TOR @ DET 3–6 · 2025-10-11

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	2	0	1	23
DET	0	3	3	35

Story

– / 17

Result DET 6–3xG 2.53–4.13 · deserved DET 75%Swing Raymond +30 3rd 6:45Method

Goals and penalties with DET win probability
Time	Event	DET win before	DET win after
1st 2:27	Goal TOR · C. Jarnkrok	50%	34%
1st 12:29	Goal TOR · N. Roy	32%	18%
1st 16:35	TOR penalty · B. Carlo · tripping · 2 min
2nd 8:56	Goal DET · M. Kasper	13%	29%
2nd 14:55	Goal DET · L. Raymond	26%	50%
2nd 18:10	Goal DET · P. Kane	50%	75%
3rd 1:02	DET penalty · A. Sandin-Pellikka · interference · 2 min
3rd 1:42	TOR penalty · A. Matthews · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 2:38	Goal TOR · M. Domi	78%	50%
3rd 5:42	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 6:45	Goal DET · L. Raymond (PP)	50%	80%
3rd 7:21	TOR penalty · M. Domi · holding · 2 min
3rd 11:54	TOR penalty · B. McMann · roughing · 2 min
3rd 11:54	DET penalty · S. Edvinsson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:56	DET penalty · J. Berggren · holding · 2 min
3rd 18:12	Goal DET · S. Edvinsson (EN)	96%	100%
3rd 19:55	Goal DET · A. Copp (EN)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19C. JarnkrokC	0:05	8:20	15	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	–
55N. RoyC	0:05	10:47	19	1	1	2	4	4	0	0	1	4-6
81D. JoshuaC	0:05	11:22	18	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	–
2S. BenoitD	0:10	17:00	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	–
25B. CarloD	0:12	20:35	27	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	–
41A. StolarzG		58:24	SA33GA4SV%.879xGA3.20GSAx−0.80

DET5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
27M. RasmussenC	0:05	10:17	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4-2
58E. FinnieC	0:05	13:46	19	0	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	0-1
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdR	0:05	11:23	17	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	2	–
8B. ChiarotD	1:48	23:58	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	1	–
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD	0:05	18:20	24	0	0	0	3	4	2	0	1	–
39C. TalbotG		60:00	SA23GA3SV%.870xGA2.53GSAx−0.47

Goals

1st
Calle Jarnkrok(1)
N. Roy (1), C. Tanev (1)
xG 0.38wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TOR1st 02:27+16.166%
Nicolas Roy(1)
M. Rielly (1), W. Nylander (1)
xG 0.10tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TOR1st 12:29+14.282%
2nd
Marco Kasper(1)
P. Kane (1), A. DeBrincat (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TOR2nd 08:56+15.429%
Lucas Raymond(1)
D. Larkin (1), E. Finnie (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 14:55+23.650%
Patrick Kane(1)
A. DeBrincat (2), A. Johansson (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 DET2nd 18:10+25.175%
3rd
Max Domi(1)
M. Rielly (2)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 02:38+27.550%
Lucas Raymond(2)PP
P. Kane (2), A. DeBrincat (3)
xG 0.07deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 DET3rd 06:45+30.580%
Simon Edvinsson(1)EN
C. Talbot (1)
xG 0.50wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 DET3rd 18:12+3.7100%
Andrew Copp(1)EN
Unassisted
xG 0.44wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–6 DET3rd 19:55+0.0100%

Shots

TOR2.53 xG34 unblocked · 14 blocked34 unblocked · 14 blocked

DET4.13 xG50 unblocked · 17 blocked50 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORDET3Goals62.53xG4.1323Shots3534Unblocked5048Attempts672High danger60/2Power play1/425Faceoffs2722Hits1517Blocks142Takeaways414Giveaways1310PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	22:15	0	2	2	2	4	0.08	−0.08	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	21:41	0	0	0	6	12	0.78	−0.78	0	3	1	2	46%	2	-1
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	21:19	0	0	0	3	3	0.25	−0.25	2	1	0	0	—	0	0
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	21:13	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	100%	0	-1
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	20:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	2	0
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	19:58	0	0	0	1	4	0.11	−0.11	0	0	1	1	50%	0	-2
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	19:38	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	1	—	0	+1
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	19:08	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	1	—	2	-2
8C. TanevChris TanevD	17:46	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	17:00	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	—	0	-2
74B. McMannBobby McMannC	16:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	5	3	0	0	—	2	-1
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	15:45	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	100%	0	-1
11M. DomiMax DomiC	14:53	1	0	1	3	6	0.39	+0.61	0	1	0	1	50%	2	-1
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	13:01	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
81D. JoshuaDakota JoshuaC	11:22	0	0	0	2	4	0.14	−0.14	2	1	0	0	—	0	-2
55N. RoyNicolas RoyC	10:47	1	1	2	4	4	0.25	+0.75	0	1	0	2	40%	0	-1
19C. JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokC	8:20	1	0	1	1	1	0.38	+0.62	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
18S. LorentzSteven LorentzC	1:17	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
TOR total		3	5	8	23	48	2.53	+0.47	22	16	2	13	48%	10

