BUF @ CBJ 1–5 · 2026-01-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	0	0	33
CBJ	3	1	1	35

Story

– / 16

Result CBJ 5–1Call No lean · CBJ 53%xG 4.63–4.29 · deserved BUF 55%Swing Gaunce +20 1st 14:04Method

Goals and penalties with CBJ win probability
Time	Event	CBJ win before	CBJ win after
1st 3:00	Goal CBJ · D. Mateychuk	53%	71%
1st 4:15	CBJ penalty · D. Severson · hooking · 2 min
1st 9:08	CBJ penalty · M. Olivier · roughing · 2 min
1st 9:08	BUF penalty · J. Norris · roughing · 2 min
1st 11:26	Goal BUF · J. Doan	72%	53%
1st 11:52	BUF penalty · J. Bryson · tripping · 2 min
1st 13:41	CBJ penalty · K. Johnson · hooking · 2 min
1st 14:04	Goal CBJ · B. Gaunce (SH)	53%	72%
1st 17:12	Goal CBJ · D. Voronkov	73%	87%
1st 18:01	CBJ penalty · M. Olivier · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 8:04	Goal CBJ · M. Olivier	90%	97%
2nd 19:40	CBJ penalty · D. Fabbro · slashing · 2 min
3rd 10:36	CBJ penalty · I. Provorov · holding · 2 min
3rd 10:36	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · embellishment · 2 min
3rd 11:46	Goal CBJ · C. Sillinger (EN)	99%	99%
3rd 14:33	CBJ penalty · I. Provorov · interference · 2 min

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	1:03	14:28	17	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	–
72T. ThompsonC	1:17	22:42	24	0	0	0	4	10	0	2	3	8-6
89A. TuchR	1:04	19:49	23	0	0	0	5	9	0	2	1	2-0
4B. ByramD	1:09	24:33	26	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	–
23M. SamuelssonD	1:14	20:59	25	0	0	0	4	8	0	1	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		58:34	SA34GA4SV%.882xGA3.85GSAx−0.15

CBJ5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
16B. GaunceC	0:45	16:14	17	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	3	8-6
91K. JohnsonC	0:46	10:51	13	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	1	–
27Z. Aston-ReeseL	0:43	12:48	15	0	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0-2
5D. MateychukD	0:46	24:15	25	1	1	2	1	3	0	0	0	–
9I. ProvorovD	1:06	25:32	25	0	1	1	3	4	4	0	1	–
73J. GreavesG		60:00	SA33GA1SV%.970xGA4.63GSAx+3.63

Goals

1st
Denton Mateychuk(1)
B. Jenner (1), Z. Werenski (1)
xG 0.01wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CBJ1st 03:00+17.971%
Josh Doan(1)
J. Norris (1), O. Power (1)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 11:26+19.247%
Brendan Gaunce(1)SH
Unassisted
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 CBJ1st 14:04+19.772%
Dmitri Voronkov(1)
I. Provorov (1), D. Severson (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 CBJ1st 17:12+14.587%
2nd
Mathieu Olivier(1)
Z. Aston-Reese (1), D. Severson (2)
xG 0.09backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 CBJ2nd 08:04+6.797%
3rd
Cole Sillinger(1)EN
D. Mateychuk (1), Z. Werenski (2)
xG 0.44snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 CBJ3rd 11:46+0.099%

Shots

BUF4.63 xG66 unblocked · 15 blocked66 unblocked · 15 blocked

CBJ4.29 xG49 unblocked · 17 blocked49 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFCBJ1Goals54.63xG4.2933Shots3566Unblocked4981Attempts669High danger30/5Power play0/131Faceoffs2815Hits2317Blocks152Takeaways521Giveaways146PIM14

