BUF @ BOS 1–3 · 2025-10-11

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	0	1	22
BOS	1	1	1	31

Story

– / 12

Result BOS 3–1xG 1.71–4.03 · deserved BOS 86%Swing Zacha +18 1st 15:48Method

Goals and penalties with BOS win probability
Time	Event	BOS win before	BOS win after
1st 10:41	BUF penalty · C. Timmins · hooking · 2 min
1st 15:48	Goal BOS · P. Zacha	50%	68%
1st 16:22	BUF penalty · J. Kulich · tripping · 2 min
2nd 0:43	BOS penalty · M. Geekie · hooking · 2 min
2nd 5:38	BOS penalty · F. Minten · tripping · 2 min
2nd 7:39	BUF penalty · O. Power · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:21	Goal BOS · M. Kastelic	72%	87%
2nd 17:50	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · interference · 2 min
2nd 18:46	BOS penalty · D. Pastrnak · interference · 2 min
3rd 9:46	Goal BUF · J. Zucker	96%	83%
3rd 10:07	BOS penalty · C. McAvoy · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:57	Goal BOS · S. Kuraly (EN)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29B. MalenstynL	0:03	7:50	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	–
55M. GeertsenL	0:03	4:48	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	–
15J. DanforthR	0:03	13:27	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	5-2
4B. ByramD	0:03	24:44	31	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	–
78J. BrysonD	0:03	9:27	16	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	–
34A. LyonG		57:45	SA30GA2SV%.933xGA3.07GSAx+1.07

BOS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
81M. EyssimontC	0:03	11:11	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
93F. MintenC	0:03	12:52	20	0	0	0	3	3	2	2	1	5-7
84T. JeannotL	0:03	14:45	18	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	–
20H. JokiharjuD	0:03	13:35	22	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	2	–
43J. HarrisD	0:03	16:25	23	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	–
1J. SwaymanG		60:00	SA22GA1SV%.955xGA1.71GSAx+0.71

Goals

1st
Pavel Zacha(1)
J. Harris (1), A. Peeke (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BOS1st 15:48+18.368%
2nd
Mark Kastelic(1)
C. McAvoy (1)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BOS2nd 10:21+15.487%
3rd
Jason Zucker(1)
M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BOS3rd 09:46+13.117%
Sean Kuraly(1)EN
E. Lindholm (1), M. Kastelic (1)
xG 0.46tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BOS3rd 19:57+0.0100%

Shots

BUF1.71 xG39 unblocked · 18 blocked39 unblocked · 18 blocked

BOS4.03 xG50 unblocked · 16 blocked50 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFBOS1Goals31.71xG4.0322Shots3139Unblocked5057Attempts662High danger60/4Power play0/426Faceoffs3032Hits2516Blocks181Takeaways218Giveaways158PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	27:15	0	0	0	0	6	0.02	−0.02	3	0	0	4	—	0	-1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:44	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	1	1	0	2	—	0	-1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	22:07	0	0	0	2	6	0.15	−0.15	1	1	0	1	—	2	-1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	21:46	0	0	0	8	11	0.34	−0.34	6	0	0	2	100%	2	-2
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	20:52	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	19:29	1	0	1	3	7	0.27	+0.73	3	1	0	0	—	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	19:08	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	1	33%	0	0
20J. KulichJiri KulichC	18:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	1	2	0	2	47%	2	-2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	16:28	0	1	1	0	3	0.01	−0.01	2	3	0	0	—	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:00	0	0	0	3	3	0.45	−0.45	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	15:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	1	—	2	-1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	14:44	0	0	0	1	5	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:11	0	0	0	3	5	0.11	−0.11	3	0	0	0	29%	0	0
15J. DanforthJustin DanforthR	13:27	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	3	1	0	1	71%	0	0
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	9:27	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	7:50	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	7:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	1	1	57%	0	0
55M. GeertsenMason GeertsenL	4:48	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
BUF total		1	1	2	22	57	1.71	−0.71	32	16	1	17	46%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Zucker+0.30

Kozak−0.06

Doan−0.09

Geertsen−0.10

Malenstyn−0.24

Danforth−0.26

Krebs−0.31

Quinn−0.41

Tuch−0.47

Kulich−0.51

McLeod−0.52

Thompson−0.53

Defence

Samuelsson+0.31

Bryson+0.02

Timmins−0.17

Power−0.27

Dahlin−0.31

Byram−0.37

Goalie

Lyon+1.09

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Zucker·Kulich·Thompson	8:19	16	9	12	42.9%	4	9	0	1	0.24	0.45	34.5%	−0.21	1	1	50%
McLeod·Quinn·Tuch	4:56	9	3	7	30.0%	1	4	0	1	0.05	0.75	6.8%	−0.69	0	0	—
Krebs·Danforth·Doan	4:45	8	5	2	71.4%	1	1	0	0	0.05	0.06	41.5%	−0.02	1	3	25%
Zucker·McLeod·Tuch	3:22	9	3	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Geertsen·Kozak	3:20	7	2	4	33.3%	0	2	0	0	0.02	0.09	16.0%	−0.08	1	1	50%
Krebs·Quinn·Doan	2:47	6	5	2	71.4%	2	0	0	0	0.11	0.06	65.8%	+0.05	0	0	—
Kulich·Thompson·Doan	2:29	5	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	1	0	100%
Occasional · 8 groups
Kulich·Thompson·Danforth	1:27	3	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.04	22.4%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Krebs·Danforth·Quinn	1:12	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Danforth	0:47	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Geertsen·Krebs·Doan	0:40	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Kozak·Thompson	0:39	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Zucker·Krebs·McLeod	0:39	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Kozak·Danforth	0:37	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	1	0	100%
Geertsen·Kozak·Doan	0:30	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	42:49		38	41	48.1%	13	20	1	2	0.78	1.99	28.3%	−1.20

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 57:45

Saves: 28/30
SV%: .933
xGA: 3.07
GSAx: +1.07

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/20	.900	1.99	−0.01
Power play	8/8	1.000	0.86	+0.86
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.23	+0.23
High danger	3/4	.750	0.91	−0.09

Jeremy Swayman

BOS · 60:00

Saves: 21/22
SV%: .955
xGA: 1.71
GSAx: +0.71

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/16	.938	1.12	+0.12
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.54	+0.54
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.04	+0.04
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.45	+0.45

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

27:15Dahlin
24:44Byram
22:07Power
16:28Samuelsson
15:36Timmins
9:27Bryson

21:46Thompson
20:52Tuch
19:29Zucker
19:08McLeod
18:54Kulich
16:00Doan
14:44Quinn
14:11Krebs
13:27Danforth
7:50Malenstyn
7:29Kozak
4:48Geertsen

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFBOS

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD3 O7
BrysonD0 O1
ByramD2 O3
TimminsD4 O3
SamuelssonD5 O4
PowerD4 O2
ThompsonD1 O5
KulichD1 O5
ZuckerD0 O3
MalenstynD1 O3
QuinnD0 O2
KozakD1 O3
DanforthD2 O3
GeertsenD1 O1
TuchD4 O3
KrebsD2 O1
DoanD3 O2
McLeodD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period