NSH @ OTT 4–1 · 2025-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	0	1	3	26
OTT	0	0	1	32

Story

– / 16

Result NSH 4–1xG 3.84–2.63 · deserved NSH 70%Swing Marchessault +23 2nd 12:11Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 2:23	OTT penalty · N. Jensen · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 4:01	NSH penalty · F. Svechkov · interference · 2 min
1st 5:24	NSH penalty · R. Josi · cross checking · 2 min
1st 9:33	OTT penalty · S. Pinto · holding · 2 min
1st 14:41	NSH penalty · N. Perbix · cross checking · 2 min
1st 16:52	OTT penalty · B. Tkachuk · bench · 2 min
1st 19:50	OTT penalty · T. Kleven · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 12:11	Goal NSH · J. Marchessault	50%	27%
2nd 16:53	NSH penalty · E. Haula · hooking · 2 min
2nd 17:31	OTT penalty · S. Pinto · hooking · 2 min
3rd 11:16	OTT penalty · D. Perron · tripping · 2 min
3rd 14:38	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	11%	1%
3rd 17:49	NSH penalty · E. Haula · tripping · 2 min
3rd 17:57	Goal OTT · R. Greig (PP)	1%	5%
3rd 19:06	Goal NSH · J. Marchessault (EN)	2%	1%
3rd 19:48	Goal NSH · C. Smith (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17T. JostC	0:12	11:11	19	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	1-0
40F. SvechkovC	0:12	10:06	17	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	1	2-5
25J. KemellR	0:12	9:46	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-1
20J. BarronD	0:12	15:35	26	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	–
24S. StastneyD	0:12	13:43	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA32GA1SV%.969xGA2.63GSAx+1.63

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21N. CousinsC	0:12	8:14	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-2
89L. EllerC	0:54	12:41	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6-3
15O. LycksellR	0:12	8:18	14	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	–
3N. JensenD	0:12	15:51	27	0	0	0	1	3	2	2	2	–
43T. KlevenD	0:12	13:53	23	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	–
35L. UllmarkG		57:07	SA24GA2SV%.917xGA1.90GSAx−0.10

Goals

2nd
Jonathan Marchessault(1)
M. Bunting (1), E. Haula (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH2nd 12:11+22.673%
3rd
Ryan O'Reilly(1)
S. Stamkos (1), F. Forsberg (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 NSH3rd 14:38+9.399%
Ridly Greig(1)PP6v4
D. Cozens (1), J. Sanderson (1)
xG 0.08deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH3rd 17:57+4.25%
Jonathan Marchessault(2)EN
R. Josi (1)
xG 0.51wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 NSH3rd 19:06+1.7100%
Cole Smith(1)EN
L. Evangelista (1)
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 NSH3rd 19:48+0.0100%

Shots

NSH3.84 xG37 unblocked · 19 blocked37 unblocked · 19 blocked

OTT2.63 xG49 unblocked · 17 blocked49 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHOTT4Goals13.84xG2.6326Shots3237Unblocked4956Attempts665High danger10/6Power play1/522Faceoffs5520Hits2917Blocks193Takeaways312Giveaways1810PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	24:54	0	1	1	4	5	0.19	−0.19	1	1	0	1	—	2	+3
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	22:56	0	0	0	1	6	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	20:06	1	0	1	1	3	0.28	+0.72	1	0	0	1	35%	0	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	19:42	0	1	1	2	4	0.21	−0.21	2	0	1	1	0%	0	+2
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	18:46	2	0	2	3	6	0.65	+1.35	3	1	0	2	100%	0	+2
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	17:22	0	1	1	2	5	0.76	−0.76	0	1	1	0	17%	0	+1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	17:15	0	0	0	0	4	0.51	−0.51	0	2	0	0	—	2	0
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	17:02	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	16:23	0	0	0	2	4	0.11	−0.11	4	1	0	1	19%	0	+1
36C. SmithCole SmithR	15:49	1	0	1	2	5	0.57	+0.43	1	2	0	1	—	0	+1
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	15:42	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	25%	0	+1
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	15:35	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	2	1	0	0	—	0	+2
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	14:01	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	0	29%	4	+2
24S. StastneySpencer StastneyD	13:43	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	11:33	0	1	1	2	3	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
17T. JostTyson JostC	11:11	0	0	0	2	2	0.12	−0.12	2	0	1	0	100%	0	0
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	10:06	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	1	29%	2	0
25J. KemellJoakim KemellR	9:46	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	0%	0	0
NSH total		4	6	10	26	56	3.84	+0.16	20	14	3	12	29%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Bunting+0.41

Marchessault+0.35

Evangelista+0.31

O'Reilly+0.26

Stamkos+0.21

Forsberg−0.10

Kemell−0.18

Smith−0.22

Jost−0.26

McCarron−0.38

Svechkov−0.41

Haula−0.61

Defence

Skjei+0.09

Josi+0.04

Stastney−0.01

Barron−0.02

Wilsby−0.19

Perbix−0.23

Goalie

Saros+1.65

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Haula·Bunting·Marchessault	8:36	15	9	12	42.9%	4	5	1	0	0.17	0.46	26.7%	−0.29	0	5	0%
Jost·McCarron·Smith	8:32	15	7	17	29.2%	2	7	0	0	0.16	0.62	20.4%	−0.46	0	3	0%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Kemell	5:43	8	7	3	70.0%	3	2	0	0	0.21	0.16	56.6%	+0.05	2	3	40%
Svechkov·Stamkos·Evangelista	5:01	8	5	3	62.5%	4	2	0	0	0.21	0.20	51.7%	+0.01	2	0	100%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	3:13	7	4	7	36.4%	2	3	1	0	0.25	0.24	51.4%	+0.01	1	0	100%
Occasional · 2 groups
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Marchessault	1:01	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Bunting·McCarron·Marchessault	0:38	3	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	39:28		39	47	45.3%	18	22	2	0	1.24	1.77	41.3%	−0.52

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 31/32
SV%: .969
xGA: 2.63
GSAx: +1.63

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/25	1.000	2.17	+2.17
Power play	6/7	.857	0.47	−0.53
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.20	+0.20

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 57:07

Saves: 22/24
SV%: .917
xGA: 1.90
GSAx: −0.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/18	.889	1.24	−0.76
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.54	+0.54
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.11	+0.11
High danger	0/1	.000	0.17	−0.83

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

24:54Josi
22:56Skjei
17:15Perbix
17:02Wilsby
15:35Barron
13:43Stastney

20:06O'Reilly
19:42Forsberg
18:46Marchessault
17:22Stamkos
16:23McCarron
15:49Smith
15:42Bunting
14:01Haula
11:33Evangelista
11:11Jost
10:06Svechkov
9:46Kemell

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHOTT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD3 O7
WilsbyD3 O4
SkjeiD6 O4
StastneyD4 O1
BarronD6 O2
PerbixD8 O2
StamkosD0 O7
ForsbergD3 O8
EvangelistaD0 O5
O'ReillyD3 O7
SvechkovD0 O4
KemellD3 O4
MarchessaultD5 O3
BuntingD5 O3
HaulaD7 O2
JostD5 O0
McCarronD6 O0
SmithD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period