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	25:30	0	0	0	1	5	0.19	−0.19	2	1	1	0	—	0	-3
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:33	0	0	0	3	6	0.35	−0.35	1	1	0	4	—	0	-2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	22:42	0	0	0	4	10	0.56	−0.56	2	2	0	0	57%	0	-3
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	21:41	0	1	1	0	4	0.12	−0.12	1	0	0	2	—	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	21:30	1	0	1	1	4	0.62	+0.38	0	0	1	2	—	0	-2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	20:59	0	0	0	4	8	0.21	−0.21	1	0	0	2	—	0	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	19:49	0	0	0	5	9	0.71	−0.71	2	1	0	1	100%	0	-2
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	17:38	0	1	1	2	7	0.47	−0.47	0	2	0	0	53%	2	-2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	16:59	0	0	0	2	4	0.26	−0.26	0	1	0	2	33%	0	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	16:39	0	0	0	3	4	0.36	−0.36	1	1	0	0	—	2	-1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	15:53	0	0	0	3	11	0.28	−0.28	0	1	0	3	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:28	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	3	0	1	—	0	-1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	12:36	0	0	0	1	1	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	9:59	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	1	—	2	-1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	9:46	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	8:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	0%	0	-1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	8:15	0	0	0	1	1	0.25	−0.25	2	0	0	0	88%	0	-1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	7:53	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
BUF total		1	2	3	33	81	4.63	−3.63	15	15	2	20	53%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Norris+0.57

Doan+0.47

Tuch−0.05

Ostlund−0.08

Thompson−0.08

Krebs−0.12

Benson−0.16

McLeod−0.16

Dunne−0.20

Quinn−0.24

Malenstyn−0.26

Greenway−0.26

Defence

Dahlin+0.41

Samuelsson+0.22

Power−0.02

Byram−0.09

Metsa−0.14

Bryson−0.33

Goalie

Luukkonen−0.13

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Greenway·Malenstyn·Dunne	6:40	10	3	5	37.5%	3	4	0	1	0.27	0.52	33.8%	−0.26	1	5	17%
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	6:11	8	6	13	31.6%	2	6	0	1	0.39	0.50	43.9%	−0.11	0	1	0%
Benson·Krebs·McLeod	5:05	7	5	7	41.7%	4	3	0	0	0.21	0.40	34.8%	−0.19	1	2	33%
Thompson·Tuch·Doan	4:55	7	8	5	61.5%	3	1	0	0	0.41	0.15	73.3%	+0.26	3	1	75%
Norris·Ostlund·Tuch	3:55	7	5	7	41.7%	3	4	0	1	0.28	0.57	33.2%	−0.28	1	2	33%
Benson·McLeod·Quinn	3:47	9	5	3	62.5%	1	0	0	0	0.06	0.09	39.0%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Norris·Ostlund·Quinn	2:42	7	4	2	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.10	0.09	50.3%	+0.00	2	2	50%
Occasional · 7 groups
Norris·Ostlund·Doan	1:21	3	3	1	75.0%	2	1	1	0	0.43	0.10	80.4%	+0.32	1	0	100%
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	1:10	2	3	2	60.0%	2	0	0	0	0.30	0.06	84.1%	+0.24	0	0	—
Norris·Krebs·Quinn	0:37	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Thompson·Ostlund·Quinn	0:37	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
McLeod·Ostlund·Tuch	0:33	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	100.0%	+0.00	0	0	—
Benson·McLeod·Doan	0:32	1	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.02	0.09	18.6%	−0.07	0	0	—
Greenway·Dunne·Quinn	0:30	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	43:37		55	56	49.5%	24	26	1	3	3.10	3.18	49.3%	−0.08

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 58:34

Saves: 30/34
SV%: .882
xGA: 3.85
GSAx: −0.15

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/27	.889	3.22	+0.22
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.27	+0.27
Shorthanded	4/5	.800	0.35	−0.65
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.58	+0.58

Jet Greaves

CBJ · 60:00

Saves: 32/33
SV%: .970
xGA: 4.63
GSAx: +3.63

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/28	.964	3.31	+2.31
Power play	4/4	1.000	1.19	+1.19
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.12	+0.12
High danger	7/8	.875	1.97	+0.97

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

25:30Dahlin
24:33Byram
21:41Power
20:59Samuelsson
9:59Bryson
9:46Metsa

22:42Thompson
21:30Doan
19:49Tuch
17:38Norris
16:59McLeod
16:39Benson
15:53Quinn
14:28Krebs
12:36Ostlund
8:36Greenway
8:15Dunne
7:53Malenstyn

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFCBJ

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O4
MetsaD2 O3
BrysonD3 O3
ByramD6 O5
PowerD7 O5
SamuelssonD6 O2
DoanD1 O8
NorrisD3 O9
ThompsonD1 O3
QuinnD3 O5
OstlundD3 O4
BensonD2 O3
TuchD4 O4
McLeodD3 O3
KrebsD3 O2
DunneD3 O2
MalenstynD4 O2
GreenwayD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period