NYI @ BUF 2–3 · 2025-12-20

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
NYI	0	1	1	0	34
BUF	1	1	0	0	32

Story

– / 11

Result BUF 3–2 SOCall No lean · BUF 58%xG 3.26–4.48 · deserved BUF 68%Swing Heineman +46 3rd 19:31Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 1:27	NYI penalty · M. Barzal · tripping · 2 min
1st 1:47	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin (PP)	58%	75%
1st 2:43	BUF penalty · B. Malenstyn · hooking · 2 min
1st 5:01	NYI penalty · A. Pelech · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 8:55	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	79%	92%
2nd 19:37	Goal NYI · M. Barzal	95%	83%
3rd 4:24	NYI penalty · J. Pageau · tripping · 2 min
3rd 9:41	NYI penalty · M. Warren · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 18:33	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · slashing · 2 min
3rd 19:31	Goal NYI · E. Heineman (PP)	99%	53%
OT 4:43	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

NYI3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
13M. BarzalC	0:35	23:16	23	1	1	2	4	6	2	0	1	7-6
29J. DrouinL	0:42	16:59	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4-1
48M. SchaeferD	1:08	23:19	27	0	1	1	3	5	0	1	1	–
33D. RittichG		62:22	SA31GA2SV%.935xGA3.83GSAx+1.83

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
9J. NorrisC	0:42	19:39	22	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	3-6
89A. TuchR	0:53	21:06	23	0	0	0	4	7	0	1	1	1-2
26R. DahlinD	0:42	25:52	29	1	0	1	5	10	0	1	0	–
34A. LyonG		64:38	SA34GA2SV%.941xGA3.26GSAx+1.26

Goals

1st
Rasmus Dahlin(1)PP
A. Lyon (1)
xG 0.11backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 01:47+17.175%
2nd
Tage Thompson(1)
J. Doan (1), P. Krebs (1)
xG 0.22backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BUF2nd 08:55+13.392%
Mathew Barzal(1)
A. Lee (1), S. Holmstrom (1)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BUF2nd 19:37+12.717%
3rd
Emil Heineman(1)PP6v4
M. Barzal (1), M. Schaefer (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 19:31+45.947%

ShootoutBUF T. Thompson –NYI M. Barzal GBUF J. Quinn GNYI S. Holmstrom –BUF A. Tuch –NYI E. Heineman –BUF N. Ostlund –NYI J. Drouin –BUF J. Norris GNYI C. Ritchie –

Shots

NYI3.26 xG53 unblocked · 13 blocked53 unblocked · 13 blocked

BUF4.48 xG47 unblocked · 9 blocked47 unblocked · 9 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

NYIBUF2Goals23.26xG4.4834Shots3253Unblocked4766Attempts565High danger81/3Power play1/433Faceoffs2725Hits189Blocks134Takeaways521Giveaways188PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
3A. PelechAdam PelechD	26:25	0	0	0	1	5	0.08	−0.08	4	0	0	2	—	2	+1
48M. SchaeferMatthew SchaeferD	23:36	0	1	1	3	5	0.22	−0.22	1	1	2	2	—	0	-1
13M. BarzalMathew BarzalC	23:33	1	1	2	4	6	0.63	+0.37	0	1	1	2	54%	2	+1
77T. DeAngeloTony DeAngeloD	22:55	0	0	0	3	6	0.17	−0.17	2	0	0	3	—	0	0
6R. PulockRyan PulockD	20:18	0	0	0	2	5	0.13	−0.13	2	1	0	2	—	0	-1
27A. LeeAnders LeeL	20:04	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	−0.13	1	0	0	2	50%	0	+1
51E. HeinemanEmil HeinemanL	18:49	1	0	1	10	11	0.52	+0.48	4	1	0	1	—	0	-1
10S. HolmstromSimon HolmstromR	17:49	0	1	1	2	7	0.47	−0.47	0	0	1	0	—	0	+1
24S. MayfieldScott MayfieldD	17:48	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	1	—	0	+1
29J. DrouinJonathan DrouinL	17:16	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	2	83%	0	-1
53C. CizikasCasey CizikasC	16:18	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	−0.05	2	2	0	0	36%	0	0
44J. PageauJean-Gabriel PageauC	15:34	0	0	0	3	5	0.23	−0.23	1	0	0	0	69%	2	-1
32K. MacLeanKyle MacLeanC	13:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	0	0
64C. RitchieCalum RitchieC	12:57	0	0	0	2	2	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	1	33%	0	0
7M. TsyplakovMaxim TsyplakovR	12:08	0	0	0	1	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	0	100%	0	0
16M. GatcombMarc GatcombC	11:14	0	0	0	1	3	0.30	−0.30	3	0	0	0	—	0	0
11A. DuclairAnthony DuclairL	10:48	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	33%	0	0
41M. WarrenMarshall WarrenD	9:51	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	1	—	2	0
NYI total		2	4	6	34	66	3.26	−1.26	25	8	4	20	55%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Barzal+0.94

