CBJ @ BUF 4–3 · 2025-10-28

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CBJ	1	1	1	1	39
BUF	0	2	1	0	38

Story

– / 12

Result CBJ 4–3 OTCall No lean · BUF 55%xG 4.32–3.52 · deserved CBJ 62%Swing Wood +52 OT 2:53Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 6:09	Goal CBJ · E. Chinakhov	55%	38%
1st 18:27	CBJ penalty · D. Severson · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:39	Goal BUF · J. Doan	31%	54%
2nd 14:12	Goal BUF · R. McLeod	54%	76%
2nd 19:20	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · interference · 2 min
2nd 19:44	Goal CBJ · Z. Werenski (PP)	78%	53%
3rd 0:00	CBJ penalty · K. Marchenko · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:00	BUF penalty · B. Byram · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:00	CBJ penalty · D. Voronkov · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:40	Goal BUF · J. Dunne	53%	80%
3rd 13:55	Goal CBJ · M. Wood	89%	52%
OT 2:53	Goal CBJ · M. Wood	52%	0%

On ice · final horn

CBJ3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21I. LundeströmC	0:30	13:48	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	6-3
11M. WoodL	0:28	13:24	18	1	0	1	2	3	0	4	0	1-1
8Z. WerenskiD	0:08	27:59	29	1	0	1	5	9	0	0	3	–
73J. GreavesG		62:53	SA38GA3SV%.921xGA3.52GSAx+0.52

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20J. KulichC	0:39	19:56	30	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	3	11-12
89A. TuchR	0:29	15:39	24	0	2	2	0	4	2	0	0	0-1
25O. PowerD	0:40	21:07	26	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	–
34A. LyonG		62:53	SA38GA3SV%.921xGA3.70GSAx+0.70

Goals

1st
Egor Chinakhov(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.18backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CBJ1st 06:09+16.962%
2nd
Josh Doan(1)
A. Tuch (1), C. Timmins (1)
xG 0.26wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 11:39+22.854%
Ryan McLeod(1)
B. Byram (1), A. Tuch (2)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BUF2nd 14:12+22.676%
Zach Werenski(1)PP
K. Marchenko (1), S. Monahan (1)
xG 0.04slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 19:44+25.147%
3rd
Josh Dunne(1)
B. Malenstyn (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.24pokeClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 BUF3rd 02:40+26.780%
Miles Wood(1)
E. Chinakhov (1), D. Fabbro (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 13:55+37.048%
OT
Miles Wood(2)
Z. Werenski (1), I. Lundeström (1)
xG 0.62tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 CBJOT 02:53+52.0100%

Shots

CBJ4.32 xG56 unblocked · 21 blocked56 unblocked · 21 blocked

BUF3.52 xG50 unblocked · 16 blocked50 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CBJBUF4Goals34.32xG3.5239Shots3856Unblocked5077Attempts665High danger41/1Power play0/233Faceoffs2523Hits1316Blocks216Takeaways415Giveaways116PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
8Z. WerenskiZach WerenskiD	27:59	1	1	2	5	9	0.21	+0.79	0	3	0	7	—	0	+1
9I. ProvorovIvan ProvorovD	26:13	0	0	0	1	5	0.05	−0.05	3	1	1	0	—	0	0
5D. MateychukDenton MateychukD	22:55	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	0	—	0	-1
78D. SeversonDamon SeversonD	20:07	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	2	2	0	0	—	2	-2
19A. FantilliAdam FantilliC	17:31	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	4	1	0	0	83%	0	-1
38B. JennerBoone JennerC	16:56	0	0	0	4	7	0.37	−0.37	0	1	1	0	57%	0	0
23S. MonahanSean MonahanC	16:05	0	1	1	2	5	0.40	−0.40	1	0	0	0	59%	0	-1
86K. MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoR	15:52	0	1	1	6	7	0.51	−0.51	0	1	0	2	—	2	-1
91K. JohnsonKent JohnsonC	15:38	0	0	0	2	6	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
4C. SillingerCole SillingerC	15:33	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	0	0%	0	-2
24M. OlivierMathieu OlivierR	15:24	0	0	0	2	5	0.17	−0.17	3	0	0	0	—	0	-1
15D. FabbroDante FabbroD	14:54	0	1	1	2	5	0.10	−0.10	0	1	2	0	—	0	+1
3C. CoyleCharlie CoyleC	14:44	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	1	47%	0	-1
10D. VoronkovDmitri VoronkovL	13:59	0	0	0	3	3	0.41	−0.41	3	0	2	1	0%	2	-1
21I. LundeströmIsac LundeströmC	13:48	0	1	1	1	2	0.17	−0.17	0	1	0	1	67%	0	+3
11M. WoodMiles WoodL	13:24	2	0	2	3	4	0.86	+1.14	4	0	0	1	50%	0	+3
59E. ChinakhovEgor ChinakhovR	12:49	1	1	2	2	3	0.30	+0.70	1	0	0	0	—	0	+2
2J. ChristiansenJake ChristiansenD	10:48	0	0	0	1	6	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
CBJ total		4	6	10	39	77	4.32	−0.32	23	14	6	14	57%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Wood+1.36

