COL @ TBL 2–4 · 2026-01-06

Team	1	2	3	SOG
COL	0	2	0	33
TBL	1	1	2	28

Story

– / 14

Result TBL 4–2Call No lean · COL 51%xG 3.05–3.86 · deserved TBL 63%Swing Hagel +35 3rd 8:31Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 3:58	TBL penalty · D. Raddysh · holding · 2 min
1st 18:14	COL penalty · B. Burns · tripping · 2 min
1st 19:48	Goal TBL · J. Guentzel (PP)	49%	71%
2nd 3:22	Goal COL · P. Kelly	72%	49%
2nd 7:28	COL penalty · Z. Bardakov · slashing · 2 min
2nd 9:31	Goal COL · B. Nelson	49%	25%
2nd 17:22	Goal TBL · Z. Girgensons	22%	49%
3rd 1:19	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · holding · 2 min
3rd 8:31	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	49%	85%
3rd 18:35	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli (EN)	97%	99%
OT 0:00	TBL penalty · N. Paul · roughing · 2 min
OT 0:00	COL penalty · M. Necas · roughing · 2 min
OT 0:00	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
OT 0:00	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · misconduct · 10 min

On ice · final horn

COL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
11B. NelsonC	0:51	22:14	26	1	0	1	4	6	0	1	16-5
29N. MacKinnonC	1:07	22:37	23	0	0	0	5	6	3	1	14-7
88M. NecasC	0:51	21:54	23	0	0	0	3	10	4	0	–
62A. LehkonenL	0:51	18:55	24	0	0	0	2	4	1	2	–
13V. NichushkinR	0:51	19:30	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	–
8C. MakarD	1:10	26:04	27	0	1	1	1	7	0	5	–

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:09	12:08	13	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	1-4
20N. PaulL	0:09	12:12	16	0	0	0	2	5	0	3	1	2-4
22O. BjorkstrandR	0:09	13:43	15	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	–
24M. CrozierD	0:09	15:33	17	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	1	–
51C. D'AstousD	1:25	21:10	28	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	5	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA33GA2SV%.939xGA3.05GSAx+1.05

Goals

1st
Jake Guentzel(1)PP
N. Kucherov (1), D. Raddysh (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL1st 19:48+22.071%
2nd
Parker Kelly(1)
Z. Bardakov (1), I. Solovyov (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 03:22+22.951%
Brock Nelson(1)
C. Makar (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 COL2nd 09:31+24.575%
Zemgus Girgensons(1)
Y. Gourde (1), P. Holmberg (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 17:22+27.749%
3rd
Brandon Hagel(1)
M. Crozier (1), N. Kucherov (2)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 TBL3rd 08:31+35.485%
Anthony Cirelli(1)EN
B. Hagel (1), D. Raddysh (2)
xG 0.49snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 TBL3rd 18:35+2.199%

Shots

COL3.05 xG46 unblocked · 21 blocked46 unblocked · 21 blocked

TBL3.86 xG48 unblocked · 19 blocked48 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

COLTBL2Goals43.05xG3.8633Shots2846Unblocked4867Attempts674High danger40/2Power play1/238Faceoffs1720Hits2119Blocks214Takeaways519Giveaways126PIM18

