3.16GSAx+1.16

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:14	10:40	16	0	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	1-0
48T. KozakC	0:14	10:38	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	4-4
29B. MalenstynL	0:14	11:10	17	0	0	0	2	2	0	4	0	–
4B. ByramD	0:14	26:00	30	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	2	–
25O. PowerD	0:14	25:12	30	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	3	–
34A. LyonG		56:51	SA31GA4SV%.871xGA3.09GSAx−0.91

Goals

1st
Jason Zucker(1)
R. McLeod (1), B. Byram (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 01:46+16.766%
Avery Hayes(1)
I. Solovyov (1), R. McGroarty (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 09:18+17.850%
Avery Hayes(2)
A. Mantha (1), P. Wotherspoon (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 PIT1st 18:47+19.570%
2nd
Ben Kindel(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 PIT2nd 07:44+15.388%
3rd
Tage Thompson(1)PP
J. Quinn (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 PIT3rd 01:55+15.022%
Tommy Novak(1)
E. Chinakhov (1), E. Malkin (1)
xG 0.28backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 PIT3rd 15:33+7.799%
Ben Kindel(2)SHEN
C. Dewar (1)
xG 0.48snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 PIT3rd 19:46+0.099%

Shots

PIT4.54 xG43 unblocked · 11 blocked43 unblocked · 11 blocked

BUF3.16 xG49 unblocked · 11 blocked49 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PITBUF5Goals24.54xG3.1632Shots2743Unblocked4954Attempts607High danger40/3Power play1/530Faceoffs3620Hits1611Blocks116Takeaways417Giveaways1515PIM11

Skaters

Player

Player
28P. WotherspoonParker WotherspoonD	23:37	0	1	1	1	1	0.02	−0.02	5	2	1	3	—	0	+2
17B. RustBryan RustR	23:31	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	1	3	0	1	—	0	0
65E. KarlssonErik KarlssonD	22:47	0	0	0	2	5	0.11	−0.11	2	0	0	0	—	0	+2
87S. CrosbySidney CrosbyC	20:05	0	0	0	6	8	0.44	−0.44	0	0	1	1	52%	2	+1
5R. SheaRyan SheaD	19:29	0	0	0	1	1	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	4	—	2	0
77B. KulakBrett KulakD	18:44	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
71E. MalkinEvgeni MalkinC	17:59	0	1	1	5	6	0.39	−0.39	0	0	1	0	50%	4	0
81B. KindelBen KindelC	17:27	2	0	2	2	3	1.08	+0.92	1	0	1	3	40%	0	+2
75C. CliftonConnor CliftonD	17:19	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	5	2	0	0	—	5	+3
39A. ManthaAnthony ManthaR	16:30	0	1	1	0	1	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	0	—	2	+1
19C. DewarConnor DewarC	15:41	0	1	1	1	3	0.59	−0.59	1	0	0	0	45%	0	+2
18T. NovakTommy NovakC	15:19	1	0	1	2	2	0.36	+0.64	0	0	0	0	33%	0	0
59E. ChinakhovEgor ChinakhovR	13:08	0	1	1	3	6	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
7I. SolovyovIlya SolovyovD	12:08	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
16J. BrazeauJustin BrazeauR	11:11	0	0	0	2	2	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
85A. HayesAvery HayesR	10:09	2	0	2	6	8	0.65	+1.35	2	0	1	2	—	0	+2
2R. McGroartyRutger McGroartyR	10:01	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	−0.06	1	1	1	0	100%	0	+1
13K. HayesKevin HayesR	7:07	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	1	33%	0	+1
PIT total		5	7	12	32	54	4.54	+0.46	20	8	6	17	45%	15

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Hayes+1.34

Kindel+0.39

Novak+0.28

Chinakhov+0.25

Dewar+0.25

McGroarty+0.05

Mantha−0.06

Hayes−0.08

Rust−0.13

Brazeau−0.20

Crosby−0.57

Malkin−0.63

Defence

Solovyov+0.24

Wotherspoon+0.07

Clifton−0.05

Karlsson−0.15

Kulak−0.20

Shea−0.38

Goalie

Silovs+1.18

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Novak·Malkin·Chinakhov	10:45	15	13	10	56.5%	9	7	1	1	0.89	0.78	53.3%	+0.11	2	3	40%
Crosby·Rust·Mantha	9:38	14	6	9	40.0%	3	1	0	0	0.21	0.52	28.2%	−0.32	2	1	67%
Dewar·Kindel·Brazeau	6:58	10	5	6	45.5%	3	3	1	0	0.41	0.36	53.3%	+0.05	1	3	25%
McGroarty·Hayes·Hayes	6:01	10	7	2	77.8%	4	1	1	0	0.39	0.04	91.4%	+0.36	1	0	100%
Occasional · 7 groups
Crosby·Mantha·Hayes	1:15	4	1	3	25.0%	1	2	1	0	0.18	0.06	73.8%	+0.11	0	0	—
Crosby·McGroarty·Rust	1:03	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Novak·Mantha·Hayes	0:48	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Kindel·Brazeau·Hayes	0:46	1	1	2	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.09	0.07	55.7%	+0.02	0	0	—
Novak·Malkin·Mantha	0:45	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Novak·Dewar·Malkin	0:35	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.21	0.0%	−0.21	0	0	—
Dewar·Crosby·Rust	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
PIT 5v5	43:34		39	41	48.8%	24	19	4	1	2.63	2.43	52.0%	+0.20

Goalies

Arturs Silovs

PIT · 59:38

Saves: 25/27
SV%: .926
xGA: 3.16
GSAx: +1.16

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	2.59	+1.59
Power play	4/5	.800	0.56	−0.44
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.69	+0.69

Alex Lyon

BUF · 56:51

Saves: 27/31
SV%: .871
xGA: 3.09
GSAx: −0.91

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/24	.833	2.63	−1.37
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.44	+0.44
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	1/3	.333	0.80	−1.20

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Pittsburgh Penguins

Minutes

23:37Wotherspoon
22:47Karlsson
19:29Shea
18:44Kulak
17:19Clifton
12:08Solovyov

23:31Rust
20:05Crosby
17:59Malkin
17:27Kindel
16:30Mantha
15:41Dewar
15:19Novak
13:08Chinakhov
11:11Brazeau
10:09A. Hayes
10:01McGroarty
7:07K. Hayes

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePITBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KarlssonD1 O7
WotherspoonD4 O4
KulakD3 O2
SheaD3 O2
SolovyovD2 O0
CliftonD7 O0
CrosbyD0 O3
MalkinD3 O5
ManthaD1 O3
McGroartyD0 O1
KindelD3 O4
K. HayesD0 O0
RustD3 O3
A. HayesD0 O0
NovakD3 O2
ChinakhovD3 O2
BrazeauD3 O1
DewarD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period