Chinakhov+1.06

Marchenko+0.57

Monahan+0.01

Lundeström−0.04

Johnson−0.26

Jenner−0.27

Fantilli−0.31

Voronkov−0.32

Coyle−0.39

Olivier−0.43

Sillinger−0.43

Defence

Werenski+0.85

Fabbro+0.22

Mateychuk+0.14

Christiansen−0.02

Provorov−0.09

Severson−0.25

Goalie

Greaves+0.54

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Fantilli·Jenner·Johnson	12:46	17	17	12	58.6%	8	7	0	0	0.71	0.54	56.8%	+0.17	2	2	50%
Voronkov·Monahan·Marchenko	12:01	20	22	17	56.4%	12	8	0	1	1.45	0.85	63.0%	+0.60	7	3	70%
Wood·Lundeström·Chinakhov	11:03	17	12	13	48.0%	5	7	2	0	0.67	0.66	50.5%	+0.01	2	2	50%
Coyle·Sillinger·Olivier	10:29	15	13	10	56.5%	6	6	0	1	0.34	0.80	29.9%	−0.46	3	3	50%
Occasional · 5 groups
Fantilli·Jenner·Olivier	1:20	5	0	4	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Sillinger·Fantilli·Olivier	0:49	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Sillinger·Fantilli·Johnson	0:44	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Monahan·Jenner·Marchenko	0:32	2	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Wood·Lundeström·Olivier	0:31	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CBJ 5v5	55:36		73	61	54.5%	36	34	2	3	3.46	3.16	52.2%	+0.30

Goalies

Jet Greaves

CBJ · 62:53

Saves: 35/38
SV%: .921
xGA: 3.52
GSAx: +0.52

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	32/35	.914	3.31	+0.31
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.21	+0.21
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/4	.500	0.82	−1.18

Alex Lyon

BUF · 62:53

Saves: 35/39
SV%: .897
xGA: 4.32
GSAx: +0.32

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	35/38	.921	4.20	+1.20
Power play	0/1	.000	0.12	−0.88
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/4	.500	1.32	−0.68

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Columbus Blue Jackets

Minutes

27:59Werenski
26:13Provorov
22:55Mateychuk
20:07Severson
14:54Fabbro
10:48Christiansen

17:31Fantilli
16:56Jenner
16:05Monahan
15:52Marchenko
15:38Johnson
15:33Sillinger
15:24Olivier
14:44Coyle
13:59Voronkov
13:48Lundeström
13:24Wood
12:49Chinakhov

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCBJBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

WerenskiD2 O4
ChristiansenD0 O1
FabbroD1 O1
SeversonD6 O5
ProvorovD5 O3
MateychukD5 O3
VoronkovD2 O7
MarchenkoD2 O6
MonahanD3 O6
OlivierD2 O3
JohnsonD2 O3
WoodD2 O2
LundeströmD2 O2
ChinakhovD2 O2
SillingerD3 O3
FantilliD2 O1
CoyleD5 O3
JennerD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period