NSH @ UTA 4–3 · 2025-12-29

Team	1	2	3	SOG
NSH	1	1	2	26
UTA	1	1	1	31

Story

– / 13

Result NSH 4–3Call No lean · UTA 54%xG 2.54–3.70 · deserved UTA 69%Swing Stamkos +40 3rd 13:17Method

Goals and penalties with UTA win probability
Time	Event	UTA win before	UTA win after
1st 4:56	NSH penalty · N. Hague · high sticking · 2 min
1st 5:48	Goal UTA · J. Peterka (PP)	54%	71%
1st 9:51	Goal NSH · R. Josi	72%	54%
1st 16:59	NSH penalty · C. Smith · boarding · 2 min
2nd 3:41	Goal UTA · M. Sergachev	53%	74%
2nd 7:51	Goal NSH · L. Evangelista	75%	53%
2nd 14:34	UTA penalty · I. Cole · interference · 2 min
3rd 4:02	Goal UTA · D. Guenther	52%	82%
3rd 10:05	UTA penalty · K. Stenlund · slashing · 2 min
3rd 11:39	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos (PP)	88%	52%
3rd 13:17	Goal NSH · S. Stamkos	52%	12%
3rd 14:05	NSH penalty · B. Skjei · tripping · 2 min
3rd 15:40	NSH penalty · N. Perbix · cross checking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
47M. McCarronC	0:06	14:05	21	0	0	0	4	7	0	2	3	9-12
91S. StamkosC	0:06	17:12	22	2	1	3	3	4	0	0	2	5-3
36C. SmithR	0:06	13:18	21	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	–
41N. HagueD	1:01	19:21	22	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	–
76B. SkjeiD	1:18	21:55	26	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	1	–
74J. SarosG		60:00	SA31GA3SV%.903xGA3.70GSAx+0.70

UTA6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	Hit	Blk	FO
8N. SchmaltzC	0:36	22:10	25	0	1	1	2	7	0	0	9-13
22J. McBainC	0:06	13:11	21	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9-5
27B. HaytonC	1:01	15:32	22	0	1	1	3	7	1	0	10-3
9C. KellerR	2:14	22:46	23	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	1-0
11D. GuentherR	1:45	19:20	22	1	1	2	6	10	0	0	0-1
98M. SergachevD	0:06	25:19	30	1	0	1	3	5	1	1	–

Goals

1st
JJ Peterka(1)PP
D. Guenther (1), C. Keller (1)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 UTA1st 05:48+17.571%
Roman Josi(1)
F. Forsberg (1), S. Stamkos (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 09:51+18.146%
2nd
Mikhail Sergachev(1)
N. Schmaltz (1), S. Durzi (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 UTA2nd 03:41+21.074%
Luke Evangelista(1)
T. Jost (1), N. Blankenburg (1)
xG 0.21wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 07:51+22.247%
3rd
Dylan Guenther(1)
L. Crouse (1), B. Hayton (1)
xG 0.09backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 UTA3rd 04:02+29.582%
Steven Stamkos(1)PP
R. O'Reilly (1), L. Evangelista (1)
xG 0.15snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 11:39+36.048%
Steven Stamkos(2)
R. O'Reilly (2), N. Perbix (1)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 NSH3rd 13:17+39.988%

Shots

NSH2.54 xG37 unblocked · 17 blocked37 unblocked · 17 blocked

UTA3.70 xG52 unblocked · 21 blocked52 unblocked · 21 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NSHUTA4Goals32.54xG3.7026Shots3137Unblocked5254Attempts734High danger61/2Power play1/433Faceoffs3716Hits1621Blocks174Takeaways310Giveaways158PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
59R. JosiRoman JosiD	22:43	1	0	1	3	6	0.19	+0.81	0	2	0	0	—	0	+2
76B. SkjeiBrady SkjeiD	21:55	0	0	0	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	1	—	2	-2
90R. O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyC	20:33	0	2	2	1	1	0.13	−0.13	0	2	0	2	53%	0	+1
48N. PerbixNick PerbixD	19:34	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	2	0	—	2	+2
41N. HagueNicolas HagueD	19:21	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	2	0	1	—	2	+1
9F. ForsbergFilip ForsbergL	19:03	0	1	1	1	1	0.09	−0.09	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
83A. WilsbyAdam WilsbyD	18:31	0	0	0	2	2	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	0	—	0	-2
91S. StamkosSteven StamkosC	17:12	2	1	3	3	4	0.31	+1.69	0	2	0	0	63%	0	+1
56E. HaulaErik HaulaL	17:02	0	0	0	3	6	0.74	−0.74	2	1	0	2	45%	0	0
77L. EvangelistaLuke EvangelistaR	16:37	1	1	2	3	6	0.40	+0.60	0	0	0	2	—	0	+2
37N. BlankenburgNick BlankenburgD	15:24	0	1	1	0	3	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
40F. SvechkovFedor SvechkovC	14:17	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	2	1	0	42%	0	+1
47M. McCarronMichael McCarronC	14:05	0	0	0	4	7	0.12	−0.12	2	3	1	0	43%	0	-1
36C. SmithCole SmithR	13:18	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	−0.26	1	1	0	0	—	2	-1
58M. BuntingMichael BuntingL	13:12	0	0	0	2	5	0.04	−0.04	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
17T. JostTyson JostC	10:33	0	1	1	1	1	0.08	−0.08	1	0	0	1	0%	0	+1
49R. SchaeferReid SchaeferL	10:24	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
71M. WoodMatthew WoodR	9:24	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	1	1	0	0	100%	0	0
NSH total		4	8	12	26	54	2.54	+1.46	16	19	4	10	47%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Stamkos+1.30

