NSH @ CGY 4–3 · 2026-01-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	2	1	1	36
CGY	2	0	1	23

Story

– / 20

Result NSH 4–3Call No lean · CGY 53%xG 2.76–2.16 · deserved NSH 61%Swing Hague +50 3rd 19:31Method

Goals and penalties with CGY win probability
Time	Event	CGY win before	CGY win after
1st 1:56	Goal CGY · Y. Kuznetsov	53%	71%
1st 11:19	Goal NSH · E. Haula	73%	53%
1st 12:52	Goal NSH · E. Haula	53%	32%
1st 13:15	NSH penalty · C. Smith · fighting · 5 min
1st 13:15	CGY penalty · R. Lomberg · fighting · 5 min
1st 13:15	CGY penalty · J. Beecher · roughing · 2 min
1st 13:15	NSH penalty · M. McCarron · roughing · 2 min
1st 13:15	NSH penalty · M. McCarron · misconduct · 10 min
1st 13:15	CGY penalty · J. Beecher · misconduct · 10 min
1st 13:41	Goal CGY · R. Andersson	32%	53%
1st 15:20	CGY penalty · K. Bahl · slashing · 2 min
2nd 4:08	Goal NSH · M. Bunting	52%	29%
2nd 6:57	NSH penalty · F. Svechkov · holding · 2 min
2nd 9:52	NSH penalty · N. Hague · fighting · 5 min
2nd 9:52	CGY penalty · J. Beecher · fighting · 5 min
2nd 13:55	CGY penalty · B. Coleman · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 13:55	NSH penalty · M. Bunting · embellishment · 2 min
3rd 2:05	NSH penalty · E. Haula · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 12:49	Goal CGY · B. Coleman	11%	51%
3rd 19:31	Goal NSH · N. Hague	51%	1%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
90R. O'ReillyC	0:29	18:50	26	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	2	13-11
91S. StamkosC	0:29	18:11	26	0	2	2	2	5	0	3	1	5-4
9F. ForsbergL	0:29	18:15	27	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	1-1
48N. PerbixD	0:40	20:09	24	0	0	0	3	3	0	2	4	–
76B. SkjeiD	0:29	18:29	27	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA23GA3SV%.870xGA2.16GSAx−0.84

CGY6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
16M. FrostC	1:07	16:27	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	9-9
91N. KadriC	0:29	22:00	28	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	7-13
10J. HuberdeauL	1:18	18:30	25	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	–
27M. CoronatoR	0:29	18:00	22	0	2	2	0	2	0	0	2-6
43A. KlapkaR	0:18	14:59	21	0	0	0	0	3	8	0	1-2
4R. AnderssonD	0:29	26:06	37	1	0	1	4	8	0	2	–

Goals

1st
Yan Kuznetsov(1)
M. Weegar (1), J. Huberdeau (1)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CGY1st 01:56+18.371%
Erik Haula(1)
M. Bunting (1), S. Stamkos (1)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 11:19+19.847%
Erik Haula(2)
S. Stamkos (2), M. Bunting (2)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH1st 12:52+20.868%
Rasmus Andersson(1)
M. Coronato (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 13:41+21.053%
2nd
Michael Bunting(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NSH2nd 04:08+23.671%
3rd
Blake Coleman(1)
M. Backlund (1), M. Coronato (2)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 12:49+40.451%
Nicolas Hague(1)
M. Bunting (3), M. McCarron (1)
xG 0.02slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 NSH3rd 19:31+50.399%

Shots

NSH2.76 xG51 unblocked · 12 blocked51 unblocked · 12 blocked

CGY2.16 xG37 unblocked · 15 blocked37 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHCGY4Goals32.76xG2.1636Shots2351Unblocked3763Attempts522High danger20/1Power play0/242Faceoffs3123Hits2615Blocks127Takeaways422Giveaways1728PIM26

