BUF @ FLA 3–2 · 2026-02-27

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	0	2	39
FLA	0	1	1	30

Story

– / 12

Result BUF 3–2Call No lean · BUF 53%xG 4.74–4.03 · deserved BUF 61%Swing Malenstyn +35 3rd 11:38Method

Goals and penalties with FLA win probability
Time	Event	FLA win before	FLA win after
1st 2:00	BUF penalty · B. Malenstyn · tripping · 2 min
1st 15:57	FLA penalty · A. Greer · hooking · 2 min
1st 17:48	Goal BUF · A. Tuch (PP)	47%	28%
2nd 9:47	BUF penalty · J. Quinn · too many men on the ice · 2 min
2nd 13:45	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · hooking · 2 min
2nd 13:51	Goal FLA · M. Tkachuk (PP)	24%	47%
2nd 17:55	FLA penalty · G. Forsling · holding · 2 min
3rd 5:20	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · hooking · 2 min
3rd 11:38	Goal BUF · B. Malenstyn	48%	13%
3rd 11:38	FLA penalty · S. Vilmanis · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
3rd 18:43	Goal BUF · P. Krebs (EN)	3%	1%
3rd 19:25	Goal FLA · S. Bennett	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:35	14:37	21	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	2-1
72T. ThompsonC	0:35	19:39	24	0	1	1	1	7	0	0	1	4-11
89A. TuchR	0:35	19:23	27	1	1	2	6	10	0	1	3	0-1
23M. SamuelssonD	0:35	23:42	31	0	0	0	3	5	0	3	2	–
25O. PowerD	0:35	23:46	28	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	4	–
34A. LyonG		60:00	SA30GA2SV%.933xGA4.03GSAx+2.03

FLA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
9S. BennettC	2:31	21:19	21	1	1	2	3	6	0	0	11-7
13S. ReinhartC	2:31	22:24	26	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	1-2
15A. LundellC	1:17	16:43	24	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	9-8
19M. TkachukL	2:30	21:34	22	1	0	1	5	8	0	0	–
63B. MarchandL	0:33	16:10	22	0	1	1	4	9	0	0	–
5A. EkbladD	2:31	27:18	31	0	0	0	3	7	4	1	–

Goals

1st
Alex Tuch(1)PP
R. McLeod (1), B. Byram (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 17:48+19.172%
2nd
Matthew Tkachuk(1)PP
B. Marchand (1), S. Bennett (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 13:51+23.647%
3rd
Beck Malenstyn(1)
J. Norris (1), N. Ostlund (1)
xG 0.04slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF3rd 11:38+35.487%
Peyton Krebs(1)EN
T. Thompson (1), A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.46wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 BUF3rd 18:43+2.199%
Sam Bennett(1)6v5
Unassisted
xG 0.92Clip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 BUF3rd 19:25+0.71%

Shots

BUF4.74 xG53 unblocked · 17 blocked53 unblocked · 17 blocked

FLA4.03 xG48 unblocked · 18 blocked48 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFFLA3Goals24.74xG4.0339Shots3053Unblocked4870Attempts668High danger51/3Power play1/425Faceoffs4214Hits2018Blocks177Takeaways315Giveaways168PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	25:04	0	0	0	2	6	0.09	−0.09	0	0	2	1	—	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	23:46	0	0	0	3	3	0.11	−0.11	0	4	0	0	—	0	0
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	23:42	0	0	0	3	5	0.38	−0.38	3	2	0	2	—	0	+1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	23:42	0	1	1	2	4	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	19:39	0	1	1	1	7	0.31	−0.31	0	1	0	1	27%	0	+1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	19:23	1	1	2	6	10	1.10	−0.10	1	3	0	0	0%	0	+1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	17:46	0	1	1	3	4	0.25	−0.25	0	0	0	1	47%	0	0
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:23	0	0	0	3	3	0.36	−0.36	3	1	1	0	—	0	-1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	15:58	0	1	1	1	2	0.22	−0.22	0	0	1	0	31%	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	15:52	0	0	0	1	4	0.50	−0.50	1	0	0	3	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:37	1	0	1	2	3	0.53	+0.47	1	0	2	0	67%	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	14:35	0	0	0	2	3	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	14:23	0	1	1	3	3	0.18	−0.18	0	0	1	1	33%	0	0
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	12:19	0	0	0	1	3	0.07	−0.07	0	2	0	0	—	2	0
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	10:57	1	0	1	3	4	0.12	+0.88	1	1	0	1	—	2	+1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	10:45	0	0	0	1	1	0.13	−0.13	2	3	0	0	22%	0	0
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	8:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	1	75%	2	0
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	6:13	0	0	0	1	3	0.09	−0.09	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
BUF total		3	6	9	39	70	4.74	−1.74	14	18	7	14	37%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Tuch+0.76

Malenstyn+0.34

Thompson+0.33

Norris+0.26

McLeod+0.24

Doan−0.04

Ostlund−0.09

Krebs−0.12

Kozak−0.13

Dunne−0.16

Zucker−0.24

Quinn−0.30

Defence

Byram+0.21

Samuelsson+0.16

Power+0.04

Metsa−0.04

Dahlin−0.20

Kesselring−0.38

Goalie

Lyon+2.06

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	11:35	18	18	13	58.1%	9	4	0	0	0.68	0.39	63.2%	+0.28	3	1	75%
Norris·Ostlund·Doan	11:21	18	14	11	56.0%	9	5	0	0	0.57	0.62	48.0%	−0.05	6	3	67%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	8:55	13	8	2	80.0%	3	0	0	0	0.56	0.00	100.0%	+0.56	2	3	40%
Malenstyn·Dunne·Kozak	7:26	13	8	9	47.1%	4	3	0	0	0.37	0.34	52.1%	+0.03	0	5	0%
Occasional · 2 groups
Zucker·Thompson·Quinn	1:23	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.26	0.0%	−0.26	0	0	—
Zucker·Norris·Quinn	0:44	5	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	46:04		59	41	59.0%	33	15	1	0	3.15	1.70	64.9%	+1.44

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 28/30
SV%: .933
xGA: 4.03
GSAx: +2.03

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/17	.941	2.71	+1.71
Power play	11/12	.917	1.20	+0.20
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.12	+0.12
High danger	2/4	.500	1.65	−0.35

Daniil Tarasov

FLA · 58:05

Saves: 36/38
SV%: .947
xGA: 3.74
GSAx: +1.74

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	33/34	.971	3.18	+2.18
Power play	3/4	.750	0.56	−0.44
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.28	+1.28

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

25:04Dahlin
23:46Power
23:42Samuelsson
23:42Byram
12:19Kesselring
6:13Metsa

19:39Thompson
19:23Tuch
17:46Norris
16:23Doan
15:58McLeod
15:52Zucker
14:37Krebs
14:35Quinn
14:23Ostlund
10:57Malenstyn
10:45Kozak
8:54Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFFLA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MetsaD1 O2
DahlinD5 O4
PowerD5 O4
KesselringD5 O2
ByramD9 O4
SamuelssonD9 O2
NorrisD2 O7
DoanD3 O7
ThompsonD2 O5
OstlundD3 O5
ZuckerD3 O4
KrebsD3 O2
QuinnD3 O2
TuchD5 O3
DunneD5 O0
MalenstynD6 O0
McLeodD8 O2
KozakD6 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period