TBL @ NSH 5–2 · 2025-10-28

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	1	1	3	32
NSH	0	0	2	20

Story

– / 18

Result TBL 5–2Call No lean · TBL 54%xG 5.16–1.59 · deserved TBL 94%Swing Girgensons +18 1st 10:31Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 1:32	TBL penalty · B. Point · tripping · 2 min
1st 3:49	NSH penalty · A. Wilsby · interference · 2 min
1st 10:31	Goal TBL · Z. Girgensons	46%	28%
1st 17:28	NSH penalty · E. Haula · slashing · 2 min
2nd 13:29	NSH penalty · S. Stastney · slashing · 2 min
2nd 15:37	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	22%	8%
2nd 19:15	NSH penalty · L. Evangelista · too many men on the ice · 2 min
3rd 3:00	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
3rd 3:00	NSH penalty · M. Bunting · slashing · 2 min
3rd 3:45	TBL penalty · D. James · slashing · 2 min
3rd 5:05	Goal NSH · L. Evangelista (PP)	4%	18%
3rd 7:58	Goal TBL · C. D'Astous	16%	3%
3rd 9:50	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 15:47	NSH penalty · F. Forsberg · roughing · 2 min
3rd 15:47	TBL penalty · J. Moser · roughing · 2 min
3rd 17:54	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg	1%	4%
3rd 19:07	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov (EN)	2%	1%
3rd 19:33	Goal TBL · Z. Girgensons	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:27	12:32	16	0	0	0	4	5	2	1	0	0-4
42C. DouglasC	0:27	4:37	8	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	–
93G. GoncalvesC	0:27	9:22	13	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	–
51C. D'AstousD	0:27	17:11	20	1	0	1	2	3	2	0	1	–
78E. LillebergD	0:27	16:06	20	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		59:49	SA20GA2SV%.900xGA1.59GSAx−0.41

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
56E. HaulaL	0:27	14:04	23	0	2	2	3	4	2	2	1	11-4
58M. BuntingL	0:27	14:17	18	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	–
71M. WoodR	0:27	13:53	18	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	1-0
20J. BarronD	0:27	18:14	22	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	2	–
41N. HagueD	0:27	20:12	25	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	–
74J. SarosG		57:30	SA31GA4SV%.871xGA3.65GSAx−0.35

Goals

1st
Zemgus Girgensons(1)
P. Holmberg (1), Y. Gourde (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 10:31+18.072%
2nd
Brandon Hagel(1)
A. Cirelli (1)
xG 0.26wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TBL2nd 15:37+14.492%
3rd
Luke Evangelista(1)PP
E. Haula (1), B. Skjei (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL3rd 05:05+13.218%
Charle-Edouard D'Astous(1)
B. Point (1), N. Kucherov (1)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL3rd 07:58+12.297%
Filip Forsberg(1)6v5
L. Evangelista (1), E. Haula (2)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TBL3rd 17:54+3.44%
Nikita Kucherov(1)EN
B. Hagel (1), A. Cirelli (2)
xG 0.52wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TBL3rd 19:07+1.299%
Zemgus Girgensons(2)
P. Holmberg (2), E. Cernak (1)
xG 0.21wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–2 TBL3rd 19:33+0.099%

