PHI @ BUF 3–1 · 2026-10-21

FLA1OTT5Final

PhiladelphiaPHIFlyers3

FinalOct 212026-10-21

Team	1	2	3	SOG
PHI	2	0	1	26
BUF	0	1	0	28

KeyBank Center

BuffaloBUFSabres1

CallNo lean · 65% BUF

Star 1C. Knuble2G 0A
Star 2D. Vladar.964 SV%
Star 3J. Zucker1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+180Moneyline-218+1.5 -148Puck line-1.5 +124O +114Total 6.5U -135+235RegulationTie +320 -120

Season oddsafter: next morning's run

3.4%…Playoffs69%…0.0%…Cup3.4%…

Story

– / 15

Result PHI 3–1Call No lean · BUF 65%Market BUF 67%xG 3.57–3.44 · deserved PHI 52%Swing Zucker +19 2nd 19:25Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 1:56	PHI penalty · S. Benoit · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:49	Goal PHI · C. Knuble	63%	44%
1st 16:30	PHI penalty · N. Seeler · roughing · 2 min
1st 17:51	BUF penalty · N. Ostlund · slashing · 2 min
1st 19:17	Goal PHI · T. Zegras (PP)	43%	25%
1st 19:59	BUF penalty · J. Quinn · tripping · 2 min
2nd 14:45	BUF penalty · J. Zucker · slashing · 2 min
2nd 15:32	BUF penalty · O. Power · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 17:38	PHI penalty · T. Sanheim · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 19:25	Goal BUF · J. Zucker (PP)	13%	32%
3rd 3:03	Goal PHI · C. Knuble	29%	10%
3rd 15:13	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · instigator · 2 min
3rd 15:13	PHI penalty · H. McDonald · fighting · 5 min
3rd 15:13	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · fighting · 5 min
3rd 15:13	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · game misconduct · 10 min

On ice · final horn

PHI5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22C. DvorakC	1:06	18:39	23	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	4-1
86D. BarkeyC	0:03	12:19	22	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	1-3
71T. FoersterR	0:05	16:47	21	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	2	–
24N. SeelerD	1:01	17:59	23	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	–
59O. BonkD	0:39	19:34	25	0	2	2	0	4	0	0	1	–
80D. VladarG		60:00	SA28GA1SV%.964xGA3.44GSAx+2.44

BUF6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9J. NorrisC	0:38	13:43	19	0	1	0	0	2	3-6
20J. KulichC	0:58	13:41	19	1	4	0	0	1	9-2
6Z. BensonL	0:57	21:21	22	1	3	0	0	0	–
91J. DoanR	0:38	13:32	18	2	2	0	1	1	–
25O. PowerD	2:43	26:12	27	2	2	2	0	1	–
26R. DahlinD	2:41	26:27	23	4	7	0	3	0	–

Goals

1st
Cole Knuble(1)
O. Bonk (1), D. Barkey (1)
xG 0.15backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 PHI1st 14:49+18.856%
Trevor Zegras(1)PP
M. Michkov (1), J. Drysdale (1)
xG 0.16batClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 PHI1st 19:17+17.875%
2nd
Jason Zucker(1)PP
J. Quinn (1), N. Ostlund (1)
xG 0.11deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 PHI2nd 19:25+19.132%
3rd
Cole Knuble(2)
O. Bonk (2)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 PHI3rd 03:03+18.890%

Shots

Shooters

PHI3.57 xG39 unblocked · 15 blocked39 unblocked · 15 blocked

BUF3.44 xG40 unblocked · 15 blocked40 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PHIBUF3Goals13.57xG3.4426Shots2839Unblocked4054Attempts557High danger51/5Power play1/321Faceoffs2719Hits1415Blocks152Takeaways516Giveaways1611PIM25