Heineman+0.45

Lee+0.33

Gatcomb−0.16

Holmstrom−0.19

Cizikas−0.23

Tsyplakov−0.28

MacLean−0.28

Duclair−0.29

Ritchie−0.31

Drouin−0.33

Pageau−0.50

Defence

Schaefer+0.16

Mayfield+0.14

DeAngelo−0.20

Warren−0.27

Pulock−0.32

Pelech−0.48

Goalie

Rittich+2.03

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Lee·Barzal·Holmstrom	11:45	17	13	11	54.2%	4	6	1	0	0.61	0.78	44.0%	−0.17	5	4	56%
Drouin·Heineman·Pageau	10:29	17	16	8	66.7%	11	5	0	1	0.62	0.65	49.0%	−0.02	3	4	43%
Gatcomb·MacLean·Cizikas	9:36	15	12	8	60.0%	4	2	0	0	0.47	0.33	58.8%	+0.14	0	2	0%
Duclair·Ritchie·Tsyplakov	9:02	15	5	8	38.5%	3	6	0	0	0.27	0.42	38.6%	−0.16	2	2	50%
Occasional · 3 groups
Lee·Heineman·Barzal	1:38	9	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.26	0.00	100.0%	+0.26	0	0	—
Lee·Barzal·Gatcomb	0:56	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Lee·Heineman·Pageau	0:32	4	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
NYI 5v5	49:14		53	40	57.0%	26	23	1	1	2.34	2.69	46.4%	−0.36

Goalies

David Rittich

NYI · 62:39

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
xGA: 4.00
GSAx: +2.00

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	2.95	+1.95
Power play	5/6	.833	1.06	+0.06
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	6/7	.857	1.41	+0.41

Alex Lyon

BUF · 64:55

Saves: 32/34
SV%: .941
xGA: 3.26
GSAx: +1.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/32	.969	3.03	+2.03
Power play	0/1	.000	0.08	−0.92
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.15	+0.15
High danger	2/3	.667	0.87	−0.13

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

New York Islanders

Minutes

26:25Pelech
23:36Schaefer
22:55DeAngelo
20:18Pulock
17:48Mayfield
9:51Warren

23:33Barzal
20:04Lee
18:49Heineman
17:49Holmstrom
17:16Drouin
16:18Cizikas
15:34Pageau
13:55MacLean
12:57Ritchie
12:08Tsyplakov
11:14Gatcomb
10:48Duclair

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareNYIBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DeAngeloD1 O4
WarrenD1 O3
PelechD5 O3
SchaeferD7 O4
MayfieldD6 O1
PulockD8 O3
LeeD3 O5
DuclairD1 O2
BarzalD4 O4
DrouinD5 O4
HolmstromD6 O5
RitchieD2 O1
TsyplakovD2 O1
PageauD6 O4
HeinemanD4 O2
GatcombD2 O0
MacLeanD3 O0
CizikasD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period