Shots

TBL5.16 xG45 unblocked · 5 blocked45 unblocked · 5 blocked

NSH1.59 xG26 unblocked · 17 blocked26 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLNSH5Goals25.16xG1.5932Shots2045Unblocked2650Attempts439High danger30/4Power play1/320Faceoffs3916Hits2417Blocks53Takeaways610Giveaways1510PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	23:55	1	1	2	4	5	1.11	−0.11	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
27R. McDonaghRyan McDonaghD	21:51	0	0	0	1	2	0.08	−0.08	1	2	0	1	—	0	+1
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	21:30	0	2	2	1	3	0.68	−0.68	0	1	0	0	38%	0	+2
77V. HedmanVictor HedmanD	21:14	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	1	1	1	0	—	0	0
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	19:57	1	1	2	4	5	0.63	+0.37	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
81E. CernakErik CernakD	18:26	0	1	1	1	2	0.10	−0.10	6	0	0	1	—	2	+1
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	18:15	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	1	2	0	1	—	2	0
21B. PointBrayden PointC	17:30	0	1	1	1	4	0.31	−0.31	0	0	0	4	50%	2	+1
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	17:13	0	0	0	1	1	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	0	33%	0	0
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	17:11	1	0	1	2	3	0.25	+0.75	0	1	1	0	—	2	+3
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	16:06	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	14:32	0	1	1	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	0	40%	0	+2
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	13:14	2	0	2	2	5	0.49	+1.51	1	1	0	1	50%	0	+1
17D. JamesDominic JamesC	12:32	0	0	0	4	5	0.38	−0.38	1	0	0	0	0%	2	+1
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	11:48	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	11:38	0	2	2	3	3	0.38	−0.38	1	2	1	0	0%	0	+2
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	9:22	0	0	0	1	2	0.22	−0.22	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	4:37	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
TBL total		5	9	14	32	50	5.16	−0.16	16	15	3	10	34%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Hagel+1.32

Girgensons+1.32

Holmberg+1.29

Cirelli+0.44

Goncalves+0.05

Point+0.01

Gourde−0.03

Douglas−0.07

Kucherov−0.16

James−0.25

Bjorkstrand−0.28

Guentzel−0.39

Defence

D'Astous+0.72

Moser+0.02

McDonagh−0.02

Lilleberg−0.08

Hedman−0.18

Cernak−0.23

Goalie

Vasilevskiy−0.40

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	9:13	18	9	4	69.2%	5	1	2	0	0.86	0.03	96.7%	+0.83	1	2	33%
Point·Guentzel·Kucherov	8:49	11	7	8	46.7%	4	3	1	0	0.30	0.17	64.0%	+0.13	2	0	100%
James·Goncalves·Bjorkstrand	5:13	8	2	2	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	1	0	100%
Hagel·Cirelli·Kucherov	3:17	8	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	1	0%
Hagel·Douglas·Cirelli	3:13	6	2	1	66.7%	2	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Occasional · 6 groups
Hagel·Point·Cirelli	1:53	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	100.0%	+0.23	0	3	0%
Hagel·Guentzel·Cirelli	1:34	3	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.24	0.02	93.5%	+0.22	1	0	100%
Hagel·James·Cirelli	1:31	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	1	0	100%
Hagel·Girgensons·Cirelli	1:11	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Point·Bjorkstrand·Kucherov	0:56	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
James·Douglas·Bjorkstrand	0:37	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	42:59		37	21	63.8%	23	5	4	0	2.75	0.39	87.5%	+2.36

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 59:49

Saves: 18/20
SV%: .900
xGA: 1.59
GSAx: −0.41

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/10	.900	0.67	−0.33
Power play	7/8	.875	0.86	−0.14
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.05	+0.05
High danger	2/3	.667	0.54	−0.46

Juuse Saros

NSH · 57:30

Saves: 27/31
SV%: .871
xGA: 3.65
GSAx: −0.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/26	.846	2.98	−1.02
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.67	+0.67
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/6	.500	1.38	−1.62

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

21:51McDonagh
21:14Hedman
18:26Cernak
18:15Moser
17:11D'Astous
16:06Lilleberg

23:55Hagel
21:30Cirelli
19:57Kucherov
17:30Point
17:13Guentzel
14:32Gourde
13:14Girgensons
12:32James
11:48Bjorkstrand
11:38Holmberg
9:22Goncalves
4:37Douglas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLNSH

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

D'AstousD0 O3
LillebergD1 O1
HedmanD4 O1
MoserD4 O1
McDonaghD7 O2
CernakD7 O2
JamesD0 O4
KucherovD1 O4
GuentzelD1 O4
GoncalvesD0 O3
BjorkstrandD0 O2
DouglasD0 O0
PointD4 O3
HagelD5 O4
HolmbergD2 O1
GourdeD5 O2
CirelliD7 O4
GirgensonsD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period