Skaters

Player

Player
6T. SanheimTravis SanheimD	26:19	0	0	0	1	4	0.13	−0.13	1	0	0	1	—	2	+2
9J. DrysdaleJamie DrysdaleD	24:37	0	1	1	1	3	0.29	−0.29	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
59O. BonkOliver BonkD	19:34	0	2	2	0	4	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	3	—	0	+2
22C. DvorakChristian DvorakC	18:39	0	0	0	2	3	0.22	−0.22	1	0	0	1	80%	0	0
39M. MichkovMatvei MichkovR	18:02	0	1	1	2	4	0.23	−0.23	0	0	0	2	50%	0	0
24N. SeelerNick SeelerD	17:59	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	2	—	2	0
14S. CouturierSean CouturierC	17:32	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	0	0	0	0	43%	0	0
71T. FoersterTyson FoersterR	16:47	0	0	0	3	4	0.48	−0.48	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
46T. ZegrasTrevor ZegrasC	16:36	1	0	1	4	7	0.58	+0.42	0	0	0	2	50%	0	0
94P. MartonePorter MartoneR	15:50	0	0	0	1	5	0.20	−0.20	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
20A. BumpAlex BumpL	15:45	0	0	0	3	4	0.43	−0.43	2	0	1	0	100%	0	0
52N. AcciariNoel AcciariC	14:04	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	−0.10	3	2	0	0	40%	0	0
27N. CatesNoah CatesL	13:53	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	40%	0	0
44S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	13:38	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	2	1	0	1	—	2	0
19H. McDonaldHunter McDonaldD	13:20	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	6	1	0	1	—	5	0
86D. BarkeyDenver BarkeyC	12:19	0	1	1	2	3	0.38	−0.38	0	0	0	0	25%	0	+2
54C. KnubleCole KnubleR	10:24	2	0	2	4	4	0.40	+1.60	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
78J. GaucherJacob GaucherC	8:55	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	2	2	0	0	0%	0	+2
PHI total		3	5	8	26	54	3.57	−0.58	19	13	2	16	44%	11

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Knuble+1.25

Michkov+0.62

Zegras+0.59

Barkey+0.06

Gaucher−0.07

Cates−0.09

Foerster−0.10

Martone−0.14

Acciari−0.18

Bump−0.35

Dvorak−0.41

Couturier−0.48

Defence

Bonk+0.63

McDonald+0.08

Drysdale+0.08

Sanheim−0.19

Benoit−0.28

Seeler−0.29

Goalie

Vladar+2.46

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Bump·Couturier·Foerster	11:17	16	9	11	45.0%	5	6	0	0	0.59	0.96	38.2%	−0.37	2	2	50%
Dvorak·Zegras·Acciari	9:12	15	7	12	36.8%	3	4	0	0	0.34	0.48	41.3%	−0.14	2	2	50%
Cates·Michkov·Martone	8:50	16	5	6	45.5%	1	1	0	0	0.19	0.19	49.5%	−0.00	4	0	100%
Gaucher·Barkey·Knuble	6:54	14	7	7	50.0%	6	4	2	0	0.63	0.44	59.1%	+0.19	2	2	50%
Occasional · 3 groups
Dvorak·Zegras·Michkov	0:46	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bump·Couturier·Michkov	0:42	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Couturier·Michkov·Martone	0:35	5	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Other 38 brief groups	5:49		6	2	75.0%	2	2	0	0	0.21	0.12	63.3%	+0.09
PHI 5v5	44:05		37	38	49.3%	17	17	2	0	2.00	2.19	47.7%	−0.19

Goalies

Dan Vladar

PHI · 60:00

Saves: 27/28
SV%: .964
GAA: 1.00
xGA: 3.44
GSAx: +2.44

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/21	1.000	2.60	+2.60
Power play	6/7	.857	0.79	−0.21
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.05	+0.05
High danger	5/5	1.000	0.95	+0.95

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 57:26

Saves: 23/26
SV%: .885
GAA: 3.13
xGA: 3.57
GSAx: +0.57

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	2.00	+0.00
Power play	8/9	.889	1.57	+0.57
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/7	.714	1.30	−0.70

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Philadelphia Flyers

Minutes

26:19Sanheim
24:37Drysdale
19:34Bonk
17:59Seeler
13:38Benoit
13:20McDonald

18:39Dvorak
18:02Michkov
17:32Couturier
16:47Foerster
16:36Zegras
15:50Martone
15:45Bump
14:04Acciari
13:53Cates
12:19Barkey
10:24Knuble
8:55Gaucher

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePHIBUFGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

21–2744%

D 33%5–10N 38%5–8O 55%11–9 3 won into a shot

BUF attacks510PHI DZ 33% BUF OZ

Neutral58PHI NZ 38% BUF NZ

PHI attacks119PHI OZ 55% BUF DZ

27–2156%

D 45%9–11N 62%8–5O 67%10–5 5 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

BenoitD0 O2
DrysdaleD2 O4
McDonaldD0 O1
SeelerD3 O2
BonkD5 O3
SanheimD7 O2
MichkovD0 O5
MartoneD0 O5
CatesD0 O4
ZegrasD2 O5
BarkeyD2 O5
BumpD2 O3
KnubleD2 O3
DvorakD3 O3
FoersterD2 O2
GaucherD2 O1
AcciariD4 O2
CouturierD5 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period