NYI @ CAR 3–4 · 2026-04-04

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NYI	1	1	1	16
CAR	1	2	1	40

Story

– / 13

Result CAR 4–3Call No lean · CAR 71%Market CAR 71%xG 1.94–4.54 · deserved CAR 86%Swing Blake +22 2nd 11:15Method

Goals and penalties with CAR win probability
Time	Event	CAR win before	CAR win after
1st 3:04	NYI penalty · M. Gatcomb · holding · 2 min
1st 5:17	Goal NYI · M. Gatcomb	71%	55%
1st 11:07	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	54%	70%
2nd 2:15	Goal NYI · M. Shabanov	68%	49%
2nd 4:58	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · hooking · 2 min
2nd 6:19	NYI penalty · S. Mayfield · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 6:19	CAR penalty · S. Jarvis · roughing · 2 min
2nd 11:15	Goal CAR · J. Blake	45%	67%
2nd 12:44	NYI penalty · R. Pulock · hooking · 2 min
2nd 15:03	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · slashing · 2 min
2nd 16:17	Goal CAR · S. Aho (SH)	66%	85%
3rd 0:24	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	86%	96%
3rd 18:23	Goal NYI · A. Lee	99%	97%

On ice · final horn

NYI6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
10B. SchennC	1:28	17:11	19	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	4-5
13M. BarzalC	1:44	16:30	18	0	1	1	2	4	0	2	–
14B. HorvatC	1:44	20:43	23	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	10-7
64C. RitchieC	0:58	17:13	20	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0-1
27A. LeeL	1:44	16:46	18	1	0	1	4	4	1	1	–
48M. SchaeferD	1:44	27:11	26	0	1	1	1	3	2	1	–

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	0:41	18:48	23	1	0	1	7	8	0	0	0	7-9
24S. JarvisC	0:42	17:26	22	2	1	3	6	9	2	0	0	–
37A. SvechnikovR	0:40	16:55	22	0	1	1	2	6	0	2	0	–
19K. MillerD	0:09	19:35	26	0	2	2	1	4	0	1	1	–
26S. WalkerD	0:07	18:51	26	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	0	–
32B. BussiG		59:47	SA16GA3SV%.813xGA1.94GSAx−1.06

Goals

1st
Marc Gatcomb(1)
S. Holmstrom (1), J. Pageau (1)
xG 0.14deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NYI1st 05:17+15.345%
Seth Jarvis(1)
S. Walker (1), K. Miller (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 11:07+16.470%
2nd
Max Shabanov(1)
C. Ritchie (1), S. Mayfield (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NYI2nd 02:15+18.951%
Jackson Blake(1)
L. Stankoven (1), T. Hall (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 11:15+21.967%
Sebastian Aho(1)SH
S. Jarvis (1), J. Slavin (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 CAR2nd 16:17+19.285%
3rd
Seth Jarvis(2)
A. Svechnikov (1), K. Miller (2)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 CAR3rd 00:24+10.196%
Anders Lee(1)6v5
M. Schaefer (1), M. Barzal (1)
xG 0.05tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 CAR3rd 18:23+2.13%

