BUF @ TOR 3–4 · 2025-10-25

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
BUF	1	1	1	0	26
TOR	1	1	1	1	23

Story

– / 17

Result TOR 4–3 OTxG 2.24–2.04 · deserved BUF 54%Swing Tavares +50 OT 1:28Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 2:32	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · interference · 2 min
1st 7:05	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · high sticking · 2 min
1st 10:09	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · cross checking · 2 min
1st 13:40	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	50%	32%
1st 14:22	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · instigator · 2 min
1st 14:22	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · fighting · 5 min
1st 14:22	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · fighting · 5 min
1st 14:22	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · instigator misconduct · 10 min
1st 18:33	Goal TOR · N. Robertson	31%	50%
2nd 1:59	Goal TOR · M. Maccelli	50%	70%
2nd 4:21	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 14:23	Goal BUF · B. Byram	73%	50%
2nd 17:12	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · interference · 2 min
3rd 6:25	TOR penalty · S. Benoit · tripping · 2 min
3rd 7:06	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (PP)	50%	19%
3rd 13:10	Goal TOR · D. Joshua	13%	50%
OT 1:28	Goal TOR · J. Tavares	50%	100%

On ice · final horn

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
72T. ThompsonC	0:51	18:35	24	2	0	2	5	11	0	0	1	2-0
22J. QuinnR	0:49	15:19	20	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	1	–
25O. PowerD	0:47	23:55	29	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	–
1U. LuukkonenG		61:28	SA22GA3SV%.864xGA1.92GSAx−1.08

TOR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
91J. TavaresC	0:32	17:23	19	0	1	1	4	7	0	1	0	9-6
23M. KniesL	1:03	22:26	23	0	1	1	1	2	0	1	0	–
95O. Ekman-LarssonD	0:25	20:17	29	0	0	0	0	2	4	5	1	–
30C. PrimeauG		61:28	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA2.24GSAx−0.76

Goals

1st
Tage Thompson(1)
J. Kulich (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 13:40+17.968%
Nick Robertson(1)
E. Cowan (1), A. Matthews (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 18:33+18.850%
2nd
Matias Maccelli(1)
J. Tavares (1), M. Knies (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TOR2nd 01:59+19.670%
Bowen Byram(1)
C. Timmins (1), R. McLeod (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 14:23+23.450%
3rd
Tage Thompson(2)PP
J. Zucker (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 BUF3rd 07:06+30.881%
Dakota Joshua(1)
J. McCabe (1), B. Carlo (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 13:10+37.350%
OT
John Tavares(1)
M. Knies (2)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 TOROT 01:28+50.0100%

Shots

BUF2.24 xG35 unblocked · 21 blocked35 unblocked · 21 blocked

TOR2.04 xG36 unblocked · 15 blocked36 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFTOR3Goals42.24xG2.0426Shots2335Unblocked3656Attempts513High danger21/4Power play0/319Faceoffs3820Hits2515Blocks216Takeaways215Giveaways921PIM13

Skaters

Player

Player
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	23:55	0	0	0	2	5	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	2	—	0	-1
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	23:42	0	1	1	2	7	0.17	−0.17	0	0	1	2	—	0	-1
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	22:43	0	1	1	1	2	0.05	−0.05	3	2	0	0	—	2	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	21:48	0	1	1	0	5	0.05	−0.05	1	3	1	1	—	0	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	19:50	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	1	0	—	0	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	18:35	2	0	2	5	11	0.59	+1.41	0	0	0	0	100%	0	0
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	18:21	1	0	1	2	3	0.15	+0.85	0	2	1	3	—	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	17:47	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	2	33%	0	-2
20J. KulichJiri KulichC	15:24	0	1	1	1	4	0.04	−0.04	2	0	1	1	27%	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	15:19	0	0	0	3	6	0.23	−0.23	2	1	0	0	—	0	-2
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	15:08	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	-2
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	15:04	0	0	0	2	2	0.03	−0.03	3	2	0	1	46%	0	-1
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	14:54	0	1	1	1	2	0.27	−0.27	0	0	0	1	0%	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	14:19	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	6	1	0	0	—	0	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	13:34	0	0	0	1	2	0.26	−0.26	0	0	1	1	0%	17	0
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	12:14	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	0	100%	2	0
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	8:39	0	0	0	2	2	0.12	−0.12	0	2	0	0	20%	0	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	7:08	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
BUF total		3	6	9	26	56	2.24	+0.76	20	15	6	15	33%	21

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Thompson+1.14

Kulich+0.43

Zucker+0.26

Krebs0.00

Ostlund−0.11

Benson−0.20

Doan−0.20

Dunne−0.24

Malenstyn−0.25

Quinn−0.31

Tuch−0.47

McLeod−0.49

Defence

Byram+0.54

Timmins+0.44

Dahlin−0.03

Metsa−0.14

Power−0.19

Samuelsson−0.23

Goalie

Luukkonen−1.95

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Kulich·Thompson	10:45	18	12	5	70.6%	4	4	1	0	0.28	0.14	67.2%	+0.14	4	0	100%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Dunne	10:13	18	9	7	56.3%	5	2	0	0	0.25	0.15	62.9%	+0.10	2	1	67%
McLeod·Tuch·Doan	6:46	12	6	8	42.9%	3	2	1	1	0.28	0.34	45.0%	−0.06	2	1	67%
Zucker·Ostlund·Quinn	6:14	9	4	6	40.0%	1	1	0	0	0.11	0.02	82.7%	+0.09	2	0	100%
Occasional · 10 groups
Zucker·McLeod·Doan	1:11	1	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.21	0.0%	−0.21	0	0	—
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	0:54	3	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
McLeod·Quinn·Doan	0:44	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Krebs·Ostlund·Doan	0:44	1	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.03	53.2%	+0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Malenstyn·Kulich	0:42	2	2	2	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.01	82.5%	+0.03	0	0	—
Zucker·Kulich·Quinn	0:39	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	1	0%
Zucker·Krebs·Ostlund	0:37	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·McLeod·Thompson	0:37	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·McLeod·Tuch	0:36	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	0:32	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	47:19		40	39	50.6%	18	17	2	3	1.26	1.21	51.1%	+0.05

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 61:28

Saves: 19/23
SV%: .826
xGA: 2.04
GSAx: −1.96

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/18	.778	1.33	−2.67
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.56	+0.56
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.15	+0.15
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.32	+0.32

Cayden Primeau

TOR · 61:28

Saves: 23/26
SV%: .885
xGA: 2.24
GSAx: −0.76

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/19	.895	1.36	−0.64
Power play	6/7	.857	0.88	−0.12
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.60	−0.40

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

23:55Power
23:42Dahlin
22:43Samuelsson
21:48Timmins
18:21Byram
7:08Metsa

19:50Benson
18:35Thompson
17:47McLeod
15:24Kulich
15:19Quinn
15:08Doan
15:04Krebs
14:54Zucker
14:19Malenstyn
13:34Tuch
12:14Dunne
8:39Ostlund

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFTOR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SamuelssonD3 O6
ByramD2 O4
PowerD3 O3
TimminsD3 O2
DahlinD5 O4
MetsaD1 O0
ThompsonD0 O7
ZuckerD0 O6
BensonD0 O6
DoanD1 O5
OstlundD0 O2
DunneD1 O2
KulichD2 O3
TuchD3 O3
McLeodD3 O3
KrebsD3 O2
QuinnD4 O3
MalenstynD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period