NSH @ EDM 2–6 · 2026-01-06

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	0	0	2	26
EDM	1	3	2	43

Story

– / 13

Result EDM 6–2Call No lean · EDM 57%xG 2.17–5.49 · deserved EDM 90%Swing McDavid +18 1st 8:53Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 8:19	NSH penalty · M. McCarron · high sticking · 2 min
1st 8:53	Goal EDM · C. McDavid (PP)	57%	75%
2nd 5:02	EDM penalty · A. Regula · tripping · 2 min
2nd 15:53	NSH penalty · A. Wilsby · ps holding on breakaway
2nd 15:53	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	80%	94%
2nd 16:15	Goal EDM · C. Lazar	94%	99%
2nd 18:52	Goal EDM · K. Kapanen	99%	99%
3rd 3:48	Goal NSH · R. O'Reilly	99%	99%
3rd 4:03	Goal NSH · N. Blankenburg	99%	96%
3rd 4:25	EDM penalty · M. Savoie · hooking · 2 min
3rd 6:25	NSH penalty · B. Skjei · hooking · 2 min
3rd 13:46	Goal EDM · L. Draisaitl	99%	99%
3rd 19:03	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17T. JostC	1:13	12:38	16	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0-1
40F. SvechkovC	0:57	14:48	16	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	1	4-2
49R. SchaeferL	1:45	13:26	18	0	1	1	2	5	0	2	0	–
48N. PerbixD	0:57	15:49	23	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	–
59R. JosiD	0:57	22:13	26	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA43GA6SV%.860xGA5.49GSAx−0.51

EDM5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22M. SavoieC	0:57	13:32	18	0	1	1	4	5	2	0	0	0-1
28J. RoslovicC	0:57	15:48	18	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	6-3
53I. HowardL	0:57	12:34	14	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	–
49T. EmbersonD	0:12	13:55	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	–
75A. RegulaD	0:57	16:08	19	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	3	–
39C. IngramG		59:55	SA26GA2SV%.923xGA2.17GSAx+0.17

Goals

1st
Connor McDavid(1)PP
E. Bouchard (1), L. Draisaitl (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 EDM1st 08:53+18.275%
2nd
Connor McDavid(2)1v0
Unassisted
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 EDM2nd 15:53+13.494%
Curtis Lazar(1)
M. Savoie (1), M. Janmark (1)
xG 0.20backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 EDM2nd 16:15+4.699%
Kasperi Kapanen(1)
L. Draisaitl (2), V. Podkolzin (1)
xG 0.18wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–4 EDM2nd 18:52+0.699%
3rd
Ryan O'Reilly(1)
N. Hague (1), L. Evangelista (1)
xG 0.11snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 EDM3rd 03:48+0.21%
Nick Blankenburg(1)
R. Schaefer (1), M. Bunting (1)
xG 0.01snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 EDM3rd 04:03+3.14%
Leon Draisaitl(1)
K. Kapanen (1), V. Podkolzin (2)
xG 0.27snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 EDM3rd 13:46+0.499%
Connor McDavid(3)
R. Nugent-Hopkins (1), M. Ekholm (1)
xG 0.19snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–6 EDM3rd 19:03+0.099%

Shots

NSH2.17 xG41 unblocked · 19 blocked41 unblocked · 19 blocked

EDM5.49 xG58 unblocked · 17 blocked58 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHEDM2Goals62.17xG5.4926Shots4341Unblocked5860Attempts752High danger120/2Power play1/226Faceoffs3417Hits1517Blocks196Takeaways718Giveaways164PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	22:13	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	2	—	0	-1
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	20:18	0	1	1	2	4	0.14	−0.14	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	19:53	0	1	1	2	2	0.02	−0.02	1	2	1	0	—	0	0
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	18:58	0	0	0	3	6	0.43	−0.43	2	1	1	2	—	0	+1
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	18:24	0	1	1	1	5	0.18	−0.18	0	0	1	3	—	0	+1
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	18:14	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	1	—	2	-1
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	17:47	1	0	1	3	3	0.32	+0.68	0	2	0	1	36%	0	0
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	16:59	1	0	1	1	3	0.06	+0.94	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
36C. SmithCole SmithR	16:35	0	0	0	2	3	0.27	−0.27	2	0	1	1	—	0	-2
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	16:10	0	0	0	2	5	0.19	−0.19	2	0	0	0	45%	0	0
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	15:49	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	1	—	0	-1
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	15:41	0	0	0	2	3	0.02	−0.02	0	1	1	2	40%	0	-1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	14:52	0	0	0	4	6	0.07	−0.07	5	2	1	0	50%	2	-1
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	14:48	0	0	0	1	3	0.23	−0.23	3	0	0	0	67%	0	-1
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	14:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	13:26	0	1	1	2	5	0.14	−0.14	2	0	0	1	—	0	-1
17T. JostTyson JostC	12:38	0	0	0	0	5	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	0%	0	-3
20J. BarronJustin BarronD	10:07	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	2	—	0	0
NSH total		2	4	6	26	60	2.17	−0.17	17	13	6	17	43%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

