COL @ BUF 3–1 · 2025-10-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	1	2	0	37
BUF	1	0	0	28

Story

– / 13

Result COL 3–1xG 3.84–2.14 · deserved COL 76%Swing Makar +20 2nd 4:32Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 3:14	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon	50%	34%
1st 4:38	COL penalty · J. Drury · tripping · 2 min
1st 8:56	COL penalty · R. Colton · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 13:42	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · interference · 2 min
1st 16:32	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	32%	50%
1st 18:15	COL penalty · C. Makar · slashing · 2 min
2nd 4:32	Goal COL · C. Makar	50%	30%
2nd 8:54	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · tripping · 2 min
2nd 11:38	COL penalty · B. Burns · tripping · 2 min
2nd 11:38	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · embellishment · 2 min
2nd 11:59	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon	27%	12%
3rd 10:08	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · interference · 2 min
3rd 16:12	BUF penalty · C. Timmins · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min

On ice · final horn

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20R. ColtonC	0:10	13:23	19	0	0	0	3	3	2	1	1	1-0
29N. MacKinnonC	0:49	21:47	21	2	0	2	5	13	0	0	1	10-7
94J. KivirantaL	0:48	11:36	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	–
8C. MakarD	0:52	25:22	24	1	1	2	4	8	2	3	2	–
42J. MansonD	0:49	18:54	27	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2	–
41S. WedgewoodG		59:57	SA28GA1SV%.964xGA2.14GSAx+1.14

BUF6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20J. KulichC	1:39	16:09	21	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	4-6
72T. ThompsonC	1:45	20:14	25	1	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	11-9
17J. ZuckerL	1:42	15:53	17	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	–
91J. DoanR	1:52	17:34	25	0	0	0	4	6	0	1	0	–
25O. PowerD	0:21	23:24	26	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	2	–
26R. DahlinD	0:45	27:19	30	0	1	1	4	7	4	1	1	–

Goals

1st
Nathan MacKinnon(1)
M. Necas (1), B. Burns (1)
xG 0.05backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 COL1st 03:14+16.266%
Tage Thompson(1)
A. Tuch (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:32+18.450%
2nd
Cale Makar(1)
V. Nichushkin (1)
xG 0.21snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 COL2nd 04:32+20.270%
Nathan MacKinnon(2)
M. Necas (2), C. Makar (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 COL2nd 11:59+15.588%

Shots

COL3.84 xG51 unblocked · 12 blocked51 unblocked · 12 blocked

BUF2.14 xG45 unblocked · 21 blocked45 unblocked · 21 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLBUF3Goals13.84xG2.1437Shots2851Unblocked4563Attempts665High danger10/4Power play0/335Faceoffs2720Hits1121Blocks125Takeaways718Giveaways208PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
8C. MakarCale MakarD	25:22	1	1	2	4	8	0.49	+0.51	3	2	0	2	—	2	+2
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	23:34	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	3	—	0	+1
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	21:47	2	0	2	5	13	0.71	+1.29	0	1	1	2	59%	0	+2
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	18:54	0	0	0	1	1	0.09	−0.09	2	2	1	2	—	0	0
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	18:27	0	2	2	3	4	0.26	−0.26	1	0	0	0	100%	0	+2
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	18:17	0	1	1	1	4	0.12	−0.12	0	1	0	0	—	2	+1
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	17:50	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	1	1	1	—	0	+1
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	16:23	0	0	0	2	2	0.10	−0.10	1	4	0	0	55%	0	+1
13V. NichushkinValeri NichushkinR	15:46	0	1	1	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	15:21	0	0	0	2	3	0.07	−0.07	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
18J. DruryJack DruryC	13:40	0	0	0	1	2	0.47	−0.47	0	2	1	2	64%	2	-1
92G. LandeskogGabriel LandeskogL	13:35	0	0	0	2	2	0.28	−0.28	0	0	0	0	100%	0	+1
95V. OlofssonVictor OlofssonL	13:31	0	0	0	4	7	0.37	−0.37	1	0	1	0	—	0	0
20R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	13:23	0	0	0	3	3	0.23	−0.23	1	1	0	2	100%	0	-1
17P. KellyParker KellyC	12:27	0	0	0	2	3	0.23	−0.23	3	0	0	0	33%	0	0
28I. SolovyovIlya SolovyovD	12:04	0	0	0	3	3	0.16	−0.16	2	3	0	1	—	0	0
94J. KivirantaJoel KivirantaL	11:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	—	0	0
54G. BrindleyGavin BrindleyC	10:06	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	0	0%	0	-1
COL total		3	5	8	37	63	3.83	−0.83	20	21	5	16	56%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

