COL @ SEA 5–1 · 2026-03-12

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	3	1	1	26
SEA	0	1	0	29

Story

– / 10

Result COL 5–1Call No lean · COL 70%Market COL 67%xG 3.25–2.30 · deserved COL 66%Swing Necas +13 1st 3:45Method

Goals and penalties with SEA win probability
Time	Event	SEA win before	SEA win after
1st 3:45	Goal COL · M. Necas	30%	17%
1st 12:54	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon	17%	8%
1st 18:11	SEA penalty · J. Eberle · high sticking double minor · 4 min
1st 18:48	Goal COL · N. Roy (PP)	7%	3%
2nd 3:37	COL penalty · D. Toews · holding · 2 min
2nd 5:38	COL penalty · B. Burns · tripping · 2 min
2nd 12:07	SEA penalty · A. Larsson · tripping · 2 min
2nd 13:36	Goal SEA · R. Evans (SH)	1%	5%
2nd 17:11	Goal COL · N. Kadri	5%	1%
3rd 12:41	Goal COL · J. Kiviranta	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29N. MacKinnonC	1:06	20:58	26	1	3	4	4	4	0	0	0	6-8
88M. NecasC	1:29	22:32	26	1	1	2	1	2	0	1	1	–
91N. KadriC	1:17	19:26	25	1	0	1	2	4	0	1	1	2-4
37N. BlankenburgD	1:26	9:31	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	–
70S. MalinskiD	1:32	19:09	19	0	1	1	2	5	0	2	2	–
41S. WedgewoodG		60:00	SA29GA1SV%.966xGA2.30GSAx+1.30

SEA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
27B. CattonC	0:42	16:21	20	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	2-1
51S. WrightC	0:42	14:28	19	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	5-7
84K. KakkoR	0:42	14:44	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
55R. LindgrenD	0:58	20:26	26	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	3	–
62B. MontourD	1:00	21:31	22	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	–
31P. GrubauerG		39:43	SA11GA2SV%.818xGA1.67GSAx−0.33

Goals

1st
Martin Necas(1)
D. Toews (1), N. MacKinnon (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 COL1st 03:45+13.383%
Nathan MacKinnon(1)
M. Necas (1), D. Toews (2)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 COL1st 12:54+9.492%
Nicolas Roy(1)PP
B. Nelson (1), N. MacKinnon (2)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 COL1st 18:48+4.797%
2nd
Ryker Evans(1)SH
C. Stephenson (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 COL2nd 13:36+3.95%
Nazem Kadri(1)
S. Malinski (1), N. MacKinnon (3)
xG 0.05tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 COL2nd 17:11+3.599%
3rd
Joel Kiviranta(1)
J. Manson (1), P. Kelly (1)
xG 0.08deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 COL3rd 12:41+0.099%

Shots

COL3.25 xG44 unblocked · 13 blocked44 unblocked · 13 blocked

SEA2.30 xG47 unblocked · 19 blocked47 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLSEA5Goals13.25xG2.3026Shots2944Unblocked4757Attempts663High danger31/3Power play0/224Faceoffs3117Hits1619Blocks134Takeaways421Giveaways164PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	22:32	1	1	2	1	2	0.11	+0.89	1	1	0	1	—	0	+3
8C. MakarCale MakarD	21:01	0	0	0	2	4	0.22	−0.22	1	2	1	3	—	0	+1
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	20:58	1	3	4	4	4	0.23	+0.77	0	0	2	4	43%	0	+3
7D. ToewsDevon ToewsD	19:41	0	2	2	1	4	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	2	—	2	0
91N. KadriNazem KadriC	19:26	1	0	1	2	4	0.37	+0.63	1	1	0	1	33%	0	+3
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	19:18	0	1	1	4	11	1.02	−1.02	0	1	0	0	41%	0	0
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	19:09	0	1	1	2	5	0.30	−0.30	2	2	0	0	—	0	+2
13V. NichushkinValeri NichushkinR	18:19	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	1	0	1	3	—	0	-1
27B. KulakBrett KulakD	18:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	0	—	0	+2
10N. RoyNicolas RoyC	16:56	1	0	1	2	2	0.20	+0.80	1	1	0	2	14%	0	-1
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	15:48	0	1	1	2	4	0.10	−0.10	1	3	0	0	—	0	+1
18J. DruryJack DruryC	15:36	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	−0.07	1	2	0	0	80%	0	+1
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	14:45	0	0	0	1	4	0.08	−0.08	0	2	0	2	—	2	0
94J. KivirantaJoel KivirantaL	14:20	1	0	1	1	3	0.11	+0.89	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
17P. KellyParker KellyC	13:11	0	1	1	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	1	0%	0	+1
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	9:31	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
54G. BrindleyGavin BrindleyC	9:20	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
93Z. BardakovZakhar BardakovC	8:04	0	0	0	1	3	0.10	−0.10	3	1	0	1	—	0	0
COL total		5	10	15	26	57	3.25	+1.75	17	19	4	21	44%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Necas+1.20