O'Reilly+0.40

Schaefer+0.17

Evangelista−0.12

Forsberg−0.34

Bunting−0.38

Svechkov−0.40

Haula−0.42

Jost−0.49

Smith−0.52

Stamkos−0.55

McCarron−0.61

Defence

Blankenburg+0.37

Hague+0.16

Barron+0.01

Wilsby−0.29

Perbix−0.29

Josi−0.30

Skjei−0.46

Goalie

Saros−0.47

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	8:59	14	8	5	61.5%	2	2	0	0	0.27	0.38	40.9%	−0.12	1	1	50%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	8:44	12	3	13	18.8%	2	6	0	0	0.27	0.48	36.2%	−0.21	3	4	43%
Schaefer·McCarron·Smith	7:42	12	13	7	65.0%	6	7	0	1	0.36	0.82	30.6%	−0.46	0	1	0%
Occasional · 15 groups
Jost·Svechkov·Smith	3:34	5	4	1	80.0%	1	1	0	1	0.05	0.27	14.4%	−0.23	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	2:38	6	8	3	72.7%	4	1	1	0	0.50	0.10	84.1%	+0.41	2	0	100%
Jost·Svechkov·Evangelista	2:03	3	3	4	42.9%	0	3	0	0	0.05	0.42	9.9%	−0.37	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·Stamkos	2:02	4	0	7	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.27	0.0%	−0.27	1	1	50%
Forsberg·Jost·Svechkov	2:00	4	4	4	50.0%	2	2	0	0	0.25	0.25	49.5%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Schaefer·Jost·Svechkov	1:26	2	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Svechkov·McCarron·Smith	1:20	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
Schaefer·Bunting·McCarron	1:19	2	1	1	50.0%	1	0	1	0	0.01	0.07	13.8%	−0.06	0	0	—
Forsberg·Svechkov·Evangelista	0:47	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Schaefer·Svechkov·McCarron	0:41	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·Smith	0:38	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Jost·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:36	3	1	2	33.3%	1	2	0	1	0.00	0.28	1.6%	−0.28	0	0	—
Forsberg·McCarron·Stamkos	0:35	3	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Bunting·Jost·Evangelista	0:31	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.14	0.0%	−0.14	0	1	0%
Bunting·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
NSH 5v5	53:21		56	64	46.7%	24	36	2	5	1.94	4.41	30.6%	−2.47

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 37/43
SV%: .860
xGA: 5.49
GSAx: −0.51

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/36	.861	4.41	−0.59
Power play	3/4	.750	0.82	−0.18
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.25	+0.25
High danger	5/10	.500	2.45	−2.55

Connor Ingram

EDM · 59:55

Saves: 24/26
SV%: .923
xGA: 2.17
GSAx: +0.17

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/24	.917	1.94	−0.06
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.10	+0.10
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.13	+0.13
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.35	+0.35

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

22:13Josi
19:53Hague
18:14Skjei
16:59Blankenburg
15:49Perbix
14:34Wilsby
10:07Barron

20:18Evangelista
18:58Forsberg
18:24Bunting
17:47O'Reilly
16:35Smith
16:10Haula
15:41Stamkos
14:52McCarron
14:48Svechkov
13:26Schaefer
12:38Jost

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHEDM

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD4 O4
BarronD2 O1
WilsbyD2 O1
SkjeiD4 O2
HagueD4 O2
PerbixD5 O3
BlankenburgD6 O1
StamkosD3 O6
ForsbergD2 O5
O'ReillyD5 O7
EvangelistaD2 O3
HaulaD3 O2
SvechkovD1 O0
SchaeferD1 O0
McCarronD2 O0
BuntingD3 O1
JostD2 O0
SmithD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period