OTT @ FLA 2–6 · 2025-10-11

Team	1	2	3	SOG
OTT	1	0	1	28
FLA	2	2	2	27

Story

– / 14

Result FLA 6–2xG 1.90–3.01 · deserved FLA 70%Swing Marchand +17 1st 6:08Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 6:08	Goal FLA · B. Marchand	50%	67%
1st 7:33	FLA penalty · M. Samoskevich · high sticking · 2 min
1st 9:54	Goal FLA · E. Rodrigues	67%	81%
1st 17:33	Goal OTT · S. Pinto	83%	69%
1st 19:01	OTT penalty · R. Greig · interference · 2 min
2nd 0:35	Goal FLA · A. Ekblad (PP)	69%	84%
2nd 5:38	OTT penalty · M. Amadio · tripping · 2 min
2nd 17:03	OTT penalty · B. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:28	Goal FLA · A. Lundell (PP)	91%	97%
3rd 3:42	OTT penalty · T. Chabot · high sticking double minor · 4 min
3rd 5:29	Goal FLA · M. Samoskevich (PP)	99%	100%
3rd 11:14	Goal FLA · S. Reinhart	100%	100%
3rd 12:41	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · tripping · 2 min
3rd 17:35	Goal OTT · S. Pinto	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21N. CousinsC	0:27	11:04	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	–
89L. EllerC	0:33	12:35	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	8-5
23K. MacDermidL	0:33	6:47	11	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	–
33N. MatinpaloD	0:58	16:45	26	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	–
37D. SebrangoD	0:56	16:09	23	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
35L. UllmarkG		59:59	SA27GA6SV%.778xGA3.01GSAx−2.99

FLA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13S. ReinhartC	1:15	19:19	22	1	0	1	3	5	0	1	0	2-7
15A. LundellC	1:00	16:29	23	1	1	2	2	3	0	0	1	2-8
27E. LuostarinenC	1:11	15:31	21	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	–
5A. EkbladD	0:30	22:55	29	1	1	2	2	4	0	2	0	–
42G. ForslingD	0:39	19:53	25	0	2	2	0	2	0	0	2	–
72S. BobrovskyG		60:00	SA28GA2SV%.929xGA1.90GSAx−0.10

Goals

1st
Brad Marchand(1)
S. Jones (1), G. Forsling (1)
xG 0.05backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 FLA1st 06:08+16.667%
Evan Rodrigues(1)
A. Ekblad (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 FLA1st 09:54+14.081%
Shane Pinto(1)
R. Greig (1)
xG 0.24wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 FLA1st 17:33+14.631%
2nd
Aaron Ekblad(1)PP
B. Marchand (1), S. Jones (2)
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 FLA2nd 00:35+14.884%
Anton Lundell(1)PP
J. Petry (1), C. Verhaeghe (1)
xG 0.14tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 FLA2nd 18:28+6.697%
3rd
Mackie Samoskevich(1)PP
A. Lundell (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 FLA3rd 05:29+0.7100%
Sam Reinhart(1)
G. Forsling (2)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–6 FLA3rd 11:14+0.0100%
Shane Pinto(2)
C. Giroux (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–6 FLA3rd 17:35+0.00%

Shots

OTT1.90 xG37 unblocked · 11 blocked37 unblocked · 11 blocked

FLA3.01 xG36 unblocked · 18 blocked36 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

