NYI @ PHI 3–4 · 2025-10-25

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NYI	1	1	1	0	26
PHI	0	1	2	0	26

Story

– / 19

Result PHI 4–3 SOxG 3.14–2.53 · deserved NYI 60%Swing Zegras +31 3rd 7:32Method

Goals and penalties with PHI win probability
Time	Event	PHI win before	PHI win after
1st 5:52	PHI penalty · T. Sanheim · holding · 2 min
1st 9:12	NYI penalty · E. Heineman · interference · 2 min
1st 9:51	Goal NYI · S. Holmstrom (SH)	50%	33%
1st 16:40	NYI penalty · S. Mayfield · fighting · 5 min
1st 16:40	PHI penalty · G. Hathaway · fighting · 5 min
2nd 3:26	NYI penalty · T. DeAngelo · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 6:15	Goal NYI · A. Duclair	29%	14%
2nd 10:29	Goal PHI · C. Dvorak	13%	28%
2nd 13:30	PHI penalty · C. Dvorak · slashing · 2 min
3rd 1:54	Goal PHI · T. Zegras	23%	50%
3rd 2:12	NYI penalty · S. Mayfield · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:12	PHI penalty · N. Grebenkin · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:12	PHI penalty · G. Hathaway · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:12	NYI penalty · M. Schaefer · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:12	PHI penalty · R. Abols · fighting · 5 min
3rd 2:12	NYI penalty · K. MacLean · fighting · 5 min
3rd 4:21	Goal NYI · M. Tsyplakov	50%	21%
3rd 6:19	NYI penalty · S. Mayfield · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 7:32	Goal PHI · T. Zegras (PP)	19%	50%

On ice · final horn

NYI3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13M. BarzalC	0:16	21:00	24	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	2-8
29J. DrouinL	0:01	19:37	25	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	1-1
48M. SchaeferD	0:23	27:35	32	0	0	0	3	5	2	0	2	–
30I. SorokinG		64:28	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA2.53GSAx−0.47

PHI3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
27N. CatesL	1:00	19:08	25	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	1	3-10
71T. FoersterR	1:15	22:25	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	–
8C. YorkD	0:39	27:07	33	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	5	–
33S. ErssonG		64:28	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA3.14GSAx+0.14

Goals

1st
Simon Holmstrom(1)SH
J. Pageau (1)
xG 0.05snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NYI1st 09:51+17.267%
2nd
Anthony Duclair(1)
M. Warren (1), A. Lee (1)
xG 0.33snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 NYI2nd 06:15+15.286%
Christian Dvorak(1)
T. Zegras (1), M. Michkov (1)
xG 0.07backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NYI2nd 10:29+15.428%
3rd
Trevor Zegras(1)
C. Dvorak (1), J. Drysdale (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 01:54+27.150%
Maxim Tsyplakov(1)
M. Warren (2), T. DeAngelo (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NYI3rd 04:21+28.779%
Trevor Zegras(2)PP
B. Brink (1), C. York (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 07:32+31.250%

ShootoutPHI B. Brink –NYI B. Horvat –PHI T. Zegras GNYI S. Holmstrom GPHI M. Michkov GNYI A. Duclair –