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Roy+1.15

Jarnkrok+0.60

Domi+0.28

Lorentz+0.04

Joshua−0.20

Maccelli−0.22

Matthews−0.24

Robertson−0.29

Knies−0.33

Tavares−0.41

McMann−0.48

Nylander−0.49

Defence

Rielly+0.47

Tanev+0.16

McCabe+0.15

Benoit−0.09

Carlo−0.54

Ekman-Larsson−0.61

Goalie

Stolarz−0.78

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Knies·Maccelli·Matthews	10:46	12	10	12	45.5%	6	6	0	0	0.74	0.47	61.3%	+0.27	1	0	100%
McMann·Tavares·Nylander	8:01	11	3	17	15.0%	1	7	0	0	0.02	0.88	2.2%	−0.86	1	2	33%
Robertson·Domi·Joshua	6:30	10	7	10	41.2%	3	6	0	0	0.19	0.39	32.5%	−0.20	1	1	50%
Occasional · 13 groups
Jarnkrok·Roy·Nylander	2:34	5	4	0	100.0%	2	0	1	0	0.17	0.00	100.0%	+0.17	1	0	100%
Robertson·McMann·Tavares	1:40	6	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Domi·McMann·Tavares	1:18	2	3	2	60.0%	1	1	0	0	0.03	0.12	20.2%	−0.09	0	0	—
Robertson·Domi·McMann	1:17	4	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
Maccelli·Joshua·Tavares	1:06	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	1	0	100%
Lorentz·Jarnkrok·Roy	1:01	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.38	0.00	100.0%	+0.38	0	0	—
Jarnkrok·Roy·Joshua	1:00	3	0	4	0.0%	0	3	0	2	0.00	0.37	0.0%	−0.37	0	0	—
Knies·Matthews·Nylander	0:44	2	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	1	0%
Matthews·McMann·Nylander	0:43	6	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Domi·Tavares·Nylander	0:39	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Maccelli·Tavares·Nylander	0:35	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Robertson·Tavares·Nylander	0:32	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Maccelli·Roy·McMann	0:32	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
TOR 5v5	46:41		35	57	38.0%	17	30	2	3	1.97	2.72	41.9%	−0.76

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

TOR · 58:24

Saves: 29/33
SV%: .879
xGA: 3.20
GSAx: −0.80

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/31	.903	2.77	−0.23
Power play	1/2	.500	0.43	−0.57
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.70	−0.30

Cam Talbot

DET · 60:00

Saves: 20/23
SV%: .870
xGA: 2.53
GSAx: −0.47

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/18	.833	2.10	−0.90
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.36	+0.36
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.08	+0.08
High danger	1/2	.500	0.63	−0.37

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

22:15Rielly
20:35Carlo
19:38McCabe
19:08Ekman-Larsson
17:46Tanev
17:00Benoit

21:41Matthews
21:19Knies
21:13Nylander
19:58Tavares
16:35McMann
15:45Maccelli
14:53Domi
13:01Robertson
11:22Joshua
10:47Roy
8:20Jarnkrok
1:17Lorentz

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORDET

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RiellyD1 O4
CarloD0 O1
Ekman-LarssonD2 O2
BenoitD1 O1
TanevD4 O0
McCabeD5 O1
MaccelliD0 O4
TavaresD0 O2
McMannD1 O3
KniesD1 O3
NylanderD3 O4
JoshuaD1 O2
MatthewsD2 O3
RobertsonD1 O2
RoyD3 O3
LorentzD0 O0
DomiD2 O1
JarnkrokD2 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period