TBL @ BOS 4–3 · 2025-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	2	2	0	23
BOS	0	3	0	33

Story

– / 18

Result TBL 4–3xG 4.28–2.39 · deserved TBL 78%Swing Cirelli +16 1st 1:09Method

Goals and penalties with BOS win probability
Time	Event	BOS win before	BOS win after
1st 1:09	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli	50%	34%
1st 2:16	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · hooking · 2 min
1st 3:46	BOS penalty · V. Arvidsson · cross checking · 2 min
1st 13:16	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli	32%	18%
2nd 0:39	Goal TBL · Y. Gourde	16%	7%
2nd 1:09	Goal BOS · C. Mittelstadt	7%	16%
2nd 3:37	Goal TBL · P. Holmberg	15%	6%
2nd 5:31	Goal BOS · J. Harris	6%	14%
2nd 6:41	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · holding · 2 min
2nd 10:34	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · holding · 2 min
2nd 10:34	BOS penalty · M. Eyssimont · roughing removing opponents helmet · 2 min
2nd 11:35	Goal BOS · M. Geekie	12%	28%
2nd 14:24	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · tripping · 2 min
3rd 6:05	TBL penalty · G. Goncalves · tripping · 2 min
3rd 10:03	BOS penalty · T. Jeannot · holding · 2 min
3rd 19:36	TBL penalty · B. Point · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:36	BOS penalty · V. Arvidsson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 19:51	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · hooking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

TBL3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71A. CirelliC	0:24	20:43	27	2	0	2	2	2	0	2	1	5-19
27R. McDonaghD	2:20	22:57	29	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
77V. HedmanD	0:09	24:10	28	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	–
31J. JohanssonG		59:38	SA33GA3SV%.909xGA2.39GSAx−0.61

BOS5 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
18P. ZachaC	0:24	19:34	21	0	2	2	1	2	1	2	3-1
28E. LindholmC	2:08	20:34	21	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	17-7
39M. GeekieC	2:07	20:42	20	1	0	1	2	4	3	0	1-0
88D. PastrnakR	2:16	23:17	20	0	1	1	5	12	4	1	–
73C. McAvoyD	1:44	22:23	23	0	0	0	3	6	0	1	–

Goals

1st
Anthony Cirelli(1)
J. Guentzel (1), G. Goncalves (1)
xG 0.13tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 01:09+16.066%
Anthony Cirelli(2)
J. Guentzel (2), G. Goncalves (2)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TBL1st 13:16+14.382%
2nd
Yanni Gourde(1)
P. Holmberg (1), J. Moser (1)
xG 0.21snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 TBL2nd 00:39+8.993%
Casey Mittelstadt(1)
V. Arvidsson (1), P. Zacha (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL2nd 01:09+8.916%
Pontus Holmberg(1)
O. Bjorkstrand (1), M. Crozier (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 TBL2nd 03:37+8.794%
Jordan Harris(1)
D. Pastrnak (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TBL2nd 05:31+8.514%
Morgan Geekie(1)
P. Zacha (2)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 TBL2nd 11:35+15.528%

