COL @ CAR 5–3 · 2026-01-03

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	0	1	4	35
CAR	1	2	0	28

Story

– / 16

Result COL 5–3Call No lean · COL 53%xG 4.87–3.39 · deserved COL 71%Swing Nelson +32 3rd 7:30Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 3:36	COL penalty · D. Toews · interference · 2 min
1st 11:58	COL penalty · J. Manson · interference · 2 min
1st 16:33	CAR penalty · W. Carrier · interference · 2 min
1st 18:09	Goal CAR · S. Aho (SH)	47%	68%
2nd 1:47	Goal COL · G. Landeskog	69%	47%
2nd 2:55	COL penalty · Z. Bardakov · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
2nd 4:47	Goal CAR · N. Ehlers (PP)	48%	70%
2nd 7:50	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov	71%	87%
2nd 9:52	CAR penalty · K. Miller · slashing · 2 min
2nd 15:47	CAR penalty · J. Blake · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 0:11	CAR penalty · A. Svechnikov · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:09	Goal COL · B. Nelson (PP)	93%	77%
3rd 1:42	Goal COL · J. Drury	77%	48%
3rd 6:11	CAR penalty · N. Ehlers · tripping · 2 min
3rd 7:30	Goal COL · B. Nelson (PP)	48%	16%
3rd 19:42	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18J. DruryC	0:18	15:20	21	1	0	1	1	3	0	1	3	7-2
20R. ColtonC	0:18	10:42	19	0	1	1	4	4	0	0	0	2-1
95V. OlofssonL	0:18	11:26	19	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	–
42J. MansonD	0:18	18:25	28	0	0	0	3	3	2	1	0	–
84B. BurnsD	0:27	18:21	27	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	–
41S. WedgewoodG		60:00	SA28GA3SV%.893xGA3.39GSAx+0.39

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82J. KotkaniemiC	0:18	11:15	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	1-4
28W. CarrierL	0:18	8:21	16	0	0	0	2	3	2	1	0	–
50E. RobinsonL	0:18	11:03	18	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1-0
21A. NikishinD	0:18	15:30	23	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	–
64J. NystromD	0:18	12:56	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	–
31F. AndersenG		57:58	SA34GA4SV%.882xGA4.35GSAx+0.35

Goals

1st
Sebastian Aho(1)SH
E. Robinson (1)
xG 0.17backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CAR1st 18:09+20.468%
2nd
Gabriel Landeskog(1)
N. MacKinnon (1), M. Necas (1)
xG 0.07wrap-aroundClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 01:47+21.353%
Nikolaj Ehlers(1)PP
T. Hall (1), L. Stankoven (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 CAR2nd 04:47+22.170%
Andrei Svechnikov(1)
S. Aho (1), K. Miller (1)
xG 0.16backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 CAR2nd 07:50+16.387%
3rd
Brock Nelson(1)PP
N. MacKinnon (2), C. Makar (1)
xG 0.13tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 CAR3rd 01:09+15.823%
Jack Drury(1)
R. Colton (1)
xG 0.10snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 01:42+29.152%
Brock Nelson(2)PP
N. MacKinnon (3), C. Makar (2)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 COL3rd 07:30+32.184%
Nathan MacKinnon(1)EN
M. Necas (2), A. Lehkonen (1)
xG 0.52Clip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 COL3rd 19:42+0.199%

