NYI @ SJS 2–3 · 2026-11-09

New YorkNYIIslanders2

Final/SONov 92026-11-09

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NYI	1	1	0	0	32
SJS	1	1	0	0	39

SAP Center at San Jose

San JoseSJSSharks3

CallNo lean · 43% SJS

Star 1Y. Askarov.938 SV%
Star 2I. Sorokin.949 SV%
Star 3T. Toffoli1G 1A

Closing linesDraftKings

-142Moneyline+120-1.5 +170Puck line+1.5 -205O -102Total 6.5U -118+115RegulationTie +310 +170

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

17%…Playoffs2.5%…0.1%…Cup0.0%…

Story

– / 16

Result SJS 3–2 SOCall No lean · NYI 57%Market NYI 57%xG 3.33–3.75 · deserved SJS 56%Swing Toffoli +22 2nd 12:12Method

Goals and penalties with SJS win probability
Time	Event	SJS win before	SJS win after
1st 6:14	Goal NYI · B. Hutton	44%	28%
1st 16:41	Goal SJS · I. Stenberg	27%	44%
2nd 0:35	SJS penalty · A. Wennberg · tripping · 2 min
2nd 1:11	Goal NYI · V. Eklund (PP)	45%	26%
2nd 4:25	NYI penalty · M. Kessel · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:06	NYI penalty · K. MacLean · tripping · 2 min
2nd 12:12	Goal SJS · T. Toffoli	23%	45%
2nd 13:37	SJS penalty · M. Marchment · tripping · 2 min
2nd 19:49	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · fighting · 5 min
2nd 19:49	NYI penalty · M. Chaffee · fighting · 5 min
2nd 19:49	SJS penalty · T. Dellandrea · fighting · 5 min
2nd 19:49	NYI penalty · K. MacLean · fighting · 5 min
3rd 8:52	SJS penalty · M. Marchment · roughing · 2 min
3rd 8:52	SJS penalty · M. Marchment · roughing · 2 min
3rd 10:45	NYI penalty · A. Duclair · tripping · 2 min
3rd 10:45	NYI penalty · O. Palat · hooking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

NYI3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14B. HorvatC	0:35	22:18	27	0	1	1	6	7	0	2	1	10-8
51E. HeinemanL	0:36	19:34	26	0	0	0	2	4	0	3	0	–
48M. SchaeferD	2:11	30:10	30	0	1	1	5	7	0	0	1	–
30I. SorokinG		64:19	SA39GA2SV%.949xGA3.75GSAx+1.75

SJS3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
2W. SmithC	0:37	23:13	21	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	1-0
71M. CelebriniC	2:11	24:59	21	0	0	0	6	10	0	0	1	5-8
6S. DickinsonD	0:37	23:08	23	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	–
30Y. AskarovG		64:14	SA31GA2SV%.935xGA3.23GSAx+1.23

Goals

1st
Ben Hutton(1)
S. Holmstrom (5), B. Horvat (10)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NYI1st 06:14+16.072%
Ivar Stenberg(6)
T. Toffoli (6), T. Dellandrea (2)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 16:41+17.744%
2nd
Victor Eklund(6)PP
B. Schenn (8), M. Schaefer (12)
xG 0.16slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NYI2nd 01:11+18.674%
Tyler Toffoli(5)
D. Orlov (8), E. Pohlkamp (2)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 12:12+21.745%

Shootout

NYI

0–1

SJSWins

8 rounds · sudden death · NYI first

NYI shootersAskarov 6/6 SV

K. PalmieriSavewristSave
Rd 10–0
M. CelebriniSavewristSave
B. HorvatSavewristSave
Rd 20–0
C. GrafSavewristSave
E. HeinemanSavewristSave
Rd 30–0
W. SmithSavewristSave
V. EklundSavebackhandSave
Rd 40–0
K. SherwoodSavewristSave
B. SchennSavewristSave
Rd 50–0
M. MarchmentSavewristSave
M. SchaeferMisswristMiss
Rd 60–0
S. DickinsonSavewristSave
S. HolmstromSavewristSave
Rd 70–0
M. MisaMisswristMiss
A. DuclairMissbackhandMiss
Rd 80–1
I. StenbergWinnerwristGoalWinnerClip(opens nhl.com)

