FLA @ OTT 1–5 · 2026-10-21

Team	1	2	3	SOG
FLA	1	0	0	19
OTT	1	2	2	30

Story

– / 34

Result OTT 5–1Call No lean · OTT 54%Market OTT 50%xG 1.58–2.80 · deserved OTT 73%Swing Giroux +21 2nd 9:34Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 4:23	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · high sticking · 2 min
1st 9:51	OTT penalty · A. Zub · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:00	Goal FLA · B. Tkachuk (PP)	53%	36%
1st 10:05	OTT penalty · H. Hodgson · fighting · 5 min
1st 10:05	FLA penalty · B. Imama · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:45	FLA penalty · R. Gudas · cross checking · 2 min
1st 14:13	Goal OTT · T. Stützle (PP)	35%	53%
1st 15:32	FLA penalty · B. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
1st 15:32	OTT penalty · A. Zub · roughing · 2 min
1st 15:32	OTT penalty · N. Cousins · roughing · 2 min
1st 15:32	FLA penalty · R. Gudas · roughing · 2 min
1st 16:00	OTT penalty · N. Matinpalo · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 0:00	OTT penalty · C. Yakemchuk · roughing removing opponents helmet · 2 min
2nd 1:37	FLA penalty · A. Ekblad · holding · 2 min
2nd 6:58	FLA penalty · N. Mikkola · tripping · 2 min
2nd 7:05	OTT penalty · D. Batherson · slashing · 2 min
2nd 9:34	Goal OTT · C. Giroux	53%	74%
2nd 11:43	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 17:18	Goal OTT · S. Pinto	77%	91%
2nd 19:43	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · slashing · 2 min
3rd 2:17	OTT penalty · R. Greig · fighting · 5 min
3rd 2:17	FLA penalty · S. Bennett · fighting · 5 min
3rd 3:35	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
3rd 3:35	OTT penalty · N. Cousins · roughing · 2 min
3rd 3:35	FLA penalty · B. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
3rd 3:35	OTT penalty · D. Cozens · roughing · 2 min
3rd 3:35	OTT penalty · N. Cousins · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 7:58	Goal OTT · W. Foegele	96%	99%
3rd 12:04	OTT penalty · H. Hodgson · slashing · 2 min
3rd 14:57	Goal OTT · S. Halliday	99%	99%
3rd 15:34	FLA penalty · B. Imama · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 18:46	FLA penalty · B. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
3rd 18:46	OTT penalty · R. Greig · roughing · 2 min
3rd 18:46	FLA penalty · M. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

FLA4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
95S. VilmanisL	0:39	11:48	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	–
79C. SchwindtR	0:07	7:40	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0	3-2
6R. GudasD	1:14	17:03	22	0	0	0	0	1	4	4	1	–
7D. KulikovD	1:14	16:25	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	–
40A. SchmidG		60:00	SA30GA5SV%.833xGA2.80GSAx−2.20

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21N. CousinsC	1:14	8:03	13	0	0	0	2	2	14	4	0	–
34S. HallidayC	1:14	14:45	20	1	1	2	4	4	0	1	1	4-2
28C. GirouxR	1:14	13:52	23	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	4-1
10J. SpenceD	1:14	18:58	24	0	0	0	2	6	0	2	1	–
43T. KlevenD	1:58	22:08	28	0	0	0	1	5	0	3	4	–
30S. ErssonG		16:25	SA1GA0SV%1.000xGA0.03GSAx+0.03

Goals

1st
Brady Tkachuk(1)PP
M. Tkachuk (1), S. Jones (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 FLA1st 10:00+17.664%
Tim Stützle(1)PP
J. Sanderson (1), S. Halliday (1)
xG 0.31wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 14:13+18.353%
2nd
Claude Giroux(1)
N. Matinpalo (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 OTT2nd 09:34+21.474%
Shane Pinto(1)
J. Sanderson (2)
xG 0.28wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 OTT2nd 17:18+14.791%
3rd
Warren Foegele(1)
D. Cozens (1), D. Batherson (1)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 OTT3rd 07:58+3.399%
Stephen Halliday(1)
T. Stützle (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 OTT3rd 14:57+0.099%

Shots

Shooters

12

FLA1.58 xG26 unblocked · 16 blocked26 unblocked · 16 blocked

OTT2.80 xG38 unblocked · 12 blocked38 unblocked · 12 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

FLAOTT1Goals51.58xG2.8019Shots3026Unblocked3842Attempts502High danger71/5Power play1/720Faceoffs3342Hits2512Blocks163Takeaways417Giveaways1644PIM40

