MIN @ BUF 5–4 · 2026-01-17

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
MIN	2	2	0	1	36
BUF	1	3	0	0	24

Story

– / 21

Result MIN 5–4 OTCall MIN 50% xG 3.99–2.82 · deserved MIN 68%Swing Zuccarello +50 OT 1:46Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 3:10	BUF penalty · T. Thompson · hooking · 2 min
1st 9:19	Goal MIN · M. Foligno	50%	32%
1st 10:05	Goal BUF · R. McLeod	32%	50%
1st 10:05	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 10:05	MIN penalty · M. Foligno · unsportsmanlike conduct · 2 min
1st 12:11	MIN penalty · M. Foligno · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:11	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · fighting · 5 min
1st 15:25	MIN penalty · Q. Hughes · hooking · 2 min
1st 16:26	MIN penalty · D. Yurov · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:52	Goal MIN · R. Hartman	50%	30%
2nd 1:08	Goal MIN · V. Tarasenko	29%	14%
2nd 1:47	BUF penalty · B. Byram · slashing · 2 min
2nd 4:08	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · hooking · 2 min
2nd 10:07	Goal BUF · P. Krebs	11%	27%
2nd 11:34	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	26%	50%
2nd 12:19	MIN penalty · D. Jiricek · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:01	MIN penalty · D. Yurov · holding · 2 min
2nd 16:07	Goal BUF · A. Tuch (PP)	50%	76%
2nd 17:04	Goal MIN · Q. Hughes	76%	50%
3rd 19:46	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · hooking · 2 min
OT 1:46	Goal MIN · M. Zuccarello (PP)	50%	0%

On ice · final horn

MIN4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
97K. KaprizovL	1:46	24:28	23	0	2	2	3	7	0	1	0	–
36M. ZuccarelloR	1:46	25:35	22	0	1	1	3	10	0	0	0	3-1
38R. HartmanR	1:46	22:10	22	1	0	1	4	4	0	1	3	12-14
7B. FaberD	0:07	28:41	32	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	–
32F. GustavssonG		61:46	SA24GA4SV%.833xGA2.82GSAx−1.18

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
89A. TuchR	0:06	18:40	26	1	0	1	2	4	0	1	2	1-0
23M. SamuelssonD	1:46	26:30	28	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	3	–
25O. PowerD	0:07	21:33	25	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	–
1U. LuukkonenG		61:46	SA35GA4SV%.886xGA3.81GSAx−0.19

Goals

1st
Marcus Foligno(1)
V. Tarasenko (1), B. Jones (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 MIN1st 09:19+18.368%
Ryan McLeod(1)
J. Quinn (1), J. Zucker (1)
xG 0.08deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 10:05+18.450%
Ryan Hartman(1)
Q. Hughes (1), K. Kaprizov (1)
xG 0.11tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 MIN1st 19:52+20.370%
2nd
Vladimir Tarasenko(1)
J. Spurgeon (1), D. Yurov (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 MIN2nd 01:08+15.286%
Peyton Krebs(1)
M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.05tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 MIN2nd 10:07+15.527%
Jack Quinn(1)
R. Dahlin (1), J. Zucker (2)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 11:34+23.750%
Alex Tuch(1)PP
T. Thompson (1), R. McLeod (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 BUF2nd 16:07+25.676%
Quinn Hughes(1)
K. Kaprizov (2), M. Zuccarello (1)
xG 0.08slapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied2nd 17:04+26.050%
OT
Mats Zuccarello(1)PP
K. Kaprizov (3), F. Gustavsson (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 MINOT 01:46+50.0100%

Shots

MIN3.99 xG49 unblocked · 20 blocked49 unblocked · 20 blocked

BUF2.82 xG38 unblocked · 10 blocked38 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MINBUF5Goals43.99xG2.8236Shots2449Unblocked3869Attempts489High danger31/4Power play1/432Faceoffs2631Hits2110Blocks206Takeaways311Giveaways1015PIM15