Shots

NYI3.14 xG45 unblocked · 17 blocked45 unblocked · 17 blocked

PHI2.53 xG36 unblocked · 10 blocked36 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYIPHI3Goals33.14xG2.5326Shots2645Unblocked3662Attempts463High danger30/2Power play1/328Faceoffs2724Hits3010Blocks173Takeaways615Giveaways1520PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	27:40	0	0	0	3	5	0.18	−0.18	0	2	0	2	—	2	+1
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	24:01	0	0	0	2	4	0.31	−0.31	1	0	0	1	71%	0	0
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	23:30	0	0	0	3	7	0.23	−0.23	3	2	0	1	—	0	-1
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	22:19	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	−0.10	0	3	0	0	—	0	-1
13M. BarzalMathew BarzalC	21:32	0	0	0	1	4	0.17	−0.17	0	1	1	1	20%	0	+1
21K. PalmieriKyle PalmieriC	20:22	0	0	0	3	7	0.63	−0.63	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
29J. DrouinJonathan DrouinL	20:09	0	0	0	1	3	0.36	−0.36	0	0	0	2	50%	0	0
24S. MayfieldScott MayfieldD	19:38	0	0	0	1	4	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	1	—	9	+2
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	19:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	6	0	0	0	—	2	+1
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	17:09	0	1	1	2	4	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	2	—	2	0
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	16:17	1	0	1	1	3	0.42	+0.58	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
10S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	15:24	1	0	1	1	2	0.05	+0.95	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	13:40	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	1	0	53%	0	0
27A. LeeAnders LeeL	12:41	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
41M. WarrenMarshall WarrenD	11:20	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	1	2	—	0	+1
7M. TsyplakovMaxim TsyplakovR	8:26	1	0	1	3	5	0.16	+0.84	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	8:15	0	0	0	3	3	0.16	−0.16	1	0	0	0	33%	0	0
32K. MacLeanKyle MacLeanC	7:55	0	0	0	2	2	0.10	−0.10	0	0	0	0	100%	5	-1
NYI total		3	5	8	26	62	3.14	−0.14	24	10	3	15	51%	20

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Duclair+0.71

Tsyplakov+0.58

Holmstrom+0.50

Pageau+0.11

MacLean−0.12

Lee−0.14

Cizikas−0.16

Palmieri−0.28

Barzal−0.28

Horvat−0.37

Drouin−0.42

Heineman−0.69

Defence

Warren+0.60

Pelech+0.15

Pulock−0.03

Schaefer−0.09

DeAngelo−0.27

Mayfield−0.34

Goalie

Sorokin−0.45

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Drouin·Heineman·Horvat	14:02	21	7	7	50.0%	3	5	0	0	0.29	0.47	37.7%	−0.19	2	3	40%
Duclair·Barzal·Palmieri	13:25	19	15	12	55.6%	2	6	0	0	0.71	0.52	57.4%	+0.18	3	0	100%
Lee·Pageau·Holmstrom	7:35	15	6	8	42.9%	1	4	0	1	0.15	0.30	32.9%	−0.15	2	3	40%
MacLean·Cizikas·Tsyplakov	6:06	13	10	2	83.3%	6	1	0	1	0.32	0.14	69.3%	+0.18	2	0	100%
Occasional · 5 groups
Lee·Barzal·Holmstrom	0:37	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Horvat·MacLean·Tsyplakov	0:34	2	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.06	0.03	62.6%	+0.02	0	0	—
Heineman·Horvat·Tsyplakov	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Lee·MacLean·Cizikas	0:33	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Drouin·Heineman·Pageau	0:30	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
NYI 5v5	50:47		49	38	56.3%	18	20	2	2	2.22	1.77	55.6%	+0.45

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 65:00

Saves: 23/26
SV%: .885
xGA: 2.53
GSAx: −0.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/21	.905	1.83	−0.17
Power play	4/5	.800	0.70	−0.30
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.53	−0.47

Samuel Ersson

PHI · 65:00

Saves: 23/26
SV%: .885
xGA: 3.14
GSAx: +0.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/22	.909	2.80	+0.80
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.25	+0.25
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.08	−0.92
High danger	2/3	.667	0.76	−0.24

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

27:40Schaefer
23:30Pulock
22:19Pelech
19:38Mayfield
17:09DeAngelo
11:20Warren

24:01Horvat
21:32Barzal
20:22Palmieri
20:09Drouin
19:29Heineman
16:17Duclair
15:24Holmstrom
13:40Pageau
12:41Lee
8:26Tsyplakov
8:15Cizikas
7:55MacLean

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYIPHI

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SchaeferD0 O3
MayfieldD0 O1
DeAngeloD4 O4
WarrenD4 O3
PelechD4 O2
PulockD4 O1
PalmieriD0 O4
BarzalD0 O4
TsyplakovD0 O4
CizikasD0 O3
DuclairD0 O3
MacLeanD0 O2
DrouinD3 O4
HorvatD3 O3
HeinemanD2 O2
LeeD3 O2
PageauD5 O3
HolmstromD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period