Shots

COL4.87 xG50 unblocked · 16 blocked50 unblocked · 16 blocked

CAR3.39 xG45 unblocked · 11 blocked45 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLCAR5Goals34.87xG3.3935Shots2850Unblocked4566Attempts5613High danger92/5Power play1/339Faceoffs2319Hits1811Blocks165Takeaways213Giveaways166PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
8C. MakarCale MakarD	24:35	0	2	2	2	10	0.23	−0.23	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	22:44	0	2	2	0	4	0.05	−0.05	4	1	0	1	—	0	0
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	22:28	2	0	2	7	7	0.73	+1.27	1	0	1	1	59%	0	-1
13V. NichushkinValeri NichushkinR	21:01	0	0	0	3	6	0.49	−0.49	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	20:04	1	3	4	3	4	0.81	+0.19	2	1	0	3	71%	0	0
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	18:52	1	0	1	2	4	0.32	+0.68	1	0	1	0	63%	0	0
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	18:25	0	0	0	3	3	0.26	−0.26	1	0	0	0	—	2	0
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	18:21	0	0	0	2	2	0.04	−0.04	2	0	1	4	—	0	+1
49S. GirardSamuel GirardD	17:25	0	0	0	1	3	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	16:49	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	0	1	1	1	—	2	0
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	16:45	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	0	—	0	+2
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	16:32	0	1	1	4	6	0.77	−0.77	2	1	0	0	100%	0	0
18J. DruryJack DruryC	15:20	1	0	1	1	3	0.10	+0.90	1	2	0	0	78%	0	+1
95V. OlofssonVictor OlofssonL	11:26	0	0	0	2	5	0.46	−0.46	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
20R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	10:42	0	1	1	4	4	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	0	67%	0	+1
17P. KellyParker KellyC	10:27	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	2	0	0	20%	0	0
93Z. BardakovZakhar BardakovC	6:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
16T. MakarTaylor MakarL	5:18	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
COL total		5	9	14	35	66	4.87	+0.13	19	10	5	13	63%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

MacKinnon+1.65

Nelson+1.33

Colton+0.70

Drury+0.56

Lehkonen+0.13

Landeskog+0.11

Necas+0.04

Nichushkin−0.04

Olofsson−0.06

Makar−0.09

Kelly−0.11

Bardakov−0.31

Defence

Burns+0.16

Makar+0.05

Manson+0.02

Malinski−0.02

Girard−0.04

Toews−0.40

Goalie

Wedgewood+0.41

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Landeskog·MacKinnon·Necas	11:48	20	11	16	40.7%	6	10	1	1	0.80	1.42	36.2%	−0.62	3	1	75%
Lehkonen·Nelson·Nichushkin	9:48	14	10	9	52.6%	5	4	0	0	0.79	0.26	75.6%	+0.54	2	2	50%
Olofsson·Drury·Colton	7:19	16	13	3	81.3%	7	0	1	0	0.77	0.01	98.3%	+0.76	1	3	25%
Makar·Kelly·Bardakov	4:43	8	3	1	75.0%	0	1	0	0	0.11	0.07	61.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Occasional · 7 groups
Landeskog·Drury·Necas	1:21	4	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Kelly·Drury·Bardakov	1:03	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Nelson·MacKinnon·Nichushkin	0:57	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Landeskog·Olofsson·Drury	0:45	3	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Drury·Colton·Nichushkin	0:41	5	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.17	0.00	100.0%	+0.17	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Nelson·Necas	0:35	4	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.02	0.16	12.6%	−0.14	0	0	—
Lehkonen·Kelly·Drury	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
COL 5v5	43:49		45	45	50.0%	23	22	2	1	2.81	2.42	53.7%	+0.39

Goalies

Scott Wedgewood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 25/28
SV%: .893
xGA: 3.39
GSAx: +0.39

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	2.42	+1.42
Power play	4/5	.800	0.79	−0.21
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.17	−0.83
High danger	6/8	.750	1.61	−0.39

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 57:58

Saves: 30/34
SV%: .882
xGA: 4.35
GSAx: +0.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.81	+0.81
Power play	9/11	.818	1.53	−0.47
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	10/10	1.000	2.37	+2.37

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

24:35C. Makar
18:25Manson
18:21Burns
17:25Girard
16:49Toews
16:45Malinski

22:44Necas
22:28Nelson
21:01Nichushkin
20:04MacKinnon
18:52Landeskog
16:32Lehkonen
15:20Drury
11:26Olofsson
10:42Colton
10:27Kelly
6:54Bardakov
5:18T. Makar

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLCAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

C. MakarD4 O6
GirardD1 O1
MalinskiD1 O1
ToewsD4 O3
BurnsD5 O1
MansonD5 O0
MacKinnonD1 O6
LehkonenD1 O5
LandeskogD1 O4
NichushkinD4 O7
NecasD1 O4
NelsonD5 O7
BardakovD0 O0
T. MakarD0 O0
OlofssonD2 O0
ColtonD3 O1
KellyD2 O0
DruryD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period