Skaters

Player

Player
8C. MakarCale MakarD	26:04	0	1	1	1	7	0.21	−0.21	0	5	0	1	—	0	-2
29N. MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonC	22:37	0	0	0	5	6	0.16	−0.16	3	0	1	2	67%	0	-2
11B. NelsonBrock NelsonC	22:14	1	0	1	4	6	0.33	+0.67	0	1	0	1	76%	0	-1
88M. NecasMartin NecasC	21:54	0	0	0	3	10	0.61	−0.61	4	0	0	1	—	2	-2
13V. NichushkinValeri NichushkinR	19:30	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-2
42J. MansonJosh MansonD	19:02	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	3	2	0	4	—	0	0
62A. LehkonenArtturi LehkonenL	18:55	0	0	0	2	4	0.19	−0.19	1	1	0	1	—	0	-2
70S. MalinskiSam MalinskiD	18:51	0	0	0	3	6	0.08	−0.08	2	2	0	0	—	0	+1
49S. GirardSamuel GirardD	18:42	0	0	0	1	3	0.08	−0.08	0	2	1	1	—	0	-1
84B. BurnsBrent BurnsD	18:19	0	0	0	4	6	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	3	—	2	0
18J. DruryJack DruryC	15:54	0	0	0	1	4	0.19	−0.19	0	1	2	2	50%	0	+1
54G. BrindleyGavin BrindleyC	14:49	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
28I. SolovyovIlya SolovyovD	12:53	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	—	0	+1
20R. ColtonRoss ColtonC	12:34	0	0	0	4	5	0.24	−0.24	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
95V. OlofssonVictor OlofssonL	11:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.33	−0.33	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
17P. KellyParker KellyC	11:20	1	0	1	2	3	0.44	+0.56	2	0	0	1	100%	0	+1
93Z. BardakovZakhar BardakovC	7:23	0	1	1	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	1	0	0	—	2	+2
16T. MakarTaylor MakarL	5:29	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
COL total		2	3	5	33	67	3.05	−1.05	20	19	4	19	69%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Kelly+0.58

Bardakov+0.44

Nelson+0.31

Makar0.00

Colton−0.04

Lehkonen−0.08

MacKinnon−0.17

Drury−0.20

Olofsson−0.22

Necas−0.31

Nichushkin−0.37

Brindley−0.47

Defence

Makar+0.45

Solovyov+0.07

Malinski+0.04

Manson−0.04

Girard−0.12

Burns−0.35

Goalie

Wedgewood−0.60

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lehkonen·MacKinnon·Necas	13:06	18	12	10	54.5%	4	5	0	1	0.60	0.19	76.3%	+0.41	3	2	60%
Nelson·Brindley·Nichushkin	10:46	15	7	16	30.4%	4	7	0	1	0.09	0.79	10.2%	−0.70	1	4	20%
Olofsson·Drury·Colton	7:33	14	9	11	45.0%	8	6	0	0	0.49	0.37	57.1%	+0.12	1	1	50%
Makar·Kelly·Bardakov	4:44	7	7	8	46.7%	4	5	1	0	0.42	0.17	70.7%	+0.24	1	0	100%
Occasional · 11 groups
Olofsson·Nelson·Nichushkin	1:00	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Kelly·Drury·Bardakov	0:59	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	1	0%
Nelson·MacKinnon·Necas	0:53	2	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Nelson·Colton·Brindley	0:45	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Drury·Colton·Necas	0:42	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Kelly·Brindley·Bardakov	0:38	2	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.18	0.09	66.2%	+0.09	0	0	—
Kelly·Drury·Colton	0:35	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Nelson·Kelly·MacKinnon	0:31	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
MacKinnon·Necas·Nichushkin	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Olofsson·Kelly·Drury	0:30	1	1	2	33.3%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.12	30.2%	−0.07	0	0	—
Makar·Lehkonen·MacKinnon	0:30	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
COL 5v5	50:28		48	55	46.6%	22	24	2	2	2.18	1.84	54.2%	+0.34

Goalies

Scott Wedgewood

COL · 58:02

Saves: 24/27
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.39
GSAx: −0.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/24	.917	1.84	−0.16
Power play	2/3	.667	0.55	−0.45
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.17	+0.17

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 31/33
SV%: .939
xGA: 3.05
GSAx: +1.05

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/29	.931	2.84	+0.84
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.22	+0.22
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.88	−0.12

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Colorado Avalanche

Minutes

26:04C. Makar
19:02Manson
18:51Malinski
18:42Girard
18:19Burns
12:53Solovyov

22:37MacKinnon
22:14Nelson
21:54Necas
19:30Nichushkin
18:55Lehkonen
15:54Drury
14:49Brindley
12:34Colton
11:54Olofsson
11:20Kelly
7:23Bardakov
5:29T. Makar

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCOLTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

C. MakarD5 O6
SolovyovD0 O1
GirardD3 O3
MalinskiD2 O0
MansonD6 O1
BurnsD7 O1
NecasD2 O5
MacKinnonD3 O4
T. MakarD0 O1
OlofssonD1 O1
ColtonD1 O1
DruryD1 O1
BardakovD1 O1
NelsonD7 O6
NichushkinD5 O4
KellyD1 O0
LehkonenD5 O3
BrindleyD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period