NSH @ VAN 3–4 · 2026-03-12

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NSH	1	2	0	0	19
VAN	1	0	2	0	27

Story

– / 11

Result VAN 4–3 SOCall No lean · NSH 58%Market NSH 61%xG 2.09–4.26 · deserved VAN 82%Swing Hronek +45 3rd 18:59Method

Goals and penalties with VAN win probability
Time	Event	VAN win before	VAN win after
1st 8:40	Goal VAN · B. Boeser	43%	60%
1st 18:28	Goal NSH · T. Jost	62%	43%
2nd 5:20	Goal NSH · T. Jost	44%	24%
2nd 10:14	VAN penalty · M. Rossi · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:14	NSH penalty · T. Jost · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:14	VAN penalty · M. Rossi · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:28	NSH penalty · R. O'Reilly · slashing · 2 min
2nd 14:06	Goal NSH · M. Wood	22%	9%
2nd 15:32	VAN penalty · C. Douglas · hooking · 2 min
3rd 15:55	Goal VAN · M. Rossi	1%	7%
3rd 18:59	Goal VAN · F. Hronek	2%	47%

On ice · final horn

NSH3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
40F. SvechkovC	0:31	14:11	18	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	3-2
56E. HaulaL	0:31	18:47	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5-8
76B. SkjeiD	0:31	23:35	30	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
74J. SarosG		64:47	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA4.22GSAx+1.22

VAN3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18D. O'ConnorL	0:15	18:27	20	0	0	0	3	6	0	2	2	0-1
92L. OhgrenL	0:21	16:34	22	0	1	1	4	9	0	0	0	–
24Z. BuiumD	0:04	18:31	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
60N. TolopiloG		63:40	SA19GA3SV%.842xGA2.09GSAx−0.91

Goals

1st
Brock Boeser(1)
M. Rossi (1), F. Hronek (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 VAN1st 08:40+17.360%
Tyson Jost(1)
J. Barron (1), F. Svechkov (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 18:28+19.257%
2nd
Tyson Jost(2)
R. Josi (1), R. Ufko (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 NSH2nd 05:20+19.376%
Matthew Wood(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.04snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 NSH2nd 14:06+13.691%
3rd
Marco Rossi(1)
L. Ohgren (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 NSH3rd 15:55+6.77%
Filip Hronek(1)6v5
B. Boeser (1), M. Rossi (2)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 18:59+44.647%

ShootoutVAN L. Ohgren –NSH R. O'Reilly –VAN J. DeBrusk GNSH F. Forsberg –VAN E. Pettersson –NSH S. Stamkos –

Shots

NSH2.09 xG31 unblocked · 12 blocked31 unblocked · 12 blocked

VAN4.26 xG49 unblocked · 17 blocked49 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHVAN3Goals32.09xG4.2619Shots2731Unblocked4943Attempts661High danger100/2Power play0/116Faceoffs2322Hits1717Blocks124Takeaways614Giveaways154PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	28:35	0	1	1	1	5	0.23	−0.23	0	3	0	1	—	0	0
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	23:48	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	1	1	1	1	—	0	-1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	23:14	0	0	0	2	3	0.30	−0.30	1	2	0	0	47%	2	-1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	22:47	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	−0.04	0	0	1	0	—	0	0
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	21:51	0	0	0	0	6	0.06	−0.06	0	3	0	2	—	0	0
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	21:12	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	20:46	0	0	0	1	3	0.20	−0.20	3	2	0	1	25%	0	-2
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	20:01	0	0	0	2	4	0.11	−0.11	0	1	0	3	—	0	-1
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	19:00	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	38%	0	-1
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	17:00	0	0	0	2	2	0.06	−0.06	2	0	0	1	0%	0	-1
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	14:33	0	1	1	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	14:24	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	0	60%	0	+1
85R. UfkoRyan UfkoD	13:55	0	1	1	1	1	0.06	−0.06	0	0	1	2	—	0	+1
17T. JostTyson JostC	13:00	2	0	2	4	4	0.44	+1.56	1	1	0	1	—	2	+1
89O. WiesblattOzzy WiesblattC	12:21	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	5	0	0	0	—	0	+2
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	10:48	1	0	1	2	4	0.20	+0.80	1	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
68Z. L'HeureuxZachary L'HeureuxL	8:38	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	1	1	1	0	—	0	+1
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	7:07	0	0	0	1	1	0.13	−0.13	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
NSH total		3	4	7	19	43	2.09	+0.91	22	16	4	13	41%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jost+1.36