Shots

NYI1.94 xG25 unblocked · 7 blocked25 unblocked · 7 blocked

CAR4.54 xG61 unblocked · 21 blocked61 unblocked · 21 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYICAR3Goals41.94xG4.5416Shots4025Unblocked6132Attempts823High danger70/1Power play0/330Faceoffs2723Hits2121Blocks74Takeaways515Giveaways68PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	27:11	0	1	1	1	3	0.23	−0.23	2	1	1	1	—	0	-1
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	22:22	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	2	0	0	—	2	0
14B. HorvatBo HorvatC	20:43	0	0	0	1	3	0.28	−0.28	0	1	0	1	59%	0	0
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	19:36	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	1	0	—	2	-2
4C. SoucyCarson SoucyD	19:21	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	2	3	1	2	—	0	0
64C. RitchieCalum RitchieC	17:13	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	1	1	0	1	0%	0	-1
10B. SchennBrayden SchennC	17:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	1	44%	0	0
27A. LeeAnders LeeL	16:46	1	0	1	4	4	0.41	+0.59	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
13M. BarzalMathew BarzalC	16:30	0	1	1	2	4	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	1	—	0	-2
24S. MayfieldScott MayfieldD	16:12	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	−0.03	2	0	0	0	—	2	0
92S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	15:58	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	3	—	0	-1
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	15:48	0	1	1	1	2	0.28	−0.28	2	2	0	2	50%	0	0
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	14:28	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	2	2	0	0	60%	0	0
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	13:50	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	0
49M. ShabanovMax ShabanovR	13:35	1	0	1	1	2	0.18	+0.82	2	0	0	1	—	0	0
16M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	10:31	1	0	1	2	3	0.19	+0.81	3	0	0	0	—	2	+1
36I. GeorgeIsaiah GeorgeD	10:21	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	1	0	—	0	+1
81O. PalatOndrej PalatL	9:46	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	2	0	1	100%	0	0
NYI total		3	6	9	16	32	1.94	+1.06	23	19	4	15	53%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Lee+0.43

Shabanov+0.40

Gatcomb+0.32

Holmstrom+0.20

Ritchie+0.19

Pageau−0.11

Palat−0.17

Cizikas−0.19

Barzal−0.22

Schenn−0.35

Heineman−0.40

Horvat−0.42

Defence

Soucy+0.17

Mayfield+0.13

Schaefer+0.07

George−0.02

Pelech−0.28

Pulock−0.78

Goalie

Sorokin+0.10

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Schenn·Ritchie·Shabanov	11:23	16	3	12	20.0%	2	5	1	1	0.26	0.75	25.7%	−0.49	0	1	0%
Lee·Heineman·Horvat	9:10	14	1	15	6.3%	0	5	0	0	0.00	0.49	0.0%	−0.49	0	3	0%
Palat·Gatcomb·Cizikas	8:08	13	9	13	40.9%	3	6	0	0	0.20	0.36	35.0%	−0.17	0	3	0%
Barzal·Pageau·Holmstrom	7:38	14	4	16	20.0%	1	11	0	2	0.46	1.01	31.3%	−0.55	0	3	0%
Occasional · 5 groups
Barzal·Horvat·Holmstrom	1:44	5	2	3	40.0%	1	1	0	0	0.28	0.21	57.2%	+0.07	1	0	100%
Lee·Heineman·Pageau	1:39	3	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.15	0.02	90.6%	+0.13	0	0	—
Barzal·Gatcomb·Cizikas	1:09	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Lee·Pageau·Holmstrom	0:51	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Pageau·Ritchie·Holmstrom	0:39	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NYI 5v5	48:25		22	71	23.7%	9	33	2	3	1.51	3.22	31.9%	−1.71

Goalies

Ilya Sorokin

NYI · 56:38

Saves: 36/40
SV%: .900
xGA: 4.07
GSAx: +0.07

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/34	.912	3.26	+0.26
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.71	+0.71
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.10	−0.90
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.16	+1.16

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 59:47

Saves: 13/16
SV%: .813
xGA: 1.94
GSAx: −1.06

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	11/14	.786	1.84	−1.16
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.09	+0.09
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.55	+0.55

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

27:11Schaefer
22:22Pelech
19:36Pulock
19:21Soucy
16:12Mayfield
10:21George

20:43Horvat
17:13Ritchie
17:11Schenn
16:46Lee
16:30Barzal
15:58Holmstrom
15:48Pageau
14:28Cizikas
13:50Heineman
13:35Shabanov
10:31Gatcomb
9:46Palat

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYICAR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SchaeferD1 O3
MayfieldD2 O0
GeorgeD2 O0
SoucyD4 O1
PulockD5 O2
PelechD4 O0
SchennD1 O1
BarzalD3 O3
ShabanovD1 O1
HeinemanD2 O1
RitchieD1 O0
LeeD3 O1
PalatD3 O1
PageauD5 O2
HorvatD6 O3
HolmstromD5 O2
GatcombD3 O0
CizikasD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period