Skaters

Player

Player
42G. ForslingGustav ForslingD	22:26	0	0	0	1	4	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
3S. JonesSeth JonesD	21:09	0	1	1	3	5	0.21	−0.21	2	1	1	1	—	0	-1
77N. MikkolaNiko MikkolaD	19:43	0	0	0	2	3	0.06	−0.06	0	3	1	1	—	2	-2
5A. EkbladAaron EkbladD	19:06	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	4	0
15A. LundellAnton LundellC	19:00	0	0	0	1	3	0.08	−0.08	3	0	0	0	50%	0	-1
27E. LuostarinenEetu LuostarinenC	17:56	0	0	0	2	2	0.12	−0.12	1	2	0	0	0%	0	-1
19M. TkachukMatthew TkachukL	17:29	0	1	1	2	4	0.06	−0.06	5	0	0	2	—	6	-1
20L. EllerLars EllerC	17:20	0	0	0	1	4	0.17	−0.17	1	1	0	0	17%	0	-2
6R. GudasRadko GudasD	17:03	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	4	1	0	2	—	4	-2
23C. VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheC	16:55	0	0	0	1	2	0.18	−0.18	1	0	0	1	0%	0	-2
9S. BennettSam BennettC	16:55	0	0	0	2	3	0.22	−0.22	3	0	0	2	33%	7	-1
7D. KulikovDmitry KulikovD	16:25	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	−0.00	2	1	0	0	—	0	-2
13S. ReinhartSam ReinhartC	15:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	1	2	33%	0	0
8B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	13:13	1	0	1	3	5	0.17	+0.83	6	0	0	2	50%	6	-2
95S. VilmanisSandis VilmanisL	11:48	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
21G. HathawayGarnet HathawayR	9:57	0	0	0	1	3	0.17	−0.17	2	1	0	2	0%	0	0
79C. SchwindtCole SchwindtR	7:40	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	0	60%	0	-1
14B. ImamaBokondji ImamaL	7:19	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	—	15	0
FLA total		1	2	3	19	42	1.58	−0.58	42	11	3	15	38%	44

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Tkachuk+0.57

Hathaway+0.03

Luostarinen−0.09

Imama−0.12

Schwindt−0.14

Tkachuk−0.22

Vilmanis−0.26

Eller−0.45

Bennett−0.46

Lundell−0.46

Reinhart−0.46

Verhaeghe−0.51

Defence

Kulikov0.00

Forsling−0.04

Jones−0.09

Gudas−0.32

Mikkola−0.38

Ekblad−0.62

Goalie

Schmid−2.18

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Bennett	8:47	17	7	6	53.8%	3	4	0	1	0.25	0.32	44.1%	−0.07	3	0	100%
Reinhart·Eller·Verhaeghe	8:14	12	2	10	16.7%	0	4	0	0	0.00	0.40	0.0%	−0.40	1	1	50%
Vilmanis·Lundell·Luostarinen	7:02	11	4	6	40.0%	0	1	0	0	0.05	0.05	49.9%	−0.00	0	3	0%
Imama·Hathaway·Schwindt	5:12	12	4	2	66.7%	2	0	0	0	0.18	0.00	100.0%	+0.18	0	1	0%
Occasional · 10 groups
Lundell·Eller·Luostarinen	1:20	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.00	100.0%	+0.13	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Tkachuk·Lundell	1:07	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.01	0.11	6.8%	−0.10	1	0	100%
Bennett·Eller·Verhaeghe	0:56	5	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.25	0.0%	−0.25	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	0:53	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Imama·Vilmanis·Lundell	0:48	4	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Hathaway·Schwindt	0:43	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.01	71.8%	+0.01	0	0	—
Bennett·Reinhart·Verhaeghe	0:35	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Eller·Luostarinen·Schwindt	0:30	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Lundell·Verhaeghe	0:15	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	1	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Vilmanis·Eller·Verhaeghe	0:13	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Other 29 brief groups	4:48		6	2	75.0%	3	2	0	0	0.11	0.07	62.4%	+0.05
FLA 5v5	41:23		29	37	43.9%	11	19	0	4	0.77	1.67	31.7%	−0.89

Goalies

Akira Schmid

FLA · 60:00

Saves: 25/30
SV%: .833
GAA: 5.00
xGA: 2.80
GSAx: −2.20

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/19	.789	1.67	−2.33
Power play	10/11	.909	1.13	+0.13
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/6	.500	1.56	−1.44

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 43:35

Saves: 17/18
SV%: .944
GAA: 1.38
xGA: 1.55
GSAx: +0.55

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	12/12	1.000	1.02	+1.02
Power play	3/4	.750	0.31	−0.69
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.21	+0.21
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.35	+0.35

Samuel Ersson

OTT · 16:25

Saves: 1/1
SV%: 1.000
GAA: 0.00
xGA: 0.03
GSAx: +0.03

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	1/1	1.000	0.03	+0.03
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.01	+0.01
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Florida Panthers

Minutes

22:26Forsling
21:09Jones
19:43Mikkola
19:06Ekblad
17:03Gudas
16:25Kulikov

19:00Lundell
17:56Luostarinen
17:29M. Tkachuk
17:20Eller
16:55Verhaeghe
16:55Bennett
15:54Reinhart
13:13B. Tkachuk
11:48Vilmanis
9:57Hathaway
7:40Schwindt
7:19Imama

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareFLAOTTGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

20–3338%

D 35%6–11N 42%10–14O 33%4–8 2 won into a shot

OTT attacks611FLA DZ 35% OTT OZ

Neutral1014FLA NZ 42% OTT NZ

FLA attacks48FLA OZ 33% OTT DZ

33–2062%

D 67%8–4N 58%14–10O 65%11–6 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

KulikovD0 O2
GudasD0 O2
JonesD3 O4
MikkolaD4 O1
EkbladD5 O0
ForslingD7 O1
M. TkachukD0 O7
B. TkachukD0 O5
BennettD0 O3
VerhaegheD1 O3
ReinhartD2 O4
EllerD1 O1
HathawayD1 O0
ImamaD1 O0
SchwindtD1 O0
VilmanisD3 O0
LundellD8 O1
LuostarinenD8 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period