Shots

TBL4.28 xG42 unblocked · 12 blocked42 unblocked · 12 blocked

BOS2.39 xG53 unblocked · 15 blocked53 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLBOS4Goals34.28xG2.3923Shots3342Unblocked5354Attempts6810High danger10/2Power play0/519Faceoffs4121Hits3115Blocks129Takeaways621Giveaways1614PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	24:23	0	1	1	0	4	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	2	—	0	0
77V. HedmanVictor HedmanD	24:10	0	0	0	2	5	0.09	−0.09	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
27R. McDonaghRyan McDonaghD	22:57	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	0	1	1	1	—	0	+1
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	22:01	0	0	0	1	6	0.51	−0.51	0	3	2	2	—	0	-1
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	20:43	2	0	2	2	2	0.20	+1.80	2	1	0	0	21%	0	+1
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	19:24	0	0	0	1	7	0.60	−0.60	0	0	1	1	—	0	-2
81E. CernakErik CernakD	19:10	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	3	4	0	0	—	2	0
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	18:59	0	2	2	1	2	0.32	−0.32	0	0	2	3	0%	0	+1
21B. PointBrayden PointC	18:03	0	0	0	4	4	0.79	−0.79	1	1	0	1	54%	2	-1
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	15:46	0	2	2	0	1	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	2	—	2	+1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	15:34	1	0	1	5	6	0.64	+0.36	2	0	0	3	33%	0	+1
24M. CrozierMax CrozierD	14:11	0	1	1	1	3	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	12:14	0	1	1	1	3	0.17	−0.17	1	0	0	0	—	0	+2
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	12:11	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	2	0	0	3	—	4	0
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	11:46	1	1	2	2	3	0.37	+0.63	1	0	1	0	—	4	+2
41M. ChaffeeMitchell ChaffeeR	7:23	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	−0.21	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
14C. GeekieConor GeekieC	6:12	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	2	1	0	0	17%	0	0
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	4:42	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	2	0	1	0	100%	0	0
TBL total		4	8	12	23	54	4.28	−0.28	21	14	9	20	32%	14

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Holmberg+0.86

Cirelli+0.86

Guentzel+0.80

Gourde+0.59

Bjorkstrand+0.52

Point−0.04

Geekie−0.07

Douglas−0.13

Hagel−0.15

Chaffee−0.15

Kucherov−0.20

Goncalves−0.27

Defence

Hedman+0.15

Crozier+0.14

Moser+0.13

Cernak+0.08

McDonagh−0.10

Lilleberg−0.18

Goalie

Johansson−0.59

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Hagel·Point·Kucherov	11:29	15	15	11	57.7%	5	4	0	1	1.21	0.30	80.4%	+0.91	3	1	75%
Guentzel·Cirelli·Goncalves	10:29	13	6	11	35.3%	4	6	2	1	0.59	0.34	63.4%	+0.25	3	3	50%
Gourde·Bjorkstrand·Holmberg	9:15	16	15	8	65.2%	8	5	2	0	1.15	0.18	86.6%	+0.97	1	3	25%
Geekie·Douglas·Chaffee	4:03	7	3	7	30.0%	0	3	0	0	0.03	0.23	11.9%	−0.20	3	1	75%
Occasional · 4 groups
Geekie·Point·Kucherov	1:11	1	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	1	0%
Hagel·Cirelli·Goncalves	0:55	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Point·Chaffee·Kucherov	0:41	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Gourde·Guentzel·Goncalves	0:37	4	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	44:07		47	43	52.2%	19	22	4	2	3.37	1.14	74.7%	+2.23

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

TBL · 59:38

Saves: 30/33
SV%: .909
xGA: 2.39
GSAx: −0.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	1.45	−1.55
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.88	+0.88
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.25	+0.25

Joonas Korpisalo

BOS · 57:59

Saves: 19/23
SV%: .826
xGA: 3.76
GSAx: −0.24

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/19	.789	3.37	−0.63
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.26	+0.26
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.13	+0.13
High danger	2/3	.667	1.89	+0.89

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

24:23Moser
24:10Hedman
22:57McDonagh
19:10Cernak
14:11Crozier
12:11Lilleberg

22:01Hagel
20:43Cirelli
19:24Kucherov
18:59Guentzel
18:03Point
15:46Goncalves
15:34Gourde
12:14Bjorkstrand
11:46Holmberg
7:23Chaffee
6:12C. Geekie
4:42Douglas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLBOS

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

CrozierD2 O3
LillebergD1 O2
HedmanD3 O1
MoserD3 O1
McDonaghD9 O6
CernakD11 O4
PointD2 O4
DouglasD1 O3
KucherovD2 O3
GuentzelD2 O3
GoncalvesD2 O3
ChaffeeD1 O1
HagelD6 O5
HolmbergD2 O1
C. GeekieD2 O1
BjorkstrandD3 O1
GourdeD4 O1
CirelliD10 O5

Shift starts · darker = later period