OTTFLA2Goals61.90xG3.0128Shots2737Unblocked3648Attempts543High danger70/2Power play3/541Faceoffs2027Hits2818Blocks1113Takeaways522Giveaways1710PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
85J. SandersonJake SandersonD	22:25	0	0	0	3	4	0.10	−0.10	0	0	2	3	—	0	-1
2A. ZubArtem ZubD	20:57	0	0	0	2	2	0.09	−0.09	3	4	0	3	—	0	-2
72T. ChabotThomas ChabotD	20:41	0	0	0	1	3	0.10	−0.10	0	2	1	0	—	4	0
3N. JensenNick JensenD	19:06	0	0	0	2	3	0.06	−0.06	4	1	0	3	—	0	+1
18T. StützleTim StützleC	18:50	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	3	1	0	2	82%	0	-1
24D. CozensDylan CozensC	17:23	0	0	0	4	5	0.15	−0.15	5	0	0	0	50%	0	0
20F. ZetterlundFabian ZetterlundL	17:16	0	0	0	2	2	0.09	−0.09	3	0	1	0	—	0	0
33N. MatinpaloNikolas MatinpaloD	16:45	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	−0.01	1	5	2	2	—	0	0
7B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	16:34	0	0	0	3	7	0.15	−0.15	1	0	1	2	100%	2	0
12S. PintoShane PintoC	16:21	2	0	2	5	6	0.71	+1.29	0	1	4	0	80%	0	+1
37D. SebrangoDonovan SebrangoD	16:09	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
22M. AmadioMichael AmadioR	15:09	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	2	1	—	2	-1
57D. PerronDavid PerronL	15:08	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
71R. GreigRidly GreigC	14:37	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	2	40%	2	0
28C. GirouxClaude GirouxR	13:28	0	1	1	2	4	0.11	−0.11	0	0	0	0	60%	0	0
89L. EllerLars EllerC	12:35	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	3	0	0	1	62%	0	-1
21N. CousinsNick CousinsC	11:04	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	0	-1
23K. MacDermidKurtis MacDermidL	6:47	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
OTT total		2	2	4	28	48	1.90	+0.10	27	17	13	22	67%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Pinto+1.27

Giroux+0.32

Greig+0.09

MacDermid−0.11

Perron−0.11

Cousins−0.27

Amadio−0.31

Eller−0.36

Cozens−0.38

Zetterlund−0.39

Stützle−0.44

Tkachuk−0.46

Defence

Matinpalo+0.23

Zub+0.01

Jensen−0.09

Sebrango−0.18

Sanderson−0.27

Chabot−0.35

Goalie

Ullmark−2.97

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Perron·Cozens·Amadio	10:26	19	10	5	66.7%	7	1	0	0	0.30	0.13	70.6%	+0.18	3	2	60%
Tkachuk·Zetterlund·Stützle	10:05	13	8	6	57.1%	4	1	0	0	0.30	0.13	69.7%	+0.17	3	0	100%
Pinto·Greig·Giroux	6:30	15	9	6	60.0%	6	4	2	1	0.72	0.39	64.8%	+0.33	2	3	40%
MacDermid·Cousins·Eller	6:10	10	2	12	14.3%	0	5	0	0	0.03	0.42	6.3%	−0.39	1	0	100%
Occasional · 9 groups
Cousins·Eller·Amadio	2:15	3	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	1	0.06	0.03	68.6%	+0.03	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Zetterlund·Pinto	1:33	4	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Perron·Cousins·Eller	1:05	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Tkachuk·Stützle·Cozens	1:03	2	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	2	0%
Stützle·Greig·Giroux	0:50	5	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Zetterlund·Greig·Giroux	0:43	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.08	0.09	45.1%	−0.02	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Cousins·Eller	0:42	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Zetterlund·Perron·Cozens	0:39	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Cozens·Greig·Amadio	0:31	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.16	20.9%	−0.12	0	0	—
OTT 5v5	47:13		41	41	50.0%	23	19	2	3	1.68	1.96	46.1%	−0.28

Goalies

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 59:59

Saves: 21/27
SV%: .778
xGA: 3.01
GSAx: −2.99

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/19	.842	1.96	−1.04
Power play	5/8	.625	1.05	−1.95
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/7	.714	1.38	−0.62

Sergei Bobrovsky

FLA · 60:00

Saves: 26/28
SV%: .929
xGA: 1.90
GSAx: −0.10

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	1.68	−0.32
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.18	+0.18
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.04	+0.04
High danger	2/3	.667	0.59	−0.41

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Ottawa Senators

Minutes

22:25Sanderson
20:57Zub
20:41Chabot
19:06Jensen
16:45Matinpalo
16:09Sebrango

18:50Stützle
17:23Cozens
17:16Zetterlund
16:34Tkachuk
16:21Pinto
15:09Amadio
15:08Perron
14:37Greig
13:28Giroux
12:35Eller
11:04Cousins
6:47MacDermid

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareOTTFLA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JensenD3 O6
ChabotD4 O5
SebrangoD2 O1
MatinpaloD2 O1
SandersonD7 O4
ZubD8 O0
ZetterlundD1 O5
TkachukD2 O6
StützleD3 O5
CousinsD1 O2
PerronD4 O4
MacDermidD0 O0
AmadioD3 O3
PintoD5 O5
EllerD2 O1
CozensD4 O3
GirouxD4 O2
GreigD6 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period