CAR @ DAL 2–3 · 2025-10-25

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	2	0	0	28
DAL	0	2	1	34

Story

– / 12

Result DAL 3–2xG 2.88–3.87 · deserved DAL 66%Swing Heiskanen +35 3rd 11:18Method

Goals and penalties with DAL win probability
Time	Event	DAL win before	DAL win after
1st 4:14	Goal CAR · J. Blake	50%	34%
1st 4:26	CAR penalty · T. Hall · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:17	DAL penalty · M. Rantanen · high sticking · 2 min
1st 19:49	Goal CAR · S. Aho	31%	16%
2nd 1:04	Goal DAL · M. Heiskanen	16%	31%
2nd 4:06	CAR penalty · J. Nystrom · holding · 2 min
2nd 5:41	Goal DAL · S. Steel (PP)	29%	50%
2nd 16:40	DAL penalty · E. Lindell · tripping · 2 min
3rd 9:31	DAL penalty · N. Bastian · slashing · 2 min
3rd 9:55	CAR penalty · T. Hall · charging · 2 min
3rd 11:01	CAR penalty · S. Jarvis · holding · 2 min
3rd 11:18	Goal DAL · M. Heiskanen (PP)	50%	85%

On ice · final horn

CAR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	2:43	22:08	26	1	0	1	3	6	0	1	0	7-10
24S. JarvisC	0:23	18:26	25	0	0	0	2	6	2	4	0	1-1
27N. EhlersL	0:23	16:25	20	0	1	1	0	4	0	1	0	1-1
29B. NadeauL	2:01	12:39	17	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	2	–
37A. SvechnikovR	1:44	15:15	17	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	–
26S. WalkerD	2:19	25:46	30	0	0	0	3	7	0	5	1	–

DAL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
53W. JohnstonC	1:54	19:49	23	0	1	1	5	8	0	2	3	10-11
21J. RobertsonL	1:58	18:33	21	0	0	0	5	7	0	1	0	–
96M. RantanenR	1:07	21:03	25	0	2	2	1	4	2	2	3	–
46I. LyubushkinD	1:58	20:23	24	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	4	–
55T. HarleyD	2:03	25:16	30	0	1	1	1	4	0	1	3	–
29J. OettingerG		60:00	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA2.88GSAx+0.88

Goals

1st
Jackson Blake(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 04:14+16.466%
Sebastian Aho(1)
N. Ehlers (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR1st 19:49+14.884%
2nd
Miro Heiskanen(1)
E. Lindell (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR2nd 01:04+14.831%
Sam Steel(1)PP
T. Harley (1), M. Rantanen (1)
xG 0.07tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 05:41+20.550%
3rd
Miro Heiskanen(2)PP
W. Johnston (1), M. Rantanen (2)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 DAL3rd 11:18+34.985%

Shots

CAR2.88 xG51 unblocked · 31 blocked51 unblocked · 31 blocked

DAL3.87 xG41 unblocked · 10 blocked41 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARDAL2Goals32.88xG3.8728Shots3451Unblocked4182Attempts513High danger80/3Power play2/440Faceoffs3629Hits3010Blocks313Takeaways313Giveaways188PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	25:46	0	0	0	3	7	0.09	−0.09	5	1	0	3	—	0	0
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	22:29	0	0	0	1	4	0.10	−0.10	3	1	1	0	—	0	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	22:08	1	0	1	3	6	0.16	+0.84	1	0	0	1	41%	0	0
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	21:16	0	0	0	2	8	0.12	−0.12	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	18:26	0	0	0	2	6	0.28	−0.28	4	0	0	1	50%	2	0
64J. NystromJoel NystromD	17:57	0	0	0	1	3	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	0	—	2	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	16:44	1	0	1	3	5	0.49	+0.51	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	16:25	0	1	1	0	4	0.01	−0.01	1	0	1	2	50%	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	16:24	0	0	0	3	5	0.36	−0.36	0	1	1	0	53%	0	+1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	15:15	0	0	0	1	5	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	15:00	0	0	0	1	5	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	14:44	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	67%	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	14:12	0	0	0	0	5	0.07	−0.07	4	1	0	1	—	0	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	14:10	0	0	0	2	5	0.38	−0.38	2	0	0	0	0%	4	+1
29B. NadeauBradly NadeauL	12:39	0	0	0	1	5	0.13	−0.13	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	11:16	0	0	0	2	3	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	0	50%	0	0
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	10:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	2	2	0	0	50%	0	0
62C. LegaultCharles Alexis LegaultD	9:58	0	0	0	2	2	0.14	−0.14	1	0	0	2	—	0	0
CAR total		2	1	3	28	82	2.88	−0.88	29	9	3	12	53%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Blake+0.61

Aho+0.25

Ehlers+0.18

Stankoven+0.13

Kotkaniemi−0.08

Jankowski−0.13

Nadeau−0.18

Martinook−0.35

Staal−0.36

Svechnikov−0.38

Hall−0.58

Jarvis−0.73

Defence

Legault+0.04

Reilly−0.12

Walker−0.13

Chatfield−0.25

Nikishin−0.28

Nystrom−0.34

Goalie

Bussi+0.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	11:05	16	16	7	69.6%	8	4	1	1	0.54	0.58	48.2%	−0.04	3	2	60%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	10:04	16	14	3	82.4%	6	2	1	0	0.52	0.07	87.7%	+0.44	3	1	75%
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	8:50	13	16	10	61.5%	2	7	0	0	0.33	0.51	39.5%	−0.18	3	4	43%
Nadeau·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	7:14	12	6	7	46.2%	2	4	0	0	0.32	0.42	43.0%	−0.10	3	2	60%
Occasional · 6 groups
Hall·Aho·Jarvis	1:05	2	0	5	0.0%	0	5	0	0	0.00	0.54	0.0%	−0.54	0	0	—
Martinook·Staal·Kotkaniemi	1:04	2	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	0:51	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Hall·Staal·Blake	0:43	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Hall·Aho·Blake	0:33	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Nadeau·Staal·Svechnikov	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	47:03		63	37	63.0%	22	24	2	1	2.16	2.29	48.6%	−0.13

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 58:08

Saves: 31/34
SV%: .912
xGA: 3.37
GSAx: +0.37

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/27	.963	2.58	+1.58
Power play	5/7	.714	0.79	−1.21
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	7/7	1.000	1.23	+1.23

Jake Oettinger

DAL · 60:00

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
xGA: 2.88
GSAx: +0.88

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.25	+0.25
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.64	+0.64
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.56	−0.44

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

25:46Walker
22:29Nikishin
21:16Chatfield
17:57Nystrom
15:00Reilly
9:58Legault

22:08Aho
18:26Jarvis
16:44Blake
16:25Ehlers
16:24Stankoven
15:15Svechnikov
14:44Staal
14:12Martinook
14:10Hall
12:39Nadeau
11:16Jankowski
10:05Kotkaniemi

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARDAL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ChatfieldD3 O4
WalkerD4 O5
NystromD4 O4
LegaultD2 O1
NikishinD7 O4
ReillyD5 O0
HallD1 O4
EhlersD2 O5
StankovenD2 O5
NadeauD2 O5
JankowskiD2 O4
JarvisD4 O6
AhoD4 O5
BlakeD2 O3
KotkaniemiD2 O2
SvechnikovD4 O4
MartinookD6 O4
StaalD7 O4

Shift starts · darker = later period