Wood+0.48

Schaefer−0.16

L'Heureux−0.16

Svechkov−0.25

Wiesblatt−0.26

Forsberg−0.41

Stamkos−0.50

Marchessault−0.58

Evangelista−0.60

Haula−0.62

O'Reilly−0.72

Defence

Barron+0.15

Josi+0.15

Ufko−0.01

Skjei−0.29

Perbix−0.34

Hague−0.53

Goalie

Saros+1.29

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Marchessault	9:32	13	7	14	33.3%	4	3	0	0	0.29	0.44	39.2%	−0.16	1	2	33%
Jost·Svechkov·Wiesblatt	9:14	14	10	6	62.5%	5	4	2	0	0.58	0.32	64.6%	+0.26	1	1	50%
Haula·Stamkos·Evangelista	8:40	13	6	8	42.9%	2	3	0	0	0.25	0.63	28.6%	−0.38	1	1	50%
Schaefer·L'Heureux·Wood	6:12	9	4	6	40.0%	1	1	0	0	0.27	0.35	44.1%	−0.07	0	0	—
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Marchessault	3:42	6	1	5	16.7%	1	3	0	1	0.01	0.43	2.8%	−0.42	0	0	—
Forsberg·Haula·Evangelista	2:58	7	3	5	37.5%	0	1	0	0	0.13	0.32	28.7%	−0.19	0	1	0%
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Evangelista	1:59	11	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
Occasional · 7 groups
Forsberg·Svechkov·Marchessault	1:10	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·Jost·O'Reilly	1:08	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
L'Heureux·Wood·Evangelista	0:56	1	1	1	50.0%	1	0	1	0	0.04	0.04	47.8%	−0.00	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Evangelista	0:51	5	0	5	0.0%	0	3	0	1	0.00	0.42	0.0%	−0.42	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:51	7	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:34	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
L'Heureux·Jost·Wood	0:33	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	54:39		36	57	38.7%	15	21	3	2	1.79	3.40	34.5%	−1.61

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 65:00

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
xGA: 4.26
GSAx: +1.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	23/26	.885	4.13	+1.13
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.14	+0.14
High danger	8/9	.889	1.94	+0.94

Nikita Tolopilo

VAN · 63:53

Saves: 16/19
SV%: .842
xGA: 2.09
GSAx: −0.91

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/18	.833	1.98	−1.02
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.11	+0.11
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.17	−0.83

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

28:35Josi
23:48Skjei
22:47Hague
20:01Perbix
14:33Barron
13:55Ufko

23:14O'Reilly
21:51Forsberg
21:12Evangelista
20:46Stamkos
19:00Haula
17:00Marchessault
14:24Svechkov
13:00Jost
12:21Wiesblatt
10:48Wood
8:38L'Heureux
7:07Schaefer

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHVAN

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD1 O5
UfkoD0 O1
PerbixD0 O0
HagueD2 O0
BarronD2 O0
SkjeiD4 O1
StamkosD0 O3
MarchessaultD1 O3
ForsbergD2 O4
O'ReillyD1 O1
JostD1 O1
WiesblattD1 O1
EvangelistaD1 O1
L'HeureuxD0 O0
SchaeferD0 O0
WoodD0 O0
SvechkovD2 O1
HaulaD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period