MacKinnon+1.24

Necas+0.97

Nichushkin+0.52

Nelson−0.04

Drury−0.07

Landeskog−0.14

Brindley−0.18

Kelly−0.20

Olofsson−0.23

Kiviranta−0.25

Lehkonen−0.26

Colton−0.36

Defence

Makar+0.88

Solovyov+0.05

Malinski+0.02

Toews−0.02

Manson−0.04

Burns−0.12

Goalie

Wedgewood+1.15

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Necas	10:00	15	14	8	63.6%	5	4	1	0	0.42	0.26	61.8%	+0.16	1	3	25%
Olofsson·Drury·Colton	7:10	12	10	7	58.8%	7	4	0	0	0.62	0.15	80.9%	+0.47	2	2	50%
Kiviranta·Kelly·Brindley	5:48	9	1	7	12.5%	1	1	0	0	0.15	0.06	71.1%	+0.09	3	1	75%
Landeskog·Nelson·Nichushkin	5:05	10	4	7	36.4%	2	5	1	0	0.36	0.42	46.1%	−0.06	1	1	50%
Occasional · 9 groups
Colton·MacKinnon·Necas	1:19	5	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Landeskog·MacKinnon·Nichushkin	1:18	2	4	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.35	0.00	100.0%	+0.35	0	0	—
Kiviranta·Olofsson·Drury	1:12	3	0	5	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.21	0.0%	−0.21	0	0	—
Kelly·Colton·Brindley	1:08	2	2	2	50.0%	2	0	0	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Landeskog·Kelly·Brindley	0:55	4	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.01	88.3%	+0.06	0	0	—
Drury·Colton·Brindley	0:43	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Landeskog·Drury·Nichushkin	0:35	5	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.34	0.00	100.0%	+0.34	1	0	100%
Landeskog·Nelson·Brindley	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Kiviranta·Nelson·Kelly	0:32	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
COL 5v5	42:17		44	50	46.8%	25	22	2	1	2.67	1.55	63.4%	+1.13

Goalies

Scott Wedgewood

COL · 59:57

Saves: 27/28
SV%: .964
xGA: 2.14
GSAx: +1.14

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/24	.958	1.85	+0.85
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.27	+0.27
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	0/0	—	0.16	+0.16

Alex Lyon

BUF · 58:20

Saves: 34/37
SV%: .919
xGA: 3.84
GSAx: +0.84

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	2.80	−0.20
Power play	10/10	1.000	0.98	+0.98
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	3/4	.750	1.03	+0.03

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

25:22Makar
23:34Toews
18:54Manson
18:17Burns
15:21Malinski
12:04Solovyov

21:47MacKinnon
18:27Necas
17:50Lehkonen
16:23Nelson
15:46Nichushkin
13:40Drury
13:35Landeskog
13:31Olofsson
13:23Colton
12:27Kelly
11:36Kiviranta
10:06Brindley

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MalinskiD0 O2
SolovyovD2 O1
BurnsD6 O3
ToewsD4 O1
MakarD4 O1
MansonD7 O3
ColtonD1 O5
KivirantaD0 O3
LandeskogD1 O3
OlofssonD2 O4
BrindleyD1 O2
NichushkinD3 O3
NelsonD4 O3
LehkonenD3 O2
KellyD3 O2
MacKinnonD4 O2
NecasD4 O2
DruryD5 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period