TBL @ SJS 7–3 · 2026-01-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	3	4	0	26
SJS	1	1	1	22

Story

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Result TBL 7–3Call No lean · TBL 55%xG 3.96–2.59 · deserved TBL 71%Swing Point +18 1st 2:37Method

Goals and penalties with SJS win probability
Time	Event	SJS win before	SJS win after
1st 2:37	Goal TBL · B. Point	45%	27%
1st 4:08	Goal TBL · D. Raddysh	26%	13%
1st 6:46	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	13%	5%
1st 9:14	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:50	Goal SJS · P. Regenda (PP)	5%	12%
1st 19:03	TBL penalty · J. Moser · roughing · 2 min
2nd 1:21	SJS penalty · P. Regenda · tripping · 2 min
2nd 2:49	Goal TBL · D. Raddysh (PP)	9%	3%
2nd 3:55	Goal TBL · D. James	3%	1%
2nd 9:50	Goal SJS · P. Regenda	1%	2%
2nd 13:07	SJS penalty · W. Eklund · roughing · 2 min
2nd 13:07	TBL penalty · J. Moser · roughing · 2 min
2nd 13:07	SJS penalty · W. Eklund · roughing · 2 min
2nd 14:08	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov (PP)	2%	1%
2nd 15:39	SJS penalty · R. Reaves · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	SJS penalty · R. Reaves · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	SJS penalty · Z. Ostapchuk · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	TBL penalty · J. Guentzel · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	TBL penalty · B. Hagel · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	TBL penalty · J. Moser · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:39	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · misconduct · 10 min
2nd 16:53	Goal TBL · D. Raddysh (PP)	1%	1%
2nd 19:23	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · roughing · 2 min
2nd 19:23	TBL penalty · G. Goncalves · roughing · 2 min
3rd 6:13	SJS penalty · D. Orlov · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 9:00	TBL penalty · Y. Gourde · slashing · 2 min
3rd 12:08	SJS penalty · S. Dickinson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 16:11	Goal SJS · P. Regenda	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:54	10:35	13	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	1-5
93G. GoncalvesC	0:41	13:31	17	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	0-1
20N. PaulL	0:52	16:38	19	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	3-6
51C. D'AstousD	0:57	20:48	25	0	1	1	1	5	0	0	2	–
81E. CernakD	0:55	19:29	27	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA22GA3SV%.864xGA2.59GSAx−0.41

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
23B. GoodrowC	0:41	11:31	14	0	0	0	0	1	12	4	2	–
63Z. OstapchukC	0:35	11:35	16	0	0	0	2	2	2	1	0	7-3
75R. ReavesR	0:53	9:15	12	0	0	0	0	2	4	5	0	–
6S. DickinsonD	0:54	20:03	23	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	–
22V. IorioD	0:33	23:58	25	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	–
33A. NedeljkovicG		53:14	SA16GA4SV%.750xGA2.71GSAx−1.29

Goals

1st
Brayden Point(1)
M. Crozier (1), N. Kucherov (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 02:37+18.273%
Darren Raddysh(1)
N. Kucherov (2), G. Goncalves (1)
xG 0.11slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TBL1st 04:08+13.487%
Brandon Hagel(1)
J. Guentzel (1), C. D'Astous (1)
xG 0.21snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 TBL1st 06:46+7.595%
Pavol Regenda(1)PP
T. Liljegren (1), M. Celebrini (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL1st 10:50+7.312%
2nd
Darren Raddysh(2)PP
N. Kucherov (3), J. Guentzel (2)
xG 0.08slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 TBL2nd 02:49+6.497%
Dominic James(1)
O. Bjorkstrand (1)
xG 0.18backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 TBL2nd 03:55+2.199%
Pavol Regenda(2)
T. Liljegren (2), J. Skinner (1)
xG 0.07tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 TBL2nd 09:50+1.62%
Nikita Kucherov(1)PP
O. Bjorkstrand (2), B. Point (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 TBL2nd 14:08+1.199%
Darren Raddysh(3)PP
N. Kucherov (4), N. Paul (1)
xG 0.06slapClip(opens nhl.com)
7–2 TBL2nd 16:53+0.099%
3rd
Pavol Regenda(3)
J. Skinner (2)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
7–3 TBL3rd 16:11+0.01%

Shots

TBL3.96 xG42 unblocked · 18 blocked42 unblocked · 18 blocked

SJS2.59 xG37 unblocked · 9 blocked37 unblocked · 9 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLSJS7Goals33.96xG2.5926Shots2242Unblocked3760Attempts468High danger53/5Power play1/326Faceoffs338Hits239Blocks182Takeaways719Giveaways1316PIM30