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	22:52	0	0	0	3	4	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	20:09	0	0	0	3	3	0.12	−0.12	2	4	0	3	—	0	+1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	18:50	0	0	0	4	6	0.29	−0.29	0	2	0	1	54%	0	-1
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	18:29	2	0	2	6	9	0.49	+1.51	0	0	0	1	67%	2	+1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	18:29	0	0	0	3	6	0.10	−0.10	1	0	0	2	—	0	-1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	18:21	1	0	1	1	2	0.02	+0.98	0	1	1	1	—	5	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	18:15	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	2	0	3	2	50%	0	-2
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	18:11	0	2	2	2	5	0.33	−0.33	3	1	0	0	56%	0	+3
36C. SmithCole SmithR	17:33	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	7	1	1	0	33%	5	+1
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	17:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	2	—	0	-2
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	16:23	1	3	4	2	5	0.19	+0.81	0	0	1	3	—	2	+3
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	16:16	0	0	0	3	5	0.18	−0.18	1	1	1	0	—	0	0
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	14:43	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	12:39	0	1	1	2	3	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	77%	12	+1
17T. JostTyson JostC	12:39	0	0	0	1	3	0.15	−0.15	0	1	0	0	50%	0	0
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	12:23	0	0	0	1	4	0.41	−0.41	4	1	0	1	—	0	0
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	10:46	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	20%	2	0
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	9:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	2	—	0	+1
NSH total		4	6	10	36	63	2.76	+1.24	23	15	7	20	58%	28

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Bunting+1.69

Haula+1.11

Stamkos+0.46

Schaefer+0.08

McCarron−0.10

Jost−0.14

Smith−0.26

O'Reilly−0.29

Forsberg−0.42

Evangelista−0.47

Svechkov−0.52

Defence

Hague+0.54

Perbix+0.18

Blankenburg+0.16

Josi−0.05

Wilsby−0.09

Barron−0.13

Skjei−0.19

Goalie

Saros−0.83

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Haula·Bunting·Stamkos	9:37	18	10	8	55.6%	5	3	2	0	0.50	0.08	86.2%	+0.42	3	1	75%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	7:59	13	10	7	58.8%	5	4	0	2	0.32	0.61	34.5%	−0.29	0	3	0%
Schaefer·McCarron·Smith	7:46	13	6	6	50.0%	2	4	0	0	0.13	0.22	38.1%	−0.08	1	4	20%
Occasional · 21 groups
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	2:26	7	2	3	40.0%	2	2	0	1	0.07	0.15	32.8%	−0.08	1	0	100%
Jost·Svechkov·Smith	2:20	3	1	4	20.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.04	23.6%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	2:08	7	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	1	1	50%
Forsberg·Jost·Svechkov	1:52	4	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.06	0.03	66.1%	+0.03	2	0	100%
Forsberg·Jost·O'Reilly	1:15	2	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.11	0.02	82.3%	+0.09	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Stamkos	1:09	2	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Evangelista	1:04	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	0	0	—
Forsberg·Haula·Stamkos	0:55	3	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.21	0.00	100.0%	+0.21	1	0	100%
Bunting·Jost·Stamkos	0:52	2	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.18	0.00	100.0%	+0.18	0	0	—
Forsberg·Svechkov·O'Reilly	0:46	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
McCarron·Smith·Evangelista	0:45	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Svechkov·Smith·Evangelista	0:44	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	1	0	100%
Schaefer·McCarron·Evangelista	0:42	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schaefer·Jost·Smith	0:41	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	1	0	100%
Bunting·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:39	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Haula·Bunting·Smith	0:35	4	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.03	30.1%	−0.02	0	0	—
Schaefer·Jost·O'Reilly	0:33	3	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Schaefer·Haula·Smith	0:32	4	3	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.40	0.00	100.0%	+0.40	0	0	—
Forsberg·Haula·Evangelista	0:32	3	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Jost·McCarron·Smith	0:32	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Schaefer·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:30	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	51:37		59	46	56.2%	32	21	4	3	2.61	1.82	58.9%	+0.79

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 20/23
SV%: .870
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: −0.84

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/21	.857	1.82	−1.18
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
High danger	0/0	—	0.38	+0.38

Dustin Wolf

CGY · 59:37

Saves: 32/36
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.76
GSAx: −1.24

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/35	.886	2.75	−1.25
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	1/2	.500	0.49	−0.51

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

22:52Josi
20:09Perbix
18:29Skjei
18:21Hague
16:16Blankenburg
14:43Wilsby
9:29Barron

18:50O'Reilly
18:29Haula
18:15Forsberg
18:11Stamkos
17:33Smith
17:33Evangelista
16:23Bunting
12:39McCarron
12:39Jost
12:23Schaefer
10:46Svechkov

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHCGY

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HagueD0 O2
PerbixD1 O3
BarronD0 O2
BlankenburgD0 O1
JosiD3 O3
WilsbyD4 O3
SkjeiD5 O1
StamkosD1 O5
HaulaD0 O4
BuntingD1 O5
JostD0 O4
SvechkovD0 O4
EvangelistaD2 O4
ForsbergD4 O4
SmithD4 O3
O'ReillyD4 O2
McCarronD5 O1
SchaeferD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period