Skaters

Player

Player
43Q. HughesQuinn HughesD	29:52	1	1	2	4	13	0.31	+0.69	0	1	1	2	—	2	+1
7B. FaberBrock FaberD	28:41	0	0	0	2	2	0.08	−0.08	0	1	1	0	—	0	+1
36M. ZuccarelloMats ZuccarelloR	25:35	1	1	2	4	11	0.71	+0.29	0	0	0	0	75%	0	+1
97K. KaprizovKirill KaprizovL	24:28	0	3	3	3	7	0.62	−0.62	1	0	1	2	—	0	+1
38R. HartmanRyan HartmanR	22:10	1	0	1	4	4	0.25	+0.75	1	1	0	1	46%	0	+1
5J. MiddletonJake MiddletonD	21:17	0	0	0	3	4	0.23	−0.23	3	4	0	1	—	0	0
22D. YurovDanila YurovR	16:27	0	1	1	1	1	0.19	−0.19	2	1	0	0	38%	4	+1
46J. SpurgeonJared SpurgeonD	16:16	0	1	1	2	3	0.05	−0.05	2	0	0	0	—	0	0
91V. TarasenkoVladimir TarasenkoR	15:55	1	1	2	5	7	0.60	+0.40	3	0	0	1	—	0	+2
13Y. TreninYakov TreninC	15:33	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	9	0	1	0	—	0	+1
17M. FolignoMarcus FolignoL	14:25	1	0	1	2	2	0.27	+0.73	2	0	0	0	—	7	0
18V. HinostrozaVinnie HinostrozaC	12:28	0	0	0	3	6	0.43	−0.43	0	0	0	2	50%	0	-1
48D. HuntDaemon HuntD	11:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
78N. SturmNico SturmC	10:55	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	0	0	1	0	75%	0	-1
55D. JiricekDavid JiricekD	9:12	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	—	2	0
39B. JonesBen JonesC	8:54	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
37H. HaightHunter HaightC	8:06	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	0	1	1	100%	0	0
19T. PitlickTyler PitlickC	6:08	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	4	0	0	0	—	0	-1
32F. GustavssonFilip GustavssonG	0:00	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
MIN total		5	10	15	36	69	3.99	+1.01	31	9	6	11	55%	15

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Tarasenko+1.32

Kaprizov+1.10

Zuccarello+0.67

Hartman+0.65

Foligno+0.48

Jones−0.09

Hinostroza−0.09

Haight−0.17

Pitlick−0.20

Yurov−0.28

Sturm−0.30

Trenin−0.31

Defence

Hughes+0.77

Middleton+0.35

Spurgeon+0.28

Hunt−0.03

Faber−0.06

Jiricek−0.12

Goalie

Gustavsson−1.16

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Kaprizov·Zuccarello·Hartman	14:26	17	27	6	81.8%	14	2	2	1	1.43	0.13	91.5%	+1.30	3	2	60%
Trenin·Yurov·Tarasenko	9:54	14	5	8	38.5%	4	5	1	0	0.33	0.34	49.2%	−0.01	2	0	100%
Foligno·Hinostroza·Haight	5:57	10	13	6	68.4%	5	3	0	0	0.45	0.45	50.3%	+0.00	1	1	50%
Pitlick·Jones·Sturm	5:25	8	4	8	33.3%	2	4	0	1	0.20	0.65	23.8%	−0.45	0	2	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Kaprizov·Yurov·Zuccarello	1:13	5	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Trenin·Yurov·Zuccarello	0:47	6	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Foligno·Hinostroza·Jones	0:46	1	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	1	0.02	0.08	20.7%	−0.06	0	0	—
Kaprizov·Hinostroza·Haight	0:44	2	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	0	—
Trenin·Hinostroza·Yurov	0:39	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Trenin·Haight·Tarasenko	0:38	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Trenin·Zuccarello·Hartman	0:37	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Foligno·Hinostroza·Sturm	0:33	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Foligno·Hinostroza·Yurov	0:32	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	100.0%	+0.12	0	0	—
MIN 5v5	45:39		54	37	59.3%	28	17	4	3	2.96	1.89	61.0%	+1.07

Goalies

Filip Gustavsson

MIN · 61:46

Saves: 20/24
SV%: .833
xGA: 2.82
GSAx: −1.18

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	16/19	.842	2.17	−0.83
Power play	4/5	.800	0.50	−0.50
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.15	+0.15
High danger	1/2	.500	0.51	−0.49

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 61:46

Saves: 31/36
SV%: .861
xGA: 3.99
GSAx: −1.01

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/28	.857	2.96	−1.04
Power play	6/7	.857	1.01	+0.01
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	5/7	.714	1.70	−0.30

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Minnesota Wild

Minutes

29:52Hughes
28:41Faber
21:17Middleton
16:16Spurgeon
11:36Hunt
9:12Jiricek

25:35Zuccarello
24:28Kaprizov
22:10Hartman
16:27Yurov
15:55Tarasenko
15:33Trenin
14:25Foligno
12:28Hinostroza
10:55Sturm
8:54Jones
8:06Haight
6:08Pitlick
0:00Gustavsson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMINBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SpurgeonD0 O4
HughesD2 O6
HuntD1 O1
JiricekD1 O1
MiddletonD4 O3
FaberD5 O2
ZuccarelloD2 O6
TarasenkoD0 O4
HartmanD2 O6
KaprizovD2 O5
HaightD0 O2
YurovD0 O2
TreninD1 O2
HinostrozaD0 O0
PitlickD2 O0
JonesD2 O0
FolignoD3 O0
SturmD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period