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	20:48	3	0	3	3	6	0.27	+2.73	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	20:48	0	1	1	1	5	0.05	−0.05	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
81E. CernakErik CernakD	19:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	3	—	2	0
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	18:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	33%	0	0
67D. CarlileDeclan CarlileD	17:36	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	16:58	1	0	1	2	6	0.44	+0.56	1	0	0	0	—	2	0
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	16:57	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	0	—	6	+1
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	16:56	0	2	2	1	2	0.22	−0.22	0	1	0	1	0%	2	0
24M. CrozierMax CrozierD	16:49	0	1	1	1	3	0.08	−0.08	2	0	0	1	—	0	+1
20N. PaulNick PaulL	16:38	0	1	1	1	1	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	33%	0	+1
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	15:37	1	4	5	2	5	0.45	+0.55	1	0	0	3	—	0	+2
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	15:19	0	0	0	3	5	0.42	−0.42	0	0	1	2	70%	2	-1
21B. PointBrayden PointC	14:44	1	1	2	2	3	0.16	+0.84	0	0	1	0	64%	0	+2
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	14:28	0	2	2	3	7	0.37	−0.37	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	13:36	0	0	0	2	4	0.38	−0.38	1	0	0	3	—	0	-1
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	13:31	0	1	1	1	1	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	2	0%	2	+2
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	13:27	0	0	0	2	3	0.46	−0.46	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
17D. JamesDominic JamesC	10:35	1	0	1	1	3	0.18	+0.82	0	0	0	1	17%	0	+1
TBL total		7	13	20	26	60	3.96	+3.04	8	8	2	18	44%	16

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kucherov+2.32

Point+0.98

Bjorkstrand+0.89

Guentzel+0.56

James+0.48

Hagel+0.39

Goncalves−0.11

Girgensons−0.16

Holmberg−0.17

Paul−0.20

Cirelli−0.44

Gourde−0.45

Defence

Raddysh+1.56

D'Astous+0.21

Crozier+0.16

Moser+0.13

Carlile−0.11

Cernak−0.20

Goalie

Vasilevskiy−0.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	11:56	16	16	10	61.5%	7	4	0	1	1.29	0.74	63.4%	+0.54	0	0	—
Hagel·Guentzel·Cirelli	9:23	13	11	7	61.1%	3	2	1	1	0.73	0.31	70.3%	+0.42	4	2	67%
Point·Goncalves·Kucherov	8:55	15	10	4	71.4%	5	3	2	0	0.62	0.12	83.6%	+0.50	4	2	67%
Paul·James·Bjorkstrand	7:57	11	11	9	55.0%	5	3	1	0	0.59	0.30	66.1%	+0.29	3	1	75%
Occasional · 2 groups
Paul·James·Goncalves	1:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Paul·Gourde·Holmberg	0:34	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	44:41		51	32	61.4%	20	14	4	2	3.23	1.55	67.6%	+1.68

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 19/22
SV%: .864
xGA: 2.59
GSAx: −0.41

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/16	.875	1.65	−0.35
Power play	5/6	.833	0.94	−0.06
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/2	.000	0.88	−1.12

Alex Nedeljkovic

SJS · 53:14

Saves: 12/16
SV%: .750
xGA: 2.71
GSAx: −1.29

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/10	.900	1.97	+0.97
Power play	3/6	.500	0.74	−2.26
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/6	.833	1.25	+0.25

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 6:46

Saves: 7/10
SV%: .700
xGA: 1.26
GSAx: −1.74

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	7/10	.700	1.26	−1.74
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.21	−0.79

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

20:48Raddysh
20:48D'Astous
19:29Cernak
17:36Carlile
16:57Moser
16:49Crozier

18:08Cirelli
16:58Hagel
16:56Guentzel
16:38Paul
15:37Kucherov
15:19Gourde
14:44Point
14:28Bjorkstrand
13:36Holmberg
13:31Goncalves
13:27Girgensons
10:35James

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLSJS

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

D'AstousD1 O5
RaddyshD3 O4
CrozierD1 O2
MoserD2 O3
CernakD2 O2
CarlileD5 O1
BjorkstrandD0 O6
KucherovD2 O7
PointD2 O6
JamesD0 O3
GuentzelD3 O5
GoncalvesD2 O4
PaulD4 O5
CirelliD5 O6
GourdeD0 O0
GirgensonsD0 O0
HagelD5 O5
HolmbergD0 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period