NSH @ VGK 2–7 · 2026-01-17

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	1	0	1	29
VGK	0	2	5	36

Story

– / 15

Result VGK 7–2Call No lean · VGK 65%xG 2.49–3.50 · deserved VGK 66%Swing Holtz +30 2nd 17:17Method

Goals and penalties with VGK win probability
Time	Event	VGK win before	VGK win after
1st 14:10	Goal NSH · L. Evangelista	63%	42%
1st 16:01	NSH penalty · R. Schaefer · tripping · 2 min
2nd 9:39	VGK penalty · M. Marner · hooking · 2 min
2nd 17:17	Goal VGK · A. Holtz	30%	60%
2nd 18:22	Goal VGK · S. Theodore	60%	85%
2nd 18:22	NSH penalty · M. Bunting · roughing · 2 min
2nd 18:22	VGK penalty · T. Hertl · roughing · 2 min
3rd 5:52	Goal VGK · P. Dorofeyev	88%	98%
3rd 6:31	VGK penalty · J. Eichel · interference · 2 min
3rd 8:52	Goal VGK · M. Stone	98%	99%
3rd 12:26	Goal VGK · C. Reinhardt	99%	99%
3rd 13:16	Goal VGK · M. Marner	99%	99%
3rd 15:12	Goal VGK · K. Kolesar	99%	99%
3rd 18:12	VGK penalty · B. Hutton · tripping · 2 min
3rd 19:38	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg (PP)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17T. JostC	0:22	11:17	14	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	–
40F. SvechkovC	0:22	12:25	16	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	9-2
49R. SchaeferL	0:22	11:17	17	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	2	–
41N. HagueD	0:22	20:05	26	0	0	0	3	4	0	1	0	–
48N. PerbixD	0:22	18:16	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
29J. AnnunenG		59:52	SA36GA7SV%.806xGA3.50GSAx−3.50

VGK5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48T. HertlC	0:22	16:16	20	0	1	1	1	2	2	0	2	11-5
23C. ReinhardtL	0:22	9:33	14	1	1	2	3	4	0	2	0	–
42B. BowmanR	0:22	12:02	18	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-1
6K. KorczakD	0:22	17:46	19	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	2	–
17B. HuttonD	0:22	16:40	18	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	1	–
40A. SchmidG		59:55	SA29GA2SV%.931xGA2.49GSAx+0.49

Goals

1st
Luke Evangelista(1)
R. Josi (1)
xG 0.13deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 NSH1st 14:10+21.558%
2nd
Alexander Holtz(1)
S. Theodore (1), C. Reinhardt (1)
xG 0.03slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 17:17+29.960%
Shea Theodore(1)
J. Lauzon (1), K. Kolesar (1)
xG 0.03snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 VGK2nd 18:22+25.385%
3rd
Pavel Dorofeyev(1)
M. Marner (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 VGK3rd 05:52+9.698%
Mark Stone(1)
J. Eichel (1), Z. Whitecloud (1)
xG 0.25wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 VGK3rd 08:52+1.099%
Cole Reinhardt(1)
A. Holtz (1), T. Laczynski (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 VGK3rd 12:26+0.099%
Mitch Marner(1)
R. Smith (1), A. Schmid (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–6 VGK3rd 13:16+0.099%
Keegan Kolesar(1)
T. Hertl (1), B. Bowman (1)
xG 0.28backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–7 VGK3rd 15:12+0.099%
Filip Forsberg(1)PP
R. O'Reilly (1), R. Josi (2)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–7 VGK3rd 19:38+0.01%