O'Reilly+0.87

Evangelista+0.58

Jost+0.35

Forsberg+0.33

Haula−0.10

Wood−0.18

Schaefer−0.22

McCarron−0.27

Svechkov−0.29

Bunting−0.36

Smith−0.46

Defence

Josi+0.44

Blankenburg−0.01

Wilsby−0.25

Hague−0.29

Perbix−0.45

Skjei−0.45

Goalie

Saros+0.73

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Schaefer·McCarron·Smith	8:30	15	7	12	36.8%	3	5	0	1	0.29	0.80	26.7%	−0.51	0	4	0%
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Stamkos	8:29	16	6	14	30.0%	5	8	1	1	0.30	0.58	34.2%	−0.28	3	0	100%
Occasional · 17 groups
Jost·Svechkov·Wood	4:30	8	3	7	30.0%	1	1	0	0	0.06	0.19	23.0%	−0.14	3	0	100%
Haula·Bunting·Evangelista	3:37	6	8	4	66.7%	4	0	0	0	0.10	0.30	24.6%	−0.20	2	0	100%
Jost·Svechkov·Evangelista	3:30	7	3	3	50.0%	2	1	1	0	0.29	0.08	79.3%	+0.21	0	0	—
Haula·Bunting·Wood	2:57	5	2	2	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.04	0.08	31.7%	−0.04	2	0	100%
Forsberg·Haula·Bunting	1:43	5	3	1	75.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.06	47.5%	−0.01	0	2	0%
Haula·Smith·Evangelista	1:13	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Forsberg·Svechkov·Stamkos	1:04	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Jost·Svechkov·Stamkos	0:55	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	0	—
O'Reilly·Stamkos·Evangelista	0:55	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.14	0.00	100.0%	+0.14	0	0	—
Bunting·Svechkov·Evangelista	0:47	3	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Forsberg·McCarron·Evangelista	0:44	1	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.17	0.0%	−0.17	0	0	—
Bunting·O'Reilly·Stamkos	0:40	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Forsberg·Bunting·O'Reilly	0:37	2	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.03	32.5%	−0.02	0	0	—
Schaefer·Jost·McCarron	0:37	1	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.0%	−0.00	0	1	0%
Forsberg·Stamkos·Evangelista	0:35	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Bunting·Svechkov·Wood	0:33	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Forsberg·O'Reilly·Evangelista	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
NSH 5v5	48:14		40	57	41.2%	21	21	3	2	1.39	2.54	35.3%	−1.16

Goalies

Juuse Saros

NSH · 60:00

Saves: 28/31
SV%: .903
xGA: 3.70
GSAx: +0.70

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/23	.913	2.64	+0.64
Power play	7/8	.875	1.06	+0.06
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	1.12	+0.12

Vitek Vanecek

UTA · 58:15

Saves: 22/26
SV%: .846
xGA: 2.08
GSAx: −1.92

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/21	.857	1.39	−1.61
Power play	4/5	.800	0.54	−0.46
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.15	+0.15
High danger	0/2	.000	0.60	−1.40

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Nashville Predators

Minutes

22:43Josi
21:55Skjei
19:34Perbix
19:21Hague
18:31Wilsby
15:24Blankenburg

20:33O'Reilly
19:03Forsberg
17:12Stamkos
17:02Haula
16:37Evangelista
14:17Svechkov
14:05McCarron
13:18Smith
13:12Bunting
10:33Jost
10:24Schaefer
9:24Wood

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNSHUTA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

JosiD2 O6
PerbixD3 O4
WilsbyD2 O1
BlankenburgD1 O0
HagueD2 O0
SkjeiD5 O1
EvangelistaD0 O5
WoodD0 O5
StamkosD1 O5
O'ReillyD2 O5
ForsbergD2 O4
BuntingD2 O4
JostD1 O3
SvechkovD0 O1
HaulaD5 O3
SmithD5 O0
SchaeferD5 O0
McCarronD7 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period