MacKinnon+0.62

Nelson+0.43

Kiviranta+0.37

Kadri+0.29

Roy+0.28

Kelly+0.04

Bardakov−0.16

Brindley−0.20

Drury−0.21

Nichushkin−0.30

Defence

Manson+0.43

Malinski+0.24

Toews+0.19

Makar+0.11

Blankenburg−0.01

Burns−0.18

Kulak−0.19

Goalie

Wedgewood+1.31

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
MacKinnon·Necas·Kadri	14:53	22	12	23	34.3%	9	9	3	0	0.66	0.75	46.8%	−0.09	5	0	100%
Kiviranta·Nelson·Nichushkin	5:48	10	8	6	57.1%	4	2	0	0	0.62	0.36	63.4%	+0.26	2	1	67%
Roy·Kelly·Drury	4:36	7	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	3	0%
Roy·Nelson·Nichushkin	3:55	6	3	4	42.9%	1	1	0	0	0.24	0.30	44.5%	−0.06	1	0	100%
Kiviranta·Kelly·Drury	3:04	6	5	2	71.4%	1	0	1	0	0.18	0.02	90.9%	+0.16	1	0	100%
Occasional · 14 groups
Nelson·Brindley·Nichushkin	1:50	3	5	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Roy·Brindley·Bardakov	1:24	4	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	1	0%
Kelly·Drury·Bardakov	1:24	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Drury·Brindley·Bardakov	1:22	4	2	2	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.01	0.05	24.3%	−0.03	0	1	0%
Kiviranta·Roy·Brindley	0:46	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Kelly·Drury·Brindley	0:45	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Kiviranta·Roy·Bardakov	0:44	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Kiviranta·Drury·Nichushkin	0:40	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Kelly·Brindley·Bardakov	0:38	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	0	—
Nelson·Brindley·Bardakov	0:37	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Kelly·Drury·Necas	0:37	4	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.04	0.01	78.3%	+0.03	0	0	—
Kiviranta·Nelson·Necas	0:35	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Roy·Drury·Bardakov	0:33	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Nelson·MacKinnon·Nichushkin	0:31	1	4	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.42	0.00	100.0%	+0.42	0	1	0%
COL 5v5	51:06		49	55	47.1%	21	22	4	0	2.64	1.92	57.8%	+0.71

Goalies

Scott Wedgewood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 28/29
SV%: .966
xGA: 2.30
GSAx: +1.30

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/22	1.000	1.92	+1.92
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.24	+0.24
Shorthanded	2/3	.667	0.13	−0.87
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.72	+0.72

Philipp Grubauer

SEA · 39:43

Saves: 9/11
SV%: .818
xGA: 1.67
GSAx: −0.33

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	8/10	.800	1.42	−0.58
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.24	+0.24
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.18	+0.18

Joey Daccord

SEA · 20:00

Saves: 12/15
SV%: .800
xGA: 1.58
GSAx: −1.42

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/11	.818	1.21	−0.79
Power play	3/4	.750	0.37	−0.63
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.42	+0.42

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

21:01Makar
19:41Toews
19:09Malinski
18:05Kulak
15:48Manson
14:45Burns
9:31Blankenburg

22:32Necas
20:58MacKinnon
19:26Kadri
19:18Nelson
18:19Nichushkin
16:56Roy
15:36Drury
14:20Kiviranta
13:11Kelly
9:20Brindley
8:04Bardakov

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLSEA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MalinskiD0 O2
KulakD2 O3
ToewsD4 O4
MakarD5 O5
BlankenburgD3 O1
BurnsD3 O0
MansonD3 O0
KadriD0 O7
MacKinnonD1 O7
NecasD0 O5
KivirantaD1 O4
NelsonD4 O6
RoyD3 O3
NichushkinD4 O3
BardakovD2 O1
DruryD4 O1
BrindleyD3 O0
KellyD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period