Shots

NSH2.49 xG44 unblocked · 17 blocked44 unblocked · 17 blocked

VGK3.50 xG46 unblocked · 17 blocked46 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHVGK2Goals72.49xG3.5029Shots3644Unblocked4661Attempts632High danger21/3Power play0/133Faceoffs3014Hits2517Blocks177Takeaways416Giveaways204PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	23:26	0	2	2	3	7	0.24	−0.24	1	1	2	0	—	0	-1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	21:37	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	1	1	0	—	0	-1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	20:05	0	0	0	3	4	0.11	−0.11	1	0	1	0	—	0	-2
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	19:36	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	2	0	1	42%	0	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	19:08	1	0	1	4	6	0.20	+0.80	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	18:16	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	1	3	—	0	-2
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	17:55	1	0	1	2	4	0.27	+0.73	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	17:41	0	0	0	2	3	0.16	−0.16	2	0	0	1	60%	0	-3
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	17:38	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	2	0	1	—	0	-3
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	16:27	0	0	0	1	3	0.04	−0.04	2	2	0	2	56%	0	-3
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	15:29	0	0	0	6	7	0.43	−0.43	0	0	1	2	—	2	-3
36C. SmithCole SmithR	13:49	0	0	0	2	6	0.20	−0.20	0	0	1	0	—	0	-2
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	13:43	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	2	—	0	-2
81J. MarchessaultJonathan MarchessaultR	13:38	0	0	0	1	4	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	0%	0	-3
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	12:41	0	0	0	3	3	0.35	−0.35	4	1	0	0	45%	0	-2
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	12:25	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	−0.32	0	4	0	1	82%	0	-2
17T. JostTyson JostC	11:17	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	2	—	0	-2
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	11:17	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	−0.02	2	2	0	1	—	2	-2
NSH total		2	3	5	29	61	2.49	−0.49	14	16	7	16	52%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Forsberg+0.46

Evangelista+0.33

O'Reilly+0.18

Svechkov+0.13

Jost−0.03

McCarron−0.14

Marchessault−0.27

Haula−0.27

Smith−0.31

Schaefer−0.32

Bunting−0.35

Stamkos−0.47

Defence

Josi+0.50

Blankenburg−0.05

Barron−0.10

Skjei−0.17

Perbix−0.28

Hague−0.29

Goalie

Annunen−3.48

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	10:57	15	7	16	30.4%	3	9	1	0	0.31	0.63	33.1%	−0.32	1	5	17%
Haula·Bunting·Stamkos	10:19	16	8	17	32.0%	4	11	0	2	0.25	0.84	22.7%	−0.59	2	4	33%
Schaefer·McCarron·Smith	9:35	15	13	8	61.9%	5	2	0	2	0.38	0.58	39.6%	−0.20	1	1	50%
Jost·Svechkov·Marchessault	8:42	13	9	7	56.3%	3	4	0	2	0.47	0.27	63.9%	+0.21	1	1	50%
Occasional · 6 groups
Haula·Bunting·Marchessault	1:18	2	4	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.20	0.00	100.0%	+0.20	0	0	—
Forsberg·Svechkov·Marchessault	1:02	1	1	2	33.3%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.12	15.4%	−0.10	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Smith	0:36	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bunting·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:35	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schaefer·Svechkov·Smith	0:35	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bunting·McCarron·Smith	0:34	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	50:21		48	57	45.7%	21	31	1	7	2.00	2.99	40.0%	−1.00

Goalies

Justus Annunen

NSH · 59:52

Saves: 29/36
SV%: .806
xGA: 3.50
GSAx: −3.50

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/32	.781	3.06	−3.94
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.30	+0.30
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.14	+0.14
High danger	0/2	.000	0.53	−1.47

Akira Schmid

VGK · 59:55

Saves: 27/29
SV%: .931
xGA: 2.49
GSAx: +0.49

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	2.10	+1.10
Power play	6/7	.857	0.39	−0.61
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.34	+0.34

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

23:26Josi
21:37Skjei
20:05Hague
18:16Perbix
17:38Blankenburg
13:43Barron

19:36O'Reilly
19:08Forsberg
17:55Evangelista
17:41Stamkos
16:27Haula
15:29Bunting
13:49C. Smith
13:38Marchessault
12:41McCarron
12:25Svechkov
11:17Jost
11:17Schaefer

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHVGK

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD3 O3
BarronD1 O1
BlankenburgD0 O0
SkjeiD4 O0
HagueD5 O1
PerbixD4 O0
MarchessaultD1 O1
ForsbergD4 O4
JostD1 O1
EvangelistaD3 O3
SvechkovD1 O1
SchaeferD1 O1
McCarronD1 O0
C. SmithD2 O1
StamkosD4 O2
O'ReillyD5 O3
HaulaD5 O2
BuntingD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period