SJS shootersSorokin 6/7 SV

Shots

Shooters

NYI3.33 xG43 unblocked · 13 blocked43 unblocked · 13 blocked

SJS3.75 xG54 unblocked · 14 blocked54 unblocked · 14 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYISJS2Goals23.33xG3.7532Shots3943Unblocked5456Attempts685High danger51/4Power play0/432Faceoffs2321Hits2714Blocks134Takeaways616Giveaways2218PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	30:51	0	1	1	5	7	0.40	−0.40	0	1	1	2	—	0	0
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	22:42	0	1	1	7	8	0.58	−0.58	2	1	0	0	56%	0	+1
8L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	22:02	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	2	1	0	—	0	-2
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	21:46	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	20:15	0	0	0	2	4	0.32	−0.32	3	0	0	0	—	0	-1
10B. SchennBrayden SchennC	18:39	0	1	1	1	2	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	1	77%	0	-1
92S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	18:37	0	1	1	2	4	0.31	−0.31	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	18:35	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	2	—	0	-1
38V. EklundVictor EklundR	18:05	1	0	1	2	6	0.57	+0.43	5	1	0	0	—	0	-1
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	17:07	0	0	0	3	3	0.34	−0.34	0	1	1	1	47%	0	-1
21K. PalmieriKyle PalmieriC	15:44	0	0	0	2	4	0.29	−0.29	1	0	0	3	0%	0	+1
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	15:03	0	0	0	2	5	0.17	−0.17	0	0	0	2	—	2	0
71B. HuttonBen HuttonD	14:28	1	0	1	4	4	0.13	+0.87	2	1	0	0	—	0	+1
81O. PalatOndrej PalatL	14:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	3	0%	2	0
4M. KesselMatthew KesselD	13:48	0	0	0	1	4	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	0	—	2	+1
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	10:06	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	100%	0	-1
26M. ChaffeeMitchell ChaffeeR	7:44	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	1	0	1	0	—	5	0
32K. MacLeanKyle MacLeanC	7:20	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	1	—	7	-1
NYI total		2	4	6	32	56	3.33	−1.33	21	13	4	16	58%	18

Pony score

Incredible9.0+Great7.5+Good6.0+Average4.0+Below avg2.5+HorribleMethod

Forwards

Eklund7.8

Holmstrom7.5

Schenn6.2

Horvat5.9

MacLean4.7

Palmieri4.6

Chaffee4.6

Cizikas4.2

Palat3.9

Pageau3.7

Heineman2.5

Duclair2.4

Defence

Hutton8.2

Schaefer5.6

Stanley3.8

Kessel3.0

DeAngelo2.9

Pelech2.3

Goalie

Sorokin7.5

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Heineman·Schenn·Eklund	13:03	19	15	12	55.6%	7	9	0	1	0.58	0.86	40.3%	−0.28	4	1	80%
Horvat·Palmieri·Holmstrom	10:39	18	15	9	62.5%	9	6	1	0	0.94	0.18	84.0%	+0.76	1	2	33%
Duclair·Palat·Pageau	9:02	18	6	5	54.5%	3	3	0	0	0.46	0.31	59.7%	+0.15	2	2	50%
MacLean·Cizikas·Chaffee	5:29	11	2	7	22.2%	1	3	0	0	0.13	0.30	30.3%	−0.17	0	0	—
Occasional · 7 groups
Palat·Pageau·Eklund	0:46	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Palat·Horvat·Palmieri	0:45	5	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Duclair·Palat·Horvat	0:44	4	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Horvat·Chaffee·Holmstrom	0:43	5	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Palat·Cizikas·Chaffee	0:39	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Duclair·Pageau·Cizikas	0:33	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	1	0	100%
MacLean·Pageau·Cizikas	0:06	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Other 38 brief groups	6:55		2	10	16.7%	1	3	0	0	0.02	0.42	4.7%	−0.40
NYI 5v5	49:24		44	49	47.3%	23	28	1	2	2.33	2.22	51.2%	+0.11

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 65:00

Saves: 37/39
SV%: .949
GAA: 1.85
xGA: 3.75
GSAx: +1.75

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	29/31	.935	2.54	+0.54
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.94	+0.94
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.27	+0.27
High danger	4/4	1.000	0.88	+0.88

Yaroslav Askarov

SJS · 64:55

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
GAA: 1.85
xGA: 3.33
GSAx: +1.33

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	2.66	+1.66
Power play	4/5	.800	0.48	−0.52
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19
High danger	3/4	.750	0.95	−0.05

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

30:51Schaefer
22:02Stanley
21:46Pelech
18:35DeAngelo
14:28Hutton
13:48Kessel

22:42Horvat
20:15Heineman
18:39Schenn
18:37Holmstrom
18:05Eklund
17:07Pageau
15:44Palmieri
15:03Duclair
14:08Palat
10:06Cizikas
7:44Chaffee
7:20MacLean

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYISJSGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

32–2358%

D 72%13–5N 44%8–10O 58%11–8 7 won into a shot

SJS attacks135NYI DZ 72% SJS OZ

Neutral810NYI NZ 44% SJS NZ

NYI attacks118NYI OZ 58% SJS DZ

23–3242%

D 42%8–11N 56%10–8O 28%5–13 3 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KesselD0 O3
SchaeferD3 O6
HuttonD0 O2
DeAngeloD2 O2
PelechD6 O2
StanleyD5 O0
SchennD1 O6
EklundD1 O6
DuclairD1 O3
HeinemanD2 O4
CizikasD0 O1
PalmieriD2 O2
PageauD4 O4
HorvatD3 O3
MacLeanD0 O0
ChaffeeD0 O0
PalatD2 O1
HolmstromD4 O3

Shift starts · darker = later period